Sunday: Marlins at Philly YTD: 81-74, + 20.4 units

3-4 Saturday, but the underdog winners softened the blow. Only really bad bet was the Texas game.

The Phillies- Marlins game looks good for 2 reasons. First I think Miami will win at about even money, and it has good possibilities as an over too.

Joe Blanton has got some very ugly stats in his last 3 starts and supposedly has lost command. With his stuff, he completely needs command of his pitch location. 13.2 IPs, 28 hits, 20 runs and 8 homers- all in 3 games. That's 2 hits+ per inning and a HR every inning and a half. The Marlins are beginning to heat up, especially Reyes and Ramirez. They have beaten Cole Hamels, Zimmerman and Bumgarner in the past 1 1/2 weeks. Phillies bullpen is not much help, and with Blanton faltering, they'll need it(middle reliever Contreras out) Ruiz, their good hitting catcher still has a tight hamstring, Nix might be out, Victorino has been getting cortisone shots for when he is batting left-handed(which he will against Zambrano), and then there's Utley and Howard…….. Phils are in trouble. To their credit they have been doing fairly well, but I don't think it'll last.
Zambrano has pitched well this year with only one truly bad start (but no atrocious starts). He can also hit. But, he could give some runs, and the Marlin bullpen is about like the Phillies- mediocre.
Miami -1. 2 units
Miami RL. one unit
Miami-first 5 innings -1/2. One unit
Miami / Phillies- over 8.5

Like the White Sox as much. I guess if I go 1-1, I'll be down the vig. Love the way Seattle is hitting the ball, but they can't sustain it- especially in Chicago where they have been slaughtered the past many years. And especially against Chris Sale, who is looking like one of the new AL aces this year. He struck out 15 Rays in his last start, 11 Ks vs. Seattle earlier in the year, and has 24 Ks in his last 17.2 IPs. In those 17.2 IPs, only 2 runs and 10 hits. I've watched the Mariners a lot this year, and they are much improved, but scoring all these runs lately is partly due to some terrible pitching by Gavin Floyd and Derek Holland of Texas. Sale is one of those top notch lefties that Ichiro, Seager, Carp and Ackley really struggle with.

Meanwhile I'm not drinking the Millwood Kool-Aid. Yes, he has been very good lately, but below average pitchers like him will gravitate to their norm eventually. Many of the White Sox have knocked him around- Lifetime avgs. vs. Millwood: Dunn. 429, Hudson .421, Konerko. 367, Rios. 333. And Beckham, De Aza and Viceido are red hot lately. Pierzynski and Fukodome add 2 more lefty bats. Yikes!
Chicago. 2 units -1
Chicago-1/2 first 5 innings. One unit
Chicago RL. One unit.
I also like the TT, but I'll have to see what that is tomorrow.

On the Chisox/ Seattle game: Mariners also used up their bullpen a little too much Saturday. Wilhelmsen, who has been an effective set up guy, and probably League, are not available. Against this torrid White Sox lineup, Millwood will likely not go deep into this game.
Not going TT, but one more unit on the RL- Chicago.

The Miami/Phillies over you going 1 or 2 units?

Good Luck Today!

One on the over.

One unit- first 5 innings on Detroit -1/2. One unit. Verlander always follows up a rough outing(which are rare) with a strong outing. Cabrera is looking like he could be in a "zone"- hitting everything. Many lefties vs. Hughes, and some of the Tigers hit him well lifetime. I overestimated the Yankees yesterday. Against Verlander, first 5, I can't see them scoring more than one.

6-2, +7.1 units today. The Sox game was only close because Robin Ventura sat down some of his hottest hitters. Sale was everything I expected though and Millwood finally had a Millwood-type game.

Like the over in the night game- no units (small). Mets have been hitting everybody, and neither team has much of a bullpen. Cards also hit lefties fairly well. Got 8 at -130.

YTD: 87-76, +27.5 units