2012 MLB O/U Record: 129-129-12, -$905
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Happy Memorial Day, everyone. Like yesterday, I plan on taking a more “lay low” approach to this slate of games, as holidays such as this one and July 4th can actually be tougher to bet on than the average mundane day. You always want to attack the games with the least variables as possible, and considering this is a day where pitchers perhaps feel patriotic and arguably different from their usual mindset, it’s not a day to bet huge on, especially for someone like me who is trying to get back into their rhythm. Thus, here’s my card for the day so far…
(Posting this early because I have a couple of early games. Detailed write-ups with my bigger bets to come a bit later)
Cole Hamels vs Jon Niese UNDER 7.5 - $18 for $15
When the worse-case scenario of a game with an over/under of 7.5 is most likely 5-3, not to mention occurring in a pitcher’s park, well, you have to play the high percentages in your favor and go under. We all know of Cole Hamels’ brilliance (7-1, 2.17 ERA, 1.01 WHIP), but he can be a little erratic against the Mets, which makes me a bit worried. He dominated them in a start earlier this year with 10 Ks, but last year in four starts opposing the Mets, he ended up with a 6.86 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Yikes. Jon Niese is a guy I really like to start coming on a bit stronger at some point this year, as 2011 showed he us can be a real quality consistent pitcher. There should be some steady solid pitching in this one.
Jordan Zimmerman vs Carlos Zambrano OVER 7.5 - $16 for $15
Here is a matchup between two guys that I honestly don’t know as well as other established starting pitchers, but the main reason I’m taking this bet, asidef rom a small vibe, is one of them simply overdue to get knocked around, if not both. Jordan Zimmerman and Carlos Zambrano are certainly nice pitchers to have in one’s rotation, but sporting ERAs of 2.47 and 2.85 means they’re performing well beyond their usual standards, or in other words, the Law of Averages is bound to come into play much sooner than later. This could be a good spot for that, as these are two live offenses. Both men certainly will not continue their remarkable pace so hopefully there’s a dent put into it as soon as today.
And of course, obviously I will post the rest of my bets a bit later, some having longer write-ups. As of now, Chris Sale vs Matt Moore under 7.5 looks like today's best bet, but again, I'm still analyzing every pitching matchup.
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Happy Memorial Day, everyone. Like yesterday, I plan on taking a more “lay low” approach to this slate of games, as holidays such as this one and July 4th can actually be tougher to bet on than the average mundane day. You always want to attack the games with the least variables as possible, and considering this is a day where pitchers perhaps feel patriotic and arguably different from their usual mindset, it’s not a day to bet huge on, especially for someone like me who is trying to get back into their rhythm. Thus, here’s my card for the day so far…
(Posting this early because I have a couple of early games. Detailed write-ups with my bigger bets to come a bit later)
Cole Hamels vs Jon Niese UNDER 7.5 - $18 for $15
When the worse-case scenario of a game with an over/under of 7.5 is most likely 5-3, not to mention occurring in a pitcher’s park, well, you have to play the high percentages in your favor and go under. We all know of Cole Hamels’ brilliance (7-1, 2.17 ERA, 1.01 WHIP), but he can be a little erratic against the Mets, which makes me a bit worried. He dominated them in a start earlier this year with 10 Ks, but last year in four starts opposing the Mets, he ended up with a 6.86 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Yikes. Jon Niese is a guy I really like to start coming on a bit stronger at some point this year, as 2011 showed he us can be a real quality consistent pitcher. There should be some steady solid pitching in this one.
Jordan Zimmerman vs Carlos Zambrano OVER 7.5 - $16 for $15
Here is a matchup between two guys that I honestly don’t know as well as other established starting pitchers, but the main reason I’m taking this bet, asidef rom a small vibe, is one of them simply overdue to get knocked around, if not both. Jordan Zimmerman and Carlos Zambrano are certainly nice pitchers to have in one’s rotation, but sporting ERAs of 2.47 and 2.85 means they’re performing well beyond their usual standards, or in other words, the Law of Averages is bound to come into play much sooner than later. This could be a good spot for that, as these are two live offenses. Both men certainly will not continue their remarkable pace so hopefully there’s a dent put into it as soon as today.
And of course, obviously I will post the rest of my bets a bit later, some having longer write-ups. As of now, Chris Sale vs Matt Moore under 7.5 looks like today's best bet, but again, I'm still analyzing every pitching matchup.
