Monday: Interleague Play Results AL 142-110 YTD: 171-147, + 46. 4 units

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ST. Louis: My whole write-up got erased. It was long and I'm not rewriting it. 2 units ML. Cards are hitting, back in the race, and Nolasco is getting hammered. No home field advantage here for Marlins. Westbrook better on the road than at home. Betting on a team on the upsurge vs. a team going nowhere. Although the Marlins do have a 1 game winning streak. (short summary- sorry)

Texas/ Detroit: under 11. One unit. Both of these teams have great hitting reps, but have so many hitters slumping. Texas had their shots at crappy pitchers for weeks(and good ones), but rarely blast out. The Tigers are even worse. They can't hit anyone. Tiger bullpen has become very good, and Texas has a solid one. Porcello, being a righty, has a better chance here, and the new kid, Grimm, will pitch even better possibly now that he's not nervous from first game jitters. He had 0 walks in his debut.
 

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NYY: -1 for one unit
NYY -1/2 one unit first 5 innings. Yankees have been very impressive in past many weeks. They actually got Dickey to really work, and the Yankees are one of the best teams to get walks and not strikeout. Believe it or not, Kuroda has been better than Sabathia lately. In his last 3 games he's had an uptick in velocity and therefore more strikeouts. His better fastball helps set up the off speed stuff. Plus the Indians scored 4 total runs in Houston, against a bad NL club. Tomlin tries to be fine since his stuff is so mediocre, but the Yankees will wait, and he'll come in- and they'll hit him. May up the units in the morning.
 

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On the fence about the yanks tonight. They might have a bit of a hangover from the big series with the mets...

BOL
 

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Astros -1. One unit. Padres are back to their poor hitting ways. They especially struggle vs. lefties. Wandy is no world beater, but he is truly a pitcher who gets the most out of his talent. Ohlendorf is a smart guy with bad stuff. In AAA, his only really good start was against Toledo, a AAA team that hits near the bottom of the league. OHlendorf, so far, has held on- but just like Vince Mazzaro- he is due. Very impressed with Astros 3 game series with Cleveland. Just when things were looking bleak, They take 2 out of 3 from a decent AL team- 2 in convincing fashion. Padres have to travel and might not be concentrating on baseball now that their beloved bullpen coach passed away from cancer.
 

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Yankees team total- over 5- one unit. Winds should be blowing out to right field at 10-13 mph by tonight. With righty Tomlin on the mound, and a lefty leaning lineup for the Yankees, that short porch in Yankee Stadium might see a couple of bombs tonight. See above post for why the Yankees should win too. I agree that they might have a hangover from the Mets series, but Tomlin is the perfect pitcher for them, and they're so professional, they don't get up or down to much. A younger team would.
 

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BOL O Fred. Appreciate the easy to understand the what can be somewhat sometimes complicated baseball analysis. Any thoughts on the Pirates and Phillies as well as Brew and Reds?
 

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Thanks John. My sense is that folks think the Phils will come out of their year long malaise any time now, and will start winning. The fact is they are not a good team right now and might be playing below .500 for a while longer. If not for some good starting pitching, they would be a lot worse. Their fielding has gotten more sloppy, the bullpen is no where near what it was last year, and without some of their good hitting regulars, they are probably overpriced. The Pirates- just the opposite. The perception is that they can't hit (which was kind of true the first 2 months) and are just perennial losers. In truth, they have begun to hit, they hit in clutch situations, have a good bullpen, and an overachieving starting rotation. If Karstens wasn't coming off the DL, I'd be all over the Pirates. Too much of an unknown. I'll probably take Pittsburgh small, but not a unit. Blanton, by the way, is consistently bad. Taking the team total on PItt might be the way to go.
 

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Blanton has given up 15 HRs in his last 42 innings. That's incredible! That's a homer every 2.8 innings. This is proof of average stuff with poor command. With those short power alleys in Philly, I'm on the over TT Pirates-3.5 one unit.
 

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Roger that. Gallarado has given up 3 Earned Runs of fewer in the majority of his starts while Cinncy may still be reeling from the Twins yesterday. Nigel Morgan made a big base running mistake yesterday for the Brew and sometime I just don't think he has his head in the game so you have to keep him in mind when considering Brewers. Will tail you on Pittsburgh team total looking for Pirates to scratch out enough runs on Blanton. Maybe McCutchen can get on base several times and move into scoring position to set up some Pirate runs.
 

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Roger that. Gallarado has given up 3 Earned Runs of fewer in the majority of his starts while Cinncy may still be reeling from the Twins yesterday. Nigel Morgan made a big base running mistake yesterday for the Brew and sometime I just don't think he has his head in the game so you have to keep him in mind when considering Brewers. Will tail you on Pittsburgh team total looking for Pirates to scratch out enough runs on Blanton. Maybe McCutchen can get on base several times and move into scoring position to set up some Pirate runs.

OR two 2 run blasts will do the job! =)
 

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Colorado/ Wash. over 10 for one unit. I know, crazy taking an over with Strasburg pitching. But tonight's conditions are good: hot, dry, light air, wind blowing out to the outfield pretty well. Rockies are hitting well even if their pitching is dreadful. I have a feeling the Rockies will score some runs off of Strasburg, who might tire early. Jeff Francis is good for his share of runs, also might tire. Coors Field, in these conditions, will make an ERA climb. Strasburg is also a good hitter, and Francis might only hit once.
 

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Chisox ML for one unit. Good Youk karma. Can't be any worse than Orlando Hudson.
 

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My late plays suck. Whittled away my bigger bets on STL and NYY. 5-4, +1.8 units

YTD: 176- 151, + 48.2 units
 

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