2012 MLB O/U Record: 145-141-13, -$1,086 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless bad breaks, obviously)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
8-4-1 in June so far, which is a positive sign for me getting back into my normal high 50’s-percentage rhythm. Once that happens, assuming the bad breaks have stopped plaguing me on a daily basis (And notice how I’m still not getting any good breaks, considering the last one I received was MAY 20), the money will easily take care of itself, which is why I still haven’t taken a day off - it’s inevitably guaranteed. Let’s start out the week right with these potential Monday night gems…
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Clayton Kershaw vs Vance Worley
UNDER 6.5/7
I’d be a lot more into this game if it didn’t have the significant variable of Major League pitcher making his return after a lengthy stint on the DL. I have much reason to be cautious, and somewhat gun-shy, with a game like this, as each of you should always be in this instances, as I found out first-hand a few Mondays ago in that TimStauffer vs Ross Detwiler matchup. As it turned out, Stauffer apparently came off the DL a little too early and went right back on it right after his start (Despite making a couple of wildly successful rehab starts), as it was yet another game where I made the right bet (Stauffer owned the Nationals last year and his rehab starts indicated he had his normal approach and stuff going), but was not rewarded because of the injury variable (And horrible defense in that game ugh), which is why you have to take it light here.
Let’s start with the one certain thing we can work with, that being Clayton Kershaw. Or is it a certainty? A couple of weeks ago, he was in a best bet under of mine against the Astros, partly because he owned the Astros in the past two years as much as any other pitcher has owned an opposing team, but was touched up a bit that evening, and thankfully, it was my brilliant investment and perception on "unknown" underrated hurler Lucas Harrell that won that under. In any case, that, along with his most recent start in which he got tagged for five runs in less than six innings against the Brewers, might lead us to believe that perhaps Kershaw isn’t as automatic as we all want him to be based on his remarkable 2011 campaign. At the very least, he’s obviously one of the best in the game, and Kershaw is the kind of hard-working, passionate guy who strives in bouncing back from off performances. In fact, throughout all of last year,in the few instances Kershaw allowed four or more runs in a start, he allowed two or less in the next start in all but one occurrence. At the end of the day, this is a guy who takes a lot of pride in being one of the best out there so this is not a start he is taking for granted, especially airing nationally on ESPN. Thus, we should see him in top form.
That’s the easy part. Here’s the hard part: Taking a low under and expecting to get Vance Worley back in his usual form, even after making ZERO rehab starts. I mean, then again, Philadelphia handles pitching staffs as well as anybody in the game so you have to trustw hat they’re doing with Worley here. If they feel he’s had good bullpen sessions and didn’t need to go out on a rehab assignment, then you accept that with confidence. That’s what I’m doing here, albeit a little bit on the cautious side as well after being scarred from the aforementioned Stauffer incident, because Worley comes off as an intelligent man and a pitcher’spitcher. He’s picked up right where he left off last season, as he’s registered a 3-2 record with a 3.07 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, with his best stat being his impressive 45:15 K:BB ratio in 44 innings. I hope he doesn’t pull another Stauffer and magically appear on the DL after this game - if not, we should be in good shape for this under along the lines of 4-2.
**Will Add More Over/Unders Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
(And with more write-ups)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
8-4-1 in June so far, which is a positive sign for me getting back into my normal high 50’s-percentage rhythm. Once that happens, assuming the bad breaks have stopped plaguing me on a daily basis (And notice how I’m still not getting any good breaks, considering the last one I received was MAY 20), the money will easily take care of itself, which is why I still haven’t taken a day off - it’s inevitably guaranteed. Let’s start out the week right with these potential Monday night gems…
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Clayton Kershaw vs Vance Worley
UNDER 6.5/7
I’d be a lot more into this game if it didn’t have the significant variable of Major League pitcher making his return after a lengthy stint on the DL. I have much reason to be cautious, and somewhat gun-shy, with a game like this, as each of you should always be in this instances, as I found out first-hand a few Mondays ago in that TimStauffer vs Ross Detwiler matchup. As it turned out, Stauffer apparently came off the DL a little too early and went right back on it right after his start (Despite making a couple of wildly successful rehab starts), as it was yet another game where I made the right bet (Stauffer owned the Nationals last year and his rehab starts indicated he had his normal approach and stuff going), but was not rewarded because of the injury variable (And horrible defense in that game ugh), which is why you have to take it light here.
Let’s start with the one certain thing we can work with, that being Clayton Kershaw. Or is it a certainty? A couple of weeks ago, he was in a best bet under of mine against the Astros, partly because he owned the Astros in the past two years as much as any other pitcher has owned an opposing team, but was touched up a bit that evening, and thankfully, it was my brilliant investment and perception on "unknown" underrated hurler Lucas Harrell that won that under. In any case, that, along with his most recent start in which he got tagged for five runs in less than six innings against the Brewers, might lead us to believe that perhaps Kershaw isn’t as automatic as we all want him to be based on his remarkable 2011 campaign. At the very least, he’s obviously one of the best in the game, and Kershaw is the kind of hard-working, passionate guy who strives in bouncing back from off performances. In fact, throughout all of last year,in the few instances Kershaw allowed four or more runs in a start, he allowed two or less in the next start in all but one occurrence. At the end of the day, this is a guy who takes a lot of pride in being one of the best out there so this is not a start he is taking for granted, especially airing nationally on ESPN. Thus, we should see him in top form.
That’s the easy part. Here’s the hard part: Taking a low under and expecting to get Vance Worley back in his usual form, even after making ZERO rehab starts. I mean, then again, Philadelphia handles pitching staffs as well as anybody in the game so you have to trustw hat they’re doing with Worley here. If they feel he’s had good bullpen sessions and didn’t need to go out on a rehab assignment, then you accept that with confidence. That’s what I’m doing here, albeit a little bit on the cautious side as well after being scarred from the aforementioned Stauffer incident, because Worley comes off as an intelligent man and a pitcher’spitcher. He’s picked up right where he left off last season, as he’s registered a 3-2 record with a 3.07 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, with his best stat being his impressive 45:15 K:BB ratio in 44 innings. I hope he doesn’t pull another Stauffer and magically appear on the DL after this game - if not, we should be in good shape for this under along the lines of 4-2.
**Will Add More Over/Unders Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
(And with more write-ups)