What percentage of posters here that claim to be winning players are really losing players?

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I'm guessing that approximately 1% of sports bettors actually make a profit at the end of each year. It seems that a large number of posters here claim to be "sharps." I'm wondering how many are full of shit and how many actually are sharp sports bettors?:think2:
 

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definitely a losing player... I'm okay picking nfl games, but everything else is just a mess (and always has been).
 
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definitely a losing player... I'm okay picking nfl games, but everything else is just a mess (and always has been).



Same here, I am decent at College basketball. I know I am not going to win in the long run, which is why I will go months and sometimes a year without making a single bet. Then I will pick it back up and play for a few months and then not make another bet for 6 months. Purely entertainment for me....
 

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I'm guessing that approximately 1% of sports bettors actually make a profit at the end of each year. It seems that a large number of posters here claim to be "sharps." I'm wondering how many are full of shit and how many actually are sharp sports bettors?:think2:

TBH I don't really see that many people here claiming they win consistently. I feel like the ones who do keep it to themselves (Soriano for instance doesn't seem to elaborate a ton, he is 1 guy I'd cite for that)

A lot of know-it-alls at the RX but I really don't see too many saying they clear X amount betting.
 

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TBH I don't really see that many people here claiming they win consistently. I feel like the ones who do keep it to themselves (Soriano for instance doesn't seem to elaborate a ton, he is 1 guy I'd cite for that)

A lot of know-it-alls at the RX but I really don't see too many saying they clear X amount betting.

Fair enough. Maybe I'm just focused on the number of know it alls here. Amazing how some on here including mods are never wrong about anything... I wonder if they're the same in real life lol.
 

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Fair enough. Maybe I'm just focused on the number of know it alls here. Amazing how some on here including mods are never wrong about anything... I wonder if they're the same in real life lol.

Yeah it definitely is a little annoying the matter-of-fact tone that people have when everyone knows how unpredictable sports can be.
It is what it is though.
 

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i don;t think there are too many that are true about being successful at the end of a year.there probably is a few,but what i really doubt is the amout of what people say on here and other forums about how much they wager.i mean i see people saying they have 10k,going on this game,5k that tey collected,and all the other crazy amounts stated here.most people wager 25,50 100,maybe 200 at times but really its mostly bullshit if you ask me.


i am successful very much in baseball,i am showing a profit in college football most years(just follow my contests picks if you need proof during the college fb season)but not all.college hoops is up and down for me,i have fun with it but its not a very profitable wagering sport for me.i have good and bad with i.nfl football,thats the toughests for me,i have had good years but i struggle with the nfl for some reason and i believe most do also


thats it for me
 

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one thing i learned over the years is that you can have someone say they are successful at the present time, and then a year later that same person is complaining about losing or in the red.

It's an up and down hobby/career, most likely ending up in the red.
 

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I am a losing player. If I had more discipline and wagered the same amount on every game I would do much, much better and might even be a winning player. Seems every time I go big on a game it loses but overall I'd say I'm right around 50-55%.
 

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one thing i learned over the years is that you can have someone say they are successful at the present time, and then a year later that same person is complaining about losing or in the red.

It's an up and down hobby/career, most likely ending up in the red.

Being a royals fan I'm sure you're familiar with losing lol
 

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i don;t think there are too many that are true about being successful at the end of a year.there probably is a few,but what i really doubt is the amout of what people say on here and other forums about how much they wager.i mean i see people saying they have 10k,going on this game,5k that tey collected,and all the other crazy amounts stated here.most people wager 25,50 100,maybe 200 at times but really its mostly bullshit if you ask me.

I'm with you on this one: There are certainly some guys on here, that are betting thousands per game like f.e. BAS. But lots of posters on the forums, claiming they're betting 4 or even 5-figures, are not even close to betting that amount.
Also agree with eoghater, that a fair share of people claiming to be winning players are up for the present, maybe even 2 seasons, but will eventually end up losing. Most of the time winning in these cases winning early on was mistaken as having an edge, when in reality they just got lucky and ran better than EV (in a very limited amount of bets, that's not large enough to really make a good prediction about your EV) and over time luck just evens out...

For me personally it all depends on the sport/league:
I'm doing very well betting baseball, ok in college football and have a very small edge in NFL. Additionally there are lots of other +EV opportunities for me (f.e. Scandinavian or Brazilian soccer, player props on NFL/MLB, etc.), but I for one never could really figure out how to beat NBA: I tried, even finished slightly ahead one year, but over several years I ended up losing a bit and even had my performance getting worse. So I just quit betting NBA. I beat College basketball 3 season in a row, even at a decent rate, but then my edge just faded away and I ended up being a losing player in college hoops and forced myself to quit betting NCAAB because of this.
Also I could hardly make 6 figure profits every year, even if I wanted: I settled down to bet somewhere between 200-800 bucks per bet, with probably 80-90% being around 400-500 bucks. That's where I feel comfortable and it's enough to comfortably live my life the way I want to. So on the one hand I don't want to bet higher, on the other hand probably 30% of my profits are made on bets, where I couldn't bet higher because of limits, even if I wanted to (and odds crash once you bet 400-500 bucks).

So don't know how many people on here claim to be winning players in the long run, but the percentage should be rather low if you required them to do it for several years. You need to constantly adjust and in my opinion there are quite a few people who realize too late, that their edge is gone or just flat out refuse to acknowledge that fact. Pretty similar thing in poker (you see lots of formerly successful online players broke nowadays).
 

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I lose in every sport, have no discipline. Tracked myself in the tracker forum just to see if i could hit a decent % and failed big time. Haven't bet in about a year as I know its just a waste of money due to a lack of any self control/money management. I think most on here exaggerate a lot
 

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I'm a losing player, but I am also full of shit. I'll make it seem like I haven't lost as much as I have
 
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I lose but I sure do have fun watching the games. Once in a while this blind squirrel will find a few nuts. Not often enough though.
 

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if winning were easy everybody would do it

Achillies, not sure If I have ever read a post where someone said this was easy.. its not... To make money its probbably one of the biggest grinds there is..Been on this site for along time and read thousands of posts from alot of intelligent posters and quite a few fools.. What I think most of us can agree on is, money management is what most lack here...You have to be disciplined...There are no locks and sure things... You can make money consistently if you manage your money, get value , and do your homework,. Most of the people that lose money are usually being negative to begin with
 

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I'm guessing that approximately 1% of sports bettors actually make a profit at the end of each year. It seems that a large number of posters here claim to be "sharps." I'm wondering how many are full of shit and how many actually are sharp sports bettors?:think2:

I'm sure many are full of shit , but any player is ecpected to be 44-56 % long term , now i realize juice and money management kills them/us but the number of bettors that profit in any given year has to be way , Way , WAY more than 1%.
 

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