2011 MLB O/U Record: 77-80-5, -$492
2012 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
It truly is amazing the epic bad luck that I've had the past few days, even yesterday when I was dominating. On Wednesday and Thursday, I detailed that there were FIVE GAMES that I "lost" that I really should have won, and the trend continued yesterday even though I was still up. I expected to sweep all six of my 7 o'clock over/unders last night, and was well on pace towards accomplishing that before Matt Thornton blew the save in the bottom of the ninth by offering up a two-run walk-off homer to Jhonny Peralta, thus costing my hard-earned under with Peavy vs Smyly. In addition, I was about to nail down Kendrick vs Strasberg under when the Phillies bullpen blew their 3-2 lead late in the ballgame, and of course, my under. On top of that, I should have won my best bet Cueto vs Correia over 7 that was 6-1 in the 7th; had a Pirates runner thrown out at home because they couldn't score from first base without two outs on a double down the line, and also the Reds squandered runners in scoring position with no outs, so of course it went scoreless the rest of the way, giving me a push. Unbelievable.
But what can you do? You just have to move on and hope this legendary streak of bad luck, something of which I've never even experienced in such lengthy and obvious fashion, comes to an end without a whimper. I mean, I was still 3-3-1 yesterday but it should have been a whole lot more. Time to move on to what has been my best day of the week this year, Saturday...
(I'm posting this early because this is my only 1 o'clock game that I'm taking today)
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs - $46 for $40
Chris Capuano vs Chris Volstad
UNDER 8
Again, let me stress that the biggest variable in sports for over/unders is unquestionably Wrigley Field, where the winds have the potential to single-handedly affect the outcome like no other factor. In any case, one of the pitchers that's currently experiencing a renaissance year this season absolutely has to be Chris Capuano, who has seemed to regained the form that helped him win 17 games in 2006. This is something I sensed would come along a few weeks ago, and it appears Capuano has put it all together again. He's been remarkably consistent, especially over his last three starts where he's only given up three runs in 20 innings. Cap hasn't been as good on the road this year, but he did face the Cubs once last year, shutting them down in a September start to one run over seven innings, while yielding only five hits. He's here to stay.
Chris Volstad has also been consistent, but on the other end of the spectrum. In fact, he's given up exactly three or four runs in each of his five starts this year, which is why his ERA currently sits at 6.11. He's not that bad, though, and has to start improving at some point, which I think he can today. Volstad had success against the Dodgers last year with a seven-inning, two-run effort, and he'll have the wind blowing in 10 MPH to help with his flyball ratio. I mean, that's not as severe as Wrigley Field winds can be, but still may be enough to keep the ball from going into the bleachers, and contribute to a lower-scoring contest.
**Will Add More Over/Unders, Bigger Bets, Later Today With Writeups**
(If you're wondering what my best bet is today; Surprise, it's another Bud Norris under. Get it at even money while you can because that won't last. The writeup for it will come later)
And remember, I'm 16-4-1 on Saturday over/unders this year. I plan to continue that dominance, barring an unusual or fluke occurences that have hit me tremendously the past few days.
2012 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
It truly is amazing the epic bad luck that I've had the past few days, even yesterday when I was dominating. On Wednesday and Thursday, I detailed that there were FIVE GAMES that I "lost" that I really should have won, and the trend continued yesterday even though I was still up. I expected to sweep all six of my 7 o'clock over/unders last night, and was well on pace towards accomplishing that before Matt Thornton blew the save in the bottom of the ninth by offering up a two-run walk-off homer to Jhonny Peralta, thus costing my hard-earned under with Peavy vs Smyly. In addition, I was about to nail down Kendrick vs Strasberg under when the Phillies bullpen blew their 3-2 lead late in the ballgame, and of course, my under. On top of that, I should have won my best bet Cueto vs Correia over 7 that was 6-1 in the 7th; had a Pirates runner thrown out at home because they couldn't score from first base without two outs on a double down the line, and also the Reds squandered runners in scoring position with no outs, so of course it went scoreless the rest of the way, giving me a push. Unbelievable.
But what can you do? You just have to move on and hope this legendary streak of bad luck, something of which I've never even experienced in such lengthy and obvious fashion, comes to an end without a whimper. I mean, I was still 3-3-1 yesterday but it should have been a whole lot more. Time to move on to what has been my best day of the week this year, Saturday...
(I'm posting this early because this is my only 1 o'clock game that I'm taking today)
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs - $46 for $40
Chris Capuano vs Chris Volstad
UNDER 8
Again, let me stress that the biggest variable in sports for over/unders is unquestionably Wrigley Field, where the winds have the potential to single-handedly affect the outcome like no other factor. In any case, one of the pitchers that's currently experiencing a renaissance year this season absolutely has to be Chris Capuano, who has seemed to regained the form that helped him win 17 games in 2006. This is something I sensed would come along a few weeks ago, and it appears Capuano has put it all together again. He's been remarkably consistent, especially over his last three starts where he's only given up three runs in 20 innings. Cap hasn't been as good on the road this year, but he did face the Cubs once last year, shutting them down in a September start to one run over seven innings, while yielding only five hits. He's here to stay.
Chris Volstad has also been consistent, but on the other end of the spectrum. In fact, he's given up exactly three or four runs in each of his five starts this year, which is why his ERA currently sits at 6.11. He's not that bad, though, and has to start improving at some point, which I think he can today. Volstad had success against the Dodgers last year with a seven-inning, two-run effort, and he'll have the wind blowing in 10 MPH to help with his flyball ratio. I mean, that's not as severe as Wrigley Field winds can be, but still may be enough to keep the ball from going into the bleachers, and contribute to a lower-scoring contest.
**Will Add More Over/Unders, Bigger Bets, Later Today With Writeups**
(If you're wondering what my best bet is today; Surprise, it's another Bud Norris under. Get it at even money while you can because that won't last. The writeup for it will come later)
And remember, I'm 16-4-1 on Saturday over/unders this year. I plan to continue that dominance, barring an unusual or fluke occurences that have hit me tremendously the past few days.