MLB "Best Situational Plays" Season Thread

sportsforumVIP · May 20, 2012

"Best Situational Plays" Overall Record: 2-0, +2.46 units, ROI=117.70%

Sunday, 05/20/2012

10:35AM PST
961Boston (Beckett) @ 962Philadelphia (Lee)

Play: 961Boston (Beckett) ML, +121
Play: 961Boston (Beckett) RL +1.5, -195

Since 04/22/2011, in this situation today Boston is 8-1, +8.47 units, ROI=94.1% on the ML, winning by an average of 4.6 rpg and 8-1, +6.39 units, ROI=40.9% on the RL, winning by an average of 6.1 rpg.

11:05AM PST
967Texas (Lewis) @ 968Houston (Lyles)

Play: 967Texas (Lewis) ML, -160
Play: 967Texas (Lewis) RL -1.5, +100

Since 08/22/202, in this situation today Texas is 22-1, +19.70 units, ROI=49.5% on the ML, winning by an average of 4.2 rpg and 20-3, +20.04 units, ROI=85.1% on the RL, winning by an average of 2.7 rpg.

sportsforumVIP · May 20, 2012

The Texas play should read, "Since 08/22/2010". Sorry for the typo.

IMISREMEMBER · May 20, 2012

$$$$

Thanks

sportsforumVIP · May 20, 2012

sportsforumVIP said:
"Best Situational Plays" Overall Record: 2-0, +2.46 units, ROI=117.70%

Sunday, 05/20/2012

10:35AM PST
961Boston (Beckett) @ 962Philadelphia (Lee)

Play: 961Boston (Beckett) ML, +121 WIN 5-1
Play: 961Boston (Beckett) RL +1.5, -195 WIN 5-1

Since 04/22/2011, in this situation today Boston is 8-1, +8.47 units, ROI=94.1% on the ML, winning by an average of 4.6 rpg and 8-1, +6.39 units, ROI=40.9% on the RL, winning by an average of 6.1 rpg.

11:05AM PST
967Texas (Lewis) @ 968Houston (Lyles)

Play: 967Texas (Lewis) ML, -160 WIN 6-1
Play: 967Texas (Lewis) RL -1.5, +100 WIN 6-1

Since 08/22/202, in this situation today Texas is 22-1, +19.70 units, ROI=49.5% on the ML, winning by an average of 4.2 rpg and 20-3, +20.04 units, ROI=85.1% on the RL, winning by an average of 2.7 rpg.

"Best Situational Plays" Overall Record: 6-0, +6.67 units, ROI=87.30%

sportsforumVIP · May 20, 2012

IMISREMEMBER said:
Thanks

(<)<

sportsforumVIP · May 21, 2012

"Best Situational Plays" Overall Record: 6-0, +6.67 units, ROI=87.30%

Monday, 05/21/2012

5:15PM PST
913San Diego (Richard) @ 914St. Louis (Garcia)

Play: 913San Diego (Richard) @ 914St. Louis (Garcia) OVER 7.5, -115

Since 07/21/2008, in this situation today San Diego is 45-18-2, +25.05 units, ROI=34.5% on OVER the game total, winning by an average of 2.8 rpg.

I may add more plays in the morning. I just wanted to get this play to everyone early in case the line moves against us any further than it already has.

sportsforumVIP · May 21, 2012

The average game total line of the above play in post #6 is 8.7 so with a game total line of 7.5 with this play we are receiving more than a full run of value based on the 65 game sample size of the situational statistic.

jacksonjohn · May 21, 2012

Would you mind divulging your source for these in the event you cease posting them?

sportsforumVIP · May 21, 2012

No added plays. Good luck tonight everyone!

sportsforumVIP · May 21, 2012

jacksonjohn said:
Would you mind divulging your source for these in the event you cease posting them?

I will be here all year in this thread Jacks.

sportsforumVIP · May 21, 2012

sportsforumVIP said:
"Best Situational Plays" Overall Record: 6-0, +6.67 units, ROI=87.30%

Monday, 05/21/2012

5:15PM PST
913San Diego (Richard) @ 914St. Louis (Garcia)

Play: 913San Diego (Richard) @ 914St. Louis (Garcia) OVER 7.5, -115 LOSS 4-3

Since 07/21/2008, in this situation today San Diego is 45-18-2, +25.05 units, ROI=34.5% on OVER the game total, winning by an average of 2.8 rpg.

I may add more plays in the morning. I just wanted to get this play to everyone early in case the line moves against us any further than it already has.

"Best Situational Plays" Overall Record: 6-1, +5.52 units, ROI=62.80%

sportsforumVIP · May 22, 2012

"Best Situational Plays" Overall Record: 6-1, +5.52 units, ROI=62.80%

Tuesday, 05/22/2012

4:10PM PST
973Toronto (Hutchison) @ 974Tampa Bay (Moore)

Play: 974Tampa Bay (Moore) ML, -132

Since 06/23/2010, in this situation today Tampa Bay is 67-17, +43.89 units, ROI=34.1% on the ML, winning by an average of 1.9 rpg.

StevieRay · May 22, 2012

"in this situation today"

what situation are they in?

VicVega91 · May 22, 2012

StevieRay said:
"in this situation today"

what situation are they in?

Good question

StevieRay · May 22, 2012

sportsforumVIP · May 22, 2012

StevieRay said:
"in this situation today"

what situation are they in?

I have about 50-60 MLB situational statistics that have performed well over the years. I am posting the plays and the results but choose not to post the exact terms of each situational statistic.

sportsforumVIP · May 22, 2012

To make it easier and less confusing I can just post the plays instead of all of the prior stats and game results along with it.

Defying · May 22, 2012

GL, interested to see how this turns out

StevieRay · May 22, 2012

Defying said:
GL, interested to see how this turns out

U mean this situation turns out

bank--it · May 22, 2012

gl

gl

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