2012 MLB O/U Record: 102-94-8, +$6
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Disappointing1-2 performance on my part last night, as Monday is the one day of the week where I expect to be up every single week, given my amazing track record. Then again, when you have been winning consistently 67-percent of the time on Mondays for years (68-35-6 last year on Mondays, 18-11 so far this year on Mondays), that means you lose 33 percent of the time, so these off Mondays can happen every once in a blue moon. In any case, you move on to the next day, that being the slightly more difficult Tuesday, in which I am 15-11 so far this year, which is acceptable. However, this Tuesday is different than most, or perhaps all, as for the first time since the first Tuesday of the season, there’s afternoon action, which is a huge, huge rarity for MLB Tuesdays. Do I look at that as a variable? Absolutely. Baseball players are more systematically set in such an extreme routine more than any other athletes in the world, going through virtually the same schedule every week with very little days off for six straight months, so much so that their body is just so used to playing on certain days and times of the weeks (Sunday afternoons, Friday nights, Tuesday nights, etc.), so playing a day game on a Tuesday actually may have some players approaching it differently than the normal game. It’s probably not significant, but maybe something to consider just a bit. Anyway, on to today’s slate…
(Posting this early because I have an afternoon game)
Anthony Bass vs Stephen Strasburg UNDER 6 - $22 for $20
Just a small bet so I’m not going to offer too much analysis on this one. I just still find it so hard to believe how many over/unders there are in today’s baseball with lines of 6 or 6.5. If this was a few years ago, it would be insane to see a game with a line of 6, but now it’s all too commonplace, unfortunately. It comes with good reason, though, as Strasburg has completely lived up to the extremely lofty expectations set out for him, proving to be one of the best pitchers in all of baseball. He’s shown no signs of slowing down, and since it’s still early in the season, it’s still a good idea to ride Strasburg and/or the under his outings, so long as his opposing hurler is also in fine shape. In this case, we have Anthony Bass, who actually has put up some nice numbers (3.23 ERA, 1.21 WHIP), especially in the strikeout department, where he has an impressive 38 in 39 innings - a strong sign that he’s becoming a legitimate Major League starting pitcher. Small bite on the under, though, because it’s just hard to fully envision Tuesday afternoon baseball.
I have work soon so I’ll be back in a little bit with a write-up or two on my biggest bets for the day.
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Disappointing1-2 performance on my part last night, as Monday is the one day of the week where I expect to be up every single week, given my amazing track record. Then again, when you have been winning consistently 67-percent of the time on Mondays for years (68-35-6 last year on Mondays, 18-11 so far this year on Mondays), that means you lose 33 percent of the time, so these off Mondays can happen every once in a blue moon. In any case, you move on to the next day, that being the slightly more difficult Tuesday, in which I am 15-11 so far this year, which is acceptable. However, this Tuesday is different than most, or perhaps all, as for the first time since the first Tuesday of the season, there’s afternoon action, which is a huge, huge rarity for MLB Tuesdays. Do I look at that as a variable? Absolutely. Baseball players are more systematically set in such an extreme routine more than any other athletes in the world, going through virtually the same schedule every week with very little days off for six straight months, so much so that their body is just so used to playing on certain days and times of the weeks (Sunday afternoons, Friday nights, Tuesday nights, etc.), so playing a day game on a Tuesday actually may have some players approaching it differently than the normal game. It’s probably not significant, but maybe something to consider just a bit. Anyway, on to today’s slate…
(Posting this early because I have an afternoon game)
Anthony Bass vs Stephen Strasburg UNDER 6 - $22 for $20
Just a small bet so I’m not going to offer too much analysis on this one. I just still find it so hard to believe how many over/unders there are in today’s baseball with lines of 6 or 6.5. If this was a few years ago, it would be insane to see a game with a line of 6, but now it’s all too commonplace, unfortunately. It comes with good reason, though, as Strasburg has completely lived up to the extremely lofty expectations set out for him, proving to be one of the best pitchers in all of baseball. He’s shown no signs of slowing down, and since it’s still early in the season, it’s still a good idea to ride Strasburg and/or the under his outings, so long as his opposing hurler is also in fine shape. In this case, we have Anthony Bass, who actually has put up some nice numbers (3.23 ERA, 1.21 WHIP), especially in the strikeout department, where he has an impressive 38 in 39 innings - a strong sign that he’s becoming a legitimate Major League starting pitcher. Small bite on the under, though, because it’s just hard to fully envision Tuesday afternoon baseball.
I have work soon so I’ll be back in a little bit with a write-up or two on my biggest bets for the day.
