Largest bet to date this season goes today. (writeup for you to explain)

gynecologist · Jun 7, 2012

Appears to me all systems say go on this one..

TAMPA BAY TEAM TOTAL UNDER 3½ -120

Here is what the Rays have scored in their last 9 games respectively...

1
0
8
5 (all in first inning)
3
2
1
4
2

As you can see this is a struggling offense.. They had success one time and that was vs a stuggling pitcher.. Sabathia
is on the mound today.. Let me mention some more..

Here are some stats from Tampa's last 7 games

.157 ba
.228 OBP
.258 SLG
.487 OPS

just 5 doubles!!! thats right only 5!!!

Take out that game where they scored 8 runs how worse would these stats look?

Lets see how Tampa does vs LHP
.228 ba

Lets look at Sabathia's stats at home this season:
2.37 ERA, 0.99 whip opp's are batting .181 against him.

CC has gone at least 6 innings in every start and mostly goes at least 7 so hes a workhorse and in good form. He's given up
3 or less runs in 7 out of he's last 9 starts and those two times he barely gave up 4, both games were vs balt.

vs TB this season he's struck out 17 and only walked 4 and he pitched 8 shutout innings last time he faced them on 5/10

No Longoria and the 7-9 hitters are basically worthless. TB has a lot of key lefty bats as well.

I love this wager..

varkeyboy · Jun 7, 2012

Units?

CatsOverUnders · Jun 7, 2012

I don't usually comment in other people's threads but I must say, that is excellent evidence you provided; you clearly did your homework. The ONLY other aspect of this game that I recommend you research before you pull the trigger on your biggest bet of the season is, if you can find it (If not, it's no big deal), each pitcher's track record when they're scheduled for assignment in a nationally televised game, since this one is set to air nationally on MLB Network's Thursday Night Baseball. That can always be a hugeeee variable, if a pitcher is able to handle the spotlight of being somewhat the "main event" of the evening on a grand stage, but luckily for you, you've got yourself a game with two pretty rock-solid guys in any setting - CC Sabathia and David Price. Just to make sure, since this is your biggest bet of the season, try to gather up supporting information on how each guy fares in nationally televised games and then you'll be 100-percent set. In any case, I believe both guys are usually their normal selves in nationally aired games, since each one has been in so many of them.

varkeyboy · Jun 7, 2012

CatsOverUnders said:
I don't usually comment in other people's threads but I must say, that is excellent evidence you provided; you clearly did your homework. The ONLY other aspect of this game that I recommend you research before you pull the trigger on your biggest bet of the season is, if you can find it (If not, it's no big deal), each pitcher's track record when they're scheduled for assignment in a nationally televised game, since this one is set to air nationally on MLB Network's Thursday Night Baseball. That can always be a hugeeee variable, if a pitcher is able to handle the spotlight of being somewhat the "main event" of the evening on a grand stage, but luckily for you, you've got yourself a game with two pretty rock-solid guys in any setting - CC Sabathia and David Price. Just to make sure, since this is your biggest bet of the season, try to gather up supporting information on how each guy fares in nationally televised games and then you'll be 100-percent set. In any case, I believe both guys are usually their normal selves in nationally aired games, since each one has been in so many of them.

And where do u normally find this kind of info from?

gynecologist · Jun 7, 2012

Well both guys have World Series experience so I don't think a regular season game is going to startle them much. I care more about CC than Price cause my wager relies on CC having a good start.

units: 1 and 3/4, largest play prior to this was 1½ units.. when late June comes around I will be increasing unit size on all plays cause thats IMHO the best time of year to wager on baseball and for 5 years straight I've done well. GL everyone if you follow this play..

5teamparlay seems to like this as well.

CatsOverUnders · Jun 7, 2012

varkeyboy said:
And where do u normally find this kind of info from?

Lol that's a very good question, my friend. Google the hell out of it, or, if you really want to dig out this kind of information, go through each pitcher's game log, see what time their games were on Sunday nights, Mondays, Wednesdays, Thursdays, etc. and match it up with the National Broadcast Schedule on mlb.com. I mean, luckily, this is an instance where you know you have two aces on the mound that, generally speaking, are good on national television, so that much effort won't be required in figuring out how success Sabathia and Price are in nationally televised settings.

5teamparlay · Jun 7, 2012

This is :

JDeuce · Jun 7, 2012

Unlucky, gyno. You obviously did your homework on this one, but it just didn't work out...CC's 500-lb ass decided to have an off day. Nothing you could have done about that.

Hoping my Celtics money line play cancels this one out.

gynecologist · Jun 7, 2012

Jesus, TB wakes up on me and scores off NYY's ace.. They cant score against Nova or anyone else batting .157 lately but today they wake up..

What can you do?