2012 MLB O/U Record: 140-139-13, -$1,081 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless bad breaks, obviously)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Not surprised at all to see yet another unpredictable bad break come into play with my best bet last night, as this is scarily legitimately becoming an everyday occurrence, and regular readers of these articles are noticing it, too. In case you missed it, my best bet Maholm vs Bumgarner under 7 was 4-0 in the ninth, meaning I could not have been anymore 100-percent right (As usual. Yawn.), but after Bumgarner’s failed attempt at going the distance, Santiago Casilla, one of the best late-inning relievers in ALL of baseball, served up a rare three-run homer off the bat of Alfonso Soriano, to make it 4-3, costing me a win and giving me a heart-breaking push. I mean, come on, this isn’t normal. It’s seriously like there’s supernatural forces that are coming into play trying to knock me out of this after my great success last year, because obviously, very, very, very few of these breaks are going my way. The last good break I had was MAY 20 in that Sunday afternoon Johnson vs Lowe over that was helped out by the bullpen… that’s 13 days ago, yet I’ve been onthe bitter end of AT LEAST 10 (Read past articles for proof if you haven't been following) cruel and unusual bad breaks since. Unbelievable, but you just have to somehow keep moving on…
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays (Best Bet) - $98for $85
Felix Doubront vs Kyle Drabek
UNDER 10
The first game of this Saturday slate happens to be my best bet for the day, and there’s a lot of potential in this one. First off, it’s definitely rare to see a line in double digits these days (Especially when it’s a game outside of Coors Field, Arlington, and Yankee Stadium), so in those such instances, you have to examine the pitching matchup and try to figure out if one of the two guys scheduled to pitch is capable of shutting down the opposing offense considerably. Well, that case can be made for both guys, and let me start with someone who has turned me into a huge believer over the course of this season, Felix Doubront. I’ll be honest - coming into the season, I had Doubront pegged as nothing more than an at-most decent back-end of the rotation option, but let me tell you, from watching him pitch and maintain consistency over a few weeks, I have to upgrade my projection, as I can actually see him continue to develop into a frontline starter for years to come. He’s got good poise for a rookie, as displayed early on this season in a nationally-televised FOX Saturday matchup against the mighty Yankees when he shut them down for six innings. In addition, Doubront is currently in a rhythm at the current moment, as he’s yielded two runs or less in each of his last four starts, all of which coming against winning ballclubs. This is definitely a guy that can stick and will continue to make an impact as the season rolls on, especially with the Red Sox’ continued emergence.
As for the opposing hurler, I was always a believer in Kyle Drabek ever since he came over to Toronto in the Roy Halladay trade, and even with his up-and-down performance over the past month, I still am a fan of his potential. Drabek had his worst outing in his last start, when he got rocked around by the Rangers in Texas for nine runs in three innings. Of course, since it was at The Ballpark in Arlington, it can happen to any pitcher. As long as Drabek is mentally strong (Which I believe he is, given the quick start he had this year while putting last year’s struggles behind him), he is capable of bouncing back in his next start today, even if it’s against an offense as potent as the Red Sox. Drabek has top-of-the-rotation stuff, and was proving just that in mowing down lineups in the beginning of the year, en route to a 2.40 ERA throughout all of April. The main weakness of Drabek’s game is his control (37 walks in 55 innings), but against an aggressive offense like Boston that is currently mostly in swing mode, he can play that into his advantage. With the line set at 10, there’s room for error - let’s at least get one quality start here on this Saturday afternoon and we’ll be in a good position to win this under at the Rogers Centre.
**Will Add More Over/Unders Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Not surprised at all to see yet another unpredictable bad break come into play with my best bet last night, as this is scarily legitimately becoming an everyday occurrence, and regular readers of these articles are noticing it, too. In case you missed it, my best bet Maholm vs Bumgarner under 7 was 4-0 in the ninth, meaning I could not have been anymore 100-percent right (As usual. Yawn.), but after Bumgarner’s failed attempt at going the distance, Santiago Casilla, one of the best late-inning relievers in ALL of baseball, served up a rare three-run homer off the bat of Alfonso Soriano, to make it 4-3, costing me a win and giving me a heart-breaking push. I mean, come on, this isn’t normal. It’s seriously like there’s supernatural forces that are coming into play trying to knock me out of this after my great success last year, because obviously, very, very, very few of these breaks are going my way. The last good break I had was MAY 20 in that Sunday afternoon Johnson vs Lowe over that was helped out by the bullpen… that’s 13 days ago, yet I’ve been onthe bitter end of AT LEAST 10 (Read past articles for proof if you haven't been following) cruel and unusual bad breaks since. Unbelievable, but you just have to somehow keep moving on…
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays (Best Bet) - $98for $85
Felix Doubront vs Kyle Drabek
UNDER 10
The first game of this Saturday slate happens to be my best bet for the day, and there’s a lot of potential in this one. First off, it’s definitely rare to see a line in double digits these days (Especially when it’s a game outside of Coors Field, Arlington, and Yankee Stadium), so in those such instances, you have to examine the pitching matchup and try to figure out if one of the two guys scheduled to pitch is capable of shutting down the opposing offense considerably. Well, that case can be made for both guys, and let me start with someone who has turned me into a huge believer over the course of this season, Felix Doubront. I’ll be honest - coming into the season, I had Doubront pegged as nothing more than an at-most decent back-end of the rotation option, but let me tell you, from watching him pitch and maintain consistency over a few weeks, I have to upgrade my projection, as I can actually see him continue to develop into a frontline starter for years to come. He’s got good poise for a rookie, as displayed early on this season in a nationally-televised FOX Saturday matchup against the mighty Yankees when he shut them down for six innings. In addition, Doubront is currently in a rhythm at the current moment, as he’s yielded two runs or less in each of his last four starts, all of which coming against winning ballclubs. This is definitely a guy that can stick and will continue to make an impact as the season rolls on, especially with the Red Sox’ continued emergence.
As for the opposing hurler, I was always a believer in Kyle Drabek ever since he came over to Toronto in the Roy Halladay trade, and even with his up-and-down performance over the past month, I still am a fan of his potential. Drabek had his worst outing in his last start, when he got rocked around by the Rangers in Texas for nine runs in three innings. Of course, since it was at The Ballpark in Arlington, it can happen to any pitcher. As long as Drabek is mentally strong (Which I believe he is, given the quick start he had this year while putting last year’s struggles behind him), he is capable of bouncing back in his next start today, even if it’s against an offense as potent as the Red Sox. Drabek has top-of-the-rotation stuff, and was proving just that in mowing down lineups in the beginning of the year, en route to a 2.40 ERA throughout all of April. The main weakness of Drabek’s game is his control (37 walks in 55 innings), but against an aggressive offense like Boston that is currently mostly in swing mode, he can play that into his advantage. With the line set at 10, there’s room for error - let’s at least get one quality start here on this Saturday afternoon and we’ll be in a good position to win this under at the Rogers Centre.
**Will Add More Over/Unders Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**