Friday: Interleague play can be profitable YTD: 99-88, + 29.3 units

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5-0 Thursday almost made up for 0-7 Wednesday.

My whole write-up was just erased and I'm too tired to rewrite it. Anyways, on Friday night I will try to give some insight into why the AL will likely continue its dominance in interleague play. One of the most interesting things was that although the AL went just 24-18 in the last 3 day weekend of inter league play in May, the NL won only 3 of their 18 games in convincing fashion. While the AL won from 15-20 convincingly.

Boston (+100) This seems like an excellent number and I am all over it. If not for Strasburg, wouldn't the Sox be favored quite a bit. First off, the Red Sox are good fastball hitting team. Second, Doubront has pitched better than Strasburg while pitching against AL teams. He has quality starts against NYY, Toronto, Detroit, Clev, Chisox, Tampa and Baltimore- all teams with DHs and all teams that can get it done with the bat. 6 quality starts in a row, with a K per inning. His walks are also down. Strasburg has pitched well too, but not as well as in the first month. And this vs. weaker NL teams. The Nats do not hit LHPs as well as righties, while the Red Sox do hit righties like Strasburg pretty well. Also, the Sox have Ortiz at DH and the Nats have ? The Nats have scored the following the past 8 games: 1, 3, 3, 1, 5, 7, 2, 2. Not exactly juggernaut number. Once again, a better than average AL team, at home, should beat a better than avg. NL team.
Red Sox ML. One unit
Red Sox -1/2 first 5 innings. one unit
 

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Twins. One unit -1. The Twins have become competitive while the Cubs head for a truly dismal 100 loss season. The worst team in the weaker league will struggle vs. Pj Walters and his slurve and change up, which have some serious break. Travis Wood gives up too many BBs and too many HRs, 6 in 23 IPs. Twins might get Mauer back, but can win this anyway. Twins BP is not anything great, but the Cubs is worse. I also think the Twins have a pride from being used to winning under Gardenhire. He is not complacent doesn't allow his players to play complacent and I think his team will try very hard to beat the worst team in the majors. Cubs just look like they accept losing.

More tomorrow.
 

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Since the 5 inning lines aren't available, I'm changing my Boston 5 inning play to a ML unit- so 2 units ML on Boston.
 

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Gl tonight o fred. Suprised not on Texas TT o4 vs lefty Zito. The sticks have been quiet and get a chance at minor revenge for their world series defeat. Perhaps due for an offensive outbreak
 

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Add: Tampa -1/2 first 5 innings. one unit. Hellickson has ALL quality starts this year. Nolasco is regressing. At a nice +135, it's a steal.

Baltimore TT over 4.5. Blanton is getting ripped in the NL by everyone. Phillies BP also not much help. Orioles coming off a nice 2 out 3 from Boston, might surge again.
 

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Actually Moocow I'm looking at that one. Texas at 4 is a good value even when they're in a slump. Remember, Zito has decent stats on pitcher's hitting, poor 7-8 hitters, and the weak hitting NL West.
 

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Angels -1/2 first 5 innings. One unit
Also unit -1. CJ Wilson is in the groove as of late, and the Rockies are not a good ball club, even though they occasionally hit well. Bullpen problems. Alex White had his first good outing last time, but that is an outlier for him. Angels should be able to get to him early.
 

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Final play: Seattle TT over 3.5 for one unit. Mariners are benching slumping Brebdan Ryan and poor hitting Olivio. Loaded up with lefties against Eovaldi a RHP. Saunders and Smoak are both hitting well. 3.5 is a good number.
 

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