Yesterday 1 2 0 -1.52 Units
Last 30 Days 34 32 0 +18.50 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 57 67 0 -1.72 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
Houston +106 over COLORADO (1st 5 innings)
Over the past five years as an Oriole, Jeremy Guthrie has proven that he’s a middle of the road pitcher that will never be anything more than a four or five guy. As a soft tosser with control issues, pitching at Coors Field, Guthrie is about as risky a proposition as any pitcher in the majors. In 41 innings, Guthrie has already walked 17 batters while striking out just 18. His WHIP in May (1.71) is alarmingly high and his 5.31 ERA is right in line with his 5.03 xERA. Pitching for the 20-29 Rockies, Guthrie deserves to be favored over few pitchers and Bud Norris isn’t one of them. The Astros have won eight of Norris’s 10 starts. Norris has had one bad outing all year and has allowed just one jack over his last six starts. He has an elite strikeout rate of 62 batters in 62 innings while issuing just 22 free passes. The Astros have dropped five in a row and their bullpen is shaky, especially after last night’s debacle. However, we certainly like Norris to outpitch Guthrie over the first five frames and that’s the way we’ll play this one. Play: Houston +106 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 34 32 0 +18.50 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 57 67 0 -1.72 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
Houston +106 over COLORADO (1st 5 innings)
Over the past five years as an Oriole, Jeremy Guthrie has proven that he’s a middle of the road pitcher that will never be anything more than a four or five guy. As a soft tosser with control issues, pitching at Coors Field, Guthrie is about as risky a proposition as any pitcher in the majors. In 41 innings, Guthrie has already walked 17 batters while striking out just 18. His WHIP in May (1.71) is alarmingly high and his 5.31 ERA is right in line with his 5.03 xERA. Pitching for the 20-29 Rockies, Guthrie deserves to be favored over few pitchers and Bud Norris isn’t one of them. The Astros have won eight of Norris’s 10 starts. Norris has had one bad outing all year and has allowed just one jack over his last six starts. He has an elite strikeout rate of 62 batters in 62 innings while issuing just 22 free passes. The Astros have dropped five in a row and their bullpen is shaky, especially after last night’s debacle. However, we certainly like Norris to outpitch Guthrie over the first five frames and that’s the way we’ll play this one. Play: Houston +106 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).
