5 straight days of profit with the last 6 plays cashing in. Taking a look at a board tonight I see a couple plays I like.
Indians - 135 (2 Units)
At first look, I figured this game for an over. After a little more research, I think the Indians are the better play. Masterson had a pretty rough start to his season, but recently his shown signs of improvement and historically he has done well against the White Sox (2.46 ERA, 80.1 IP). Danks has been pretty bad both recently and historically against the Indians (5.13 ERA, 86 IP). These two have already faced each other twice this season, splitting 1-1. In Masterson's loss, he gave up 5 runs, but only 3 of them were earned. A costly error gave him the short end of the decision and forced him out of the game after the 5th. He looked much better the second time around, fanning 6 and giving up 3 runs into the 7th inning. Danks went further into the game, completing 7 innings, but gave up 9 H, 7 R, and only striking out one batter.
Tigers -1.5 (-115) (3 Units)
Verlander > Millwood. That's not all of the analysis, but it is the most important part. The Tigers gave up a 2-0 lead in the ninth last night, and they can't be too happy about that. It was a mismanagement of the bullpen that cost them, but we can make that pay for us. Instead of going to Valverde or Benoit last night, Leyland gave the ball to Dotel and he blew the save and earned the loss. Not only will Leyland not make the same mistake tonight, but he may not even get a chance to. Verlander will take this game deep into the 8th and possibly 9th. However, if necessary, both Valverde and Benoit are rested and ready. Millwood has been mediocre all year and pretty much his whole career. There are only 2 players on the Tigers that have faced him more than 10 times (Cabrera and Young) and they both are batting over .400 against him. His fastball tops out at 89 and the rest of his arsenal is far from electric.
I might another play later, still researching a few leans.
Good luck to all.
Indians - 135 (2 Units)
At first look, I figured this game for an over. After a little more research, I think the Indians are the better play. Masterson had a pretty rough start to his season, but recently his shown signs of improvement and historically he has done well against the White Sox (2.46 ERA, 80.1 IP). Danks has been pretty bad both recently and historically against the Indians (5.13 ERA, 86 IP). These two have already faced each other twice this season, splitting 1-1. In Masterson's loss, he gave up 5 runs, but only 3 of them were earned. A costly error gave him the short end of the decision and forced him out of the game after the 5th. He looked much better the second time around, fanning 6 and giving up 3 runs into the 7th inning. Danks went further into the game, completing 7 innings, but gave up 9 H, 7 R, and only striking out one batter.
Tigers -1.5 (-115) (3 Units)
Verlander > Millwood. That's not all of the analysis, but it is the most important part. The Tigers gave up a 2-0 lead in the ninth last night, and they can't be too happy about that. It was a mismanagement of the bullpen that cost them, but we can make that pay for us. Instead of going to Valverde or Benoit last night, Leyland gave the ball to Dotel and he blew the save and earned the loss. Not only will Leyland not make the same mistake tonight, but he may not even get a chance to. Verlander will take this game deep into the 8th and possibly 9th. However, if necessary, both Valverde and Benoit are rested and ready. Millwood has been mediocre all year and pretty much his whole career. There are only 2 players on the Tigers that have faced him more than 10 times (Cabrera and Young) and they both are batting over .400 against him. His fastball tops out at 89 and the rest of his arsenal is far from electric.
I might another play later, still researching a few leans.
Good luck to all.
