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Rays And Yankees Close Out Series In Bronx

The Yankees are 6-9 when CC Sabathia takes the ball against the Rays.

It can often be a double-edged sword when we have a quick rematch of starting hurlers. That is especially true when it's a battle we've seen often in recent seasons, and that is the backdrop when the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees once again pique our interest with an outstanding matchup of southpaws on Thursday to close the crucial AL East series.

CC Sabathia and the Pinstripe Posse opened as $1.45 favorites in the 7:05 p.m. (ET) first pitch at the House That George Built. Tampa Bay's David Price slings in opposition with an 7½-run total that leans 'over.'

Sabathia and Price met exactly four weeks ago on the same diamond, and it was the Yanks who scored a 5-3 win to reward NY backers who were paying -135. Sabathia's stake to being the staff ace of the mighty Yankees since he joined the team for the '09 season is well deserved, and New York is a healthy 8-3 with their rotund lefty on the hill this campaign.

Still, the Rays in general, and Price specifically, have given Sabathia trouble with the Yanks 6-9 in his 15 career starts while wearing pinstripes vs. Tampa Bay. Price checks in Thursday with the Rays 8-5 in his 13 lifetime assignments against New York, and they were a perfect 5-0 when he matched up with Sabathia before May's tussle.

There are some conflicting totals trends for these pitchers; the 'under' is 6-5 in Price's starts, including each of his last four outings, while the 'over' has cashed in Sabathia's last two trips to the mound and seven of 11 for the season.

New York took Game 1 of the set on Tuesday by a 7-0 count. The Yankees were -130 for that contest and -145 for Game 2 on Wednesday, with those results still pending.

Tribe & Tigers Close Motown Series With Matinee
The close-knit races in both East Divisions have served to push the other geographical sets to back burners. Simmering among the groups is the AL Central that was supposed to belong solely to the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers are instead a hunter, instead of the hunted.

Detroit and the Cleveland Indians are indeed on the prowl of the elusive Chicago White Sox as the Tigers and Tribe complete a key series in Motown with a Thursday afternoon affair (1:05 p.m. ET). Cleveland trots Derek Lowe to the Comerica Park bump in a game that opened as a pick against Detroit rookie Casey Crosby. The total is either nine favoring the 'over' or 9½ with an 'under' lean depending where you look.

Cleveland halted a 7-game losing skid in Detroit with a 4-2 victory in Tuesday's opener, which closed with the Indians +145 underdogs. Game 2 on Wednesday found Detroit once again significant 160 chalk with a 9-run total.

Atlanta was simply looking to dump some salary when dispatching Lowe to the Indians in an offseason deal. Lowe lost 17 games for the Braves with a 5.05 ERA last year, and was seen as just a veteran innings eater for a suspect Cleveland staff. Instead, he has elevated his game and his status to ace of the Tribe's rotation.

Cleveland is 7-4 behind Lowe with his backers up about $3.20 so far. He will be facing the Tigers for the first time in about four years, his last start vs. Detroit coming in a 2008 interleague contest while Lowe wore a Dodgers uniform.

Crosby was called up on June 1 to take the rotation slot left vacant by Doug Fister's second stint on the DL for 2012. His MLB debut came against the Yankees and certainly didn't go as either Crosby or the Tigers hoped. He was chased one out into the fourth and ultimately charged with six runs, half of them coming plateward on a Curtis Granderson bleacher bomb.

Detroit owned this matchup from 2009-11, winning 35 of the 54 clashes. The Motown Cats were also on a 13-2 run at Comerica entering Wednesday. Cleveland served notice a couple of weeks ago at home that the Tigers' overall dominance might be coming to an end with a sweep to stop a 10-game Detroit string of dubyas. It should be pointed out, however, that the Indians opened 2011 with a broom job at home before losing 12 of the final 15 meetings on the slate.
 

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Diamond Trends - Wednesday

June 6, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Indians are 0-11 since May 30, 2011 as a road dog when they blew a lead in their starter’s last start and lost for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Rockies are 0-13 OU (-3.7 rpg) since 2005 after losing by double-digits last game while scoring two or fewer runs.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Brewers are 14-0 since May 15, 2011 when Zack Greinke starts as a home 140+ favorite for a net profit of $1400.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Indians are 0-15 (-2.7 rpg) since September 2008 as an away dog vs. AL team after a night game win where they walked no more than one batter.


TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Reds are 9-0 since July 31, 2011 when Johnny Cueto starts as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has averaged 7+ strikeouts per game for a net profit of $900.

The Giants are 7-0 since July 06, 2011 when Madison Bumgarner starts as a favorite after more strike outs than hits allowed for a net profit of $700.
 

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Yankees try to stay hot vs. slumping Rays

TAMPA BAY RAYS (31-24)

at NEW YORK YANKEES (30-24)


First pitch: Wednesday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -140, Tampa Bay +130, Total: 9½

After shutting the Rays out 7-0 in the series opener Tuesday, the Yankees will look to move past Tampa in the AL East standings with another win Wednesday.

Ivan Nova takes the hill for the Yankees, who always seem to win games when he starts, even when he doesn’t pitch his best. The Yankees have won eight of Nova’s 10 starts this year, despite his 5.60 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Nova has a 3-0 career record versus Tampa Bay with a 3.56 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, with the Yankees winning all five times he has started against the Rays in his career. Getting a whopping 8.62 runs per game of support (sixth-most in majors), Nova usually just has to pitch mediocre in order to get the victory. On Wednesday he faces Alex Cobb, who has a 3.71 ERA in three starts this season. Cobb has started once against the Yankees in his career, allowing one earned runs on just three hits in six innings. His last outing from this year was his worst of the 2012 campaign, allowing nine hits and four earned in five innings to the White Sox. And Cobb may have trouble with run support in this game as the Rays have notched just 20 runs (2.9 per game) in their past seven games, a span in which they are 2-5. On the other hand, the Yankees bats are hot, scoring 5.6 runs per game and slugging .478 in their past 12 contests (9-3 record). As favorites, expect NEW YORK to win again.

This rare four-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Yankees:

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (N.Y. YANKEES) - starting a well-rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, with a well-rested bullpen - threw 4 innings or less over last 3 games. (53-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +37 units. Rating = 4*).

The Yankees have done well against the Rays at home, winning three of four this year and going 13-9 against them over the past three seasons at Yankee Stadium. To Nova’s credit, even though he has given up a fair number of runs this season, he still makes it deep into games, averaging more than six innings per start. Once he gets that far he is supported by the spectacular Yankees bullpen that has a 2.78 ERA on the season with 14 saves and only two blown opportunities. The New York lineup appears to be fully intact, as star 2B Robinson Cano (forearm) is expected to play. The Yankees should be in good position to secure a series victory in this game, play on them.

The Rays are just 12-13 on the road this season and will need their bats to heat up to compete in this game. Tampa Bay has just a .235 batting average on the season (fifth-worst in MLB), which must improve to accommodate its pitching. And their bullpen has been strong overall with a 3.45 ERA, but that mark jumps to a painful 5.62 on the road. And despite the Rays stellar 23-12 record (.657) against right-handed starters, they are hitting a paltry .236 with a .308 OBP in these games. Tampa Bay is cold and difficult to put confidence in on the road right now. Play against.
 

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Wednesday’s betting tips: M’s starter going on short rest

Weather to watch

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics – 12 mph winds are expected to blow out to right-centerfield.

Who’s hot

NBA: Thunder are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.

NHL: Kings are 9-1 in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite.

MLB: Home team is 5-0 in umpire Alfonso Marquez's last five games behind home plate. He's scheduled to work Wednesday's Royals-Twins matchup.

WNBA: Minnesota Lynx are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Who’s not

NBA: Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

NHL: Under is 1-4-1 in the Devils' last six road games.

MLB: The Chicago Cubs are 0-4 in Paul Maholm's last four starts.

WNBA: Seattle Storm are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings with Minnesota.

Key stat

8.5 – The New Jersey Devils have just three power-play goals over the last two series, spanning 35 chances with a man advantage (8.5 percent) and have yet to connect with the man advantage in the Stanley Cup finals. The Devils failed to score on any of their six power plays in Game 3’s shutout loss to Los Angeles and are set as +170 underdogs in Wednesday’s Game 4.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Aramis Ramirez, Milwaukee Brewers – Ramirez sat out his second straight game Tuesday with a strained left quad injury and reportedly isn’t close to 100 percent. He’s hitting just .240 but has five homers and 30 RBI in the middle of the Brewers’ order.

Game of the day

San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5, 201.5)

Notable quotable

“You know, championship teams win on the road, and Oklahoma City just did that. So they've proven they're a championship caliber team. We have to go do that. If we can't win on Wednesday, we're not a championship caliber team. It's as simple as that. You look at anybody who's won championships, and they've won on the road as the process goes along. It's what you do. And they just did it. So we need to do the same thing to hold serve." – San Antonio Spurs coach Gregg Popovich ahead of Game 6.

Notes and tips

The Seattle Mariners send struggling starter Heator Noesi to the mound Wednesday against the Los Angeles Angels on just three days’ rest. Seattle was forced to skip Felix Hernandez in the rotation this time around as the ace deals with a sore back, forcing Noesi to move up. He hasn’t won a start in a full month and gave up three homers and six earned runs before getting the hook after 4 1/3 innings on Saturday. Seattle opened around +140 for Wednesday's game.

The Minnesota Lynx are closing in on the best record to start a season in WNBA history. Minnesota has won its first seven of the year – two away from tying the mark set by the 2001 and 2003 L.A Sparks - but the Lynx feel like they need to be better. They have dropped three of their last five against the number. "We're going to have to clean it up; we're not going to just rest on 'Yeah, we got the win," Maya Moore told reporters recently. "When we play at our best we feel unstoppable, and we still haven't played at our best." Minnesota is a 12-point favorite Wednesday at home to Seattle.
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Phil Steele's college football magazine is out; lot of great info in there for the coming season. Here are the six teams that had the best turnover ratios in the country last season.......

6) NC State, +14-- Senior QB Glennon back after 31 TDs, 12 INT LY.

T3) Wisconsin, +16-- Former NC State QB Wilson gone after one year.
T3) Houston, +16-- Coach Sumlin won, then took off to Texas A&M.
T3) Toledo, +16-- Coach Beckman won, then took off to Illinois.

2) LSU, +20-- Are now +51 in turnovers, the last five seasons.

1) Oklahoma State, +21-- Lost seven starters on offense; have a new QB.


***************


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random midweek stuff.........

13) So far this season, 39 pitchers (20 in NL, 19 in AL) have pitched 9+ innings in a game; those pitchers are a combined 36-1, 0.41 in those 39 games, with Jake Peavy the only pitcher to lose (1-0). Cliff Lee (10 IP) and Matt Cain hooked up in a scoreless duel out west, with neither pitcher getting a decision. Everyone else won their start. But what happened to those 39 pitchers after going nine?

12) In their next start after going nine (five of the 39 have yet to make that next start), those same pitchers are 12-10, 3.23; in their second start after going nine, they drop to 7-13, 5.75 and in the third start out, 7-10, 5.14. So the question needs to be asked, is it wise, in this day and age of coddling pitchers, to let a guy go nine innings?

11) Cain, Peavy and Johan Santana are the only pitchers to go nine in consecutive starts this season; Cain/Peavy combined to go 0-1, 3.86 in that third start, while Santana’s third start, with two days’ extra rest after his no-hitter, will be Friday in the Bronx.

10) If you take the three starts after a pitcher goes nine, you see that the over is 46-30-6 in those games. Do what you want with that information.

9) Lakers picked up option on Andrew Bynum for next year, a $16.1M option; for that much cash, he should have to at least pretend to pay attention in every huddle—if you make $16M, you’re supposed to be a team leader. How about acting like one?

8) Five colleges had guys taken in the first round of both of NFL/MLB drafts this year: LSU-Stanford-Texas A&M-Oklahoma State-Mississippi State.

7) Typical Clippers; they have their best season in 20 years, but then let their GM walk to Portland, bringing their franchise’s momentum to a screeching halt. Its just no way to run a business.

6) Spurs are on a 3-game losing skid but still have life; last NBA champ that had a 3-game skid during the playoffs: the ’04 Pistons, who lost Games 3-5 in the second round, against the Nets.

5) John Mellencamp’s son will walk-on as a football player at Duke this fall; thought he might go to Indiana, where one of the buildings near their basketball arena is named after the famous singer.

4) Attendance at baseball games in the Bronx is down 1,542 fans a game (3.6%) this year, after being down 3% last year; the arrogant bastards who run the franchise are blaming StubHub. I’m blaming the fact that the damn tickets are just too freakin’ expensive!!!! Oh yeah, and the $9 beers don’t help, either.

3) Forgot to mention this when I was in Las Vegas last month; my rental car had a keyless ignition, just pushed a button to start the car. Never saw that before. Would’ve been nice if someone had told me that the car won’t start unless you also had your foot on the brake. Had to figure that one out on my own, and I'm not that smart. Took me a while

2) Mets-Nationals game Tuesday night wasn't terribly well-played, but it was a facinating game, filled with strategy and twists/turns, with Valdespin hitting a homer/double, then making two crucial errors, and he didn't even get into the game until the sixth inning.

Baseball without the DH is a hell of a lot more interesting; makes managers think more and do more, and thats part of what makes baseball great. This game was a perfect example of that.

1) Then there are the Miami Heat, on the brink of another playoff failure; James/Wade combined to shoot 21-47, the rest of the team 11-35. Bosh got back from his injury and had six offensive rebounds in 12 minutes, but why did he only play 12 minutes?

Spurs/Celtics were both up 2-0, now both have to win road games to keep their seasons alive; who would've thought that?
 

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Public opinion: Spurs-Thunder bettors love the over

Odds and consensus percentages current as of 8 p.m. ET, Tuesday.

NBA:

San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5, 201.5)


Not long ago, the Spurs were unbeatable. Now they’re a loss away from elimination. Oklahoma City has all the momentum and those books that posted early lines of Thunder -4.5 quickly moved to -5. Meanwhile, bettors are jumping at the over.

Consensus: Over, 71.4 percent

NHL:

New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings (-180, 4.5)


The Los Angeles Kings have absolutely dominated the Devils in the finals – at least on the scoreboard. The Kings have outscored New Jersey 8-2 through the first three games. Los Angeles has allowed three goals in just two games during the postseason.

Consensus: Kings, 62.9 percent

MLB:

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (+140, 7.5)


Texas’ Colby Lewis has been hot and cold for the last little while, but did allow just two earned runs in his last trip to the hill. Texas’ offense, putting up a league-best 5.51 runs per game, continues to sway bettors.

Consensus: Rangers, 64 percent.

WNBA:

Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx (-12, 147)


Minnesota keeps rolling along after capturing last season’s title, but the word is out on how good this Lynx club is. While Minnesota is 7-0 straight up this year, the team is just 4-3 against the spread, dropping three of its last five against the number.

Consensus: Over, 60.2 percent
 

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MLB
Dunkel


Colorado at Arizona
The Rockies look to bounce back from last night's 10-0 loss and build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Colorado is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 6

Game 901-902: San Francisco at San Diego (6:35 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.385; San Diego (Richard) 13.223
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Over

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 14.306; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.932
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Under

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 15.386; Washington (Jackson) 16.410
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-155); Under

Game 907-908: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Delgado) 16.734; Miami (Johnson) 15.685
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+135); Over

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 16.124; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.848
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-185); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+165); Over

Game 911-912: St. Louis at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.017; Houston (Norris) 15.135
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under

Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Maholm) 14.535; Milwaukee (Greinke) 14.824
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-210); Over

Game 915-916: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Outman) 16.016; Arizona (Miley) 15.216
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Under

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 16.604; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.888
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+125); Under

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 14.253; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.421
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Over

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.919; Boston (Beckett) 14.334
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Over

Game 923-924: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 16.284; White Sox (Quintana) 17.471
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); Under

Game 925-926: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 13.978; Kansas City (Paulino) 15.690
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-160); Over

Game 927-928: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 15.674; Oakland (Colon) 14.450
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150); Under

Game 929-930: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Noesi) 17.106; LA Angels (Williams) 16.219
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+135); Over
 

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MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, June 6


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SAN FRANCISCO (31 - 24) at SAN DIEGO (18 - 37) - 6:35 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-23 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 63-91 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-30 (-14.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 48-64 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 48-62 (-16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-62 (-23.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 4-16 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BUMGARNER is 2-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.3 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
RICHARD is 5-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.249.
His team's record is 6-3 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.3 units)

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LA DODGERS (34 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 28) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 10-22 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
KENDRICK is 48-29 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 34-21 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 34-21 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-11 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-10 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CAPUANO is 0-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
KENDRICK is 3-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.98 and a WHIP of 1.739.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

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NY METS (31 - 24) at WASHINGTON (30 - 22) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY HEFNER (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 110-104 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-35 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-43 (+16.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 110-104 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 72-69 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-43 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 31-24 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 55-50 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 37-20 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 15-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 30-22 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 37-34 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 24-10 (+17.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
JACKSON is 5-12 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JEREMY HEFNER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

EDWIN JACKSON vs. NY METS since 1997
JACKSON is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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ATLANTA (29 - 25) at MIAMI (31 - 23) - 7:10 PM
RANDALL DELGADO (R) vs. JOSH JOHNSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 26-40 (-19.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 41-47 (-19.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 491-458 (+46.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
MIAMI is 47-57 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-24 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-57 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-44 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-44 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-59 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

RANDALL DELGADO vs. MIAMI since 1997
DELGADO is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 0.90 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
JOHNSON is 5-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 8-7 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.6 units)

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PITTSBURGH (27 - 26) at CINCINNATI (30 - 23) - 7:10 PM
BRAD LINCOLN (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 66-137 (-47.5 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 37-88 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 206-421 (-96.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 52-50 (+12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LINCOLN is 5-0 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

BRAD LINCOLN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LINCOLN is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CUETO is 11-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 11-6 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-5. (+4.6 units)

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ST LOUIS (28 - 27) at HOUSTON (23 - 31) - 8:05 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 115-103 (-33.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 33-25 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NORRIS is 8-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 8-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 23-15 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 93-67 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 36-13 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 22-4 (+18.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 25-8 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 80-138 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 51-104 (-38.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+1.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 10-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.012.
His team's record is 11-1 (+9.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.6 units)

BUD NORRIS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
NORRIS is 7-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 1.146.
His team's record is 9-2 (+13.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.4 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (18 - 36) at MILWAUKEE (24 - 30) - 8:10 PM
PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-36 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 6-21 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 131-160 (-49.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-65 (-21.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-36 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 6-17 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 888-957 (-168.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 7-20 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MAHOLM is 2-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAHOLM is 5-18 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 43-12 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 31-11 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 21-1 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 31-11 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 14-0 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 24-30 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-30 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.2 Units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MAHOLM is 3-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.396.
His team's record is 6-14 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.6 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GREINKE is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

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COLORADO (24 - 30) at ARIZONA (25 - 30) - 9:40 PM
JOSH OUTMAN (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 97-121 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 29-39 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 123-222 (-53.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 75-113 (-38.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-26 (-16.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-58 (-24.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 97-121 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 120-135 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 85-91 (-31.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 122-102 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 45-29 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-42 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 122-102 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 70-48 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 8-1 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
ARIZONA is 93-101 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 13-23 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JOSH OUTMAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
OUTMAN is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

WADE MILEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
MILEY is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.462.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
 

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TAMPA BAY (31 - 23) at NY YANKEES (29 - 24) - 7:05 PM
ALEX COBB (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NOVA is 27-11 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 30-12 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 106-84 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-8 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 452-543 (+27.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 75-72 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

ALEX COBB vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
COBB is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

IVAN NOVA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
NOVA is 3-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.220.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

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CLEVELAND (28 - 25) at DETROIT (25 - 29) - 7:05 PM
JEANMAR GOMEZ (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 62-32 (+20.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 14-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 111-107 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 108-104 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 80-66 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-13 (+12.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
GOMEZ is 19-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 25-29 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 1-7 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
DETROIT is 25-29 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-0 (+3.6 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JEANMAR GOMEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
GOMEZ is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.96 and a WHIP of 2.065.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SCHERZER is 4-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.510.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (+0.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (30 - 24) at BOSTON (28 - 26) - 7:10 PM
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BECKETT is 17-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 30-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 16-11 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 27-18 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-18 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 18-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 49-48 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-50 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-29 (-15.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-44 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-50 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-2 (+2.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. BOSTON since 1997
CHEN is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BECKETT is 7-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 10-8 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-9. (-3.2 units)

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TORONTO (28 - 26) at CHI WHITE SOX (31 - 23) - 8:10 PM
BRANDON MORROW (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-23 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 233-176 (+42.3 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 572-581 (+41.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MORROW is 14-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MORROW is 7-0 (+7.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MORROW is 25-13 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-63 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-59 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 7-13 (-8.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-59 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 63-69 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-41 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON MORROW vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MORROW is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.632.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (21 - 33) at KANSAS CITY (23 - 30) - 8:10 PM
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. FELIPE PAULINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 84-133 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-66 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 81-126 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 57-100 (-29.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-10 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 72-63 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 7-19 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 7-19 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BLACKBURN is 2-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.03 and a WHIP of 1.436.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

FELIPE PAULINO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PAULINO is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.231.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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TEXAS (32 - 23) at OAKLAND (24 - 31) - 10:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 130-70 (+48.2 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
TEXAS is 18-3 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 102-63 (+17.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLON is 102-84 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 96-81 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 1-8 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LEWIS is 7-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 9-7 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.3 units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. TEXAS since 1997
COLON is 17-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 18-9 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-15. (-6.5 units)

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SEATTLE (25 - 32) at LA ANGELS (28 - 28) - 10:05 PM
HECTOR NOESI (R) vs. JEROME WILLIAMS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 154-228 (-59.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 49-87 (-30.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 11-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 15-13 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 119-113 (-63.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 130-138 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-1 (+2.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

HECTOR NOESI vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
NOESI is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 0.875.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WILLIAMS is 3-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
 

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Sep 26, 2005
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, June 6


Hot pitchers
-- Richard is 1-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.
-- Kendrick is 2-1, 1.97 in his last five starts.
-- Nationals lost last five Jackson starts, despite his 2.94 RA.
-- JJohnson is 3-0, 3.09 in his last five starts.
-- Lincoln allowed two runs in six IP in his only start May 14.
-- Greinke is 3-0, 1.30 in his five home starts.
-- Miley is 3-1, 3.33 in his last four starts. Outman threw 3.1 shutout innings in his first '12 start, a win over the Dodgers.

-- Scherzer is 3-0, 3.93 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 2-1, 2.20 in his last four starts.
-- Morrow is 6-2, 2.77 in his last eight starts. Quintana is 1-0, 2.79 in his two starts for Chicago.
-- Paulino is 3-1, 1.70 in six starts for the Royals.
-- JWilliams is 3-1, 2.96 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Bumgarner is 0-2, 5.95 in his last three road starts.
-- Hefner allowed nine runs in 9.2 IP in his two '12 starts.
-- Capuano is 1-2, 6.11 in his last three starts.
-- Delgado is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Cueto is 1-3, 5.96 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-3, 5.17 in his last five starts. Norris allowed 12 runs in 6.1 IP in his last two starts.
-- Cubs lost Maholm's last four starts (0-2, 5.96).

-- Nova has a 6.39 RA in his last seven starts. Cobb is 2-1, 4.76 in his three starts for the Rays.
-- Gomez is 0-2, 9.90 in his last couple starts.
-- WChen is 0-2, 7.31 in his last three starts.
-- Blackburn is 1-3, 9.82 in his last five starts.
-- Lewis is 1-4, 6.25 in his last six starts. Colon is 1-4, 7.33 in his last five starts.
-- Noesi is 0-3, 4.81 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Mets are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last ten games.
-- Reds won seven of their last nine home games. Pittsburgh won eight of its last ten games overall.
-- Giants won seven of their last nine games.
-- Colorado won seven of its last nine games.

-- Bronx Bombers won nine of their last twelve games. Tampa Bay won five of its last seven road games.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last twelve home games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight games. Royals won seven of their last ten games.
-- White Sox won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last eleven road games. Angels won 11 of their last 14 games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost four of its last six games.
-- Braves lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Cardinals lost 10 of their last 12 road games. Houston lost eight of its last ten games overall.
-- Cubs lost 11 of their last 12 road games. Brewers lost three of four.
-- Philly lost eight of its last ten home games. Dodgers lost six of their last nine games overall.
-- Arizona lost 15 of its last 22 home games.
-- Padres lost eight of their last ten games.

-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games. Detroit lost six of eight.
-- Orioles lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Toronto lost five of its last six road games.
-- Oakland lost 11 of its last 13 games. Texas lost five of last seven.

Totals
-- Over is 17-4 in Mets' last twenty-one road games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in the Phillies' last nine games.
-- Reds' last four home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Atlanta's last nine road games.
-- Four of last six Houston road games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in Cubs' last ten road games.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Four of last six games at Petco Park stayed under.

-- Under is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Bronx home games.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Cleveland's last thirteen road games.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games stayed under total. Last five games at Fenway Park went over.
-- This is ***************.com. Its payday, well it is for me!!!!
-- Over is 6-3-1 in Minnesota's last ten road games. Six of last eight Kansas City games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 13 White Sox home games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Seattle road games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Rangers' last eleven games.

Umpires
-- SF-SD-- Underdogs won four of last five Bucknor games.
-- LA-Phil-- Six of last nine Cousins games stayed under total.
-- NY-Wsh-- Bell's last four games all went over the total.
-- Atl-Mia-- Last five Barksdale games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Three of last four Muchinski games stayed under.
-- StL-Hst-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Hernandez games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Last five Everitt games stayed under the total.
-- Col-Az-- Underdogs won eight of last eleven McClelland games.

-- TB-NY-- Four of last five Porter games went over the total.
-- Clev-Det-- Underdog won last seven Gibson games, with last three going over the total.
-- Balt-Bos-- Home side won eight of last ten Layne games.
-- Tor-Chi-- Road team won four of six Estabrook games, with last three won by the favorite.
-- Min-KC-- Home side won seven of last eight Marquez games; under is 3-0-2 in his last five games.
-- Tex-A's-- Underdogs won five of last seven Barry games.
-- Sea-LAA-- Underdogs won five of last seven Tichenor games.
 

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Wednesday, June 6


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Trend Report
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6:35 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 14 of San Francisco's last 21 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing San Francisco

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of NY Mets's last 21 games on the road
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
LA Dodgers are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
LA Dodgers are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
Atlanta is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing St. Louis

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Toronto
Chi White Sox are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Colorado's last 17 games
Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Arizona is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Texas is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
Seattle is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Angels's last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle
 

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Wednesday, June 6


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Wednesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers (5-3, 5.55 ERA)


Scherzer has been throwing fireballs over his last three starts. He has won each of those outings and the Tigers have won all five of his last turns in the rotation. In his last three, the St. Louis native has struck out 30 batters while walking just five. The only downside to his streak is that he’s allowed at least one homer in seven consecutive outings.

Felipe Paulino, Kansas City Royals (3-1, 1.70 ERA)

Paulino has quickly become the Royals’ ace after pitching shutouts in four of his six starts this season. The big righty held the Athletics off the board for six innings last week, striking out five and walking three. With a fastball that averages in the mid-90s, he’s always been a big punch-out pitcher, but now he’s keeping the ball down and limiting his walks.


Slumping

Wei-Yen Chen, Baltimore Orioles (4-2, 3.75 ERA)


Chen allowed five earned runs in the first inning last week before settling down a bit to pitch 5 1/3 innings. He also struggled with his control, walking five batters. The Orioles have lost each of his last five trips to the mound and the lefty is working on a fat 7.31 ERA over that span.

Bud Norris, Houston Astros (5-2, 4.52 ERA)

Norris was one of the most profitable pitchers on MLB’s money list standing up until his last two starts. He was smoked for seven hits and nine earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings during last week’s loss in Colorado. The allowed three runs on eight hits over 4 2/3 innings in another loss before that and is reportedly dealing with a hip flexor problem that could have something to do with his
 

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Wednesday, June 6


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Cards should be best bet in MLB according to run differential

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We’re a little more than one-third of the way through the baseball season, and we’re still struggle to separate the contenders from the pretenders.

Looking at teams' run differential sand using the Bill James Pythagorean Theorem can help spot some overvalued and undervalued teams.

The Pythagorean Theorem, devised by the noted baseball statistician and author, is based on the theory that runs scored and allowed are a better indicator of a team's future performance than its current winning percentage. A team's Pythagorean Winning Percentage is determined by this formula: Winning percentage = (runs scored*2/runs scored*2+runs allowed*2)

Using the formula, let's look at two teams overachieving and two who are underachieving.

THE OVERACHIEVERS

NEW YORK METS

The Mets have been a great story, getting off to a 31-24 start after being picked universally to finish last in the National League East. Their fans have began to wonder if the Mets are the team of destiny following left hander Johan Santana's no-hitter last Friday, the first in the franchise's 50-year history.

But the Mets are seven games over .500 despite being outscored 250-243. They will truly be the Amazin's if they continue to win at that pace as their Pythagorean record is just 27-28.

A 16-7 record in games decided by two runs or less has helped the Mets get within 1/2 game of co-leaders Miami and Washington in the NL East but history shows performance in close games tends to even out over the course of a 162-game season.

Another sign of good fortune is the Mets' .320 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) -- those plate appearances not resulting in a walk, strikeout or home run -- which is the best in baseball and 26 points higher than the .294 major-league average.

Maybe Santana's gem wasn't a sign from the heavens.

CLEVELAND INDIANS

Indians manager Manny Acta is one of the few major-league managers who understand principles like The Pythagorean Theorem. He realizes his 28-25 club is living on borrowed time unless it reverses the trend of allowing more runs than it scores (257-233), which translates to a 23-28 Pythagorean record.

The Indians have been the kings of one-run games, going 10-2 thanks in large part to closer Chris Perez converting 17 save opportunities since a meltdown on opening day. Yet sustaining an .833 winning percentage in any type of situation over a six-month season is bucking tremendous odds.

THE UNDERACHIEVERS

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

The Cardinals are hovering around .500 at 28-27, but, if any team seems ready to take off, it's the defending World Series champions.

The Cardinals' plus-48 run differential -- 276 scored, 228 allowed -- is the best in the major leagues and translates to 32-23 on the Pythagorean scale.

The Cardinals are just 5-14 in games decided by two runs or less, including 1-9 on the road. Conversely, they are 23-13 when the margin is at least three runs. A well-timed run here or there is really all the Cardinals need.

SEATTLE MARINERS

The Mariners have scored one more run than they've allowed (242-241) but only have a 25-32 record to show for it. That is four games under their Pythagorean mark of 29-28.

Much of the Mariners' record can be traced to hitting in bad luck as their .276 BABIP is fifth-worst in baseball. Nobody has hit in tougher luck than shortstop Brendan Ryan, whose .219 average on balls in play at least partially explains his anemic .171 batting average.

Deposed closer Brandon League didn't help as he blew four save opportunities before being demoted to a set-up role two weeks ago
 

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Short Sheet

Wednesday, June 6


National League

San Francisco at San Diego, 6:35 ET

Bumgarner: San Francisco 13-3 SU after 3 straight games with no home runs
Richard: San Diego 4-16 SU against left-handed starters

LA Dodgers at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Capuano: LA Dodgers 18-6 SU after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs
Kendrick: Philadelphia is 9-17 SU after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs

NY Mets at Washington, 7:05 ET
Hefner: NY Mets 12-3 SU in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent
Jackson: 7-18 TSR in the first half of the season

Atlanta at Miami, 7:10 ET
Delgado: Atlanta 18-4 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 15 game span
Johnson: Miami 7-25 SU in June games

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Lincoln: Pittsburgh 19-12 SU in June games
Cueto: Cincinnati 48-62 SU after one or more consecutive overs

St. Louis at Houston, 8:05 ET
Wainwright: ST Louis 7-14 SU after 2 or more consecutive overs
Norris: 8-1 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Maholm: Chicago 0-9 SU in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs
Greinke: 21-0 TSR as a home favorite of -110 or higher

Colorado at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Outman: Colorado 7-17 SU after allowing 9 runs or more
Miley: Arizona 46-29 SU when the total is 9 to 9.5


American League

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
ESPN2
Cobb: Tampa Bay 20-8 SU in road games when playing on Wednesday
Nova: NY Yankees 45-46 SU on a good fielding streak

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Gomez: Cleveland 24-13 SU against right-handed starters
Scherzer: Detroit 1-7 SU when playing on Wednesday

Baltimore at Boston, 7:10 ET
Chen: Baltimore 17-11 SU in road games
Beckett: Boston 1-7 SU with a tired bullpen

Toronto at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Morrow: 13-0 TSR on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Quintana: CHI White Sox 7-14 SU at home when the total is 8 to 8.5

Minnesota at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Blackburn: Minnesota 20-11 SU in June
Paulino: Kansas City 2-8 SU as a favorite of -110 or higher

Texas at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Lewis: Texas 34-15 SU after 3 consecutive games vs a division rival
Colon: 1-8 TSR in home games in night games

Seattle at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Noesi: Seattle 26-20 SU in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs
Williams: LA Angels 4-10 SU after a win by 4 runs or more
 

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Wednesday, June 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 6:35 PM ET San Francisco -124 500
San Diego - Over 6 500

Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -139 500
NY Yankees - Under 9 500

NY Mets - 7:05 PM ET Washington -149 500
Washington - Under 7.5 500

LA Dodgers - 7:05 PM ET Philadelphia -113 500
Philadelphia - Under 7.5 500

Cleveland - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland +150 500
Detroit - Over 9 500

Baltimore - 7:10 PM ET Boston -165 500
Boston - Under 9 500

Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET Miami -141 500
Miami - Under 8.5 500

Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Pittsburgh +165 500
Cincinnati - Over 7.5 500

St. Louis - 8:05 PM ET Houston +125 500
Houston - Over 8 500

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +109 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

Minnesota - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -159 500
Kansas City - Under 8.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +185 500
Milwaukee - Under 7.5 500

Colorado - 9:40 PM ET Arizona -132 500
Arizona - Over 9.5 500

Seattle - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels -153 500
LA Angels - Under 8 500

Texas - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +140 500
Oakland - Over 7.5 500
 

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