VP's Diamond picks : 5/11/12 (YTD: 19-11-2; +14.8 units)

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8 straight winning days after going 1-0 yesterday. Gotta stay hot. Le'go!

Pirates -130 (2 Units)
I like the Pirates here. Bud Norris is one of the few starting pitchers in the majors with an ERA over 4 against the Pirates. He's also not pitching too well as of late with a 4.91 ERA in his last three starts. James McDonald on the other hand is hot right now. 2-0, 2.14 ERA in his last three. His stuff has been electric and his command is getting better every time he takes the mound. Some of the Pirates' bats are starting to come out of their frigid starts, and McCutchen is just killing it right now.

Rays/Orioles under 9 (2 Units)
Both of these two lineups are completely capable of scoring runs, but I think this pitching matchup points toward an under total. Helickson is turning into a really solid three in the Rays rotation. He's been consistently giving up 1-3 runs between 6-7 innings and giving his team a great chance to win games. In his young career, he's 4-1, 2.23 ERA against the O's. He's also pretty hot now, having not given up more than 3 ER in any of his last 4 starts. He's going up against Dana Eveland on his first big league start this season. Normally I would just take the Rays to win here, but Eveland has had a decent stint in AAA recovery. Not only that, but during his time in Toronto, Eveland went 2-1, 2.84 ERA against the Rays. In my opinion, the lineup was more impressive then as well.

Might post more later. Good luck, all.
 

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Nationals -115 (2 Units)
Gio Gonzalez is white hot right now... I mean, this season. He's turning out to be all the Nats could've hoped for. In his last 5 starts he's given a total 3 runs. I realize the Nats are missing Werth, but with the return of Zim (who is 4-10 against Leake in his career) I feel Werth won't be missed as much in this matchup. Speaking of Leake, the only reason the line is so reasonable is because he pitched a decent game in his last start. I don't think that this necessarily means he is pitching well. He only gave up 3 runs in 7 innings, but he gave up 4 BB, and if the Pirates' bats were more disciplined, they would've put up more like 4-5. In Leake's 5 starts this season, he's given up a total of 22 runs. *contrast of last five starts; Gonzalez = 3 runs, Leake = 22 runs*
 

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Dodgers -160 (1 Unit)
I don't like betting big on juiced lines, so I'll keep this small. Capuano has been solid this season, and Moyer has gotten owned in his career against the Dodgers (7.23 ERA in 21.2 IP). Old man wil get the loss tonight.
 

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Pirates -130 (2 Units) loss
Rays/Orioles under 9 (2 Units) win
Nationals -115 (2 Units) win


The Pirates had 2 great opportunities to score. The bases loaded with 0 outs in the 6th, and a lead-off triple in the 4th. Both opportunities were squandered and they take a 1-0 loss on a pitching gem by McDonald. Bummer to lose that one, but the other two plays came in. 2-1; +1.4 Units so far on the day with one play remaining.
 

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Thanks Varkey!

Dodgers -160 (1 Unit) Win

3-1; +2.4 Unit day. 9th straight winning day.
 

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