Cnotes Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

Lester & Red Sox Battle Peavy & White Sox

There's a little extra bounce in Bobby Valentine's step that was missing earlier this week when the Boston Red Sox departed for a 7-game road trip.

Plenty of problems still exist for Valentine and the Red Sox, especially on the mound, but they'll try to keep the good times rolling Saturday night when they play the third of a 4-game series on Chicago's South Side against the White Sox. First pitch will be delivered at 7:10 p.m. (ET) by Chicago's Jake Peavy who will be opposed by Boston left-hander Jon Lester.

The Red Sox left Beantown after Sunday's rainout, which likely saved them from being broomed at home by the Yankees. A 5-game skid had Boston off to a 4-10 start to the season, coincidentally the same mark the BoSox were at in 2011 when they finally started to catch fire. Valentine's charges promptly broke out of their funk with a clean sweep of the Twins to begin the trip thanks to 24 runs supplied by their AL-leading offense (5.78 RPG). The bats continued to lead the way in Thursday's series opener, a 10-3 victory as -110 favorites against Philip Humber and the ChiSox.

Boston was once again a small favorite in Friday's second game, laying -110 behind Daniel Bard who was up against Chicago lefty John Danks with an 8½-run total. Those results were still pending.

While the offense has been cooking, the pitching staff has been deep fried for the most part through the first 18 games. Boston hurlers checked into Friday's game sporting a 6.08 ERA, far and away the highest in the majors. The combination of shoddy pitching and a potent offense has been a boon for 'over' bettors so far as the Red Sox are 12-5-1 to the high side of totals.

Lester's 6.00 ERA is right at the staff mark as he comes off two poor outings. He pitched well enough to win his first two starts (15 IP, 4 ER), but received no help from Boston bats. Lester's last two assignments have seen him toss nine innings and surrender 12 earned runs, seven of those coming in just two innings at Fenway vs. Texas on April 17.

The southpaw has had his ups and downs against the White Sox the past few seasons. Lester's 5.74 ERA in five outings is tempered a bit by a 2-1 record and 4.74 ERA in three assignments at US Cellular Field. Paul Konerko has been his primary nemesis, taking Lester deep three times in 21 career plate appearances.

Peavy has come out strong to begin 2012, pitching the White Sox to the winner's circle in each of his four starts and coming off a complete game, 3-hit shutout at Oakland this past Monday. He's served up just one long ball in the process, and brings a strong 26:4 K/BB ratio into Saturday's contest.

This will only be Peavy's second start vs. Boston since joining Chicago midway through the '09 season. He got the win at Fenway Park in a May 2011 outing, tossing seven frames and surrendering three earned runs.

Halos Look For Turnaround In Cleveland
At least Boston has started to turn its rough beginning around. Bruce Marshall recently documented the continuing struggles for the Los Angeles Angels who are in Cleveland this weekend hoping to see some light at the end of the tunnel. A 6-13 record has the Halos dead last in the AL West, nine full games south of the Texas Rangers who show no signs of easing off their throttle.

Friday night's series opener at Progressive Field saw the Angels priced as 135 to 140 favorites against the Indians. Jered Weaver was the slated starter for LA against Cleveland's Justin Masterson, and the consensus total was 7½ runs.

The two clubs will get right back to business on Saturday with a 1:05 p.m. (ET) matinee that pits Dan Haren for the Angels opposite the Tribe's Jeanmar Gomez.

A lot of finger pointing for the Halos' woes is directly at Albert Pujols and the offense. Los Angeles ranks 20th averaging 3.79 runs per game heading into weekend play, and Pujols' Angels career is off to a .224/0 HR/4 RBI start. The bullpen also deserves a chunk of the blame with Angel relievers owning a 4.96 ERA (28th in the majors) and 1.41 WHIP (21st).

Haren's four previous trips to the mound have all gone into the loss column for Mike Scioscia's club, with the fault evenly distributed between Haren's own efforts plus the shortcomings of the offense and 'pen. He made three starts vs. the Indians in 2011 with the Halos winning two and Haren posting a 1.15 ERA.

Gomez is making his third start of the season after opening as the long man in the Cleveland bullpen. One of the starts came in Kansas City two weeks ago and was short-lived after the Venezuelan was ejected one batter into the third for plunking Royals 3B Mike Moustakas. The Indians ended up winning that game as well as his start last Saturday in Oakland.

His lone experience against the Halos came in Sept. 2010 in Cleveland, and was one Gomez would like to forget. Los Angeles touched him for seven runs (six earned) in just three innings during his rookie season.

Angels And Twins Take Over Fade List

The MLB season is a long slog that will continue into early October. As we approach the end of April, we’ve only completed just over 10 percent of the schedule.

But shrewd handicappers can find teams to “fade” at any time of the campaign. And oftentimes, the first month of the season offers some of the best wagering bargains of the season.

A combination of overhype and underachievement can prove an irresistible combination for fattening a bankroll...as the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim are proving thus far.

The raw numbers speak for themselves regarding the Halos, who are in danger of losing touch in the AL West with the high-flying Texas Rangers before we reach Cinco De Mayo.

To wit: the Angels have been left at the starting gate, losing 12 of their first 18 games, and found themselves 8½ games in arrears of the Rangers as of the morning of April 26. That’s also buried the Halos beneath the A’s and Mariners in the basement of the AL West.

Thus, it’s not much of a surprise what poor wagering value the Angels have been offering. After losing at Tampa Bay on Wednesday night, the Halos were at a staggering -1146 units on the Money Line, by far the worst such performance in the bigs. Their -618 units on the Run line wasn’t much better.

What’s wrong with the Angels?

Conventional wisdom is suggesting it is the fault of the slow start of Albert Pujols, the high-priced free agent from St. Louis who was supposed to single-handedly revive the Halo offense. But we suggest that Angels’ early woes stem from issues much deeper than Pujols’ early numbers, which include no homers and a mere four RBIs, a.222 BA and .282 OBP through the first 18 games.

The entire Angels lineup is pressing, reflected in an 0-for-10 mark with runners in scoring position during Wednesday’s loss to the Rays. Pujols might be more guilty than anyone, having gone hitless in five straight games for the first time in his career after the Wednesday setback at The Trop.

Manager Mike Scioscia is also faced with a dilemma regarding Mark Trumbo, his best power source last season with 29 homers but displaced from his 1B job by Pujols. Kendry Morales, back from injury, has been getting the bulk of the DH work, while Scioscia has toyed with the idea of making Trumbo his everyday third baseman. But there are legit defensive concerns regarding Trumbo at the hot corer, and Scioscia has mostly been using Alberto Callaspo at third.

Hard as it is to believe, Trumbo has played in only 11 of the 18 games thus far. Moreover, he’s been one of the few Angels who have been hitting, with a .324 BA when he gets the chance to hit.

A closer look at the lineup reveals more cracks in the foundation. The corner outfielders, Vernon Wells and Torii Hunter, and, on occasion, Bobby Abreu, have lots of age, forcing CF Peter Bourjos to have to cover a lot of ground defensively. The Angels, terrors on the basepaths a few years ago, are also not stealing bases, with only nine through the first 18 games. The attack badly needs a table-setter to emerge.

Moreover, the staff, a strength in 2011, has been a disappointment thus far. Though ace Jered Weaver and high-priced ex-Ranger free-agent addition C.J. Wilson have performed well, that hasn’t been the case for Dan Haren (who has thrown a bit better in his last two starts) and Ervin Santana, who have failed to notch a win in their first eight combined starts. Scioscia is also without a reliable fifth starter, for the moment gambling with journeyman Jerome Williams whose 7.71 ERA confirms that problem at the back end of the rotation.

Meanwhile, the bullpen has not been up to par, already blowing three save opportunities. Closer Jordan Walden, who faltered after the All-Star break last summer, has been unconvincing in limited opportunities.

After finishing the midweek set at Tampa Bay, the Angels head to Cleveland for a weekend series with the surging Indians. Let’s see if the Angels continue with their money-burning trend.

Another side we suggest “fading” until further notice is Minnesota. While we were somewhat bullish in March on the Twins’ chances for a big bounce-back season, let’s just say our enthusiasm has been somewhat tempered since Minnesota has been struggling even worse than the Angels, as the Twins’ 5-14 record through Wednesday action suggests. Minnesota is staying out of the AL Central cellar only because of Kansas City’s recent 11-game losing streak (which has since concluded).

The Twins, not surprisingly, are also providing poor value on the Money Line, standing at -595 units heading into the weekend “showdown” series at Target Field vs. the Royals. Minnesota has not been much better on the Run Line, at -422 units.

We had expected that the healthy returns of 1B/DH Justin Morneau, C Joe Mauer and CF Denard Span would trigger a recovery after the Twins collapsed to a 63-99 mark a year ago. They’ve been back in the lineup, and the addition of OF Josh Willingham has proven a nice bonus.

But the Minnesota offense is missing the likes of Michael Cuddyer and Jason Kubel, who departed in free agency after last season. Only Texas and the New York Yankees among AL teams have stranded more runners than the Twins, who cannot afford to miss those scoring opportunities as can the more-potent Rangers and Yanks.

Too many holes remain in the lineup, which could badly use some power from the first and third base positions. Morneau is going to be mostly used at DH after his concussion issues, but 1B Chris Parmalee has yet to hit a dinger, and the 3B combo of Danny Valencia and Sean Burroughs has been woeful, with only one homer and eight RBIs between them to go with a combined .192 BA.

Meanwhile, news from the pitching staff has not been much better, more so since the news that Scott Baker would miss the entire season after recent Tommy John surgery. The staff ERA is a whopping 5.76 through the first 19 games, with only Boston worse in the big leagues.

The rotation is also laboring badly, with Carl Pavano’s 4.73 ERA the best of the bunch, and no help in sight as manager Ron Gardenhire gambles with the likes of young Anthony Swarzak and Liam Hendricks. Barring some very unlikely trades, Gardy has to sink or swim with what he has on hand.

The bullpen could also be missing long-time closer Joe Nathan, although combustible Matt Capps has at least not yet blown any saves in four chances.

The midweek demolition job administered by the Red Sox, who scored 24 runs at Target Field in their three-game sweep, amplifies the concerns Gardenhire has for the pitching staff. With the available options, we’re not sure things are going to get better before they get worse for the Twins.

Kershaw & LA Dodgers Host Washington Nationals

It's certainly a very winnable three-teamer, even in the unpredictable world of baseball.

Three of the game's best pitchers – if not the very best three – will be on the hill for Friday night action that stretches from coast-to-coast on a full 15-game card. Two will be at home as hefty chalk and another on the road as a moderate favorite. Combined, their teams are 10-2 in their dozen trips to the hill, and they own a 1.61 ERA with 72 strikeouts in nearly 84 innings of work.

We'll kick things off in Philadelphia where Roy Halladay begins the show for the Phillies opposite Paul Maholm and the Chicago Cubs in the opener of a 3-game set. The contest gets underway at Citizens Bank Park with a 7:05 p.m. (ET) first pitch with the Phillies laying -240 and an even seven for the total ('under' -125).

Halladay and the Phils come off a 5-5 road trip that was only that good thanks to taking the final two games in Arizona. Philadelphia will be home just for four and then head out for a 6-game tour through Atlanta and Washington. Taking at least three of four is what is expected of the Phillies in this series, and that means starting with a triumph behind Halladay.

Halladay's only off-day this season was a great performance for a mere mortal pitcher – seven innings, two runs, five hits and five strikeouts in a 5-1 loss at San Diego last Saturday. He is working on a string of 43-1/3 innings of regular season action without allowing a homer, and if you include his postseason appearances last October, he has only served up two bleacher bombs in his last 105-2/3 frames. Both came off Lance Berkman's bat.

Halladay has struggled in a few outings at Wrigley Field, but his one home start against the Cubs since joining the Phils was a dandy last June, seven innings of 6-hit, 9-K shutout ball as healthy -210 chalk.

Maholm will be facing the Phils for the first time in a Cubs jersey. Seven previous assignments against Philadelphia netted the lefty a 4.50 ERA with the Pirates going 4-3 in those games. He got knocked around pretty good in his first two outings this year vs. the Brewers and Cardinals, working four innings and allowing six runs in each game. But he bounced back strong with a win last Saturday against Cincinnati, throwing six frames with just a single run coming plateward in Chicago's 6-1 triumph.

Tigers & Yankees Begin Bronx Set
The Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees are both taking a backseat in the American League to the Texas Rangers' hot start, but their pitching duel in New York on Friday night isn't playing second fiddle to anyone on the baseball betting card. Game time in the Bronx is 7:05 p.m. (ET) with Justin Verlander taking the mound for Detroit opposite New York's Ivan Nova.

Verlander could easily be 4-0 with a little help from his offense and bullpen. Indeed, bettors who have been following the 'under' in Verlander's starts are 4-0. Detroit backers in those games are 3-1 and nearly 1.5 units in the black. The big right-hander will be looking for his first win at new Yankee Stadium with the Tigers 0-3 in Verlander's previous three starts there (4.00 ERA).

Nova simply wins regardless of where he pitches. He moved to 3-0 in as many starts with a 6-2 triumph at Boston last Friday, leaving the Yankees 22-8 in his last 30 assignments (+10.5 units). Friday will be the Dominican's first regular season start vs. the Tigers, a scoreless 2-inning relief stint Nova's only previous experience against them along with his work in last October's ALDS.

Detroit opened as -135 to -140 chalk for Friday's contest with an 8½-run total shaded to the 'under.'

NL East & West Leaders Collide In Tinseltown
Picked to finish no better than the middle of their respective divisions, the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers have instead jumped out to the lead in the NL East and NL West. The two frontrunners will begin a 3-game set at Chavez Ravine on Friday (10:10 p.m. ET), with the Dodgers sending their ace Clayton Kershaw against Washington's Ross Detwiler in a matchup of left-handers.

Backing Kershaw and the Dodgers in this one will cost you a buck seventy-five. The 6-run scoreboard hurdle was leaning to the 'over' (-120).

Los Angeles is a perfect 4-0 behind Kershaw to open the campaign, though the defending NL Cy Young winner just picked up his first victory last Saturday in Houston with seven shutout innings. Kershaw's first major league victory came against the Nationals in July 2008 at home, and the Dodgers are 2-1 in his three career assignments at home vs. Washington.

Washington was still finishing up their series in San Diego on Thursday before heading to LA. The Nats were a slight favorite in the contest behind Edwin Jackson. Edinson Volquez was slated to start for the Pads with 6-6½ run totals being offered.

Detwiler is off to a 2-0 start with a microscopic 0.56 ERA, and could be 3-0 if his defense hadn't failed him against Cincinnati about 10 days ago. This will be just his second career start against the Dodgers, with the Nationals winning the previous one way back in 2009. The former Missouri State star has been limited to about 80 pitches per outing thus far.

Diamond Trends - Saturday

April 28, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Cardinals are 0-11 since August 13, 2011 as a favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $1635 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Diamondbacks are 9-0 OU since June 10, 2011 when playing a night game as a road dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $900 when playing the over.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Dodgers are 0-11-1 OU since June 03, 2009 when Chad Billingsley starts after the results of his last three starts were LLW for a net profit of $1100 when playing the under.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Indians are 0-13 (-2.2 rpg) since April 19, 2011 as a dog when they are off a night game win in which they came back from a deficit.


TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Nationals are 0-11 since April 26, 2011 when playing a night game after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits in a night game for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.

The Rangers are 13-0 since April 27, 2011 at home after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent as a favorite for a net profit of $1300

Lohse, Cards look to dominate Brewers again

MILWAUKEE BREWERS (9-11)

at ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (13-7)


First pitch: Saturday, 1:05 p.m. EDT
Line: St. Louis -150, Milwaukee +140, Total: 7½

Kyle Lohse looks to continue his unbelievable April when the Cardinals look to beat up division rival Milwaukee again on Saturday afternoon.

Nobody in the majors has pitched better than Lohse in 2012, as he is 3-0 with a 0.99 ERA and 0.66 WHIP in his four starts. He has allowed one run or less in all four of these outings, and is now an incredible 13-2 with a 2.46 ERA in 24 April starts in a St. Louis uniform. Milwaukee will counter with right-hander Marco Estrada whose first start of the season was tremendous (5 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, career-high 9 K). But he has never enjoyed facing the Redbirds in limited duty, allowing five runs in 7.1 innings. The Cardinals have dominated this series recently, winning 13 of the past 17 meetings. And if St. Louis hits like it did in Friday’s series opener, 15 hits in a 13-1 blowout, the Brewers have little chance to make this a slugfest. Take the chalk and ST. LOUIS to win again on Saturday.

This strong FoxSheets trend also sides with the Cards:

MILWAUKEE is 78-173 (31.1%, -53.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better since 1997. The average score was MILWAUKEE 3.6, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*).

Estrada (0-0, 2.45 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) began the season in the bullpen, but was inserted into the rotation last Saturday after Chris Narveson suffered a season-ending rotator cuff injury. He probably could’ve thrown a couple more innings in that no-decision against Colorado because his pitch count was just 78 when he exited. Estrada has now made 10 starts in his career, going 3-3 with a pedestrian 4.35 ERA. But his WHIP is a strong 1.12 in this span, and he has fanned 49 in 51.2 innings as a starter. Even though the Cardinals have batted .323 against Estrada (10-for-31), his control has been spot on, with 9 K and just one walk in those 7.1 innings.

Lohse has pitched at least six innings in each of his four starts, walking a total of two batters in his 27.1 frames. After recording just five strikeouts over his first two starts, he has fanned 11 over his past two outings. Lohse has usually pitched well at home in St. Louis, going 21-15 with a 3.70 ERA since joining the Cards. He threw seven shutout frames in his lone home start on April 17, holding the Reds to just four hits and one walk, while fanning six. But he is just 4-8 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 101.1 career innings versus Milwaukee in the regular season. Although Lohse held the Brewers to a .221 BA in three starts last year, going 1-2 with a 2.37 ERA, Milwaukee beat him in the postseason. The Brew Crew scored three runs on six hits in just 4.1 innings in a 4-2 win in Game 4 of the NLCS.

MLB
Dunkel

Washington at LA Dodgers
The Nationals look to build on their 6-0 record in Stephen Strasburg's last 6 road starts. Washington is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 28

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at St. Louis (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.529; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.252
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145); Under

Game 953-954: Houston at Cincinnati (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 15.473; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.146
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.257; Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.461
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+125); Over

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Bedard) 15.083; Atlanta (Delgado) 16.420
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under

Game 959-960: Arizona at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.474; Miami (Sanchez) 13.015
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Under

Game 961-962: NY Mets at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 13.986; Colorado (Moscoso) 15.165
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-140); Over

Game 963-964: San Diego at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Bass) 15.108; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.707
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+155); Under

Game 965-966: Washington at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 16.448; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.738
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

Game 967-968: LA Angels at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 14.476; Cleveland (Gomez) 14.736
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over

Game 969-970: Kansas City at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 14.894; Minnesota (Marquis) 13.754
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Over

Game 971-972: Detroit at NY Yankees (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 14.646; NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.228
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-125); Under

Game 973-974: Seattle at Toronto (4:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Millwood) 16.004; Toronto (Morrow) 14.417
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+160); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Ross) 15.006; Baltimore (Chen) 16.032
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145); Under

Game 977-978: Boston at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.212; White Sox (Peavy) 14.704
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over

Game 979-980: Tampa Bay at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.111; Texas (Lewis) 17.585
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-155); Over

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 28

Hot pitchers
-- Lohse is 3-0, 0.99 in four starts this season. Estrada allowed one run in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Cueto is 2-0, 2.13 in four starts this season.
-- Bedard has a 3.00 RA in four starts but is 0-4 because Pirates scored a total of three runs in the four games.
-- Kennedy is 3-0, 3.86 in four starts this season. ASanchez is 1-0, 3.26 in three starts this season.
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 1.08 in four starts this season.
-- Bass has a 2.94 RA in three starts this season.

-- Haren has a 1.93 RA in his last two starts, but Angels are 0-4 in his starts, with bullpen losing three of the four games. Gomez is 1-0, 2.46 in two starts this season, but lasted total of just 7.1 IP in the two starts (ejected in one).
-- Smyly has a 1.69 RA in three starts for Detroit.
-- Ross is 1-0, 2.19 in two starts this season. WChen is 1-0, 2.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Peavy is 3-0, 1.19 in his last three starts.
-- Lewis is 2-0, 2.02 in four starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Harrell is 0-1, 5.74 in his last three starts.
-- Blanton is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple starts. Wells allowed two runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Delgado has a 5.74 RA in three starts this season.
-- Gee is 1-2, 5.68 in three starts this season. Guthrie allowed 12 runs in 10.1 IP in two home starts.
-- Billingsley is 0-1, 10.24 in his last couple starts.
-- Lincecum is 1-2, 8.20 in four starts this season.

-- FGarcia is 0-1, 10.50 in three starts this season.
-- Morrow is 1-1, 5.14 in his last three starts. Millwood is 0-1, 11.58 in his last couple starts.
-- BChen is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts. Marquis has a 7.15 RA in his first two starts for Minnesota.
-- Lester is 0-1, 9.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Niemann is 1-2, 5.87 in three starts this season.

Hot teams
-- Braves won 13 of their last 17 games. Pittsburgh is 3-2 in second game of series if they lose the opener.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six home games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games. Colorado won five of its last seven home games.
-- Nationals won four of their last six games.
-- Giants won six of their last nine games.

-- Royals won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Bronx won three of their last four home games.
-- Indians won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Mariners won last four games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Orioles/A's both won four of their last five games.
-- Texas won 11 of its last 14 games. Rays won their last six games, allowing 12 runs.
-- Red Sox won their last five games, scoring 44 runs.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last six road games. Phillies lost three of last four at home.
-- Marlins lost their last six games, scoring seven runs. Arizona lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Cincinnati is 0-3 in second game of series if it lost the opener. Astros lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Brewers lost last five road games, allowing 40 runs.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last five games.
-- Padres lost five of their seven road games.

-- Detroit lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Toronto lost its last four games, scoring eight runs.
-- Angels lost eight of their last nine road games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Minnesota lost its last six games, allowing 41 runs.

Totals
-- Over is 4-2-1 in Cubs' road games this season.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-3-1 in Pirate games, 3-6-1 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-4 in Colorado's last eleven games.
-- Seven of last nine Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in San Francisco's home games.

-- Under is 10-5-2 in last seventeen Detroit games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Seattle's last five games.
-- Eight of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Baltimore home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay road games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Boston road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City games.

Umpires
-- Mil-StL-- Under is 15-10 in last 25 Barksdale games.
-- Hst-Cin-- Underdogs won last four McClelland games.
-- Chi-Phil-- Since start of 2010, under is 41-28 in Iassogna games.
-- Pitt-Atl-- Three of last four Danley games stayed under.
-- Az-Mia-- Three of four Hoye games stayed under, with underdogs winning the last three.
-- NY-Col-- Road team won all three LBarrett games this year.
-- SD-SF-- Home team is 5-0 this season with Tschida behind plate.
-- Wsh-LA-- Over is 18-15-1 in last 34 Carlson games.

-- LA-Clev-- Home side is 22-15 in last 37 Culbreth games.
-- KC-Min-- Underdogs won last four Gorman games.
-- Det-NY-- Favorites won all three Fletcher games this season.
-- Sea-Tor-- Home side won seven of last ten Gonzalez games.
-- A's-Balt-- Four of five Cooper games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Chi-- Home side won three of four Reyburn games this year.
-- TB-Tex-- Road team won all three Wendelstedt games this year.

MLB

Saturday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

1:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

1:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Kansas City's last 22 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Kansas City

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home

4:07 PM
SEATTLE vs. TORONTO
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

4:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
Houston is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. BALTIMORE
Oakland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Baltimore is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oakland

7:10 PM
BOSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games at home
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Miami
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Arizona

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games

8:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Texas is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

8:10 PM
NY METS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 11 games on the road
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

9:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego

9:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LA DODGERS
Washington is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing Washington

MLB

Saturday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Streaking

Kyle Lohse, St. Louis Cardinals - 3-0, 0.99 ERA

Lohse hasn’t topped the 100-pitch plateau through four starts this season and has allowed only three total runs on 16 hits. His control has been fantastic, walking just two batters so far. He would be heading into this start 4-0 if it weren’t for a blown save.

Jake Peavy, Chicago White Sox – 3-0, 1.88 ERA

It looks like Peavy’s shoulder is just fine following a long stint of rehab. After struggling last season and suffering the shoulder injury in July, the veteran fired his 10th career complete game in shutting out Oakland 4-0 Monday. He gave up just three hits while striking out five. He has struck out at least five in all four of his starts this year, limiting opposing batters to a .172 average.


Slumping

Erik Bedard, Pittsburgh Pirates – 0-4, 2.63 ERA

Bedard is still looking for his first win in a Pirates uniform, but he is hardly to blame for his 0-4 start. He has allowed seven runs total so far and just one homer. The problem is Pittsburgh has scored just three times with the lefty on the bump. He has 17 strikeouts compared to 10 walks in 24 innings of work.

Freddy Garcia, New York Yankees – 0-1, 9.75 ERA

Garcia lasted just 1 2/3 innings in his last outing as the Boston Red Sox spanked him for seven hits and five runs. The veteran righty threw 5 2/3 innings in his start before that, but still gave up five runs and nine hits in a 7-3 loss to Minnesota.

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (9 - 11) at ST LOUIS (13 - 7) - 1:05 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 22-7 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 104-96 (-35.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 24-33 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

KYLE LOHSE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LOHSE is 4-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 6-12 (-9.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-7. (+0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (8 - 12) at CINCINNATI (9 - 11) - 4:10 PM
LUCAS HARRELL (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 65-119 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 188-214 (-54.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 63-118 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 42-88 (-33.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 87-93 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 299-281 (-71.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

LUCAS HARRELL vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHNNY CUETO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CUETO is 1-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 2-8 (-6.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (7 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 11) - 7:05 PM
RANDY WELLS (R) vs. JOE BLANTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1194-1279 (-238.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1137-1195 (-216.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 878-942 (-163.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-49 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 71-85 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WELLS is 7-18 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+2.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

RANDY WELLS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WELLS is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

JOE BLANTON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BLANTON is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (8 - 11) at ATLANTA (13 - 7) - 7:10 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. RANDALL DELGADO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 134-236 (-49.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 65-135 (-45.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 32-82 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 201-416 (-98.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BEDARD is 28-49 (-22.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BEDARD is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.700.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

RANDALL DELGADO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (10 - 10) at MIAMI (7 - 12) - 7:10 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 107-82 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 47-44 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 107-82 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 79-57 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 79-55 (+26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 65-42 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KENNEDY is 28-11 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 13-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 28-11 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 22-7 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 40-60 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-26 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 79-102 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 36-50 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 36-50 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-41 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 54-75 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. MIAMI since 1997
KENNEDY is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.309.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 3-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (11 - 9) at COLORADO (10 - 9) - 8:10 PM
DILLON GEE (R) vs. GUILLERMO MOSCOSO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 23-18 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 30-23 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 46-42 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 46-42 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 32-29 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 37-30 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GEE is 12-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GEE is 12-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 83-100 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 44-47 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 83-100 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 110-122 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 56-74 (-28.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 35-46 (-19.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

DILLON GEE vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

GUILLERMO MOSCOSO vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (7 - 14) at SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 10) - 9:05 PM
ANTHONY BASS (R) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 78-106 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 53-77 (-23.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-31 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-56 (-21.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-106 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 43-79 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 170-84 (+35.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 854-708 (+107.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 61-54 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

ANTHONY BASS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

TIM LINCECUM vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LINCECUM is 9-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.96 and a WHIP of 1.173.
His team's record is 13-5 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-8. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (14 - 6) at LA DODGERS (14 - 6) - 9:10 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 64-130 (-43.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 61-40 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 41-23 (+15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 41-34 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-88 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-29 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-88 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
STRASBURG is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 4-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

LA ANGELS (6 - 14) at CLEVELAND (10 - 8) - 1:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. JEANMAR GOMEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 6-14 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 6-14 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
LA ANGELS are 6-11 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HAREN is 33-41 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 30-40 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 50-34 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-16 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-24 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 67-60 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GOMEZ is 10-3 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 7-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 9-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 10-3 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GOMEZ is 8-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 620-538 (+62.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 605-601 (+40.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 624-620 (+58.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 153-135 (+31.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 371-308 (+51.9 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HAREN is 3-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.316.
His team's record is 5-5 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

JEANMAR GOMEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GOMEZ is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (6 - 14) at MINNESOTA (5 - 15) - 1:05 PM
BRUCE CHEN (L) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 34-51 (-22.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
MARQUIS is 16-9 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 16-9 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 47-32 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 14-36 (-19.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-28 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 68-115 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-59 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-57 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-31 (-15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-32 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-22 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 65-108 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 37-76 (-30.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 72-76 (-32.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CHEN is 2-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.489.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MARQUIS is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (10 - 10) at NY YANKEES (11 - 8) - 4:05 PM
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. FREDDY GARCIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 111-178 (-54.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 47-16 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 40-18 (+17.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 250-163 (-62.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

DREW SMYLY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

FREDDY GARCIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
GARCIA is 18-9 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.253.
His team's record is 23-10 (+9.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-18. (-6.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (11 - 10) at TORONTO (10 - 10) - 4:05 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. BRANDON MORROW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 140-206 (-55.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-38 (-22.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 36-67 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILLWOOD is 30-40 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 23-11 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
MORROW is 21-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 15-10 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
MORROW is 2-8 (-9.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILLWOOD is 2-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.416.
His team's record is 4-8 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.6 units)

BRANDON MORROW vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MORROW is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (11 - 10) at BALTIMORE (12 - 8) - 7:05 PM
TYSON ROSS (R) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 97-128 (-32.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 8-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 277-353 (-98.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 122-124 (-48.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TYSON ROSS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (9 - 10) at CHI WHITE SOX (10 - 10) - 7:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 31-37 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 66-58 (-18.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 226-174 (+46.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
BOSTON is 32-16 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-12 (+11.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-25 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 43-54 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-51 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 23-31 (-16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-51 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-34 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

JON LESTER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
LESTER is 3-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.376.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEAVY is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (13 - 7) at TEXAS (15 - 5) - 8:05 PM
JEFF NIEMANN (R) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 122-77 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 41-14 (+18.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-72 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 88-52 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 89-52 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 48-26 (+18.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-11 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
NIEMANN is 19-9 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NIEMANN is 17-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NIEMANN is 23-9 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF NIEMANN vs. TEXAS since 1997
NIEMANN is 0-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 11.17 and a WHIP of 1.861.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LEWIS is 3-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 28

National League

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 1:05 ET
Estrada: MIL 9-0 Under Away w/ double revenge if opp scored 8+ runs both games
Lohse: STL 15-4 Under at home vs. Milwaukee

Houston at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Harrell: Houston 8-34 as an underdog of +175 to +250
Cueto: 25-13 Over as a favorite

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Wells: CUBS 51-35 Over in road games
Blanton: 18-5 Over as favorite

Pittsburgh at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Bedard: PIT 15-3 Under in all games
Delgado: TL 72-33 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Arizona at Miami, 7:10 ET
Kennedy: 13-5 TSR in road games
Sanchez: MIA 0-7 when the money line is +125 to -125

NY Mets at Colorado, 8:10 ET
Gee: 13-7 TSR as underdog
Moscoso: COL 11-2 Over in Saturday home games

San Diego at San Francisco, 9:05 ET
Bass: SD 43-79 in day games
Lincecum: SF 19-7 Under in Saturday home games

Washington at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Strasburg: WASH 11-2 Under as road favorite
Billingsley: LAD 43-22 off 3+ home games


American League

LA Angels at Cleveland, 1:05 ET
Haren: LAA 5-10 as favorite
Gomez: 9-1 TSR in home games

Kansas City at Minnesota, 1:05 ET
Chen: 47-32 TSR vs. division
Marquis: 17-8 Over in all starts

Detroit at NY Yankees, 4:05 ET
Smyly: DET 66-51 Over vs. righties
Garcia: NYY 47-16 in day games

Seattle at Toronto, 4:07 ET
Millwood: SEA 36-67 in day games
Morrow: 12-3 Over at home when the total is 7 to 8.5

Oakland at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Ross: OAK 14-3 Under in night games
Chen: BAL 8-0 Under at home vs. righties

Boston at Chicago White Sox, 7:10 ET
Lester: BOS 21-12 as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Peavy: CHW 1-9 at home off loss by 6+ runs

Tampa Bay at Texas, 8:05 ET
Niemann: 19-9 TSR in road games
Lewis: TEX 41-14 as a home favorite of -150 to -175

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/27/12 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*1650 Detail
04/26/12 7-*8-*1 46.67% -*625 Detail
04/25/12 15-*17-*0 46.88% -*1485 Detail
04/24/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2500 Detail
04/23/12 5-*15-*0 25.00% -*5555 Detail
04/22/12 12-*12-*0 50.00% -*380 Detail
04/21/12 21-*11-*0 65.63% +*4910 Detail
04/20/12 15-*11-*1 57.69% +*1380 Detail
04/19/12 17-*6-*1 73.91% +*5910 Detail
04/18/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1125 Detail
04/17/12 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*445 Detail
04/16/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1135 Detail
04/15/12 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*605 Detail
04/14/12 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*3405 Detail
04/13/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2560 Detail
04/12/12 9-*8-*1 52.94% +*20 Detail
04/11/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1145 Detail
04/10/12 13-*7-*1 65.00% +*2885 Detail
04/09/12 13-*10-*0 56.52% +*1880 Detail
04/08/12 13-*14-*0 48.15% -*640 Detail
04/07/12 15-*14-*0 51.72% -*440 Detail
04/06/12 3-*6-*1 33.33% -*1775 Detail

Totals 292-*260-*11 52.90% +9325


Saturday, April 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

LA Angels - 1:05 PM ET LA Angels -136 500
Cleveland - Over 7.5 500

Milwaukee - 1:05 PM ET St. Louis -147 500
St. Louis - Under 7.5 500

Kansas City - 1:10 PM ET Kansas City -118 500
Minnesota - Over 8.5 500

Detroit - 4:05 PM ET Detroit +113 500
NY Yankees - Over 10.5 500

Seattle - 4:07 PM ET Seattle +168 500
Toronto - Over 8.5 500

Houston - 4:10 PM ET Cincinnati -187 500
Cincinnati - Over 7.5 500

Oakland - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -126 500
Baltimore - Under 8 500

Chi. Cubs - 7:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +137 500
Philadelphia - Under 8 500

Boston - 7:10 PM ET Boston -107 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 7.5 500

Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -139 500
Atlanta - Under 7.5 500

Arizona - 7:10 PM ET Miami -121 500
Miami - Under 7 500

Tampa Bay - 8:05 PM ET Texas -160 500
Texas - Under 9.5 500

NY Mets - 8:10 PM ET NY Mets +128 500
Colorado - Over 9.5 500

San Diego - 9:05 PM ET San Diego +149 500
San Francisco - Over 6.5 500

Washington - 9:10 PM ET Washington -114 500
LA Dodgers - Under 6 500