1 Sunday w/analysis

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All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise


L.A. Angels +101 over CLEVELAND
Boy, 254 million doesn’t buy you what it used to. Albert Pujols is batting .226 with four RBI’s and no jacks. They could have got a guy to do that for about $100,000. All kidding aside, Albert will wake up soon and the Angels are likely going to start winning some games too. The Halos are 7-14 but they’re not a .333 team. Their awful start allows us to take back some value on them and that’s precisely the plan. There’s also a big correction forthcoming in Earvin Santana’s numbers. Santana is 0-4 with an ERA of 7.23. Santana is a stable, second-tier pitcher that has been consistently good for years. The reason for his high ERA is a 65% strand rate and that’s just bad luck. All of his numbers are skewed the wrong way but don’t expect it to last. Derek Lowe is the complete opposite with a stellar ERA of 3.00. However, he’s allowed 32 hits in 24.2 innings for a BAA of .323. His WHIP of 1.67 doesn’t coincide with a 3.00 ERA. In 24 innings, he’s walked eight and struck out eight. Lowe's four starts look like a continuation of his late-career skills slide but it hasn’t shown up in his ERA yet. That likely ends here. Play: L.A. Angels +101 (Risking 2 units).
 

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Completely agree with this, Indians players are a career .191 vs Santana. Including Hafner (.154) and As. Cabrera (.105). On the other hand Angels are hitting .291 career vs Lowe. Like this play. Good luck!
 

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