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MLB yesterday goes 12 - 4 - 1 in best bets, NBA goes 7 - 0 and swept the board for a perfect night in the hoops.
I'll post the MLB picks now......NBA later. Good Luck !

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/19/12 17-*6-*1 73.91% +*5910 Detail
04/18/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1125 Detail
04/17/12 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*445 Detail
04/16/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1135 Detail
04/15/12 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*605 Detail
04/14/12 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*3405 Detail

04/13/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2560 Detail
04/12/12 9-*8-*1 52.94% +*20 Detail
04/11/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1145 Detail
04/10/12 13-*7-*1 65.00% +*2885 Detail
04/09/12 13-*10-*0 56.52% +*1880 Detail
04/08/12 13-*14-*0 48.15% -*640 Detail
04/07/12 15-*14-*0 51.72% -*440 Detail
04/06/12 3-*6-*1 33.33% -*1775 Detail

Totals 187-*157-*8 54.36% +11930

Friday, April 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati 1 Top 1 Chi. Cubs +115 500
Chi. Cubs 0

NY Yankees - 3:05 PM ET NY Yankees +104 500
Boston - Under 10 500

Miami - 7:05 PM ET Washington -115 500
Washington - Under 7.5 500

Texas - 7:05 PM ET Detroit -101 500
Detroit - Over 9 500

St. Louis - 7:05 PM ET St. Louis -124 500
Pittsburgh - Under 8 500

Minnesota - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -176 500
Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco +123 500
NY Mets - Under 7.5 500

LA Dodgers - 8:05 PM ET Houston +119 500
Houston - Over 7.5 500

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Toronto +102 500
Kansas City - Under 9 500

Colorado - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -127 500
Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

Atlanta - 9:40 PM ET Arizona +106 500
Arizona - Under 9 500

Baltimore - 10:05 PM ET Baltimore +129 500
LA Angels - Over 9 500

Philadelphia - 10:05 PM ET Philadelphia -126 500
San Diego - Over 6 500

Cleveland - 10:05 PM ET Cleveland -116 500
Oakland - Under 7.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 10:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -123 500
Seattle - Under 7

-----------------------------------------------------------
NBA last 2 days:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/19/12 8-*2-*0 80.00% +*2900 Detail

04/18/12 17-*11-*0 60.71% +*2450 Detail
 

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Red Sox Host Yankees Amid Fenway Celebration

The Boston Red Sox hosting the New York Yankees is always an event in itself, but even more so this Friday afternoon with Fenway Park’s 100th Anniversary celebration.

We’ll feature that 3:05 p.m. (ET) game in a little bit, but first look at Wednesday night history. Philadelphia’s Cliff Lee threw 10 shutout innings at San Francisco, but his team still lost 1-0 in 11. The total of the game was 5½ and the Phils’ quiet bats without Ryan Howard (Achilles) and Chase Utley (knee) have helped cause a 5-7 start, last in the NL East.

Philadelphia will be back in action Thursday night at San Diego. Vance Worley and the visitors are 120 favorites with a total of 6½. Rookie Joe Wieland pitches for the Padres, allowing six runs in five innings at the Dodgers in his first career start. Don Best Sports analyst Kenny White looks for an outstanding effort from Worley in this one.

Friday night has an intriguing one with Milwaukee (-120) hosting Colorado. The total is 8½ and shaded to the ‘over.’ This is a good pitching matchup of righties with the Brew Crew’s Shaun Marcum (1-1, 3.46 ERA) against Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 5.63 ERA). Milwaukee (6-7) just took two of three at home against a hot Dodgers outfit, while Colorado (6-6) just finished a 9-game homestand at 5-4.

Switching back to Boston and Fenway Park, historians (and super-huge baseball fans) can tell you that the first game played there was the Red Sox beating the NY Highlanders 7-6 in 11 innings. Thomas J. 'Buck' O'Brien was the winning pitcher.

The Red Sox could use O’Brien, a 20-game winner for the 1912 team, in the rotation with a 6.20 team ERA that is worst in the majors. They have lost 3-straight and are currently in the AL East basement at 4-8. Most talk has been about fiery new manager Bobby Valentine already butting heads with players like Kevin Youkilis. Former manager Terry Francona also made headlines by refusing to attend this celebration before finally relenting.

Clay Buchholz (1-0, 9.82 ERA) will start this game and Boston is projected to be small -115 favorites by Don Best. The total is 9½-and shaded to the ‘over.’ Texas scored 24 runs in beating the Sox the last two nights and White sees Boston as a ‘play against team’ for now.

New York is 6-6 pending a Thursday night home finale with Minnesota, and sends Ivan Nova (2-0, 4.15 ERA) to the mound on Friday. The ground ball pitcher was an eye-popping 16-4 last year (3.70 ERA), but is 0-2 with a 6.62 ERA versus Boston the last three years.

Nova’s one appearance at Fenway last year was four earned runs over 4 1/3 innings in April.
 

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Friday's Tip Sheet

April 20, 2012


**Marlins at Nationals**

--Most betting shops are listing Washington (10-4, +525) as a minus-115 favorite for the series opener between these National League East rivals. Gamblers can take the Nationals on the run line (minus 1 ½ runs) for a plus-175 payout (risk $100 to win $175).

--Davey Johnson’s club dropped an 11-4 decision to Houston last night as a minus-155 home favorite. The Nationals fell into a 5-0 hole in the first inning, only to cut the deficit to 5-4 thanks to a Ryan Zimmerman three-run homer the bottom of the third. But the Astros put up another five-spot in the fifth and cruised to victory. Washington RHP Edwin Jackson took his first loss of the season.

--Washington has still won eight of its last 10 games despite Thursday night’s loss. The Nats maintain a 1 ½-game lead over Atlanta in the NL East. They are 6-2 at home.

--Miami (7-6, +45) completed a three-game sweep of the Cubs with Thursday afternoon’s 5-3 win as a minus-150 home ‘chalk.’ Ricky Nolasco improved to 2-0 and veteran closer Heath Bell picked up his second save. Greg Dobbs had a two-run double and the Marlins, who have won five of their last six, also got a 2-for-4 effort from Hanley Ramirez that upped his batting average to .300.

--Ozzie Guillen’s squad will give Carlos Zambrano (0-0, 3.75 ERA) his third start after the right-hander pitched well in a pair of no-decisions. In his first two outings, Miami lost by one run both times, at Cincinnati (6-5) and vs. Houston (5-4). The ‘over’ has hit in both of Zambrano’s assignments.

--Washington will give the starting nod to LHP Ross Detwiler (1-0, 0.90), who won his first start against the Mets on the road and took a no-decision in a home loss to the Reds.

--The Marlins went 7-2 at Nationals Park last season and own a 26-9 ledger since the stadium opened in 2008.

--Miami’s Omar Infante has missed back-to-back games with a strained groin but is expected to return to the lineup at some point this weekend. Infante is hitting .333 with four homers and six RBIs.

--The ‘over’ is 10-3 overall for Miami, 4-2 in its road games.

--The ‘under’ is 9-5 overall for the Nats, 5-3 in their home outings.

--The first pitch from Detwiler is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

**Orioles at Angels**

--Most spots are listing Los Angeles (4-8, -774) as a minus-140 favorite with a total of nine flat (minus-110 either way). Bettors can back the Angels on the run line for a plus-145 payout (risk $100 to win $145).

-Baltimore (8-5 +483) took three of four against the White Sox in the Windy City, capturing a 5-3 win in Thursday afternoon’s series finale. Jason Hammel (2-0, 2.37) struck out 10 in six innings of work, while Adam Jones hit his fifth homer of the season and also had an RBI double. Jim Johnson worked a scoreless ninth to collect his sixth save.

--Baltimore LHP Brian Matusz (0-2, 8.38) will try to solve his problems when the fourth overall selection of the 2008 MLB Draft takes the hill. Matusz went 1-6 with a 10.28 ERA last year.

--The Angels will turn to RHP Jerome Williams (0-1, 16.88), who got rocked by the Yankees in the Bronx in his first start. Williams couldn’t get out of third inning in an 11-5 loss.

--Baltimore is 5-2 on the road, while the Angels took a 2-4 home mark into Thursday’s game vs. Oakland.

--The Orioles are in first place in the AL East with a one-game lead over both the Yankees and the Rays.

--Dating back to August of last season, Baltimore’s Johnson has converted 14 consecutive save opportunities.

--The ‘over’ is 7-5-1 overall for the O’s, 5-1-1 in their road assignments.

--Totals have been an overall wash for the Angels, going 6-6 overall and 3-3 in their home games.

--This game will come off the board at 10:05 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Texas remained perfect on the road with Thursday’s 10-3 series-opening win at Detroit as a minus-120 favorite. The Rangers (11-2) have won each of their six road tilts to date. They lead the AL West by four games over second-place Seattle (pending the M’s late-Thursday result).

-- The most storied rivalry in MLB history will be renewed Friday afternoon at 3:05 p.m. Eastern when the Red Sox host the Yankees in a pick ‘em affair. The total is 10 ‘over’ (minus-115).

--The Dodgers improved to 10-3 with Thursday’s 4-3 win at Milwaukee as a plus-105 underdog. Don Mattingly’s club will try to stay hot in Friday’s series opener at Houston with Ted Lilly taking the mound.

--Dodgers slugger Matt Kemp popped his seventh homer of the season and went 2-for-5 yesterday at Miller Park. Kemp is second in the NL with a .452 batting average, trailing only the Mets’ David Wright (.500).

--Best money pitcher in baseball to date? That would be Houston’s Bud Norris (+405).

--Worst? The Angels’ Dan Haren (-500).
 

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Yankees-Red Sox preview

April 19, 2012

When Fenway Park first opened in 1912, some of the pageantry of its debut game was taken away because of the tragic sinking of the Titanic a few days earlier. A ball game was secondary to a city that had friends and family on the ship. Fast-forward 100 years later and the city of Boston is, again, watching a sinking ship right in front of their eyes and the Captain is Bobby Valentine.
Too soon for sinking ship references?

My dearest apologies if I offended anyone!

Fenway Park opened Apr. 20, 1912 with the visiting New York Highlanders, a team that would soon become the New York Yankees. It’s appropriate that Major League Baseball would schedule this classic rivalry that has been intertwined throughout the games rich history for Fenway’s Centennial weekend.

Usually, it’s the Yankees who are public enemy number one, but after two weeks, new Sox manager Bobby Valentine is finding just how ‘smaawt’ Boston fans are. They realize that a new manager shouldn’t take over a team full of veterans that have two rings and try and change their habits, call them out in public and worst of all, lose in the process. Those tactics may work on a team with young players looking for guidance, or even in Japan as second baseman Dustin Pedroia suggested when he fought back through the media, but not a team full of millionaires that has done just about everything there is to do in baseball.

Maybe worst of all for the fans in a city where beer is an intricate part of their daily lives after a hard days work, Valentine took the Red Sox beer out of the clubhouse. That will get you booed at Fenway almost as loud as Alex Rodriguez coming to bat. And at the same time, it'll also give former manager Terry Francona a roaring welcome back cheer when he’s announced during the pre-game festivities.

It’s a rare occurrence when the Red Sox (4-8) and Yankees (6-6) meet when neither team is in first place, but that’s what's about to happen when the two teams square off this Friday.

These matchups are always compelling, gripping baseball played with more intensity than any other rivalry in baseball. However, it feels as though things have changed over the last few seasons where the games don’t feel as epic as they used to be. The Yankees will always be hated in Boston, and the Red Sox will never find any love in New York, but some of the luster does appear to be gone. Part of the reason is winning which can lead to complacency from both the players and fans and might also explain Boston‘s collapse in September last year..

The Red Sox don’t seem to have that hunger and misery that haunted generations for 86 years before finally winning a World Series in 2004. Finally beating down the Yankees, who they were down 0-3 to in the ALCS, was the ultimate achievement for all of Boston. When Boston won the World Series again in 2007, it was almost as if the hunger had completely been satisfied.

In the process, Yankee fans were no longer taunting Boston with their 26 championship rings. They were equals now and had gained the respect of New York. And when the Yankees won their 27th championship, it stung, but not like the previous 26.

With catcher Jason Varitek and pitcher Tim Wakefield retiring before this season, only David Ortiz remains from the 2004 championship team. Even the instigator to many of the exciting brawls between the two squads, Francona, is gone. This is now Bobby Valentine’s team now and it will be interesting to see how he manages in this series for the first time amid all the boos directed at him on his home field.

The main concern for the 2012 Red Sox right now is a struggling bullpen. That was the big question mark coming into the season and it got even worse when their newly acquired closer Andrew Bailey was put on the shelf until at least August with ligament damage in his thumb. Thus far, the concerns have been validated as Boston’s bullpen has the second highest ERA (6.63) in baseball.

The bullpen has been one of the only areas the Yankees have all sewn up as they have the best ERA (1.99) among all teams, but unfortunately for them, their starting pitching has been letting them down. The Yankees have the 27th worst ERA (5.77) among all starting staffs with ace C.C. Sabathia getting hit hard, Freddy Garcia looking old and Phil Hughes pitching with no confidence.

To go along with bad starting pitching, the beefy parts of the batting order are fighting to stay above the Mendoza-line. Last year’s surprise player of the year, Curtis Granderson, is hitting .208 with more strikeouts than hits. Alex Rodriguez has only two RBI’s and Mark Teixeira still hasn’t hit a home run. Russell Martin, who last year burst onto the scene with some pop, has come crashing back to earth batting .148. The one shining star in the lineup has been Derek Jeter (.389), the player who experts questioned the most coming into the season.

Boston was happy to get home last weekend and the bats came alive, but Jacoby Ellsbury is going to be out of the lineup for some time and Carl Crawford’s start to the season looks to be delayed as well. Kevin Youkilis is also showing signs of fading with a paltry .184 average and he’s not even getting walks anymore. Valentine was right about Youkilis being different, but still, the conversation should have been in Valentine’s office, not with the Boston Globe and ESPN.

So while the Yankees and Red Sox classic uniforms still represent a must-watch weekend of games, the quality of play from the teams thus far don’t come close to matching the standards set over the last decade. The main hope to keep this a bitter rivalry and distract from their actual poor play is to have one of the managers pick a fight with some mandated inside pitches. Valentine could regain some creditability with the fans by at least starting a brawl with Yankees and it could ignite the players as well.

Here’s a look at this weekend’s matchups:

Friday (MLB Network, 3:05 p.m. ET)

Ivan Nova (2-0, 4.15) vs. Clay Buchholz (1-0, 9.82): Buchholz got the win in his last outing despite giving up five runs, thanks to the Sox bats. In both of his starts he’s given up five runs or more. Buchholz gets the tough draw of Nova who just always seems to win no matter the circumstances. Nova has won 14 straight decisions dating back to last season and based on the two pitchers form, despite it being the centennial game, Nova should make it 15 straight.

Early Selection: Yankees

Saturday (Fox, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Freddy Garcia (0-1, 6.97) vs. Felix Doubront (0-0, 5.40): This has the makings of a high-scoring game and may be the only game of the series we can expect the Red Sox to win. Doubront has gone only five innings in each of his first two starts and has given up six runs, four in his last start against the Rays. Garcia has had two awful starts and been hit harder in each ensuing game. This could be a lopsided game that the Red Sox bullpen might be able to hang onto for the win.

Early Selection: Red Sox and OVER

Sunday (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)

C.C. Sabathia (1-0, 5.59) vs. Daniel Bard (0-2, 4.63): The Red Sox bullpen sure could use Bard right now, but his conditioning throughout spring set him up for every five days so Valentine is sticking with it. The way Bard is pitching right now he’d fit right in with the bullpen. His ERA is fortunate to be at 4.63 because he’s pitched much worse. In his last outing against the Rays he gave up seven walks and yet somehow only allowed one run. It’s possible that Jon Lester could make the start since his day was cut short Tuesday against the Rangers. Meanwhile, Sabathia tries to shake the funk against his No. 1 nemesis. Unlike last year when Sabathia had a groove going before getting slapped around by the Sox, this year he’s struggling giving up 12 runs in 19.1 innings of work. The positive for him is that he finally did beat Boston in August after losing four straight to them. He only lost eight games last season and four of them were to Boston. His fourth start should be better than his first three, so look for the Yankees to take this one.

Early Selection: Yankees
 

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Diamond Trends - Friday

April 20, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Tigers are 10-0 since August 16, 2011 after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1135.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Angels are 0-14-2 OU since April 12, 2011 as a favorite after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $1400 when playing the under.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Brewers are 0-6 since May 27, 2011 when Shaun Marcum starts as a home favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $822 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Yankees are 0-12 (-2.8 rpg) since 2006 after a win where they were not 150+ dogs but overcame at least a four run deficit while scoring no more than 10 runs.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Rockies are 0-10 since April 29, 2011 when playing a night game after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks for a net profit of $1150 when playing against.

The Yankees are 7-0 since June 15, 2011 when Ivan Nova starts after his team scored a total of seven or more runs in his last start for a net profit of $700
 

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MLB Series Preview: Yankees at Red Sox


NEW YORK YANKEES (7-6)

at BOSTON RED SOX (4-8)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: New York -120, Boston Even

Bitter AL East rivals look to get back on track this weekend when the Yankees open a weekend series in Boston starting Friday afternoon.

Both teams have been struggling recently, as New York split a four-game home series with the woeful Twins and the Red Sox have scored just six total runs during a three-game losing streak, all at home. This series is usually tight, but Boston has been the better play in the past three seasons, going 21-15 (+6.5 Units) against the Yankees. Both teams’ starters have been awful this season (NYY: 5.59 ERA, BOS: 5.97 ERA), but Boston has faced much better lineups this year (Detroit, Toronto, Texas) than New York has (Baltimore, L.A. Angels and Minnesota). Expect the young Red Sox arms to shine brighter this weekend, and play on BOSTON to win the series at home with even money.

This FoxSheets coaching trend also supports the Red Sox:

BOBBY VALENTINE is 60-26 (69.8%, +30.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in all games he has managed since 1997. The average score was VALENTINE 4.1, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*).

Game 1: Friday, 3:05 p.m. ET
New York -115, Boston +105, Total: 10½
Yankees starter Ivan Nova is 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA this year, but he has given up 18 hits and three homers in his 13 innings of work. But the real reason to stay away from Nova is his three career starts versus Boston when he registered a 7.05 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. He struck out just eight Red Sox and walked six in these 15.1 innings. The Red Sox will counter with Clay Buchholz who is off to a rocky start to the 2012 season (1-0, 9.82 ERA, 1.73 WHIP). He’s thrown four quality outings in seven career starts in this rivalry series though, holding the Yankees to two runs on five hits in seven strong innings the last time he faced them in May 2011. Buchholz has come up big against great teams over the past three seasons, leading Boston to a 19-6 record (.760, +12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record. Play on BOSTON to open up the series with a victory.

Game 2: Saturday, 4:05 p.m. ET
Saturday’s matchup is tougher to call with Yankees veteran Freddy Garcia (0-1, 6.97 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) going up against Boston 24-year-old lefty Felix Doubront (0-0, 5.40 ERA, 1.70 WHIP). Garcia is 9-4 with a 4.45 ERA in his long career against Boston (119.1 IP), but was smacked around by the Sox last year, allowing 11 runs (10 earned) 22 hits and 10 walks in just 19 innings (4.74 ERA, 1.68 WHIP). He’s only started at Fenway Park twice since 2005, getting a pair of no-decisions. Doubront will be making his sixth career start, but showed some signs of greatness in his last outing on Sunday against the Rays. Although he allowed four runs in five innings, he also fanned seven batters and walked just one. Although the sample size is small, Doubront has held the Yankees to a .188 BA (3-for-16) with six strikeouts and just one walk. The pick here is BOSTON in game two to give Doubront some run support by getting to Garcia early.

Game 3: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Yankees ace CC Sabathia (1-0, 5.59 ERA) takes the hill in the series finale against converted reliever Daniel Bard (0-2, 4.63 ERA). Sabathia hasn’t pitched as bad as his ERA would indicate, posting a 1.13 WHIP with 15 K and just three walks in his 13.1 innings. From 2006 to 2010, Sabathia thrived against the Red Sox, going 5-2 with a 2.63 ERA in 10 starts against them. But last year, Boston batted .333 against him in five starts, saddling Sabathia with a 6.39 ERA and 1.77 WHIP. After surrendering five runs on eight hits in just five innings in his first major-league start, Bard allowed just one run in 6.2 innings in Monday’s start versus Tampa Bay. Although he fanned seven Rays that outing, he also allowed seven walks. Bard faced the Yankees 21 times over the past two seasons with great success. In 19.1 relief innings, he posted a 2.79 ERA and .197 Opp. BA against the Pinstripes, but did allow three homers. Bard could certainly step up, but the safer play here is Sabathia to lead NEW YORK to a sweep-avoiding win on Sunday night.
 

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MLB Series Preview: Rockies at Brewers


COLORADO ROCKIES (6-6)

at MILWAUKEE BREWERS (6-7)


Sportsbook.com Series Line: Milwaukee -160, Colorado +140

The Colorado Rockies take a modest two-game win streak on the road and travel to Milwaukee for a three-game weekend series with the Brewers.

This series matchup features two of the best hitters in baseball in Ryan Braun and Troy Tulowitzki, but both have been struggling mightily to start the season. Braun, the reigning NL MVP, has just one home run and a .261 BA, going hitless in his past three games. Tulowitzki also has just one longball and a .244 BA, raking in just one hit in the team’s past four contests. Tulowitzki has received much more support this season, however with the Rockies posting a .786 OPS on the season, fourth best in baseball and second-best in the NL, compared to a .713 mark for the Brewers. While that may seem like the Rockies have the edge, their numbers are inflated by their ability to exploit Coors Field and in the early goings have been one of baseball’s worst road offenses. In three away games, the Rockies have a lowly .236 BA and .611 OPS, reflecting last year when Colorado scored the third-fewest runs in baseball on the road. Play on MILWAUKEE to take this series at home.

This FoxSheets trend also likes the Brew Crew to prevail:

MILWAUKEE is 45-17 (72.6%, +23.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*).

Game 1: Friday, 8:10 p.m. ET
Milwaukee -140, Colorado +130, Total: 8
Jhoulys Chacin is Colorado’s ace, but in two starts this season, has lasted just eight innings total with eight walks and five earned runs. This could be the type of pitcher to help the Brewers break out offensively because he gives out as many free passes as anyone in baseball—he led the NL with 87 last season. Shaun Marcum takes the hill for the Brewers and he’s a pitcher always dependable for a quality start. He’s allowed just eight hits in 13 innings to start the year, surrendering just two walks. This is not an easy matchup for the Colorado lineup, take MILWAUKEE to win the series opener easily.

Game 2: Saturday, 7:10 p.m. ET
In game two, the Brewers get a look at phenom Drew Pomeranz, who was hammered by the Diamondbacks in his first start of the season, giving up five earned runs on nine hits in just 4.1 innings. He goes against a fellow southpaw in Chris Narveson, who is off to a similarly shaky start with a 1-1 record after giving up five runs in four innings his last time out. The Rockies are 2-3 while the Brewers are 2-2 against lefties this year, so no team has a particular edge in that regard. It’s just tough to like Pomeranz in this road game—in his four MLB starts last season, he gave up 19 hits, five walks and 11 earned runs in 18.1 innings of duty for a 5.40 ERA. He has not yet proven that he can pitch at the game’s highest level, so play against. The pick here is MILWAUKEE in game two.

Game 3: Sunday, 2:10 p.m. ET
Jeremy Guthrie takes the hill for Milwaukee in the final game, facing 26-year-old fireballer Yovani Gallardo. Guthrie was tagged for six earned runs in each of his past two starts, but pitched through strep throat his last time out, perhaps explaining his issues. And after giving up four home runs in his first start of the year, Gallardo looks like he has figured himself out with two consecutive quality starts. The issue is he has never won against the Rockies with an 0-4 career mark against them in six career starts and seven appearances, with a 6.69 ERA in those. If history is any indicator, this may be Colorado’s best chance to steal a game in this series. Take COLORADO to avoid the sweep here.
 

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Marlins seek 5th straight win visiting Washington

MIAMI MARLINS (7-6)

at WASHINGTON NATIONALS (10-4)


First pitch: Friday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Washington -110, Miami +100, Total: 8

A pair of surging clubs begin a three-game series when Miami visits Washington on Friday night.

The Marlins come into town with a four-game win streak, outscoring opponents 24-10 during the four-game ride. But the Nationals have also been streaking, winning eight of their past 10 contests. With an unpredictable pitching matchup (Carlos Zambrano and Ross Detwiler), the winner here will likely be the better offensive team. Nobody is hotter than Miami 3B Hanley Ramirez right now (.550 BA, 3 HR, 9 RBI in past four games), and the Nats have a combined eight runs in their past three games against mediocre Houston pitching. The Marlins have also thrived in the nation’s capital going 14-4 (+14.6 Units) at Washington over the past three seasons. Take slight underdog MIAMI to open the series with a victory.

This FoxSheets trend also backs the Marlins:

MIAMI is 38-28 (57.6%, +13.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MIAMI 4.1, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*).

Zambrano (0-0, 3.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) has been erratic in his career, but he has stepped up his game against good teams, leading his team to a 40-27 record (60%) when facing a team with a winning record. He was up-and-down in his last outing against the Astros, allowing just one run in six innings, but issuing six walks before leaving with a no-decision. The big right-hander has usually enjoyed facing the Nats in his career, going 8-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. In his three career starts at Nationals Park, he is a perfect 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA (1 ER in 19.1 IP) and .200 Opp. BA.

Detwiler has been very effective in two starts this season (0.90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP), but has lasted just five innings in both of his outings. He actually gave up five runs on six hits his last time out against Cincinnati, but only one of the runs was earned. Detwiler opened the season with five shutout frames against the Mets, allowing just two hits and one walk while fanning six. The 26-year-old lefty has never started against the Marlins, facing them just two times with four shutout innings (3 hits, 3 walks, 3 strikeouts). But Miami’s offense is 2-0 versus left-handed starters this year, batting .303 with a .354 OBP and 11 runs in the two games.
 

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MLB
Dunkel


Texas at Detroit
The Tigers look to bounce back from yesterday's 10-3 loss to Texas and build on their 7-0 record in Rick Porcello's last 7 starts after their opponent scores 5 runs or more the previous game. Detroit is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 20

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST
)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.472; Cubs (Volstad) 14.915
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 15.971; Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.189
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over

Game 955-956: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Zambrano) 14.278; Washington (Detwiler) 15.724
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

Game 957-958: San Francisco at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 13.700; NY Mets (Niese) 15.284
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-135); Under

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.156; Houston (Happ) 15.571
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Under

Game 961-962: Colorado at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 16.015; Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.284
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Over

Game 963-964: Atlanta at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 16.064; Arizona (Cahill) 14.715
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Over

Game 965-966: Philadelphia at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.852; San Diego (Volquez) 14.193
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Boston (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 14.295; Boston (Buccholz) 15.928
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Over

Game 969-970: Texas at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 16.827; Detroit (Porcello) 17.876
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Under

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 14.667; Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.953
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Over

Game 973-974: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Drabek) 15.351; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.290
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 975-976: Baltimore at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 14.495; LA Angels (Williams) 14.978
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Over

Game 977-978: Cleveland at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 16.520; Oakland (Godfrey) 15.411
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Over

Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.508; Seattle (Noesi) 15.704
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Under
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, April 20


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CINCINNATI (5 - 8) at CHICAGO CUBS (3 - 10) - 2:20 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. CHRIS VOLSTAD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 85-91 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-21 (-12.3 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 83-90 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 34-51 (-24.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 568-656 (+45.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 418-476 (+43.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 305-280 (+48.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BAILEY is 19-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1190-1276 (-240.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-93 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 71-97 (-33.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 648-655 (-125.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-93 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-66 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-83 (-31.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
VOLSTAD is 20-33 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 1-10 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 6-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 20-33 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 2-13 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HOMER BAILEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BAILEY is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.875.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VOLSTAD is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 7) - 7:05 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 100-93 (-36.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 437-418 (+51.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 297-317 (+39.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 56-42 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 82-50 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LANCE LYNN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MORTON is 2-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.25 and a WHIP of 1.881.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

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MIAMI (7 - 6) at WASHINGTON (10 - 4) - 7:05 PM
CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. ROSS DETWILER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 90-86 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-27 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 90-86 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 40-33 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-28 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 59-38 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ZAMBRANO is 88-59 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 52-24 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 88-57 (+33.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 62-41 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 40-27 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 8-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 8-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.2 units)

ROSS DETWILER vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 6) at NY METS (7 - 5) - 7:10 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 136-100 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 17-30 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BARRY ZITO vs. NY METS since 1997
ZITO is 3-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

JON NIESE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
NIESE is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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LA DODGERS (10 - 3) at HOUSTON (5 - 8) - 8:05 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LILLY is 31-44 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 50-46 (+17.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 21-7 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 62-115 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 5-23 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 60-114 (-37.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-58 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TED LILLY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LILLY is 7-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.070.
His team's record is 7-8 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+5.6 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
HAPP is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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COLORADO (6 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (6 - 7) - 8:10 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 79-97 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 67-100 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 79-97 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 108-120 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 52-71 (-30.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 33-44 (-19.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 75-82 (-31.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-33 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-29 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-13 (+17.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-29 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 87-57 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MARCUM is 6-13 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 6-13 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 11-18 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CHACIN is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 7.11 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. COLORADO since 1997
MARCUM is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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ATLANTA (8 - 5) at ARIZONA (7 - 6) - 9:40 PM
BRANDON BEACHY (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 27-39 (-18.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BEACHY is 1-9 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 104-78 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 38-21 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 58-34 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 104-78 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-54 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-52 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 52-38 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CAHILL is 35-25 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 0-8 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRANDON BEACHY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BEACHY is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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PHILADELPHIA (6 - 7) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 11) - 10:05 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
VOLQUEZ is 23-11 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 105-86 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 74-103 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 49-74 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-23 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-52 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-50 (-16.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-28 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-20 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 74-103 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 1-9 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
VOLQUEZ is 7-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HAMELS is 6-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.827.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.4 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)
 

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NY YANKEES (7 - 6) at BOSTON (4 - 8) - 3:05 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 8-16 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 63-24 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BUCHHOLZ is 19-6 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 45-16 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-23 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-56 (-20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-42 (-17.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IVAN NOVA vs. BOSTON since 1997
NOVA is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.05 and a WHIP of 1.631.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.59 and a WHIP of 1.733.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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TEXAS (11 - 2) at DETROIT (9 - 4) - 7:05 PM
MATT HARRISON (L) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 110-78 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORCELLO is 23-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 23-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 118-74 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 112-69 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 86-49 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 86-50 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MATT HARRISON vs. DETROIT since 1997
HARRISON is 0-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.82 and a WHIP of 2.021.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TEXAS since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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MINNESOTA (4 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 6) - 7:10 PM
LIAM HENDRICKS (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 67-109 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-55 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 36-71 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 47-26 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-31 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LIAM HENDRICKS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT MOORE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (6 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 9) - 8:10 PM KYLE DRABEK (R) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOCHEVAR is 14-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 10-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
DRABEK is 8-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DRABEK is 9-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 229-341 (-100.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE DRABEK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
DRABEK is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 2.251.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. TORONTO since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 3-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-5. (-5.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (8 - 5) at LA ANGELS (4 - 9) - 10:05 PM
BRIAN MATUSZ (L) vs. JEROME WILLIAMS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 227-171 (+43.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 619-534 (+65.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 603-596 (+44.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 72-75 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 4-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 4-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
LA ANGELS are 4-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 112-125 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRIAN MATUSZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MATUSZ is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.914.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
WILLIAMS is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.117.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (6 - 5) at OAKLAND (7 - 7) - 10:05 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. GRAHAM GODFREY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
JIMENEZ is 14-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 14-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 24-13 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-55 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 64-57 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 95-125 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

GRAHAM GODFREY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (6 - 6) at SEATTLE (7 - 7) - 10:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 47-41 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 45-35 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 72-60 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 136-203 (-59.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 133-191 (-51.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-30 (-16.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 74-127 (-46.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS SALE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

HECTOR NOESI vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 20


Hot pitchers
-- Lynn is 2-0, 1.50 in his first two '12 starts.
-- Detwiler is 3-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 2-0, 2.84 in his first two starts this season. Zito is 1-0, 1.69 in his first two starts, both SF wins.
-- Lilly is 4-0, 0.66 in his last four starts. Happ is 1-0, 3.75 in his first two starts this year.
-- Cahill is 1-0, 1.35 in his first two NL starts.
-- Hamels is 2-1, 2.83 in his last five starts.

-- Nova is 3-1, 3.54 in his last seven starts.
-- Harrison allowed one run in 14 IP in winning his two starts this year. Porcello is 1-0, 1.84 in two starts this season.
-- Drabek is 2-0, 2.13 in two starts this season.
-- JWilliams is 2-1, 3.90 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 1-1, 3.09 in two starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Volstad is 0-1, 5.73 in his first two starts for the Cubs. Bailey is 0-2, 5.40 in his first two starts this season.
-- Zanbrano is 0-1, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 0-1, 5.63 in two starts this year; he was winning Saturday, but it rained when he was up 5-1 after 4th and he had to leave. Marcum is 1-4, 9.22 in his last six starts.
-- Beachy is 0-2, 4.86 in his last three road starts.
-- Padres are 0-3 when Volquez starts (0-1, 4.77).

-- Buchholz allowed 19 baserunners, 12 runs in 11 IP this season.
-- Matusz allowed nine runs in 9.2 IP in two starts this season.
-- Moore allowed eight runs in 13 IP and two starts this year. Hendriks is 1-2, 5.22 in five starts this year and last.
-- Hochevar allowed nine runs in 10.1 IP in two starts this season.
-- Jimenez is 3-4, 4.98 in his last seven starts. Godfrey allowed seven runs in 11 IP in two starts this season.
-- Noesi allowed seven runs in 11 IP in two starts this season.

Hot teams
-- St Louis won four of its last five games. Pirates won three of their last four. Morton is 1-2, 4.94 in his last five starts.
-- Nationals won eight of their last ten games. Miami won its last four games, allowing 10 runs.
-- Giants won five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers won 10 of their first 13 games.
-- Colorado won four of its last six games.
-- Braves won their last three games, scoring 33 runs.

-- Bronx won seven of its last ten games.
-- Rangers won 11 of first 13 games; they're 6-0 on road. Detroit won four of its last five games.
-- Rays won three of last four games; they're 3-0 at home.
-- Orioles won four of their last six games.
-- Oakland won its last three games, allowing five runs. Indians won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost their last five games, scoring 10 runs. Cincinnati lost five of its last seven games.
-- Mets lost three of last four games, allowing 23 runs in last two.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games.
-- Arizona lost its last three games, scoring seven runs.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last eight games. Phillies lost four of last six games, scoring four runs in last three.

-- Red Sox lost their last three games, outscored 25-6.
-- Twins lost five of their first five road games.
-- Royals lost their first six home games. Toronto lost four of its last six games.
-- Angels lost their last three games, scoring five runs.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games. Seattle is 4-6 in its last ten games.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs' last seven games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Pittsburgh games.
-- Four of last five Miami road games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in games at Citi Field this season.
-- Four of last five Houston home games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Five of seven Philly road games stayed under the total.

-- Five of six games at Fenway Park went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Minnesota's last four road games went over the total.
-- Last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Four of White Sox' five road games stayed under total.
 

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Friday, April 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2:20 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

3:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 21 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games at home

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Miami

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Texas
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing St. Louis

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
NY Mets are 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco

8:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games at home
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 17 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

10:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
San Diego is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia

10:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

10:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. OAKLAND
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Oakland's last 22 games
Oakland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cleveland

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
 

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Friday, April 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hot lines: Friday's best MLB bets
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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (109, 9)

While the Reds' offense woke up in St. Louis on Thursday with three home runs, the Cubs continue to flounder. They totaled six runs in being swept by the Marlins this week.

As weak as the bats have been, the bigger problem for Chicago is the pitching, which has seen every member of the rotation except for Ryan Dempster struggle the last time through. Friday's starter, Chris Volstad, got hit hard by the Cardinals last weekend and is 1-2 with a 4.34 ERA against the Reds in his career.

Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto are a combined 6 for 14 with six RBIs against Volstad.

The Reds' lineup is too good not to start producing regularly. Thursday's outburst, featuring homers by Phillips, Ryan Ludwick and Drew Stubbs, could be the start.

Cincy is 4-1 in Homer Bailey's last five road starts against losing teams.

Pick: Reds


St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (120, 8)


Injuries continue to mount for the Cardinals, but they remain atop the NL Central at 9-4. St. Louis just called up infielder/outfielder Skip Schumaker to replace first baseman Lance Berkman, who is headed to the DL after aggravating his left calf injury. Despite Thursday's 6-3 setback to the Reds, the Cards lead MLB in a slew of offensive categories. Leadoff hitter Rafael Furcal has provided the spark with a .353 average and .510 slugging percentage.

The Pirates appear to have righted themselves after a shaky start, but their offense remains putrid. Pittsburgh ranks 30th in MLB in runs, batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

Cards starter Lance Lynn has been dominant in place of the injured Chris Carpenter, striking out 13 and walking three in 12 innings of work. He has a microscopic WHIP of 0.75.

Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton, making his second start this season after returning from hip surgery, has struggled against St. Louis. In nine career starts against the Redbirds, Morton is 2-5 with a 6.25 ERA. Yadier Molina is 5 for 13 against him, Matt Holliday 4 for 12.

Pick: Cardinals
 

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Short Sheet

Friday, April 20


National League

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
MLB
Bailey: Cincinnati 11-21 SU as a road favorite of -125 or less
Volstad: Cubs 16-5 SU at home off BB losses

St. Louis at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Lynn: St. Louis 34-15 SU away after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Morton: Pittsburgh 10-2 Under as an underdog

Miami at Washington, 7:05 ET
Zambrano: Miami 22-10 Over off 3+ games allowing 4 runs or less
Detwiler: Washington 18-8 SU after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

San Francisco at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Zito: San Francisco 24-9 Under off a one-run win
Niese: Mets 2-11 SU at home off 6+ road games

Los Angeles at Houston, 8:05 ET MLB
Lilly: Dodgers 21-7 SU on Fridays
Happ: Houston 19-44 SU after losing 4 of their last 5 games

Colorado at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET MLB
Chacin: Colorado 7-18 SU off a win by 4+ runs
Marcum: Milwaukee 22-4 SU at home off BB games w/ bullpen allowing 0 runs

Atlanta at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Beachy: Atlanta 15-2 Over off 3+ games scoring 8+ runs
Cahill: Arizona 0-8 SU at home after allowing 10+ runs

Philadelphia at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Hamels: 20-7 Under as a favorite of -150 or less
Volquez: San Diego 1-9 SU in night games


American League

NY Yankees at Boston, 3:05 ET
MLB
Nova: Yankees 45-16 SU in day games
Buchholz: Boston 18-4 Over at home on Fridays

Texas at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Harrison: Texas 21-44 SU away off 3+ games allowing 3 runs or less
Porcello: 23-12 TSR in his last 35 starts

Minnesota at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Hendriks: Minnesota 12-34 SU vs. AL East opponents
Moore: Tampa Bay 15-3 Under at home vs. AL Central opponents

Toronto at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Drabek: 9-2 TSR pitching off a team loss
Hochevar: 7-0 Over in April

Baltimore at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Matusz: 0-10 TSR with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs
Williams: Angels 37-16 SU after scoring 2 runs or less

Cleveland at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Jiminez: 5-12 TSR in the first half of the season
Godfrey: Oakland 11-1 Over as a home underdog of +125 or less

Chicago White Sox at Seattle, 10:10 ET WGN
Sale: White Sox 22-12 SU away after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Noesi: Seattle 12-30 SU vs. left-handed starters
 

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Friday, April 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Lakers at Spurs
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs (-6.5, 202.5)

THE STORY:
Kobe Bryant is expected to return to the lineup when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the San Antonio Spurs on Friday night. Bryant has missed seven straight games with a left shin injury and sat out both matchups between the Lakers and Spurs, who took turns slapping each other around in the past 10 days. The Spurs lead Oklahoma City by a half-game for top seed in the West, while the Lakers are one ahead of the Clippers atop the Pacific.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, KENS

ABOUT THE LAKERS (40-23, 27-36 ATS): Los Angeles has gone 5-2 without Bryant, including a 98-84 drubbing of the Spurs in San Antonio on April 11. The Lakers have leaned on their inside duo of center Andrew Bynum and Pau Gasol in Bryant’s absence. Bynum has averaged 23.1 points and 14.1 rebounds in the last seven games, including a monster performance at San Antonio when he yanked down a career-high 30 rebounds. Gasol registered five double-doubles during that span, averaging 21.1 points and 10.1 boards.

ABOUT THE SPURS (45-16, 38-20-3 ATS): San Antonio has ripped off a five-game winning streak since the home loss to the Lakers. The Spurs got some big payback with a 120-91 romp in Los Angeles on Tuesday night. That was the middle game of a back-to-back-to-back through the state of California in which the Spurs posted a hefty victory margin of 22.3 points per game. Easily the league’s deepest team, San Antonio’s bench has averaged 62.3 points in its last three victories.

TRENDS:

* Lakers are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in San Antonio.
* Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in San Antonio.
* Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Spurs have the best home record (25-5) in the West, but the Lakers have won their last two visits to San Antonio.

2. Bryant’s seven-game absence is his longest since sitting out 14 games in 2005.

3. The Spurs are averaging 114.2 points during their five-game winning streak.

PREDICTION: Spurs 107, Lakers 105
 

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Dunkel


Golden State at Dallas
The Warriors look to build on their 11-3 ATS record in their last 14 road games. Golden State is the pick (+12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by only 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+12 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, APRIL 20

Game 701-702: Memphis at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST
)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.605; Charlotte 106.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 12; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 13 1/2; 182
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+13 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Boston at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 121.259; Atlanta 129.184
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2); N/A

Game 705-706: New York at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 122.547; Cleveland 110.007
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 12 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 8; No Total
Dunkel Pick: New York (-8); N/A

Game 707-708: Golden State at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 109.637; Dallas 118.025
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+12 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: LA Lakers at San Antonio (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 121.029; San Antonio 126.122
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 206
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+6 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Oklahoma City at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.935; Sacramento 109.689
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, April 20


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (37 - 25) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 54) - 4/20/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 89-66 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Friday nights this season.
CHARLOTTE is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) after scoring 85 points or less this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (37 - 26) at ATLANTA (37 - 25) - 4/20/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (33 - 29) at CLEVELAND (20 - 41) - 4/20/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (22 - 39) at DALLAS (35 - 28) - 4/20/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 92-71 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (40 - 23) at SAN ANTONIO (45 - 16) - 4/20/2012, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 161-204 ATS (-63.4 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (45 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (20 - 42) - 4/20/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 136-110 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 71-52 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in April games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 20


Hot Teams
-- Atlanta won seven of its last nine home games, covered eight of last ten overall. Celtics won seven of their last nine games.
-- Knicks won/covered six of last eight games.
-- San Antonio won/covered its last five games. Lakers won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Thunder is 6-5 vs spread in last 11 games as a road favorite.

Cold Teams
-- Memphis is 2-5-1 vs spread in its last eight games as a road favorite. Bobcats lost their last 18 games (4-14 vs spread).
-- Cleveland covered twice in its last ten home games.
-- Golden State lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread) as media folks are suggesting they may be tanking games. Denver is 4-8-1 vs spread in last 13 games as home favorite, 3-2 in last five.
-- Sacramento lost eight of last nine games (0-8-1 vs spread).

Wear-and-Tear
-- Grizzlies: 7th game/10 nites. Bobcats: 8th game/12 nites.
-- Celtics: 12th game/17 nites. Hawks: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites. Cavaliers: 8th game/11 nites.
-- Warriors: 3rd game/5 nites. Nuggets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Lakers: 3rd game/4 nites. Spurs: 9th game/13 nites.
-- Thunder: 3rd game/5 nites. Kings: 2nd game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Memphis road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Cleveland home games went over total.
-- Four of last five Warrior games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Laker road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Oklahoma City road games.

Back-to-Back
-- None




NBA

Friday, April 20


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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CHARLOTTE
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing New York

8:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Golden State is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

9:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
LA Lakers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the LA Lakers last 10 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 13 games at home

10:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Oklahoma City's last 21 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Sacramento's last 21 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City


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NBA

Friday, April 20


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Pick 'n' roll: Thursday's best NBA bets
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Memphis Grizzlies at Charlotte Bobcats (13, 182)

The pathetic Bobcats have scored 67 and 68 points in their last two games, both losses of course.

And they’re still dealing with the fallout from the physical confrontation between overpaid power forward Tyrus Thomas and coach Paul Silas.

The Grizzlies’ 103-91 victory over New Orleans on Wednesday was not as close as the score indicates. Rudy Gay scored 26 points and Mike Conley had 20 points and five assists as Memphis won for the 10th time in 13 games.

Charlotte is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog. Memphis is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 road games against teams with home winning percentages under .400.

Pick: Grizzlies


Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks (-12, 200.5)


The Warriors have dropped six straight, giving up 123, 118, 112, 112, 120 and 99 points in the process. The over is 4-2 in that span.

As the defending champs make a late push and gear up for the playoffs, they’re lighting up the scoreboard. Five of Dallas’ last six games have gone over, though two went to overtime.

Dirk Nowitzki has scored 75 points in the last two games, and at least 24 in each of the last five.

Both meetings this season between the Mavs and Warriors have gone over.

And the over is 6-0 in the Mavericks’ last six games against teams with winning percentages below .400.

Pick: Over
 

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Short Sheet

Friday, April 20


Memphis at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Memphis: 12-4 ATS off ATS losses in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Charlotte: 1-8 ATS off a home loss by 20+ points

Boston at Atlanta, 7:05 ET ESPN
Boston: 13-4 Under off BB ATS losses
Atlanta: 4-12 ATS off BB ATS wins

New York at Cleveland, 7:35 ET
New York: 18-7 ATS off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Cleveland: 1-8 ATS off BB games scoring 90 or less points

Golden State at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Golden State: 7-0 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Dallas: 8-18 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

LA Lakers at San Antonio, 9:35 ET ESPN
LA Lakers: 5-13 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
San Antonio: 13-3 ATS with a total of 200+ points

Oklahoma City at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 23-11 ATS away after playing as as road favorite
Sacramento: 9-20 ATS with a total of 200+ points
 

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Kobe Bryant Probable For Spurs, Lakers Tilt

The Los Angeles Lakers and San Antonio Spurs meet for the third time in just over a week as part of a 6-game schedule on Friday night.

Our look around the NBA begins with a review of a big Wednesday with 14 contests. One of the big ones was the Milwaukee Bucks laying an egg at Washington (121-112 as 8-point favorites) in a must-win situation. Their playoff hopes are in major jeopardy at 2½-games behind Philly for the final spot in the Eastern Conference.

Also on Wednesday was Dallas beating Houston, 117-110 as 4½-point home chalk. The Mavericks snapped a 2-game losing streak, both coming on the road in overtime, and are in sixth place of the Western Conference. The Rockets are freefalling at 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five while fighting with Utah and Phoenix for the eighth spot in the West.

Thursday has just five games with Milwaukee (+5½) back in action at red-hot Indiana (6-straight wins and 4-straight covers).

The marquee matchup has Chicago (+6) at Miami in the first half of the TNT doubleheader at 8:00 p.m. (ET). There is movement to the ‘over’ here after opening at 182 and currently at 183½. Dwyane Wade (ankle) and Luol Deng (ribs) are probable for their respective teams, while Derrick Rose (foot) has been downgraded to doubtful for the Bulls.

The Los Angeles Clippers (+2) at Phoenix finishes the TNT twinbill. There’s been movement to the ‘under’ in starting at 198½ and currently 196. Both teams played last night with the Suns losing at home to Oklahoma City (109-97) as 4-point ‘dogs after going 13-3 ATS in their previous 16 at home.

Boston at Atlanta is a key Friday clash and a likely first round playoff preview. The Celtics won both meetings this year, each by three points or less. The Hawks are playing well on both ends of the court and are 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10. Don Best is projecting Atlanta to be a 6-point favorite with a total of 180.

Turning back to the Lakers and Spurs, these teams have split two meetings since April 11, with the road team easily winning and covering both. The Spurs won the most recent one, 112-91 in L.A. on Tuesday and Don Best is sending them out at -5½ with a total of 202.

The big story is that Kobe Bryant (shin) is probable after missing the last seven games. The Lakers were 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in his absence with Andrew Bynum really asserting himself at 23.1 PPG over that span.

Both teams need this game, but San Antonio a little more as it controls its own destiny for best record in the Western Conference. The team is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five, including just coming off three road games in three nights ending Wednesday.

Note the ‘over’ is also 4-1 in the Spurs’ last five, scoring 114.2 PPG.
 

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