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CFL Previews - Week 1 - June 29-July 1
From The Sports Network By Greg Xenakes, CFL Editor
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (0-0) AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (0-0)
DATE & TIME: Friday, June 29, 7:00 p.m. (ET).
GAME NOTES: The action is now for real in the Canadian Football League, as the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats kick off the 2012 campaign on Friday night at Ivor Wynn Stadium.
Not only is this season leading up to the 100th Grey Cup Championship, but this year also marks the final campaign in which the Tiger-Cats are scheduled to play at Ivor Wynn as well.
While this might be the end of the historic venue, one that has been utilized since 1928, it is also a time for new beginnings for the Ticats as well, as Henry Burris assumes the role of starting quarterback.
A former league MVP who helped guide Calgary to postseason success just a few years ago, Burris endured a lackluster 2011 campaign as he threw for 3,687 yards and 20 touchdowns, against 12 interceptions. In the previous seven seasons, the signal-caller had thrown for no less than 4,200 yards each time out, so perhaps his best years are now behind him as he starts a new life in Hamilton.
Wide receiver Chris Williams will likely be a primary target down the field for Burris, after the New Mexico State import led the Ticats in receiving a year ago with 1,064 yards on 70 catches, leading to six majors. Dave Stala had just 59 receptions last season, yet he still managed to produce a career-best eight TDs, accounting for more than one-third of his career total in the process.
With the loss of Martell Mallett to injury, the running back position was reassigned to Avon Cobourne who not only ran for a team-best 961 yards and eight TDs, but he also placed fourth on the squad with 459 receiving yards, making him a dual-threat coming out of the backfield. Not to be left out of the equation is quarterback Quinton Porter, who is often put in on short-yardage situations near the goal line, resulting in nine rushing scores a year ago.
From a defensive standpoint, Hamilton is hoping to improve upon its numbers from 2011 that showed the squad intercepting a league-low 10 passes and ranking last in the league with just 81 total return yards on those picks.
At the other end of the spectrum, the Saskatchewan defense rose up to snag 21 interceptions, third-most in the CFL. However, these were the same Roughriders who managed to acquire a league-low five fumbles and also obtained the ball on turnovers a mere five times as well. Put it all together and Saskatchewan was tied with Toronto for the worst turnover margin in 2011 at minus-17.
The Riders were roughed up last season as they finished with just five wins and were the only team from the West Division to miss the postseason, which means new head coach Corey Chamblin has his work cut out for him.
Chamblin, who was most recently the Defensive Coordinator for Hamilton ironically enough, should be taking a special interest in improving the defensive unit for Saskatchewan for sure and may even have a slight advantage in this season opener due to his familiarity with the opposition.
The offense appears to be headed once again by Darian Durant, even though he had a less-than-spectacular 2011 campaign as he recorded almost as many INTs (14) as he did TDs (18). Among the starting QBs who were able to make it through the season mostly unscathed, Durant also had the lowest yards per attempt at 7.5, something that will need to be addressed in order to get this group back on the right track.
Providing Durant with his best options down the field will again be Chris Getzlaf and Weston Dressler, both of whom recorded 1,000-yard seasons through the air. The former was third on the team with 60 receptions, but was able to stretch those for an average of just under 18 yards per catch and a total of 10 TDs, the latter logging a team-high 79 grabs but landing in the end zone just five times.
One major difference in the receiving corps on both sides is Andy Fantuz, the former Roughrider receiver who is now wearing Hamilton colors. While he may not be the deciding factor in the meeting, his presence will certainly be a key storyline for sure.
With the Riders not offering a contract to Wes Cates (680 yards, four touchdowns), that leaves Durant as the top returning ground gainer for the squad after putting up 381 yards, but the fact that he fumbled the ball nine times and was forced to take all of those additional shots from the defense can't be something Saskatchewan wants to continue.
In terms of the series between these two clubs last season, they met only twice with drastically differing results. In the first meeting on July 16, the Tiger-Cats rattled Saskatchewan at home by a score of 33-3. In late October, the Riders returned the favor with a 19-3 rout.
Taking into account only regular season matchups, Saskatchewan has won three of the last four and 14 of 16 versus the 'Cats.
Durant is going to be asked yet again to do more than his share for the Roughriders and Hamilton will probably be ready for just such a game plan. As long as Burris can fit in comfortably and not try to do too much, this should be a win for the home team.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Hamilton 27, Saskatchewan 18
WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (0-0) AT BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS (0-0)
DATE & TIME: Friday, June 29, 10:00 p.m. (ET).
GAME NOTES: A rematch of the 99th Grey Cup takes center stage during the first week of the CFL's 2012 regular season, as the British Columbia Lions entertain the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Place Stadium.
The Lions, who began the 2011 campaign with five consecutive defeats and six setbacks in the first seven outings, could have easily packed it in and cruised through the second half of the season, but instead head coach Wally Buono lit a fire under his players and eventually led them to an eight-game win streak and victories in 12 of their final 13 contests, the last of those being a 34-23 triumph in the title game in their own building.
A lot has changed for the Lions since then, chief among them being Buono's move from the sidelines back behind a desk with the organization and turning the head coaching duties over to Mike Benevides.
Benevides will be leaning heavily on quarterback Travis Lulay for on-the-field guidance to begin the season. Lulay had a breakout year for the Lions in 2011, throwing for more than 4,800 yards and 32 touchdowns, while keeping his interceptions (11) to a minimum. Although he completed only 58.7 percent of his pass attempts, he was still among the top-ranked signal-callers when it came to efficiency rating (95.8).
Not afraid to try his hand at running the ball, Lulay was second among quarterbacks in rushing in 2011 with his 391 yards and while the prospect of catching defenses napping is certainly one that should work in favor of Lulay and BC, putting the starting quarterback in harm's way too often is also a prescription for disaster.
What the Lions really need is for someone to emerge as an efficient running back to take some of the pressure off Lulay's shoulders. Andrew Harris could fill that role, having led the team in rushing with 458 yards on 96 carries a season ago, but the fact that he had more fumbles (three) than touchdowns (one) is something that cannot be completely overlooked.
The job of making Lulay look good down the field again falls on Geroy Simon, who finished second in the league last year with 1,350 receiving yards. Simon, who had one of the better per-catch averages (16.1 yards) in the CFL, landed in the end zone eight times for the Lions. One of the all-time leaders in CFL history in terms of receiving yards (15,087), Simon now has nine straight campaigns with at least 1,000 yards receiving (matching the second-longest streak in CFL history), but players typically begin to decline after years of wear and tear on their bodies and Simon is no different.
Simon might not be the receiver in the cross hairs for the Lions every week if someone like Arland Bruce were capable of maintaining a consistent level of production. An enigmatic player to say the least, Bruce is a talent who should be shredding defenses on a regular basis, but you can never be sure what is going on in his head which might be why he has been bouncing from one team to the next for the last few years.
Make no mistake, Bruce is certainly a skilled receiver who has more than 10,000 yards in his career, it is just that he can be high maintenance and the payoff is not always worth the price.
Another slotback, Shawn Gore, had just one TD a year ago on 60 catches and somewhat faded in the second half of the season after a strong start, but he is someone that Lulay should be able to lean on as well.
Over on the other side the Blue Bombers, led by head coach Paul LaPolice, got some sobering news within the last few days as they found out that running back Chris Garrett had been lost for the season with a torn Achilles tendon suffered on Tuesday. Garrett was projected to be the lead runner for the Bombers after delivering 576 yards and four TDs a year ago, but now the team has to regroup and figure out the next best mode of attack.
The loss of Garrett will probably add some more pressure to starting quarterback Buck Pierce, as he attempts to rebound from a 2011 season filled with both highs and lows. Pierce was able to get the Bombers into the championship round where he threw for 250 yards and a pair of majors, but too often he and the Winnipeg offense stalled.
Perhaps Pierce wasn't completely 100 percent following his injury in 2010, but you can bet that he's determined to put forth just as much effort moving forward.
With the running back position now up in the air, it is even more important for receivers such as Terrence Edwards to assume more of the responsibility. The leading receiver for the Bombers the last two years, Edwards has delivered at least 1,000 yards in four of the last five seasons and will again be a prime target for Pierce.
These two squads faced off a total of three times last year, with Winnipeg capturing the two regular-season tilts (25-20 and 30-17), but the Blue Bombers would have gladly traded those in for a more favorable outcome in the championship game.
Obviously the Blue Bombers have revenge as a motivating factor for this meeting, but having to play in the same building where they bowed to the Lions in the title tilt will again be tough to overcome.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: British Columbia 28, Winnipeg 20
TORONTO ARGONAUTS (0-0) AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS (0-0)
DATE & TIME: Saturday, June 30, 7:00 p.m. (ET).
GAME NOTES: As one of the two teams that failed to make the playoffs in 2011, the Toronto Argonauts are the club with the most to prove in the East Division of the CFL as they kick off the 2012 campaign this weekend against the Edmonton Eskimos at Commonwealth Stadium.
A mere 6-12 a year ago, the Argos had the weakest defense in the league, allowing opponents to connect on 67.0 percent of their pass attempts for a massive 421.7 ypg and a league-high 27.7 ppg. Perhaps it wouldn't have been as bad if the offense had been able to keep up, but the group was second-to-last in points scored (22.1 ppg) and its time of possession (26:22 per game) was the least among all eight clubs.
Toronto won only twice through the first 11 games of last year, a trend that rookie head coach Scott Milanovich hopes he can prevent from happening this time around as he and quarterback Ricky Ray begin a new era of Argos football.
Ray, who got off to a scorching start a year ago while with Edmonton, has been slow to respond in the preseason in his new surroundings and that's something that coach Milanovich has taken personally leading up to the opener. For Ray, a signal-caller who has thrown for at least 4,500 yards six times in his career and has completed 66.8 percent of his pass attempts, it is only a matter of time before he finds his groove with his new team.
Hoping to make the transition a bit smoother now that the games count, Chad Owens should be a more integral part of the Toronto offense moving forward given the type of numbers he has put up in the last couple of years. Owens was again a stat machine for the Argos in 2011, easily leading the league in combined yards with a staggering 3,345. To put that in perspective, only two other players were able to crack the 2,000-yard barrier and the highest among them was just 2,019.
Owens is obviously a catalyst in the kick-return game, but he is going to be used far more on offense this year in order to take full advantage of his speed and elusiveness.
With back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons under his belt, running back Cory Boyd will also play a central role on the Toronto offense coming out of the backfield. Also expect him to figure more into the passing game since he proved in 2010, with his 38 catches for 363 yards and two touchdowns, that he can be a producer in that role as well.
Now in his second season at the helm of the Edmonton Eskimos, head coach Kavis Reed may just have a bigger job before him in 2012 than he did when he broke in a year ago.
For a team that finished 11-7 in the regular season and bowed to eventual Grey Cup Champion British Columbia in the playoffs, making a major switch at the quarterback position was somewhat of a surprise.
Ray was one of the top signal-callers in the league a year ago, especially during the first few weeks when he could do no wrong, yet Edmonton opted to trade him to Toronto for Steven Jyles, with other players and future considerations factored in as well.
Now entering his seventh season in the CFL, Jyles has had a tough time finding a permanent home, having made stops in Saskatchewan, Winnipeg and Toronto since breaking in with this same Edmonton squad back in 2006. Jyles hasn't been an overwhelmingly successful passer with just 31 aerial majors and almost as many interceptions (29), but Reed still has him sitting at the top of the depth chart heading into the first week of the regular season.
Making the transition to Jyles a bit easier will be slotback Adarius Bowman, who matched Fred Stamps with 1,153 receiving yards in 2011. Stamps has now put up three straight years with at least 1,100 receiving yards and is consistently a big-play threat.
Last year, the Esks had the third-leading rusher in the league in Jerome Messam (1,057 yards), but he is attempting to catch on with the Miami Dolphins of the NFL and that means coach Reed needs to find an able replacement. Hugh Charles could fit the bill even though he was used sparingly in 2011, as he logged 277 yards and a score on 46 attempts. But because of the question at the running back position, Jyles can waste little time in establishing himself as a solid passer.
Edmonton won the most recent meeting between these two squads last October, claiming a 31-24 triumph on the road. The victory was the third straight for the club over the Argos and the fifth in the last six matchups.
In terms of the all-time, regular-season series dating back to 1949, Edmonton is ahead by a count of 43-38-1. The clubs are slated to meet once again in late August on Toronto's turf.
Even though Ray has been slow to catch on with his new offense, playing in his former stadium might be just what he needs to get the Argos into the win column this weekend.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Toronto 26, Edmonton 20
MONTREAL ALOUETTES (0-0) AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS (0-0)
DATE & TIME: Sunday, July 1, 7:00 p.m. (ET).
GAME NOTES: Another year of Canadian Football and another season for Anthony Calvillo to defy the odds and continue to rewrite the CFL record books. The ageless signal-caller didn't see much action during the preseason, but he will be the one calling the shots on Sunday night when the Montreal Alouettes hit the field against the Calgary Stampeders at McMahon Stadium.
As has been the case now since 1998 when he came over from Hamilton, Calvillo is the catalyst once again for the Als. As someone who now owns almost every major passing record not just in the CFL, but in all of professional football, the Utah State product was used sparingly during the preseason this year because head coach Marc Trestman already knows what he has in this national treasure.
Even though he took a few more hits than usual last year and saw his completion rate drop to 61.8 percent, the lowest since 2003, Calvillo again threw for more than 5,200 yards and tied for the league lead with 32 TDs. Say what you will about growing old, this football player just gets better with age.
Because of the efforts of Calvillo, Montreal led the league in scoring with 28.6 ppg, but the Als struggled down the stretch as they dropped their last three regular-season bouts and then came up short in a 52-44 overtime affair in the playoffs against Hamilton. Needless to say, Calvillo and company have something to prove right out of the gate this year.
Helping to make Calvillo's job a bit easier is slotback Jamel Richardson, a four-time East Division All-Star who erupted for a staggering 112 receptions for 1,777 yards and 11 TDs in 2011. Richardson has now posted four straight 1,000-yard campaigns and has landed in the end zone 43 times during that span.
Even though he recorded just four majors through the air last year, S.J. Green is another valuable weapon for the Als who posted career highs with 87 catches for 1,147 yards and is poised to put up similar numbers again this year.
The Stamps, led by head coach John Hufnagel, have made a major change heading into this season, trading quarterback Henry Burris in order to give either Kevin Glenn and/or Drew Tate more time under center.
Glenn, acquired from Hamilton in the trade that sent Burris to the Tiger-Cats in early January, has plenty of experience and should be a valuable asset for Calgary moving forward, but a career quarterback rating of 88.5 isn't all that impressive in a league that is predicated on the pass almost exclusively.
Tate doesn't have as many miles on him from a CFL standpoint, but that's partly due to being a backup and having worked through injury last season which had him on the sidelines for the first five games.
The player who should be taking the majority of the hits coming through the line of scrimmage for the Stamps is running back Jon Cornish, who finished fifth in the league last season with a career-best 863 yards and nine touchdowns. Averaging better than seven yards per carry, the good news about Cornish is that he is someone who takes great care of the football, fumbling it away just four times in 256 career carries.
A former rookie of the year and a CFL All-Star in both 2010 and 2011, receiver Nik Lewis has spent his entire career with Calgary and has registered no less than 1,000 receiving yards every season since 2004 when he broke into the league. A clutch possession receiver who may not make the flashy plays or always end up in the end zone, Lewis will help the Stamps transition to life after Burris.
The bigger question for the offense is how well receivers like Ken-Yon Rambo and Romby Bryant will respond. Rambo, who spent some time in the NFL early in his career, isn't getting any younger so he'll need to step up his efforts in order to remain a key part of the offense for the Stampeders moving forward. Bryant, someone who has never missed a CFL game due to injury, registered a modest 51 catches and five touchdowns a year ago. He will need to elevate his play to continue to get looks down the field.
The teams met twice last season, with the Stamps claiming both matchups. The first, held in late August, turned into a 38-31 victory for the hosts and then two months later, Calgary again took care of business on the road with a 32-27 decision.
Dating back to 1946 and only taking into consideration regular-season meetings, Calgary owns a slight 32-31-1 advantage in the all-time series with the Alouettes, taking three of the last four and five of the last eight matchups overall.
Montreal, which is set to host Winnipeg and then the Stamps in the coming weeks, need to get a strong performance out of Calvillo in order to restore the confidence that the team has had in one of the greatest players ever to suit up in the CFL.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Montreal 37, Calgary 28
 

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Alouettes and Stampeders tangle during opening weekend
Calgary, AB (Sports Network) - Another year of Canadian Football and another season for Anthony Calvillo to defy the odds and continue to rewrite the CFL record books. The ageless signal-caller didn't see much action during the preseason, but he will be the one calling the shots on Sunday night when the Montreal Alouettes hit the field against the Calgary Stampeders at McMahon Stadium.
As has been the case now since 1998 when he came over from Hamilton, Calvillo is the catalyst once again for the Als. As someone who now owns almost every major passing record not just in the CFL, but in all of professional football, the Utah State product was used sparingly during the preseason this year because head coach Marc Trestman already knows what he has in this national treasure.
Even though he took a few more hits than usual last year and saw his completion rate drop to 61.8 percent, the lowest since 2003, Calvillo again threw for more than 5,200 yards and tied for the league lead with 32 TDs. Say what you will about growing old, this football player just gets better with age.
Because of the efforts of Calvillo, Montreal led the league in scoring with 28.6 ppg, but the Als struggled down the stretch as they dropped their last three regular-season bouts and then came up short in a 52-44 overtime affair in the playoffs against Hamilton. Needless to say, Calvillo and company have something to prove right out of the gate this year.
Helping to make Calvillo's job a bit easier is slotback Jamel Richardson, a four-time East Division All-Star who erupted for a staggering 112 receptions for 1,777 yards and 11 TDs in 2011. Richardson has now posted four straight 1,000-yard campaigns and has landed in the end zone 43 times during that span.
Even though he recorded just four majors through the air last year, S.J. Green is another valuable weapon for the Als who posted career highs with 87 catches for 1,147 yards and is poised to put up similar numbers again this year.
The Stamps, led by head coach John Hufnagel, have made a major change heading into this season, trading quarterback Henry Burris in order to give either Kevin Glenn and/or Drew Tate more time under center.
Glenn, acquired from Hamilton in the trade that sent Burris to the Tiger-Cats in early January, has plenty of experience and should be a valuable asset for Calgary moving forward, but a career quarterback rating of 88.5 isn't all that impressive in a league that is predicated on the pass almost exclusively.
Tate doesn't have as many miles on him from a CFL standpoint, but that's partly due to being a backup and having worked through injury last season which had him on the sidelines for the first five games.
The player who should be taking the majority of the hits coming through the line of scrimmage for the Stamps is running back Jon Cornish, who finished fifth in the league last season with a career-best 863 yards and nine touchdowns. Averaging better than seven yards per carry, the good news about Cornish is that he is someone who takes great care of the football, fumbling it away just four times in 256 career carries.
A former rookie of the year and a CFL All-Star in both 2010 and 2011, receiver Nik Lewis has spent his entire career with Calgary and has registered no less than 1,000 receiving yards every season since 2004 when he broke into the league. A clutch possession receiver who may not make the flashy plays or always end up in the end zone, Lewis will help the Stamps transition to life after Burris.
The bigger question for the offense is how well receivers like Ken-Yon Rambo and Romby Bryant will respond. Rambo, who spent some time in the NFL early in his career, isn't getting any younger so he'll need to step up his efforts in order to remain a key part of the offense for the Stampeders moving forward. Bryant, someone who has never missed a CFL game due to injury, registered a modest 51 catches and five touchdowns a year ago. He will need to elevate his play to continue to get looks down the field.
The teams met twice last season, with the Stamps claiming both matchups. The first, held in late August, turned into a 38-31 victory for the hosts and then two months later, Calgary again took care of business on the road with a 32-27 decision.
Dating back to 1946 and only taking into consideration regular-season meetings, Calgary owns a slight 32-31-1 advantage in the all-time series with the Alouettes, taking three of the last four and five of the last eight matchups overall.
 

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Toronto visits Edmonton to open 2012 CFL campaign
Edmonton, AB (Sports Network) - As one of the two teams that failed to make the playoffs in 2011, the Toronto Argonauts are the club with the most to prove in the East Division of the CFL as they kick off the 2012 campaign this weekend against the Edmonton Eskimos at Commonwealth Stadium.
A mere 6-12 a year ago, the Argos had the weakest defense in the league, allowing opponents to connect on 67.0 percent of their pass attempts for a massive 421.7 ypg and a league-high 27.7 ppg. Perhaps it wouldn't have been as bad if the offense had been able to keep up, but the group was second-to-last in points scored (22.1 ppg) and its time of possession (26:22 per game) was the least among all eight clubs.
Toronto won only twice through the first 11 games of last year, a trend that rookie head coach Scott Milanovich hopes he can prevent from happening this time around as he and quarterback Ricky Ray begin a new era of Argos football.
Ray, who got off to a scorching start a year ago while with Edmonton, has been slow to respond in the preseason in his new surroundings and that's something that coach Milanovich has taken personally leading up to the opener. For Ray, a signal-caller who has thrown for at least 4,500 yards six times in his career and has completed 66.8 percent of his pass attempts, it is only a matter of time before he finds his groove with his new team.
Hoping to make the transition a bit smoother now that the games count, Chad Owens should be a more integral part of the Toronto offense moving forward given the type of numbers he has put up in the last couple of years. Owens was again a stat machine for the Argos in 2011, easily leading the league in combined yards with a staggering 3,345. To put that in perspective, only two other players were able to crack the 2,000-yard barrier and the highest among them was just 2,019.
Owens is obviously a catalyst in the kick-return game, but he is going to be used far more on offense this year in order to take full advantage of his speed and elusiveness.
With back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons under his belt, running back Cory Boyd will also play a central role on the Toronto offense coming out of the backfield. Also expect him to figure more into the passing game since he proved in 2010, with his 38 catches for 363 yards and two touchdowns, that he can be a producer in that role as well.
Now in his second season at the helm of the Edmonton Eskimos, head coach Kavis Reed may just have a bigger job before him in 2012 than he did when he broke in a year ago.
For a team that finished 11-7 in the regular season and bowed to eventual Grey Cup Champion British Columbia in the playoffs, making a major switch at the quarterback position was somewhat of a surprise.
Ray was one of the top signal-callers in the league a year ago, especially during the first few weeks when he could do no wrong, yet Edmonton opted to trade him to Toronto for Steven Jyles, with other players and future considerations factored in as well.
Now entering his seventh season in the CFL, Jyles has had a tough time finding a permanent home, having made stops in Saskatchewan, Winnipeg and Toronto since breaking in with this same Edmonton squad back in 2006. Jyles hasn't been an overwhelmingly successful passer with just 31 aerial majors and almost as many interceptions (29), but Reed still has him sitting at the top of the depth chart heading into the first week of the regular season.
Making the transition to Jyles a bit easier will be slotback Adarius Bowman, who matched Fred Stamps with 1,153 receiving yards in 2011. Stamps has now put up three straight years with at least 1,100 receiving yards and is consistently a big-play threat.
Last year, the Esks had the third-leading rusher in the league in Jerome Messam (1,057 yards), but he is attempting to catch on with the Miami Dolphins of the NFL and that means coach Reed needs to find an able replacement. Hugh Charles could fit the bill even though he was used sparingly in 2011, as he logged 277 yards and a score on 46 attempts. But because of the question at the running back position, Jyles can waste little time in establishing himself as a solid passer.
Edmonton won the most recent meeting between these two squads last October, claiming a 31-24 triumph on the road. The victory was the third straight for the club over the Argos and the fifth in the last six matchups.
In terms of the all-time, regular-season series dating back to 1949, Edmonton is ahead by a count of 43-38-1. The clubs are slated to meet once again in late August on Toronto's turf.
 

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Grey Cup rematch pits Blue Bomber against Lions
Vancouver, BC (Sports Network) - A rematch of the 99th Grey Cup takes center stage during the first week of the CFL's 2012 regular season, as the British Columbia Lions entertain the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Place Stadium.
The Lions, who began the 2011 campaign with five consecutive defeats and six setbacks in the first seven outings, could have easily packed it in and cruised through the second half of the season, but instead head coach Wally Buono lit a fire under his players and eventually led them to an eight-game win streak and victories in 12 of their final 13 contests, the last of those being a 34-23 triumph in the title game in their own building.
A lot has changed for the Lions since then, chief among them being Buono's move from the sidelines back behind a desk with the organization and turning the head coaching duties over to Mike Benevides.
Benevides will be leaning heavily on quarterback Travis Lulay for on-the-field guidance to begin the season. Lulay had a breakout year for the Lions in 2011, throwing for more than 4,800 yards and 32 touchdowns, while keeping his interceptions (11) to a minimum. Although he completed only 58.7 percent of his pass attempts, he was still among the top-ranked signal-callers when it came to efficiency rating (95.8).
Not afraid to try his hand at running the ball, Lulay was second among quarterbacks in rushing in 2011 with his 391 yards and while the prospect of catching defenses napping is certainly one that should work in favor of Lulay and BC, putting the starting quarterback in harm's way too often is also a prescription for disaster.
What the Lions really need is for someone to emerge as an efficient running back to take some of the pressure off Lulay's shoulders. Andrew Harris could fill that role, having led the team in rushing with 458 yards on 96 carries a season ago, but the fact that he had more fumbles (three) than touchdowns (one) is something that cannot be completely overlooked.
The job of making Lulay look good down the field again falls on Geroy Simon, who finished second in the league last year with 1,350 receiving yards. Simon, who had one of the better per-catch averages (16.1 yards) in the CFL, landed in the end zone eight times for the Lions. One of the all-time leaders in CFL history in terms of receiving yards (15,087), Simon now has nine straight campaigns with at least 1,000 yards receiving (matching the second-longest streak in CFL history), but players typically begin to decline after years of wear and tear on their bodies and Simon is no different.
Simon might not be the receiver in the cross hairs for the Lions every week if someone like Arland Bruce were capable of maintaining a consistent level of production. An enigmatic player to say the least, Bruce is a talent who should be shredding defenses on a regular basis, but you can never be sure what is going on in his head which might be why he has been bouncing from one team to the next for the last few years.
Make no mistake, Bruce is certainly a skilled receiver who has more than 10,000 yards in his career, it is just that he can be high maintenance and the payoff is not always worth the price.
Another slotback, Shawn Gore, had just one TD a year ago on 60 catches and somewhat faded in the second half of the season after a strong start, but he is someone that Lulay should be able to lean on as well.
Over on the other side the Blue Bombers, led by head coach Paul LaPolice, got some sobering news within the last few days as they found out that running back Chris Garrett had been lost for the season with a torn Achilles tendon suffered on Tuesday. Garrett was projected to be the lead runner for the Bombers after delivering 576 yards and four TDs a year ago, but now the team has to regroup and figure out the next best mode of attack.
The loss of Garrett will probably add some more pressure to starting quarterback Buck Pierce, as he attempts to rebound from a 2011 season filled with both highs and lows. Pierce was able to get the Bombers into the championship round where he threw for 250 yards and a pair of majors, but too often he and the Winnipeg offense stalled.
Perhaps Pierce wasn't completely 100 percent following his injury in 2010, but you can bet that he's determined to put forth just as much effort moving forward.
With the running back position now up in the air, it is even more important for receivers such as Terrence Edwards to assume more of the responsibility. The leading receiver for the Bombers the last two years, Edwards has delivered at least 1,000 yards in four of the last five seasons and will again be a prime target for Pierce.
These two squads faced off a total of three times last year, with Winnipeg capturing the two regular-season tilts (25-20 and 30-17), but the Blue Bombers would have gladly traded those in for a more favorable outcome in the championship game.
 

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Inside the CFL: Fearless predictions, part one
By Ted Michaels, CFL Columnist
Hamilton, ON (Sports Network) - The CFL season begins on June 29 and ends with the playing of the 100th Grey Cup at the Rogers Centre on November 26.
After an offseason that saw some huge trades, new coaches and player signings, the questions are starting to be asked ... who makes the playoffs, who won't and who will be in the big show?
Glad you asked.
Here's one man's fearless predictions.
EAST DIVISION
First place - Montreal Alouettes.
Coming off a 10-8 season last year, the Alouettes lost the Eastern semifinal at home, when the Hamilton Tiger-Cats beat them 52-44 in overtime. Coaches never like to use injuries as an excuse, but the fact remains that the Als defense was decimated heading into that game.
In the offseason, the Als concentrated on the defensive side of the ball, signing defensive tackles Aaron Hunt (BC), Luc Mullinder (Hamilton), linebackers Rod Davis and Mark Restelli from Edmonton and safety Kyries Hebert, who formerly played in Hamilton.
The new defensive coordinator is Jeff Reinebold, a former head coach in Winnipeg. His defense will be a lot more aggressive than in years past, and perhaps, because of that, two veteran players were released last week: linebacker Diamond Ferri, who was starting his sixth season, and safety �tienne Boulay, a second-round draft pick in 2006. Meantime, defensive end John Bowman will miss at least the first four weeks of the season, after he suffered a torn ligament in his right knee at training camp. That could be a big loss for Montreal because he's led the team in sacks for the last three seasons, picking up 12 in 2011.
The skinny: no surprise here, the Alouettes will go as far as Anthony Calvillo takes them. The 40 year-old quarterback, is pro football's all-time passing leader. If he stays healthy, with the quick release that he employs, the Montreal offense can be the thing of beauty it's been for the last few years. If not, look for the defense to carry the load until Calvillo gets back. In 2011, the Als failed to appear in the Grey Cup for the first time in Marc Trestman's four years as head coach.
Don't think that won't drive him.
Second place - Hamilton Tiger-Cats.
The Tiger-Cats were very active in the offseason, after a third-place, 8-10 finish and a loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the Eastern Final.
Head coach Marcel Bellefeuille was fired shortly after that, and was replaced by former long-time Calgary assistant George Cortez, who joins the Tiger-Cats after two seasons in the NFL as the Buffalo Bills quarterbacks coach. Prior to his tenure with the Bills, Cortez spent 18 seasons with four teams in the Canadian Football League and four years in the NCAA as the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at the University of California.
The Tiger-Cats also acquired Henry Burris, the CFL Most Outstanding Player in 2010, in a trade with Calgary, sending Kevin Glenn out west.
Slotback Andy Fantuz, the biggest free agent available in the offseason, also became a Tiger-Cat, as did WR Sam Giguere (a 2008 draft pick), who spent the last three seasons in the camps of the Indianapolis Colts and New York Giants.
Unfortunately, Martell Mallett, the CFL's Most Outstanding Rookie in 2009 as a member of the BC Lions, suffered a torn Achilles injury at camp, and will be gone for the season. His replacement? Ironically, it's Avon Cobourne, who asked for his release in the offseason when he heard of Mallett's signing. Cobourne ran for 961 yards and eight touchdowns in 2011.
The skinny: simply put, the offense is loaded and has more speed than it's had in years. The offense can score a ton, and they'll have to. The Tiger-Cats need two defensive ends to replace Justin Hickman, who signed with the Indianapolis Colts, and Stevie Baggs, who was released. Throw in a secondary that has a lot of question marks, and this is a team that could win every game by a score of 35-30.
Cortez has run a tough training camp, with a lot more discipline than we've seen in the past.
They'll be fun to watch.
Third place - Toronto Argonauts.
It all starts with quarterbacking, and the Argos didn't have it last year. Cleo Lemon was awful, and Steven Jyles and Dalton Bell weren't much better, which was a big reason why the Scullers ended up with a 6-12 record.
In a shocking trade, the Edmonton Eskimos sent 32-year-old Ricky Ray to the Argos for Jyles. Ray is coming off a 2011 campaign that saw him throw for 4,594 yards and 24 touchdowns.
The Argos also named former Montreal offensive coordinator Scott Milanovich as their new head coach and picked up a favorite target of Ray's in Edmonton, slotback Jason Barnes.
Some familiar names will run the ball, including Cory Boyd, Chad Owens, Chad Kackert, Spencer Watt and Andre Durie.
Defensively, it'll be a "no-name" defense, as in no one will know their names. Gone are Byron Parker and Lin-J Shell, who both went to BC, as well as Willie Pile and Kevin Eiben, who retired. Defensive tackle Claude Wroten, a former third-round pick of the St. Louis Rams who started all 18 games last season, was a training camp casualty.
Clearly, new defensive coordinator Chris Jones wants to change the Argos' defensive numbers, which in 2011 were awful: either last or next to last in almost every category.
The skinny: like it or not, there's always more pressure on a team when they're the host the Grey Cup. They might not want to talk about it, but fans and the media will be asking them about it.
And, if you ask linebacker Jason Pottinger, he'd love to talk about it.
"If I was a betting man, and if it was legal for me to bet on this team, I would put a lot of money on the Toronto Argonauts to be hoisting the Grey Cup at the end of the year," he told the media last week.
Oh they'll be at the Grey Cup alright.
As spectators.
Fourth place - Winnipeg Blue Bombers.
Yes, the Bombers finished first with a 10-8 record, and yes they went to the Grey Cup.
But keep in mind, the Bombers were two teams last year: the team that started the season at 7-1 and ended 3-7.
A lot was made of the team "Swaggerville" -- a name that the trash-talking Bomber defense gave themselves.
But, some key components of that defense are gone: DE Odell Willis, the self- appointed mayor of Swaggerville (traded to Saskatchewan,) DL Doug Brown (retired) and MLB Joe Loebendahn, who is now in Calgary.
Also, defensive back Jonathan Hefney caused a firestorm via Twitter, when he opined that GM Joe Mack should have been more proactive in the free agent market. Many are now wondering if Hefney should spend more time playing, and less time tweeting.
Offensively, the Bombers lost offensive lineman Brendan LaBatte, who signed with Saskatchewan, center Obby Kahn (retired) and WR Greg Carr, who went to Edmonton.
The skinny: during a preseason conference call, the Bombers said they wanted to do three things this year -- protect the football, protect the quarterback and be in second-and-short a lot more this year.
They led the CFL in two-and-outs in 2011, and unless the offensive line can protect quarterback Buck Pierce, it could be a long season in Winnipeg. No way the Bombers start this season at 7-1, especially because they'll be playing the first four games of the season on the road.
The plan was to move into their new state-of-the-art home, Investors Group Field, this summer, but on Friday it was announced that the team will play the entire 2012 season at Canad Inns Stadium because of weather-related delays.
A bad start could mean a bad year on the prairies.
When it's all over, the difference between first and fourth could be as little as eight points, or four wins.
Eastern Semifinal: in the last game at Ivor Wynne Stadium, the Tiger-Cats beat the Argos.
Eastern Final: Montreal exacts its revenge for last year, beats Hamilton, and will represent the east in the Grey Cup.
Up next: the West Division.
 

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Saskatchewan visits Hamilton in 2012 CFL season opener
Hamilton, ON (Sports Network) - The action is now for real in the Canadian Football League, as the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats kick off the 2012 campaign on Friday night at Ivor Wynn Stadium.

Not only is this season leading up to the 100th Grey Cup Championship, but this year also marks the final campaign in which the Tiger-Cats are scheduled to play at Ivor Wynn as well.

While this might be the end of the historic venue, one that has been utilized since 1928, it is also a time for new beginnings for the Ticats as well, as Henry Burris assumes the role of starting quarterback.

A former league MVP who helped guide Calgary to postseason success just a few years ago, Burris endured a lackluster 2011 campaign as he threw for 3,687 yards and 20 touchdowns, against 12 interceptions. In the previous seven seasons, the signal-caller had thrown for no less than 4,200 yards each time out, so perhaps his best years are now behind him as he starts a new life in Hamilton.

Wide receiver Chris Williams will likely be a primary target down the field for Burris, after the New Mexico State import led the Ticats in receiving a year ago with 1,064 yards on 70 catches, leading to six majors. Dave Stala had just 59 receptions last season, yet he still managed to produce a career-best eight TDs, accounting for more than one-third of his career total in the process.

With the loss of Martell Mallett to injury, the running back position was reassigned to Avon Cobourne who not only ran for a team-best 961 yards and eight TDs, but he also placed fourth on the squad with 459 receiving yards, making him a dual-threat coming out of the backfield. Not to be left out of the equation is quarterback Quinton Porter, who is often put in on short-yardage situations near the goal line, resulting in nine rushing scores a year ago.

From a defensive standpoint, Hamilton is hoping to improve upon its numbers from 2011 that showed the squad intercepting a league-low 10 passes and ranking last in the league with just 81 total return yards on those picks.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Saskatchewan defense rose up to snag 21 interceptions, third-most in the CFL. However, these were the same Roughriders who managed to acquire a league-low five fumbles and also obtained the ball on turnovers a mere five times as well. Put it all together and Saskatchewan was tied with Toronto for the worst turnover margin in 2011 at minus-17.

The Riders were roughed up last season as they finished with just five wins and were the only team from the West Division to miss the postseason, which means new head coach Corey Chamblin has his work cut out for him.

Chamblin, who was most recently the Defensive Coordinator for Hamilton ironically enough, should be taking a special interest in improving the defensive unit for Saskatchewan for sure and may even have a slight advantage in this season opener due to his familiarity with the opposition.

The offense appears to be headed once again by Darian Durant, even though he had a less-than-spectacular 2011 campaign as he recorded almost as many INTs (14) as he did TDs (18). Among the starting QBs who were able to make it through the season mostly unscathed, Durant also had the lowest yards per attempt at 7.5, something that will need to be addressed in order to get this group back on the right track.

Providing Durant with his best options down the field will again be Chris Getzlaf and Weston Dressler, both of whom recorded 1,000-yard seasons through the air. The former was third on the team with 60 receptions, but was able to stretch those for an average of just under 18 yards per catch and a total of 10 TDs, the latter logging a team-high 79 grabs but landing in the end zone just five times.

One major difference in the receiving corps on both sides is Andy Fantuz, the former Roughrider receiver who is now wearing Hamilton colors. While he may not be the deciding factor in the meeting, his presence will certainly be a key storyline for sure.

With the Riders not offering a contract to Wes Cates (680 yards, four touchdowns), that leaves Durant as the top returning ground gainer for the squad after putting up 381 yards, but the fact that he fumbled the ball nine times and was forced to take all of those additional shots from the defense can't be something Saskatchewan wants to continue.

In terms of the series between these two clubs last season, they met only twice with drastically differing results. In the first meeting on July 16, the Tiger-Cats rattled Saskatchewan at home by a score of 33-3. In late October, the Riders returned the favor with a 19-3 rout.

Taking into account only regular season matchups, Saskatchewan has won three of the last four and 14 of 16 versus the 'Cats.
 

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Inside the CFL: Fearless predictions, part two
By Ted Michaels, CFL Columnist
Hamilton, ON (Sports Network) - In "Fearless predictions part one," this corner predicted the Montreal Alouettes would represent the East in the 100th Grey Cup in Toronto.
Who will the Als play in that game?
Once again, glad you asked.
WEST DIVISION
First place - BC Lions
If there ever was a team that showed how to bounce back from adversity, it was the 2011 edition of the Leos.
They went 0-5 to start the season and the fans were wondering if general manager/head coach Wally Buono should give up his coaching duties. From that terrible start, they went on an 11-2 run, finished in first place with a record of 11-7, then won the Grey Cup at home, defeating Winnipeg.
Shortly after the win, Buono announced he was stepping down as head coach, and named Mike Benevides as his successor. Benevides was an assistant under Buono for 11 years.
In the offseason, the Lions added Rich Stubler to their coaching staff as defensive coordinator. Stubler, who was in Edmonton last season, will have some familiar names in his secondary. Defensive backs Lin-J Shell and Byron Parker played for Stubler in Toronto and are well suited to play the match coverage that Stubler employs.
One area that could be a concern for the Lions is middle linebacker because Soloman Eliminian left for the NFL.
Offensively, quarterback Travis Lulay can throw the ball to a lot of weapons, and there's good reason to believe this offense will remain one of the CFL's most dangerous.
The skinny: Win early. In the last three seasons, the Lions are 2-13 in games before August. It will be interesting to see what reaction Buono will have if the Lions get off to another horrendous start and how much pressure Benevides will be under if that happens. Still, being back in BC Place is a big advantage for the Lions, and an 0-5 start seems remote. Three of the first five games are at home, and the two road games are in Saskatchewan and Calgary. Win at least three of those, and the Lions will be sitting pretty.
Second place - Calgary Stampeders
There's a new man leading the way in Cowtown. Former Iowa Hawkeye Drew Tate is the starting quarterback for the Stampeders.
Tate, who missed the first five games last year due to injury, won his first three games as a starter, completing 101-of-158 passes for 1,346 yards (a completion rate of 64 percent). He threw eight touchdown passes and had five interceptions. However, in the Western Division semifinal, he struggled and was pulled at halftime.
If Tate should struggle this season, a familiar name will replace him. Kevin Glenn, the 32-year-old Detroit native, joined the Stamps in an offseason deal that sent longtime Stamp starting pivot Henry Burris to Hamilton.
The Stampeders, who were only one of three teams to score over 500 points last year, have a plethora of receivers: Nik Lewis, Marquay McDaniel, Romby Bryant, Chris Bauman and Johnny Forzani. They're also expecting big things from Cornell grad Jon Cornish, who is one of the rare Canadian starters at tailback. In 2011, Cornish started seven games and racked up 611 yards on 80 carries, a 7.6-yard average.
On the other side of the ball, the Stamps were decimated with injuries last year, especially on the defensive line and at linebacker. That could be why no team recorded fewer sacks last season then Calgary. The Stampeders are hoping lightning doesn't strike twice.
The skinny: Make McMahon miserable. Head coach and GM John Hufnagel says the 5-4 home record in 2011 was "unsatisfying." He'd like to turn McMahon Stadium into a place that visiting teams hate to play at. Perhaps they'd play better at home if they stopped shooting themselves in the foot. The Stampeders had 39 turnovers in 2011, 20 fumbles and 167 penalties, all areas of concern.
Clean up those areas, win at least six games at home, and the Stampeders, who finished in third place with an 11-7 record in 2011, should finish with at least the same record, good enough for second place.
Third place - Edmonton Eskimos
It was a trade that sent shock waves throughout the CFL. Last December, GM Eric Tillman sent nine-year starting quarterback Ricky Ray to the Toronto Argos for Steven Jyles.
If you look at the numbers, you have to wonder what Tillman was thinking.
Ray has thrown for over 40,000 yards and a 67 percent completion rate. Jyles, a six-year CFL vet, has started just 20 games and has a completion rate of under 60 percent. Last season, Jyles played in eight games in Toronto, throwing for 1,430 yards and eight TDs.
To be fair, the move appears to have salary cap written all over it as the Eskimos prepare for the next generation of quarterbacks. However, right now, the backup quarterbacks are 38-year-old Kerry Joseph and former Mississippi star Jeremiah Masoli.
The loss of running back Jerome Messam to the Miami Dolphins is huge. Can Colorado grad Hugh Charles or former Western Washington product Calvin McCarty pick up the slack?
Head coach Kavis Reed loves his defensive line, where former Eskimo Rashad Jeanty, Marcus Howard and Julius Williams are expected to add a lot of heat to opposing quarterbacks.
The skinny: ET go home! Eskimo fans may be yelling that if their team falters this year. Are there some questions about this team? No doubt, Tillman said at the start of training camp. Last year, Edmonton finished in second place with an 11-7 record, beating Calgary in the semifinal, then were blasted 40-23 by BC in the West Division final. Tillman says he wants to be judged by his moves at the end of the season. Fine. It'll be a long season in the City of Champions, with the Eskimos hard-pressed to get above the .500 mark.
Fourth place - Saskatchewan Roughriders
Last season, the Riders finished 5-13, missed the playoffs, then wasted little time in hiring a new head coach for the second time in two seasons. Corey Chamblin comes to the Prairies after a stint in Hamilton as defensive coordinator and defensive backs coach.
He has a lot of work to do. Quarterback Darian Durant is the only returning pivot with CFL experience. The backups are Levi Brown, from Troy, the University of Buffalo's Drew Willy, and J.T. O'Sullivan, the former NFL quarterback out of UC Davis. None of those names should ease the angst of the Rider nation, if Durant falters, or gets hurt.
The fans better hope the offensive line can protect Durant. Three long-time stalwarts are gone either through retirement or being released: Gene Makowsky, Marc Parenteau and Alex Gauthier.
Brandon LaBatte, who played in Winnipeg before signing with the Riders, is a huge addition, while first overall draft pick Ben Heenan is looked upon to contribute quickly.
Defensively, the Riders need to replace three linebackers: Barrin Simpson, who was released; Sean Lucas, who retired; and Jerell Freeman, who signed with the Indianapolis Colts.
The skinny: The heat is on. Last season, the Riders had just 29 sacks, third- worst in the CFL. Of those 29 sacks, only 15 came from defensive linemen. This year, the Riders want to set a new league record for sacks in a season. The previous mark is 85, set by the 1986 Calgary Stampeders. Rider fans are hoping the defense can get some pressure on opposing quarterbacks and cause turnovers and create field position. If not, the heat will be turned up on GM Brendan Taman and Chamblin. Last year, rookie head coach Greg Marshall started the season at 1-7 and was fired. If Saskatchewan starts this season the same way, will Chamblin meet the same fate?
West Division semifinal: Crossover time. If the fourth-place team in a division has more than the third-place team in another division, they cross over to be in the playoffs. That will be the case this year, when the fourth- place Winnipeg Blue Bombers will have more points than the third-place Eskimos. The Stampeders will defeat Winnipeg in that game.
West Division final: BC will defeat the Stampeders.
Grey Cup: The BC Lions will defeat the Montreal Alouettes.
 

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Inside the CFL: Fearless predictions, part one
By Ted Michaels, CFL Columnist

Hamilton, ON (Sports Network) - The CFL season begins on June 29 and ends with the playing of the 100th Grey Cup at the Rogers Centre on November 26.

After an offseason that saw some huge trades, new coaches and player signings, the questions are starting to be asked ... who makes the playoffs, who won't and who will be in the big show?

Glad you asked.

Here's one man's fearless predictions.

EAST DIVISION

First place - Montreal Alouettes.

Coming off a 10-8 season last year, the Alouettes lost the Eastern semifinal at home, when the Hamilton Tiger-Cats beat them 52-44 in overtime. Coaches never like to use injuries as an excuse, but the fact remains that the Als defense was decimated heading into that game.

In the offseason, the Als concentrated on the defensive side of the ball, signing defensive tackles Aaron Hunt (BC), Luc Mullinder (Hamilton), linebackers Rod Davis and Mark Restelli from Edmonton and safety Kyries Hebert, who formerly played in Hamilton.

The new defensive coordinator is Jeff Reinebold, a former head coach in Winnipeg. His defense will be a lot more aggressive than in years past, and perhaps, because of that, two veteran players were released last week: linebacker Diamond Ferri, who was starting his sixth season, and safety �tienne Boulay, a second-round draft pick in 2006. Meantime, defensive end John Bowman will miss at least the first four weeks of the season, after he suffered a torn ligament in his right knee at training camp. That could be a big loss for Montreal because he's led the team in sacks for the last three seasons, picking up 12 in 2011.

The skinny: no surprise here, the Alouettes will go as far as Anthony Calvillo takes them. The 40 year-old quarterback, is pro football's all-time passing leader. If he stays healthy, with the quick release that he employs, the Montreal offense can be the thing of beauty it's been for the last few years. If not, look for the defense to carry the load until Calvillo gets back. In 2011, the Als failed to appear in the Grey Cup for the first time in Marc Trestman's four years as head coach.

Don't think that won't drive him.

Second place - Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

The Tiger-Cats were very active in the offseason, after a third-place, 8-10 finish and a loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the Eastern Final.

Head coach Marcel Bellefeuille was fired shortly after that, and was replaced by former long-time Calgary assistant George Cortez, who joins the Tiger-Cats after two seasons in the NFL as the Buffalo Bills quarterbacks coach. Prior to his tenure with the Bills, Cortez spent 18 seasons with four teams in the Canadian Football League and four years in the NCAA as the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at the University of California.

The Tiger-Cats also acquired Henry Burris, the CFL Most Outstanding Player in 2010, in a trade with Calgary, sending Kevin Glenn out west.

Slotback Andy Fantuz, the biggest free agent available in the offseason, also became a Tiger-Cat, as did WR Sam Giguere (a 2008 draft pick), who spent the last three seasons in the camps of the Indianapolis Colts and New York Giants.

Unfortunately, Martell Mallett, the CFL's Most Outstanding Rookie in 2009 as a member of the BC Lions, suffered a torn Achilles injury at camp, and will be gone for the season. His replacement? Ironically, it's Avon Cobourne, who asked for his release in the offseason when he heard of Mallett's signing. Cobourne ran for 961 yards and eight touchdowns in 2011.

The skinny: simply put, the offense is loaded and has more speed than it's had in years. The offense can score a ton, and they'll have to. The Tiger-Cats need two defensive ends to replace Justin Hickman, who signed with the Indianapolis Colts, and Stevie Baggs, who was released. Throw in a secondary that has a lot of question marks, and this is a team that could win every game by a score of 35-30.

Cortez has run a tough training camp, with a lot more discipline than we've seen in the past.

They'll be fun to watch.

Third place - Toronto Argonauts.

It all starts with quarterbacking, and the Argos didn't have it last year. Cleo Lemon was awful, and Steven Jyles and Dalton Bell weren't much better, which was a big reason why the Scullers ended up with a 6-12 record.

In a shocking trade, the Edmonton Eskimos sent 32-year-old Ricky Ray to the Argos for Jyles. Ray is coming off a 2011 campaign that saw him throw for 4,594 yards and 24 touchdowns.

The Argos also named former Montreal offensive coordinator Scott Milanovich as their new head coach and picked up a favorite target of Ray's in Edmonton, slotback Jason Barnes.

Some familiar names will run the ball, including Cory Boyd, Chad Owens, Chad Kackert, Spencer Watt and Andre Durie.

Defensively, it'll be a "no-name" defense, as in no one will know their names. Gone are Byron Parker and Lin-J Shell, who both went to BC, as well as Willie Pile and Kevin Eiben, who retired. Defensive tackle Claude Wroten, a former third-round pick of the St. Louis Rams who started all 18 games last season, was a training camp casualty.

Clearly, new defensive coordinator Chris Jones wants to change the Argos' defensive numbers, which in 2011 were awful: either last or next to last in almost every category.

The skinny: like it or not, there's always more pressure on a team when they're the host the Grey Cup. They might not want to talk about it, but fans and the media will be asking them about it.

And, if you ask linebacker Jason Pottinger, he'd love to talk about it.

"If I was a betting man, and if it was legal for me to bet on this team, I would put a lot of money on the Toronto Argonauts to be hoisting the Grey Cup at the end of the year," he told the media last week.

Oh they'll be at the Grey Cup alright.

As spectators.

Fourth place - Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Yes, the Bombers finished first with a 10-8 record, and yes they went to the Grey Cup.

But keep in mind, the Bombers were two teams last year: the team that started the season at 7-1 and ended 3-7.

A lot was made of the team "Swaggerville" -- a name that the trash-talking Bomber defense gave themselves.

But, some key components of that defense are gone: DE Odell Willis, the self- appointed mayor of Swaggerville (traded to Saskatchewan,) DL Doug Brown (retired) and MLB Joe Loebendahn, who is now in Calgary.

Also, defensive back Jonathan Hefney caused a firestorm via Twitter, when he opined that GM Joe Mack should have been more proactive in the free agent market. Many are now wondering if Hefney should spend more time playing, and less time tweeting.

Offensively, the Bombers lost offensive lineman Brendan LaBatte, who signed with Saskatchewan, center Obby Kahn (retired) and WR Greg Carr, who went to Edmonton.

The skinny: during a preseason conference call, the Bombers said they wanted to do three things this year -- protect the football, protect the quarterback and be in second-and-short a lot more this year.

They led the CFL in two-and-outs in 2011, and unless the offensive line can protect quarterback Buck Pierce, it could be a long season in Winnipeg. No way the Bombers start this season at 7-1, especially because they'll be playing the first four games of the season on the road.

The plan was to move into their new state-of-the-art home, Investors Group Field, this summer, but on Friday it was announced that the team will play the entire 2012 season at Canad Inns Stadium because of weather-related delays.

A bad start could mean a bad year on the prairies.

When it's all over, the difference between first and fourth could be as little as eight points, or four wins.

Eastern Semifinal: in the last game at Ivor Wynne Stadium, the Tiger-Cats beat the Argos.

Eastern Final: Montreal exacts its revenge for last year, beats Hamilton, and will represent the east in the Grey Cup.

Up next: the West Division.
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

06/29/12 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail

Totals 3-*1-*0 75.00% +950


CFL

Saturday, June 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 7:00 PM ET Toronto +2 500

Edmonton - Under 48.5 500

Sunday, July 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Montreal - 7:00 PM ET Montreal +2.5 500

Calgary - Over 55.5 500
 

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CFL
Dunkel


SATURDAY, JUNE 30

Game 125-126: Toronto at Edmonton (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.523; Edmonton 117.160
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 4 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-1); Over

SUNDAY, JULY 1

Game 127-128: Montreal at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 111.632; Calgary 112.633
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Calgary by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Saturday, June 30

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TORONTO (6 - 12) at EDMONTON (12 - 8) - 6/30/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, July 1

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MONTREAL (10 - 9) at CALGARY (11 - 8) - 7/1/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Saturday, June 30


Armadillo's write-ups will start in week 2.




CFL

Week 1


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Trend Report
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Saturday, June 30

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. EDMONTON
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Edmonton is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto


Sunday, July 1

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal


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CFL

Saturday, June 30


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Makin' Canadian bacon: Week 1 CFL preview and picks
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The CFL regular season kicks off this weekend. For some of you, that means football is back. For others, that means we're still a long way from football season.

Whatever it means to you, we'll preview the games each week and give you our picks.

Toronto Argonauts vs. Edmonton Eskimos (-2, 48.5)

The running game was about the only bright spot for the Argos last season with Cory Boyd running for more than six yards per carry. After that, the only thing saving Toronto from the worst record in the CFL was playing in the East Division.
New quarterback Ricky Ray should help on offense. He was a star and former Grey Cup MVP for Edmonton, which could make things a tad awkward in Week 1. Steven Jyles is charged with the new No. 1 role for the Eskies and it remains to be seen how consistent he’ll be on a team that made a ton of changes this offseason.

Pick: Toronto +2


Montreal Alouettes vs. Calgary Stampeders (-2.5, 55.5)


The Als went 10-8 last season but they were the worst team to bet on in the league (along with Sasky) with a 6-12 ATS record. They also closed the season with eight straight losses against the number and four losses straight up.
Ninety-seven-year-old quarterback Anthony Calvillo led the league in passing yards in 2011 with over 5 million (it’s the CFL, remember) and he anchors the Montreal offense. But with a record of 10-8 after several seasons of dominance there are some question marks in Montreal for the first time in a long time.
Calgary won both meetings with Montreal last season and covered the spread both times. They should give Montreal a strong fight on home soil on Canada Day.

Pick: Montreal +2.5
 

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 2

July 4, 2012

The 2012 CFL regular season kicked off last weekend and the quest for this year’s Grey Cup is officially underway. The defending champions British Columbia Lions rolled over Winnipeg 33-16 as eight-point home favorites in a rematch of last year’s title game. Friday’s other opener saw Saskatchewan stun Hamilton 43-16 as a seven-point road underdog.
The weekend started with Edmonton squeaking out a 19-15 win over Toronto as a one-point home favorite on Saturday and the first week of action wrapped things up on Sunday with Calgary stampeding all over Montreal 38-10 as a 2 ½-point home favorite.

The following is brief preview of this week’s CFL games along with the opening point spread and ‘over/under’ lines as provided by BetOnline.com.

Friday, July 6

Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Montreal Alouettes (-6 ½) Total: 51

Winnipeg won two of three against the Alouettes last season straight up and was a perfect 3-0 against the spread. All three games remained tight with the average margin of victory being just three points. The total stayed ‘under’ in two of the three games including the Blue Bombers 25-23 victory as 7 ½-point road underdogs in their only trip to Montreal last season. The total line in that game closed at 53.

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The Blue Bombers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games on the road but Montreal is now 0-7 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. Winnipeg is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, but 3-7 SU in the last 10 games between the two. The total has gone 5-4-1 in those 10 games. Bomber quarterback Buck Pierce left last week’s game with a leg injury, but he is listed as ‘probable’ for Friday night.

Hamilton Tiger Cats vs. British Columbia Lions (-6 ½) Total: 52 ½

Hamilton will try post its third straight victory over the Lions after beating them 39-31 as a 3 ½-point road underdog the first time they met last season and 42-10 as a 1 ½-point home underdog later in the year. The total went well ‘over’ the 49 ½-point line in the first game but stayed ‘under’ the 53 ½-point line in the 32-point romp.

The Tiger Cats have gotten the best of this matchup in recent years with a 5-2 SU record in the last seven meetings and a profitable 6-1 record ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the seven games. Hamilton is also a healthy 5-1 ATS in its last six trips to British Columbia and the total has stayed ‘under’ in 11 of the last 16 meetings overall.

Saturday, July 7

Calgary Stampeders (-3 ½) vs. Toronto Argonauts Total: 48

Toronto only won six games last season but two of them were against the Stampeders. Calgary lost on opening day 23-21 as an eight-point home favorite in 2011 with the total staying ‘under’ the 51-point line. It dropped a 31-29 decision on the road later in the season as a 6 ½-point favorite. The total went ‘over’ the 52 ½-point line this time around.

The Stampeders have actually lost the last three meetings both SU and ATS. This followed a six-game winning streak SU (5-1 ATS) dating back to the 2007 season. The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of the last nine meetings, but it has gone ‘over’ in four of the last five games played in Toronto.

Sunday, July 8

Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (-4) Total: 48

Edmonton swept last year’s three-game series SU and went 2-1 ATS. It rolled to a 42-28 victory on opening day as a six-point road underdog and followed that up with a dominating 17-1 romp as a six-point home favorite in Week 15. It closed-out the sweep with a 23-20 win as a nine-point home favorite in the final week of the 2011 regular season. The total stayed ‘under’ in the final two games.

The Eskimos are 7-3 both SU and ATS in the last 10 games of this series and they are 3-2 SU (4-1 ATS) in the last five meetings in Saskatchewan. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last eight games overall, but has gone ‘over’ in 10 of the last 12 meetings at Mosaic Stadium.
 

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CFL
Dunkel


Hamilton at BC
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Hamilton is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 6

Game 421-422: Winnipeg at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 108.276; Montreal 116.756
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2); Over

Game 423-424: Hamilton at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.884; BC 115.211
Dunkel Line: BC by 4 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: BC by 6 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+6 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, JULY 7

Game 425-426: Calgary at Toronto (3:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 119.213; Toronto 112.944
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4); Over


SUNDAY, JULY 8

Game 427-428: Edmonton at Saskatchewan (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 110.627; Saskatchewan 116.002
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 5 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4); Over


CFL
Long Sheet


Friday, July 6

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WINNIPEG (0 - 1) at MONTREAL (0 - 1) - 7/6/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HAMILTON (0 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 0) - 7/6/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-0 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 7
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CALGARY (1 - 0) at TORONTO (0 - 1) - 7/7/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, July 8
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EDMONTON (1 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 0) - 7/8/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in July games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Friday, July 6


Winnipeg (0-1) @ Montreal (0-1)-- Alouettes won two of three in this rivalry LY, with three games decided by total of nine points. Bombers (+8) won 25-23 in their only visit here. Average total in the three games was 52.3. Both teams got spanked out west last week; Winnipeg was held to 132 passing yards by the Lions in 33-16 loss (+7.5). Montreal (+2.5) lost 38-10 at Calgary- Stampeders outgained them 465-213.

Hamilton (0-1) @ BCLions (1-0)-- Western teams were 4-0 against the eastern clubs last week, winning by an average score of 33-14. TiCats swept series LY, winning 39-31 (+3) here in Week 4, then crushing BC 42-10 (+1) in Week 17, with both games going over total. Hamilton was only home side that lost last week, as Riders (+7) crushed them 43-16, passing for 390 yards. Lions waxed Winnipeg last week 33-16 (-7.5), holding Bombers to 204 yards.

Saturday, July 7

Calgary (1-0) @ Toronto (0-1)-- Argonauts won both series games LY, winning both games by two points, 23-21 (+7.5) in season opener in Alberta, then 31-29 (+6.5) at home in Week 15. Underdogs covered both of those games. Argonauts (+1.5) lost 19-15 at Edmonton last week in a game they outgained Eskimos by 71 yards. Calgary gained 465 yards last week in their 38-10 win (led 28-10 at halftime).

Sunday, July 8

Edmonton (1-0) @ Saskatchewan (1-0)-- Eskimos fueled Roughriders' skid last year by beating them three times, 42-28 (+6.5) in season opener here, then 17-1 (-6) at home in Week 15, 23-20 (-8.5) at home in Week 19. Edmonton beat old friend Ricky Ray/Argonauts last week, despite scoring only 19 points. Riders outscored Hamilton 27-3 in second half last week and were only road team that won its opener. Durant threw for 390 yards and four TDs.




CFL

Week 2


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Trend Report
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Friday, July 6

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games at home
Montreal is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

10:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 7 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton


Saturday, July 7

3:00 PM
CALGARY vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games
Toronto is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary


Sunday, July 8

7:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Saskatchewan is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton


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CFL

Week 2


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Makin' Canadian bacon: Week 2 CFL preview and picks
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The East Division was supposed to be better this year. The West Division made it clear in Week 1 that they’re going to have to prove it.

The West went 4-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) and now the East comes limping into Week 2 licking its wounds.

Winnipeg Bluebombers vs. Montreal Alouettes (-7, 51.5)

It’s hard to believe that Montreal has failed to cover in nine straight games after last week’s 38-10 loss at Calgary. The Als have also lost five in a row straight up with their last win coming on Oct. 16, 2011 against Hamilton.

Speaking of five in a row, that’s the same money streak the Bluebombers have going against Montreal. Winnipeg looks like it has its gritty defense back after a 33-10 loss at B.C. last week. It was a performance that was better than the score indicated on the road against the defending Grey Cup champs.

Bombers QB Buck Pierce is banged up, as usual, after leaving last week’s game with a thigh injury. But Alex Brink is an OK backup if he has to fill in and seven points seems like too many to give a team that never seems to give much.

Pick: Winnipeg +7


Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. B.C. Lions (-7, 53)


Hamilton started the season as a 3-1 Grey Cup favorite. A week later and it looks like this team is going to need more time to gel than oddsmakers originally anticipated.

Hamilton’s new passing attack with Henry Burris taking the snaps didn’t go quite as planned in a 43-16 loss to Saskatchewan. Burris threw for 284 yards with no TDs and one INT.

So why aren’t the Kitty-Cats more of an underdog on the road against a B.C. team that looks as sharp as it did last year?

Because Hamilton gives the Lions a hard time for some strange reason. The Ti-Cats won both meetings last year and have covered the spread in six of the last seven clashes.

Still.

Pick: Lions -7


Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts (4, 48.5)


Canadian running back Jon Cornish bowled his way to 86 yards and two touchdowns in a convincing win over Montreal last week. Not sure the Stamps are going to have the same success against an Argos defense that likes to play physical and allowed just 15 points in a four-point loss last week.

Don’t count on there being too many games this season where the Argos allow fewer than 20 points and end up losing the game with Ricky Ray running the offense.

Pick: Toronto +4


Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (-4.5, 48)


There might not be any team that wants to win this week as badly as the Roughriders. They went 0-10 against Western opponents last season and desperately hope to end that trend in their home opener this season.

Saskatchewan seemed to easily rack up 43 points on Hamilton last week and QB Darian Durant was named Offensive Player of the Week with four TDs and a whack of yards. Meanwhile, the Eskies struggled in the post-Ricky Ray era on offense against Toronto and they know they’re in for a battle in Regina.

Pick: Saskatchewan
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
06/30/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
06/29/12 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
Totals 4-*2-*0 66.67% +900


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/01/12 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
Totals 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100



CFL

Friday, July 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Winnipeg - 7:00 PM ET Montreal -6.5 500

Montreal - Under 51.5 500


Hamilton - 10:00 PM ET BC Lions -6.5 500

BC Lions - Over 52.5 500




Saturday, July 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 3:00 PM ET Toronto +4 500

Toronto - Over 48.5 500




Sunday, July 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Edmonton - 7:00 PM ET Saskatchewan -4 500

Saskatchewan - Under 48 500
 

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Thursday’s betting tips: Dodgers eyeing two Cubs pitchers

Who’s hot

CFL: The Stampeders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.

WNBA: Under is 17-5 in the Shock's last 22 road games.

WNBA: Sparks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

Who’s not

CFL: The Alouettes are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.

WNBA: Lynx are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

WNBA: Fever are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

Key stat

5 – The Los Angeles Sparks will play their fifth game in the span of eight nights Thursday at Indiana. So far the busy schedule hasn’t slowed them at all. They’re riding a run of 4-0 both straight up and against the spread as they head into Indiana as 3.5-point underdogs.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Anthony Calvillo, Montreal Alouettes – Calvillo is still nursing a bruised left shoulder but has been able to practice this week and plans to start Thursday against Calgary. The news for Calgary’s starting quarterback isn’t so good. Drew Tate is out indefinitely with his own shoulder injury, forcing veteran Kevin Glenn to step in.

Game of the day

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-6, 56)

Notable quotable

"It's the Midwest. It's the type of golf course that I grew up on. I can drive here from home. It's comfortable surroundings. I enjoy the course. I enjoy coming here. . . . But I really can't put a finger on it." – Steve Stricker about going for his fourth John Deere Classic title. He’s set as the tournament favorite at +700.

Notes and tips

The New Jersey Nets reportedly signed Brook Lopez to a four-year, $60-million deal Wednesday, which effectively ended the recent talk of the Nets acquiring Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard. Lopez played just five games last year due to foot and ankle injuries but averages 17.4 points and 7.5 rebounds per game in his career. The Nets also finalized earlier deals with Deron Williams, Gerald Wallace and Joe Johnson.

The Knicks are set to match the Houston Rockets' four-year, $28.8 million offer to restricted free agent Jeremy Lin, retaining the point guard for at least the next three seasons. The Knicks said they would match any offer Lin receives to keep him, even after bringing veteran Jason Kidd in on a free-agent deal.

A CBSSports.com report indicates the Los Angeles Dodgers are talking with the Chicago Cubs about the availability of starting pitchers Matt Garza and Ryan Dempster. Garza has struggled with a 4-7 record and a 4.32 ERA, while Dempster, a free agent at the end of the season, is 4-3 in 13 starts with a tidy 1.99 ERA.

Miami Marlins manager Ozzie Guillen told ESPN’s Dan LeBatard that he intends to use a closer-by-committee system at least to begin the second half. Miami’s bullpen ranks third from the bottom of the bigs with a 4.65 ERA.

The Warriors acquired veteran point guard Jarrett Jack from the New Orleans Hornets as part of the trade that will send Dorell Wright to Philadelphia. The Hornets received the draft rights to 2006 second-round pick Edin Bavcic in return. Bavcic played in Greece last season. Wright averaged 16.4 points and 5.3 rebounds in 2010-11 but his production dipped last season (10.3/4.6). Jack averaged 15.6 points and 6.3 assists with New Orleans last season.
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Umpires who favored overs and unders in first half.......

Over
Emmel 16-1, .941
Holbrook 12-4, .750
Schrieber 13-5, .722
Fletcher 10-4, .714
Carlson 12-5, .706
Darling 13-6, .684
Cederstrom 12-6, .667
Drake 12-6, .667

Under
TWelke 3-13, .188
Iassogna 4-13, .235
Bellino 5-14, .263
Wegner 5-13, .278
Reyburn 5-11, .313
Hernandez 5-11, .313
Kellogg 6-13, .316


**************


Armadillo: Thursday's List: Mid-season grades for National League teams

D'backs-- 42-43, C+. Score lot of runs at home, but are just 21-19 there. Are 8-13 in 1-run games, so room for improvement there. Injury to Drew hurt, but he is back in lineup now.

Braves-- 46-39, B+. Beachy's injury has exposed fact that Delgado/Teheran aren't quite ready for big leagues yet. Return of Jurrjens is encouraging, and emergence of young SS Simmons has boltstered defense, though he got hurt right before break (pinky).

Cubs-- 33-52, D-. Could be complete fire sale later this month, with LaHair, Dempster, Soriano, Garza likely to hit road. Wee Bears rebuilding around Rizzo/Castro and maybe Samardzija.

Reds-- 47-38, B+. 21-13 in games decided by 3+ runs, a good sign. Batters been walked intentionally 32 times, five more than any other team, sign that Votto could use some protection in lineup.

Rockies-- 33-52, F. Pitching is so horrific they're down to a 4-man rotation, with 75-80-pitch limits; injuries to de la Rosa/Chacin have crippled rotation. Tulowitzki's injury hurts, but not sure what their plan is.

Astros-- 33-53, D. Seem to be holding open tryout for position players, as they prepare for move to AL next year. Their NY-Penn league team is here in Troy; I am told this year's prospects are best they've had in years.

Dodgers-- 47-40, B Everyone said Kemp/Ethier were carrying team, but the degree they fell off map after Kemp's injury was startling. Rumored to be in negotations to buy off some of Cubs' spare parts.

Marlins-- 41-44, D. Where do I start? D is for disaster. Bell has been brutal closing games, starting pitching is shaky, Bonifacio/Stanton are hurt now. Reyes has been healthy but ordinary, same for Ramirez.

Brewers-- 40-45, C-. Departure of Fielder obviously hurt, so dropoff isn't huge surprise, but Axford has been a disappointing closer. Aoki has been a help coming over from Japan, but Weeks is having dismal season.

Mets-- 46-40, B+. 3rd in NL in runs scored. Got way more than expected out of Santana/Dickey in rotation, but now Gee might be done for year, so it becomes a big decision: bring big prospect Harvey up or not?

Phillies-- 37-50, F. Injuries to Utley, Howard, Halladay have contributed to this unmitigated disaster, but they've been awful since Utley came back, so this could be lost season. Will they dump Hamels/Victorino for prospects?

Pirates-- 48-37, A+. Haven't had winning season since '92, so imagine how excited Pirate fans must be, in first place despite an offense with an OB% of .300, lowest in the National League.

Cardinals-- 46-40, B. Tough duty for Matheny, taking over world champs in year Pujols walked away with no big league compensation. Beltran has been a godsend. Cards are 4th in majors, 1st in NL in runs scored.

Padres-- 34-53, D. Still paying for horrendous Adrian Gonzalez trade. Hurt by Cashner's inability to stay healthy, since he seems like a potential ace. Scored 12 less runs than any other teams in baseball.

Giants-- 46-40, C+. Tied with mostly Kemp-less Dodgers with 51 HRs, least in MLB. Contending despite disasterous '12 from Lincecum, who is looking bewildered on mound. Vogelsong has picked up slack.

Nationals-- 49-34, A+. Davey Johnson is enhancing Hall of Fame resume as a manager. Interesting to see if they stick to word and shut Strasburg down when he hits his innings limit. Will they save innings for October?
 

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Public opinion: Solid support for underdog Stamps

Consensus percentages and odds current as of 8 p.m. ET, Wednesday.

CFL:

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-6, 56)


Maybe Montreal bettors are getting a little tired handing over their hard-earned cake. The Alouettes have dropped eight of their last nine games against the spread dating back to last season and went into this week with some quarterback controversy. Anthony Calvillo is set to start despite a bruised left shoulder, instead of backup Adrian McPherson, who put together a 97-yard scoring drive when he stepped in for the vet last week. Meanwhile, the Stamps will be without Drew Tate for at least five weeks, which leaves Kevin Glenn to take the snaps. Calgary has also covered the number in four of its last five meetings with Montreal.

Consensus: Stampeders, 58 percent

WNBA:

Tulsa Shock at Minnesota Lynx (18, 172)


The Minnesota Lynx finally came out of tailspin that saw them drop three in a row against the spread and straight up by smoking Tulsa 107-86, covering as 13.5-point favorites. Now with the Lynx returning to Minnesota for the rematch, oddsmakers are heaping chalk on the home team. The Lynx have covered in 17 of their last 25 home games, but without Rebekkah Brunson (calf) down low, this is a lot of points.

Consensus: Shock, 61 percent
 

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Dunkel


Calgary at Montreal
The Alouettes look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 Thursday games. Montreal is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-5 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 12

Game 121-122: Calgary at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 110.376; Montreal 117.483
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 7; 59
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-5 1/2); Over


FRIDAY, JULY 13

Game 123-124: Winnipeg at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 113.050; Edmonton 111.933
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1; 40
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 45
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1); Under


SATURDAY, JULY 14

Game 125-126: BC at Saskatchewan (3:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: BC 118.788; Saskatchewan 114.696
Dunkel Line: BC by 4; 50
Vegas Line: BC by 2 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: BC (-2 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Toronto at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 105.781; Hamilton 112.707
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 7; 57
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 5; 53
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-5); Over




CFL
Long Sheet


Thursday, July 12

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CALGARY (1 - 1) at MONTREAL (1 - 1) - 7/12/2012, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, July 13

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WINNIPEG (0 - 2) at EDMONTON (1 - 1) - 7/13/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 14

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 0) - 7/14/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in July games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 105-68 ATS (+30.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (1 - 1) at HAMILTON (0 - 2) - 7/14/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3


Home 3-1 (6-2). Favorites 2-2 (5-3), Over 3-1 (4-4). West 5-1 vs East.

Thursday, July 12

Calgary (1-1) @ Montreal (1-1)-- For whatever reason, these teams' meetings in 2012 are in Weeks 1-3; Stampeders (-2.5) crushed Als 38-10 in season opener, outgaining Montreal 465-213 in game where both teams turned ball over three times. Calgary turned ball over four times, were outgained by 232 yards in loss at Toronto last week, but it was 39-36 despite all that. Alouettes passed ball for 445 yards last week in 41-30 win here over Winnipeg. Calgary QB Tate is hurt here; Glenn is expected to start.

Friday, July 13

Winnipeg (0-2) @ Edmonton (1-1)-- Who makes the CFL schedule? Winnipeg is on road for third week in row, other seven teams all had a home game in Weeks 1 or 2. Bombers were outgained by 154-153 yards in losing first couple games-- they gave up 445 passing yards in Montreal. Edmonton scored only 20 points in its first two games, getting blanked in second half last week in Regina. Home side won both series meetings LY; Bombers (+2.5) lost 24-10 here, after beating Eskimos 28-16 (+1), with both games staying under total.

Saturday, July 14

BC Lions (2-0) @ Saskatchewan (2-0)-- Roughriders bounced back from dismal '11 by winning first two games, allowing 17 points in pair of decisive wins- they were 0-3 vs Lions LY, losing by 13-37-11 points, with BC pounding them 42-5 in their only visit to Taylor Field. Lions are only team yet to play road game; in first two games, they scored 33-39 points, but Burris passed for 359 yards LW in narrow 39-36 Lion win. In two games, Saskatchewan outscored opponents 38-3 in second half-- good halftime adjustments.

Toronto (1-1) @ Hamilton (0-2)-- Argos had four sacks, four takeaways, threw for 407 yards in 39-36 win over Calgary LW; they lost two of three against the TigerCats LY, losing 37-32 (+7.5) in their only visit here. Favorites are 5-3 vs spread in CFL this year, with home team covering six of eight. Hamilton showed lot of improvement on offense last week, scoring 36 points in loss out west to BC, but they gave up four sacks and were minus-2 in turnovers. Argos' games so far this season were decided by a total of seven points.




CFL

Week 3


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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 12

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary


Friday, July 13

9:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
Winnipeg is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing on the road against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg


Saturday, July 14

3:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games at home
Hamilton is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
 

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CFL

Week 3


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Makin' Canadian bacon: Week 3 CFL preview and picks
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So much for all that talk of the East being the punching bag of the CFL after Week 1. At least for bettors.

Eastern Division teams covered the spread in both meetings against the West last week while the other two games featured inter-divisional clashes. It was a complete flip-flop on the over/under also last week when the over went 3-1, compared to the week before when the under went 3-1.

On to this week’s matchups.

Calgary at Montreal (-6, 56)

Quarterback injuries are the storyline in the season’s first rematch. Calgary’s starting QB Drew Tate is out after separating his shoulder last week while Montreal’s star Anthony Calvillo is probable after bruising his.

The good news for the Stamps is they have one of the best and most experienced backups in the league in Kevin Glenn. The bad news is the Als will be hungry to turn the tables after suffering a 38-10 drubbing in Calgary in Week 1.

Pick: Calgary


Winnipeg at Edmonton (-15, 45)


Based on the first two weeks, it’s safe to say the Eskies miss Ricky Ray. Edmonton is averaging a league-worst 246 yards per game and last week it managed just one point against Saskatchewan. Not surprisingly, Edmonton’s first two games played under the posted total.

On the other hand, Winnipeg’s usually stout defense ranks worst in the CFL through the first two games so pick your poison.

The home team has won the past six meetings straight up but it looks like the Eskies might need some more time to mesh on offense.

Pick: Winnipeg


B.C. at Saskatchewan (+3, 54)


The Roughriders are the only team to have covered the spread in both of their games so far in 2012, which is part of the reason they’re only giving a field goal to the defending Grey Cup champs.

The other reason is that Sasky has looked just plain good in decisive wins over Hamilton and Edmonton. Saskatchewan’s defense has surrendered just 13.85 points per game over its last seven games dating back to last year – which is kind of incredible for the CFL. The under cashed six times over that span so that’s worth a look.

While that’s all well and good, B.C. has been something of a nemesis for Sasky bettors in recent seasons and the Lions have now covered in the past five meetings.

Pick: B.C. -3


Toronto at Hamilton (-3.5, 54.5)


Toronto tried its best to lose last week’s game against Calgary, blowing a 15-point, third quarter lead to allow the Stamps to come back and tie the game. And if this were last year’s Argos, they probably would have lost the game.

But this year’s Argos battled back to win on a field goal as the final seconds clicked off the clock, showing fans their investment in Ray brings hope for the future.

Hamilton, who also invested in a new QB this offseason (Henry Burris), isn’t quite seeing the same promise in the early going. The Ti-Cats are 0-2 and their defense has allowed 82 points through two games. Now they’re giving away more than a field goal to Toronto’s league-leading QB in passing yards.

Pick: Toronto
 

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Thursday, July 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 7:30 PM ET Calgary +6 500
Montreal - Over 55 500

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Friday, July 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Winnipeg - 9:00 PM ET Winnipeg +1.5 500
Edmonton - Over 45 500

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Saturday, July 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

BC Lions - 3:00 PM ET Saskatchewan +3 500
Saskatchewan - Under 54 500

Toronto - 7:00 PM ET Toronto +3.5 500
Hamilton - Over 55.5 500
 

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