Saturday: Miley and the Mets YTD: 203-164, +66.4 units

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Friday: 8-4, + 7.2 units

I should have had the Mets for my first 5 unit bet. Actually for a few of my "large" ones, I bet over the set unit amount. Including Dickey vs. the LA Pee Wees.

I like these bets almost equally so if I go 1-1, that's acceptable. I am also torn between taking them at 2 or 3 unit bets. Because I'm up a bit, I'm making them 3 unit plays, but you can drop yours to lower if you're tailing.

Mets again -1. 3 units. Santana is no Dickey, but he's a lefty, who has become very crafty in his post-injured older age. I also have noticed that Santana has these truly outstanding games mixed with so-so ones. With the Dodgers, I'm expecting an outstanding one. With his circle change-up and change of speeds, he should do well. His Ks are at a good rate, and like Dickey, his only recent blight was the damn Yankees- who hit 4 HRs off of him. These Dodgers haven't hit a HR since June 22.
Also, mark this date: June 15. That's the last time the Dodgers beat a good pitcher- Chris Sale. Since then they've only knocked around HUmber(who went right to the DL) and Dan Haren, who looks to be really off his game (maybe to the DL too?). Without Ethier, Kemp and Ellis, they're stuck with Loney, Kennedy and Uribe. These 3 were either team leaders or the "main guys" to depend on.

Eovaldi was pitching well and losing. Now he is pitching less well and having trouble spotting his off speed pitches. His Ks are way down. Or he is traumatized by no run support. Rookies need run support. Anyways, the passive Dodger management is just waiting for their returning players hoping it will all turn out well in the end. The Mets hit Harang as well as anyone since over a month ago when he was in Arizona. Now they face another righty that depends on his fastball too much. Finally, I think it's good to get out of New York and away from the media and fan pressure.
 

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GL tomorrow fred. I put my NYM bet in already too. NOBODY in the Dodgers lineup is scary right now. They seem to just be in waiting mode right now for the big guys to get healthy, and perhaps win a few 2-1 or 3-2 games until then. Check out LAA tomorrow as well. They've won like 6 series in a row, and seem destined to catch Texas at some point this season. If they lose tomorrow I'll just double up on CJ Wilson in the series finale since he's been lights out. Hell, even if they win tomorrow I might do that.
 

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Arizona. ML for 3units. Love that I get to take the ML on this one. If you have followed my threads, you know I really like Wade Miley. Check out his stats in his last 4 games. 3 at home in a hitter's park and one on the road at Texas(another hitter's park). So in Miller Field he'll be fine. He throws hard with movement and then brings a devastating slider to get the 3rd strike or put out. I know that Milwaukee hit him pretty well in Arizona, but the Brewers are not hitting as well now( 10 Ks tonight vs. some so-so pitching) and Miley wasn't pitching as well then. I also like that the Brewers only hit .246 vs. lefties, and that includes some really bad ones. Plus Miley is hitting .357 himself so it's like having a DH. They'll also have Montero back in the lineup vs. the righty Fiers, and not Blanco. They also might want to rest Young who is slumping badly.

Now Fiers is tough on righties, but poor vs. lefties. In the minors he had a 5.81 ERA vs. lefties. He may be pitching very well now but boy is he due. His last 2 good starts were against the Twins and White Sox when both were slumping. He throws high 80s fastball, and his best attribute is a deceptive delivery. The D-Backs have 5 left handed hitters they can put in the lineup and a few righties that can hit RHP. Also, as I said Friday, the D-Backs might like the heat and short fences of Miller Park as it reminds them of home. Both BPs are fairly poor, but Miley should go fairly deep. Brewers are only 2-14 vs. Putz.
 

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I will check out the Angels. Even though they lost tonight, they are really killing the ball lately. Just an off night tonight. Still had 12 hits.
 

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Bee- Thanks for the Angels tip. I especially like the TT which I expect will be 5 in the morning. Two units. Alvarez has been dreadful as of late. He is an unusual pitcher. Throws very hard, but has only a 4% swing and miss ratio. For a guy that supposedly gets grounders, has given up a ton of HRs. 17 Hrs in 95 IPs. Apparently his fastball finds the middle of the plate too often. Worse yet, he gives up a lot of hits too. 69 hits in his last 46.1 IPs. Yikes! With the Angels hitting so well, I'm all over it. Alvarez also left his last start with elbow inflammation, which is probably caused by his slider. Less sliders(his one plus pitch) and more fastballs down the middle of the plate. Alvarez is also a tough guy so he'll try to hang in there even if his elbow is bothering him.
Also Angels: -1 for one unit. Richards has it all over Alvarez, but the Jays are hitting too.
Angels: TT over for 2 units.
 

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Pirates. ML +188. This is too good a number. Only have to risk much less than a unit to win one unit. The Pirates are coming off two wins of the Phillies and their 19 hit night Friday. Dispel your perceptions of their weak hitting, they are hitting very well now- up and down the lineup. Lynn is getting pitch counted because he is not used to the workload he's been getting or will get. Also he has 2 subpar outings in a row and his velocity is down a nudge. With the Cards middle relief being poor and the Pirates very good, why not? Karstens throws about a million different pitches from all kinds of angles, none of them hard. Maybe he can get through 5.
 

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Gonna be hot as hell with no humidity in St Lou again. Hopefully none of the big guys are benched due to night/day game in hot as weather.
 

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Gonna be hot as hell with no humidity in St Lou again. Hopefully none of the big guys are benched due to night/day game in hot as weather.

Presley LF
Tabata RF
McCutchen CF
Jones 1B
Walker 2B
Alvarez 3B
Barajas C
Barmes SS
(Karstens P

Schumaker 2B
Jay CF
Holliday LF
Beltran RF
Craig 1B
Freese 3B
Descalso SS
Cruz C
(Lynn P)
 

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Baltimore -1/2 first 5 innings. one unit. Tomlin has given up a lot of HRs this year, as usual. To these Orioles 6 HRs in just 59 at bats. Eveland can probably give the O's 3-5 decent innings. He has pitched pretty well and in his last many games, excellent control. Has a good biting slider. Cleveland only hitting .217 vs. lefties. Both teams not hitting lately, but I'll take the Orioles at home to get off to a good start here against Tomlin.
 

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The Angels TT is still a good possibility, but the game looks lost. The Jays are HITTING.

Phillies: How did I miss this one? Two units on the large side. Marlins 2 game winning streak is over. It couldn't last as it's likely they partied hard on a Friday night after winning last night. And now a 4:00 game.The Phils bats are finally coming alive and their career stats against Buehrle are incredibly good. check it out on ESPN- bat vs. pitch. Hamels is back in the groove and when he is, he can be unhittable. The Marlins hit .230 vs. lefties, and I still say the bottom of their lineup is dreadful- the middle aint so hot either. The Phils BP isn't very good, but it's possible the Marlins' is just as bad. Hamels might not need it too much. As you all know if you read my threads, I go against Miami a lot- but this one just looks very good.
 

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The Angels TT is still a good possibility, but the game looks lost. The Jays are HITTING.

Phillies: How did I miss this one? Two units on the large side. Marlins 2 game winning streak is over. It couldn't last as it's likely they partied hard on a Friday night after winning last night. And now a 4:00 game.The Phils bats are finally coming alive and their career stats against Buehrle are incredibly good. check it out on ESPN- bat vs. pitch. Hamels is back in the groove and when he is, he can be unhittable. The Marlins hit .230 vs. lefties, and I still say the bottom of their lineup is dreadful- the middle aint so hot either. The Phils BP isn't very good, but it's possible the Marlins' is just as bad. Hamels might not need it too much. As you all know if you read my threads, I go against Miami a lot- but this one just looks very good.

Fred...can't decipher...Phillies-1? Phillies 1st 5 -1/2? Phillies ML?

TY

BOL
 

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Nothing like a 1st inning grand slam to wake you up when you've got a 2-1 dog! Bring it home Bucs!

BTW, it takes balls to play 11.5 over but 95 degrees at game time with only a dry as a bone 14% humidity at Coors field and a lot of fly balls are going to look like home runs I believe. 11.5 is a scary number tho.
 

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Sorry. Phils are a ML bet.

Cubs. -1 for one unit. This is a bet that says the Astros continue their weak hitting ways. It's remarkable that the moment Altuve went out, there goes the offense. Maholm's pitching line might be an indicator of how badly their hitting. I'm also thinking the Cub fans are sentimental about Garza, not knowing when his last game will be. He'll pitch well for them. He pitched very well his last game in Arizona, which is a tough venue. Happ has 2 good starts in a row, but is terrible on the road.
 

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Mets: -1/2 first 5 innings. one unit. This is the game I keep returning to.
 

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Sorry if I turned you on to the LAA today Fred, their bats are quiet. *sigh*
 

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Sorry if I turned you on to the LAA today Fred, their bats are quiet. *sigh*

Good play Bee but a bad result. But I can't believe LAA hasn't gotten any runs despite the blowout. Usually things loosen up and bats fly. I also can't believe the game went over 10.5 with only one run (so far) from LAA. Wow.
 

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