Denton's 6/6 MLB Analysis

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These are just my opinions on some of the games on today's card. Nothing in this post is an official play, the purpose of it is just to give some insight on a few of the games going on today.

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees : 7:05 pm EST

Odds: Rays +132/Yankees -142 ( O/U 9.5 )

The Yankees bats have finally started producing runs consistently and the wins have started piling on which catapulted the Yanks from the bottom of the AL East to only being half a game out of 1st. The Rays win games off of their starting pitching and with Alex Cobb starting on the mound against this hot Yankee lineup I don't see the Rays getting the great pitching they will be looking for. The Yankees should be able to score quite a few runs in this one and should be able to get the W here, but at -142 this line is just right about where it should be. Ivan Nova hasn't been great for the Yankees so far this season but the Rays offense is one of the easiest Nova will face all season. I feel both this line and total are pretty accurate so I don't really lean towards anything in this one.

Lean: None

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals : 7:05 pm EST

Odds: Mets +140/Nationals -150 ( O/U 8 )

Both teams here have exceeded expectations to this point this season and both have done so because of very good play at home. The Mets are only 12-13 on the road this season while the Nats have a very good 17-9 home record. Mets starter Jeremy Hefner has been pretty bad so far in his few starts this season and this Nationals team is full of players who take advantage of pitching mistakes in every way possible so it could be a long day for Hefner. The Nats will string together at least a few runs in this one and I really like them to win this one quite a bit, but considering they are such a considerable favorite that is to be expected. I don't bet anything over -150 so this is right at the cutoff for me, but I would definitely have some action on Washington if this line was in the -140 range. Not enough line value for me here but I do like the Nats to win this one.

Lean: Washington Nationals ML

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies : 7:05 pm EST

Odds: Dodgers +100/Phillies -110 ( O/U 8 )

The Dodgers have all kinds of injury problems, but their excellent pitching has kept them afloat recently even without quality run production. The Phillies on the other hand continue to lose games because their starting pitching hasn't been as good as expected and they just can't put up enough runs to combat the poor pitching. Hard for me to say I like either side here because I feel the Dodgers are going to implode any day now and go on a terrible losing stretch but I'm reluctant to trust this Phillies team to show up on any given day. Easy pass for me in this one.

Lean: None







 

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