***BRP's Bases - 27-18 YTD - 5-2 last 2 days - Detailed Write-Ups Inside***

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The Hot Streak: May 8th, 2012

11:24 AM Daily Shootout No comments


BRP’s Picks – May 8th, 2012
YTD (27-18) +4.85 Units


7:05 P.M. – Chicago White Sox (John Danks) @ Cleveland Indians (Justin Masterson)




***Step out game alert*** These teams come into this game going in completely different directions right now. The Indians come into the game at 17-11 on the year, and are winners of 6 of their last 7 games. The White Sox come in at 13-17 on the year, and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The Indians have also won the last 4 matchups against the White Sox, including a 7-5 win for the Indians in this same pitching matchup that took place in Chicago last time through the rotation.


John Danks comes into this game struggling thus far this season. His E.R.A. through his first 6 starts this season is nothing to write home about, at 6.51. Danks struggled on the road last season, posting a 5.05 E.R.A. on the road, and that hasn’t changed yet this year. Danks also for some reason seems to struggle in May, as he is 3-10 with a 5.95 E.R.A. in the month over the last 3 years. Danks has also struggled in his 2 starts against the Indians already this year, giving up 10 runs to the team he faces today in 12 and 2/3 innings.


Justin Masterson is the Cleveland Indians ace, he may not have put up ace type numbers quite yet this season, but I see that changing. Masterson broke out last season, posting a 3.21 E.R.A., and showing his overall potential for the Indians. Over the last 3 seasons Masterson has been much better, posting a 3.28 E.R.A. at home, which is over 1.5 points lower than his road E.R.A. Masterson also LOVES pitching against the White Sox, in 10 starts over the last 3 years, Masterson has posted a very impressive 2.1 E.R.A. against the team he faces today.


Indians are hot, are home, and Masterson is the MUCH better pitcher, very nice price!!!


Indians RL -1 at +115 (5 units to win 5.75)
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7:05 P.M. – Washington Nationals (Edwin Jackson) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (A.J. Burnett)


The Nationals have been one of the better teams in baseball so far this season. They come into this game at 18-10 on the year, while the Pirates come into this game at 12-16. The Nationals are winners are 4 od their last 5 games, while the Pirates are losers of 4 of their last 6.


Edwin Jackson has been the Nats worst pitcher so far this season, but with the way the Nats starters have performed, 95% of major league pitchers would also claim that title. Jackson hasn’t seemed to settle in to his new home yet, but has done well on the road thus far with the Nats posting a 2.31 E.R.A. on the road so far. His overall numbers are pretty good as well in reality, as he has a 3.69 E.R.A. in his first 5 starts this year. Jackson has also never lost to the Pirates in the last 3 years, posting a 3-0 record, and 3.2 E.R.A. against the team he faces today.


This game is mainly about fading A.J. Burnett and the sad excuse for a major league pitcher that he has become. Burnett posted an impressive 5.15 E.R.A. last season, and the combination of him being a head case and having no talent shouldn’t see those numbers change this season. Burnett has posted an even better 8.04 E.R.A. so far this season in his first 3 starts with his new team. The 12 earned runs he gave up in his last start against the Cards (yeah, 12 earned runs) is about what should be expected from him this season. The only saving grace for the Pirates here is that the Yankees are still paying most of his salary, the only reason in still like A.J.


Come ride the A.J. fade train with me, at very decent + money here, gotta love this game!!!


Nats RL -1 at +130 (3 to win 3.9)
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8:05 P.M. – Atlanta Braves (Randall Delgado) @ Chicago Cubs (Ryan Dempster)


The offensive numbers for the Braves as of late have been skewed by their trip to Colorado, like many teams numbers have been this season. Take that 3 game series out of the equation, and the Braves have managed to score more than 2 runs just twice in their last 7 games. The Cubs on the other hand have actually been playing fairly good ball as of late. They have won 3 of their last 4 games, taking 2 of 3 from a very good Dodger team, and the first game of the series against the Braves.


Randall Delgado has a lot of talent, but he is still young, very, very young. He has gone 2-3 so far this season, while posting a 5.14 E.R.A. along the way. Delgado has also given up 7 earned runs in just 10 innings while on the road this season. The Cubs may not have the most explosive offense, but Delgado has gotten off to such a bad start against the Astros, Mets, D’Backs, Pirates, and Phillies. None of those teams have been good at all offensively this year, and they all hit him hard.


Ryan Dempster has been amazing so far this season, posting a 0.95 E.R.A. in his first 4 starts of the season. Dempster is out to prove that last years 4.80 E.R.A. was a fluke, and that his 3.70 E.R.A. average of the 2 years prior is more of what should be expected from him. I fully expect that to be the case, as I think Dempster pitches very well this season for the cubs. Dempster has also been very good against the Braves over the last 3 years, posting a 2.70 E.R.A. in 4 starts against the team he is facing today.


I’ll take the experience, and the glove flip before every pitch, at an amazing price!!!


Cubs RL -1 at +155 (2 units to win 3.1)
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7:05 P.M. – Tampa Bay Rays (James Shields) @ new York Yankees (Ivan Nova)
Rays at +115 (1 units to win 1.15)
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8:05 P.M. – Miami Marlins (Anibal Sanchez) @ Houston Astros (Aneury Rodriguez)
Marlins RL -1 at -115 (1.15 units to win 1)
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9:40 P.M. – St. Louis Cardinals (Jake Westbrook) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Ian Kennedy)
Cards at +125 (1 units to win 1.25)
 

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