SerfCaps 6/26

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First time posting my plays. We'll see how it goes. All 1 unit plays.

Milwaukee/Cincinnati - Over 9: This matchup to me just suggests that runs will be scored. We know the Reds can tear the cover off the ball, even despite the fact they've cooled down a bit from their hot streak earlier this month. Estrada just isn't the pitcher that you'd look to for shutting down the Reds. In 6 starts, the over has hit 5 times...I've always liked Milwaukee's lineup this year as I'm confident that anyone in the 1-8 slots can get a hit at any given time, despite batting averages or cold streaks. This team has good pop in their order and the Brew Crew are definitely welcoming Bronson Arroyo to the hill as he has given up the 3 most HR's in the NL.

Angels/Baltimore - Angels ML: Where do I have to go with this one?...Well, C.J. Wilson is in Cy Young form and the Angels are winning. I'll take my chances with those two ingredients on top of the fact that Matusz has been putrid of late. Mostly on the road, but trends are trends and I feel the Angels are a good bet here.

Cleveland/Yankees - Yankees ML: Masterson has been great his last few starts and I have bad luck betting Cleveland games. Why am I taking the Yankees then? For one, I'm stubborn. Two, I'm still waiting for Hughes to right the ship. Bottom line is the Yankees are real hot in June, while Cleveland is not. Masterson is blah on the road and it's Yankee stadium. For me, that's all that matters at this point. Follow at your own risk, but I'm confident in this one.

San Diego/Houston - Houston ML: Don't sleep! Houston can hit, boys. While Lyles is going for Houston, who give me little confidence, he will be opposed by Kip Wells. This dude has been M.I.A. for who knows how long and I can't see him jumping right back in with a quality start, or anything close. Give me the 'Stros in this one.

Detroit/Texas - Under 10.5: I like Yu. He coo. Second time facing Detroit this season so we may see a little familiarity, but not enough for me to not take this bet. I don't know if it's just me with Detroit, but it only feels seldom that they really put their bats all together at once to produce big games. More times than not, it seems, they're scoring 1-3 runs/game against pitchers much the lesser than a Yu Darvish. Everyone is quick to point out the potency of the Rangers' offense and even though they've been winning, I don't feel their O has been clicking. They're just THAT good. Of course, their offense in any game or inning could blow up for a massive run production, but I'll roll with my instincts here.

* Game time temperature will be around 100 degrees (ick!), so keep that in mind. Balls could be flying off that bat or some may suffer exhaustion.

Oakland/Seattle - Seattle ML: Vargas is the serviceable type pitcher who is much better at home in Safeco. Even though Seattle has a hard time hitting in their own ballpark, I don't see Oakland hitting much either, so they probably won't produce many runs this series . It's hit and miss with them Seattle bats, but today will be a day to hit. I've got Michael Saunders as the catalyst for the M's in this one. Just watch.

Dodgers/San Francisco - Dodgers ML: These teams are similar to me and a back and forth tussle seems about right for this series. SF exploded early yesterday, while LA was stagnant. Today should be low scoring and the starters may not even factor into the decision, leaving the game in the hands of the bullpen. SF is better in that department and to be honest, I already locked in the Dodgers as a knee jerk reaction to seeing Kershaw on the docket, but I can definitely see SF taking this, haha...Eh, oh well. :ohno:

There ya have it...GL to all!
 

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