The Cat's MLB Over/Under Bets & Detailed Writeups - June 27, 2012 - YTD: 195-190-18

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2012 MLB O/U Record: 195-190-18, -$1,341 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless bad bullpen breaks, obviously)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104

Discouraging performance yesterday, as while I’m only a couple of days removed from an extensive dominant 23-11-2 run, it’s been two off days, especially yesterday when I voided an over/under that ended up winning (I never do that. First impressions are always your best. Remember that.), that have gotten into my confidence. I’m simply playing defense today in effort of not letting it snowball, so only a couple of smaller-sized bets on this Wednesday slate…


Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals - $41 for $35
Matt Moore vs Everett Teaford
UNDER 9.5

With a line this high for a Matt Moore start, how can you resist the under? For those that have forgotten about the prized prospect, Moore has completely turned his season around, as six of his past eight starts have seen him give up only two runs or less, with those two other starts resulting in outputs of only three and four runs, so overall, he’s just been absolutely locked in. Furthermore, his strikeout numbers remain outstanding, as he’s punched out 85 batters in 80 innings. That should come as a surprise to NO ONE, as I’ve stayed firmly put on the Matt Moore bandwagon ever since last year, with the belief that he would inevitably become a top-tier pitcher. After all, featuring the repertoire and velocity that he has for a left-hander, it was only sooner than later before he started to break out and live up to his mega potential. In addition, it takes a real special kid to do what he did last year in game one of the ALDS versus Texas (On the ROAD) in what was only his second or third career start, so when he's in the zone mentally, he's awfully, awfully tough to hit. That all being said, Moore’s emergence should have been expected by everyone all along, just as it was to me, and I see him continuing that here today, especially when the Rays need him most in trying to avoid a sweep in KC (Or is it a four-game series? I never look ahead to the next day(s), which has been apart of my very specific routine for years).

The concern for most people when pondering this under is obviously Everett Teaford, which is justified. After all, he’s a mostly unknown youngster who hasn’t shown much at the big league level, although I must point out he caught my attention a bit at the end of last year when two of his three starts registered as quality ones. I could argue he’s improved since then, as while his 2012 Major League numbers at the moment look gaudy (5.73 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, but only 11 IP), he’s been lights out at Triple-A Omaha, going 4-0 with a 1.09 ERA (!) in seven games (Six starts). I mean, those are pretty strong numbers, and since he was showing glimpses of being a successful major league pitcher in his stint towards the end of last year, there has to be some sort of follow up to that. He’ll have some help, as the Rays rank 26th in baseball against left-handed pitching with a .224 average, and that’s with the most at-bats against lefties in all the American League (841) so it's not like a small sample size. With the line at 9.5, we also have room for error, but let’s hope we don’t really need it and Moore continues his streak of excellent outings.


**Will Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
(Waiting for that Clayton Richard vs Lucas Harrell line to move up to 9 so I can grab the under)
 
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Thankfully held on despite the Royals' top five bullpen blowing it in the 8th. Rest of tonight's card to be posted in a bit but how about that Everett Teaford?? Feels like September 2011
 
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Adding Richard vs Harrell under 8.5, $32 for $30. If you can grab this at 9, do it because this one is going to be close either way. I hope my personal bias towards Lucas Harrell, since I absolutely love the guy, isn't clouding my better judgment.
 

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