Wednesday: Oh no, not the Royals again YTD: 94-81, +29.6 units

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Decent night Tuesday, 4-3(+1.6 units) and thanks to Texas. No thanks to Detroit. Keep it in your mental bank: Certain teams are overrated based on what they have done last year OR can do if playing to their potential. These teams have high juice and should be carefully played. I'm thinking the Brewers last year, and Detroit, the Red Sox, Phils, and Cards this year. In baseball, it doesn't take much regression to turn a team into a below .500 mediocre has-been. We'll see. These teams can get hot again like Boston as of late.

KC Royals: This game has all the right components for a win. Except, as someone pointed out on my thread this past weekend, it's the Royals. Still, you got to like their chances against Blackburn coming off the DL. Blackburn was allowing hitters to hit .333 on him and an 8.00+ ERA. In fact, Blackburn's career shows he usually allows a +.300 batting avg. against. He has also given up 7 HRs in 33 innings. This might have been the reason he was put on the DL, to avoid anymore bloodshed. Now the Royals hit righties well and because Blackburn will be limited in pitch count, we might see some of the horrible middle relief of the Twins. How do we know they're bad, because if they were any good, they would be starting in this dreadful rotation.

Paulino is remarkable in that he has two great outings vs. the Yanks, and one against the Orioles. He also has more than a K per inning. He has always had a good fastball, but now has more movement on his pitches. The Twins are hitting better lately, but I'm thinking this will be one of their off games. Mauer might still be out. Tonight's 0 run game might be a an indicator of what we'll see tomorrow. The Royals also have established a very good bullpen which they'll need to finish the game- since Paulino usually goes only 6 or 7 IPs.
KC-1. 2 units
KC RL. one unit
KC - 1/2 first 5 innings.

I also think the Royals are aching to show their home fans they CAN win at home. Losing to Blackburn would be the ultimate embarrassment.
 

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Sorry about the small write-ups. Need some sleep.

Pittsburgh/ Cinn: Under 7.5. One unit. Good number. Nothing wrong with Cueto, just off lately. Pirates often have low scoring game following a high scoring one. Lincoln looks like a good 5 inning pitcher. Both teams have solid BPs.

Chisox. ML. Two units. I am playing this on the premise that the White Sox hit righties well, are still hot, and Morrow is going to have one of his off games. Sox like fastball pitchers like Morrow. Qunitana is one of those guys who it's hard to get good contact on. Also, Blue Jays have never seen him before, struggle with LHPs more, and just can't sustain any momentum. CHisox better bullpen too.

Tampa.ML/ -1/2 unit first 5 innings- one unit(split in half) Cobb has a great change up and decent other pitches- low 90s fastball. Nova has consistently given up about 5 runs a game. Tampa is possibly the best overachievers in MLB.
 

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Add Texas TT over 4. Again I can't remember seeing the Rangers at 4 for a TT for a long while. Colon has lost something in his last many starts. He has many fewer Ks than last year, or earlier this year. From what I've read, he almost pitches too many strikes and hitters are having to fish for bad pitches. In his last 32 IPs, he has yielded 52 hits, 7 HRs (which is really unlike him) and only about 3 Ks a game. The Rangers are not hitting like they were, but against Colon (like Blackley last night), I think 4 is a great number. One unit.
 

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