2012 MLB O/U Record:73-76-4, -$516
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t rattled from the worst two-day stretch of my entire career. I mean, nobody wants to go through what I’ve been through these past couple of days, where literally every single break has gone against you. That’s not to excuse my awful performance, as I sincerely apologize to anyone who has been tailing me the past couple of days, but if you consider all the games I ,or we, should’ve won, well, it’s very discouraging. The under in Jered Weaver’s no-hitter? Loss. The over of 8 in a Kevin Millwood/Jeff Niemann game that was 4-2 in the second inning? Loss, couldn’t even get a push. The under of 8.5 in a Clayton Kershaw/Drew Pomeranz matchup that was 2-1 in the eighth? Loss. The over of 6.5 in a game that featured over 20 hits and multiple walks? Loss. The over of 6.5 in a matchup with a washed-up veteran who hadn’t pitched in two years, had a 12+ ERA in Triple-A only days prior, and was facing a team already familiar with his arsenal? Loss, too, as Jeff Suppan somehow tossed a shutout. I mean, it really is unbelievable. All those bets in those matchups were the right ones.
So, you see, when you’ve had as many bad breaks as I’ve had in this two-day slump, you can’t let it get to you. Obviously, it’s very tough just to forget about when it damages your pockets, and most importantly, ruins your record, as it has embarrassingly put me under .500 for the season. For the season. I’m repeating that to myself because it’s so humiliating to me that I just take it so personally - it’s disgusting. And when you make a determined man trying to prove he's one of the best even that much more determined at something he’s good at, the results are almost always positive, which I envision for this weekend. I wouldn’t highly recommend tailing me today, as I need one good day to ensure that I’m out of my slump, especially one day before what has been my best day of the week this year -Saturdays (16-4-1 on Saturday over/unders) - but I sense tonight as profitable. Let’s get on to it and put this miserable stretch behind me. Like I said, I take this stuff very personal…
I’m posting this early because I’m taking the one afternoon game on the slate. Ih ave several other good over/unders on tap for today, which I will post shortly with my detailed extensive write-ups. In the meantime, I’m taking…
Chad Billingsley vs Paul Maholm UNDER 7.5 - $25 for $20
First, I don’t bet on over/unders at Wrigley Field often because it’s arguably the biggest variable in sports. The winds are so legendary that they directly affect the over/under lines like no other factor elsewhere, but I feel the under is a good bet for a few reasons. One, it’s no fluke that Chad Billingsley has been lights-out this year; he’s always had this potential, and he’s harnessed it into a very productive start. Paul Maholm, meanwhile, I have mentioned as being one of my top pitchers, as evident when one of my biggest bets of the season was his under vs Roy Halladay last Friday - and he even out-dueled Halladay for the win. Thus, I have a very good beat on the former Pirate southpaw, and as I pinpointed before that start, he was on his way back up to relevance. Hopefully he continues that surge here, plus we’ll have the wind blowing in. Small bet, though, as like I said, Wrigley Field is just such a huge variable that it can single-handedly affect an over/under. I’d like to nail this one to get my confidence back up a little bit for the night slate.
As I said, the rest of my bets will be posted later, with longer, more analytical detailed write-ups.
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t rattled from the worst two-day stretch of my entire career. I mean, nobody wants to go through what I’ve been through these past couple of days, where literally every single break has gone against you. That’s not to excuse my awful performance, as I sincerely apologize to anyone who has been tailing me the past couple of days, but if you consider all the games I ,or we, should’ve won, well, it’s very discouraging. The under in Jered Weaver’s no-hitter? Loss. The over of 8 in a Kevin Millwood/Jeff Niemann game that was 4-2 in the second inning? Loss, couldn’t even get a push. The under of 8.5 in a Clayton Kershaw/Drew Pomeranz matchup that was 2-1 in the eighth? Loss. The over of 6.5 in a game that featured over 20 hits and multiple walks? Loss. The over of 6.5 in a matchup with a washed-up veteran who hadn’t pitched in two years, had a 12+ ERA in Triple-A only days prior, and was facing a team already familiar with his arsenal? Loss, too, as Jeff Suppan somehow tossed a shutout. I mean, it really is unbelievable. All those bets in those matchups were the right ones.
So, you see, when you’ve had as many bad breaks as I’ve had in this two-day slump, you can’t let it get to you. Obviously, it’s very tough just to forget about when it damages your pockets, and most importantly, ruins your record, as it has embarrassingly put me under .500 for the season. For the season. I’m repeating that to myself because it’s so humiliating to me that I just take it so personally - it’s disgusting. And when you make a determined man trying to prove he's one of the best even that much more determined at something he’s good at, the results are almost always positive, which I envision for this weekend. I wouldn’t highly recommend tailing me today, as I need one good day to ensure that I’m out of my slump, especially one day before what has been my best day of the week this year -Saturdays (16-4-1 on Saturday over/unders) - but I sense tonight as profitable. Let’s get on to it and put this miserable stretch behind me. Like I said, I take this stuff very personal…
I’m posting this early because I’m taking the one afternoon game on the slate. Ih ave several other good over/unders on tap for today, which I will post shortly with my detailed extensive write-ups. In the meantime, I’m taking…
Chad Billingsley vs Paul Maholm UNDER 7.5 - $25 for $20
First, I don’t bet on over/unders at Wrigley Field often because it’s arguably the biggest variable in sports. The winds are so legendary that they directly affect the over/under lines like no other factor elsewhere, but I feel the under is a good bet for a few reasons. One, it’s no fluke that Chad Billingsley has been lights-out this year; he’s always had this potential, and he’s harnessed it into a very productive start. Paul Maholm, meanwhile, I have mentioned as being one of my top pitchers, as evident when one of my biggest bets of the season was his under vs Roy Halladay last Friday - and he even out-dueled Halladay for the win. Thus, I have a very good beat on the former Pirate southpaw, and as I pinpointed before that start, he was on his way back up to relevance. Hopefully he continues that surge here, plus we’ll have the wind blowing in. Small bet, though, as like I said, Wrigley Field is just such a huge variable that it can single-handedly affect an over/under. I’d like to nail this one to get my confidence back up a little bit for the night slate.
As I said, the rest of my bets will be posted later, with longer, more analytical detailed write-ups.
