Yesterday 2 0 0 +4.92 Units
Last 30 Days 36 31 0 +29.82 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 72 82 0 +6.52 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
COLORADO -106 over Oakland
3:10 PM EST. Misleading surface stats by both these starters has the Rockies very undervalued despite their recent struggles. Jarrod Parker is 2-3 with a 3.19 ERA but most of that is smoke and mirrors. In 54 innings, Parker has issued 29 walks while striking out 39. The strikeout rate is decent but those walks are a huge concern, especially at this park. Parker also has other issues. His line-drive rate of 25% is one of the highest among starters in the majors. He has a groundball/fly-ball profile of 39%/36%, numbers that suggest an implosion is pending. Parker’s xERA of 4.65 is almost 1½-runs higher than his actual ERA and that’s after pitching most of his games at pitcher-friendly parks. Parker’s xERA emphasizes the degree to which his results have exceeded his skills. Alex White is the anti-Parker, displaying poor surface stats but is actually quite solid when we scratch beneath the surface numbers. White has walked 12 and struck out 26 in 41 IP. He has an elite groundball rate of 57%. His xERA of 3.68 is close to two runs lower than his 5.66 ERA. He’s been victimized by a crazy 39% HR/FB rate and 63% strand rate, revealing that there remains some true underlying value. Play: Colorado -106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).
Last 30 Days 36 31 0 +29.82 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2012) 72 82 0 +6.52 Units
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise
COLORADO -106 over Oakland
3:10 PM EST. Misleading surface stats by both these starters has the Rockies very undervalued despite their recent struggles. Jarrod Parker is 2-3 with a 3.19 ERA but most of that is smoke and mirrors. In 54 innings, Parker has issued 29 walks while striking out 39. The strikeout rate is decent but those walks are a huge concern, especially at this park. Parker also has other issues. His line-drive rate of 25% is one of the highest among starters in the majors. He has a groundball/fly-ball profile of 39%/36%, numbers that suggest an implosion is pending. Parker’s xERA of 4.65 is almost 1½-runs higher than his actual ERA and that’s after pitching most of his games at pitcher-friendly parks. Parker’s xERA emphasizes the degree to which his results have exceeded his skills. Alex White is the anti-Parker, displaying poor surface stats but is actually quite solid when we scratch beneath the surface numbers. White has walked 12 and struck out 26 in 41 IP. He has an elite groundball rate of 57%. His xERA of 3.68 is close to two runs lower than his 5.66 ERA. He’s been victimized by a crazy 39% HR/FB rate and 63% strand rate, revealing that there remains some true underlying value. Play: Colorado -106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).
