Yesterday 1 2 0 -1.66 Units
Last 30 Days 33 33 0 +13.98 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 58 70 0 -5.38 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
CHICAGO -1½ +127 over Seattle
The White Sox offense is clicking on all cylinders lately. Only Texas (167 runs) has scored more than Chicago’s 156 runs in the month of May. At home, the South Side owns a fine .779 OPS and have scored 8.6 runs per game since May 14, spanning eight games. Suddenly in first place, the White Sox swept Seattle in April, they took the opener last night by scoring seven more runs against King Felix and they’ve now won nine in a row. This is a team that can’t get to the park soon enough. One can only imagine what’s in store for Hector Noesi. In 59 innings, Noesi has a poor BB/K ratio of 20/34. He also has an unfavorable groundball/fly-ball split of 37%/46% to go along with an ERA over 5.00. He won’t be helped by Safeco here along with an 0-3 road mark and an ERA of 6.67. Gavin Floyd goes for the Chisox but does it really matter who toes the rubber? We think not. Play: Chicago -1½ +127 (Risking 2 units).
DETROIT +107 over N.Y. Yankees
Baseball is a funny game and we look no further than Rick Porcello’s 2012 campaign for just how whacky it can be. Porcello comes in with a 3-4 record and a 5.21 ERA. One of Porcello's three victories was against the Royals. The funny part is that Porcello two other wins were against the sizzling Chicago White Sox where he threw 14 innings and allowed just two earned runs. That’s how good this guy can be and he has the skills to support it. His high ERA is a direct result of bad luck and his numbers are sure to improve. A 51% groundball rate and 15 walks in 57 innings does not equate to a 5.21 ERA. Porcello’s 68% strand rate has done him in but he’s had good success against the Yanks in the past with a .244 BAA and just one jack allowed in 86 AB’s against current Yankee hitters. Hiroki Kuroda is not benefitting from pitching at Chavez Ravine anymore, nor is he thriving against AL opposition. His strikeout rate has dipped dramatically, he’s 1-4 on the road with a 4.55 ERA with his only road win coming at pitcher-friendly Oakland where the A’s are hitting .210. Play: Detroit +107 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 33 33 0 +13.98 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 58 70 0 -5.38 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
CHICAGO -1½ +127 over Seattle
The White Sox offense is clicking on all cylinders lately. Only Texas (167 runs) has scored more than Chicago’s 156 runs in the month of May. At home, the South Side owns a fine .779 OPS and have scored 8.6 runs per game since May 14, spanning eight games. Suddenly in first place, the White Sox swept Seattle in April, they took the opener last night by scoring seven more runs against King Felix and they’ve now won nine in a row. This is a team that can’t get to the park soon enough. One can only imagine what’s in store for Hector Noesi. In 59 innings, Noesi has a poor BB/K ratio of 20/34. He also has an unfavorable groundball/fly-ball split of 37%/46% to go along with an ERA over 5.00. He won’t be helped by Safeco here along with an 0-3 road mark and an ERA of 6.67. Gavin Floyd goes for the Chisox but does it really matter who toes the rubber? We think not. Play: Chicago -1½ +127 (Risking 2 units).
DETROIT +107 over N.Y. Yankees
Baseball is a funny game and we look no further than Rick Porcello’s 2012 campaign for just how whacky it can be. Porcello comes in with a 3-4 record and a 5.21 ERA. One of Porcello's three victories was against the Royals. The funny part is that Porcello two other wins were against the sizzling Chicago White Sox where he threw 14 innings and allowed just two earned runs. That’s how good this guy can be and he has the skills to support it. His high ERA is a direct result of bad luck and his numbers are sure to improve. A 51% groundball rate and 15 walks in 57 innings does not equate to a 5.21 ERA. Porcello’s 68% strand rate has done him in but he’s had good success against the Yanks in the past with a .244 BAA and just one jack allowed in 86 AB’s against current Yankee hitters. Hiroki Kuroda is not benefitting from pitching at Chavez Ravine anymore, nor is he thriving against AL opposition. His strikeout rate has dipped dramatically, he’s 1-4 on the road with a 4.55 ERA with his only road win coming at pitcher-friendly Oakland where the A’s are hitting .210. Play: Detroit +107 (Risking 2 units).
