Quaker State 400 @ Kentucky

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Sep 3, 2005
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CUP YTD

-16.34 units

Lines from 5dimes/sportsbook.ag

PLAYS

2 units Clint Bowyer (+115) under 10.5
Looks to me the 15 is undervalued this week

2 units Brad Keselowski (-125) Top 10
Bad Brad may have a shot to win this thing, even in a back-up

1 unit Paul Menard (-115) over Jeff Burton
Menard is 4-0 vs. Burton on 1.5 mile tracks (avg of 14 vs 21) and the 27 looks to have a better handle on things this weekend over his teammate

1 unit Kurt Busch (-120) over AJ Allmendinger
Risky....Banking on Kurt not going mental and the car holding together...thats alot to ask for but giving it a shot

OUTRIGHTS

0.80 unit Dale Jr. (+900)
Got a little swagger over in the 88 camp
0.60 unit Jeff Gordon (+1050)
He's gonna win won of these soon (this team is too good not to)
0.50 unit Brad Keselowski (+1700)
Just one of those weeks where he looks determined to get it done...and needing a strong run to stay Top 10
0.25 unit Clint Bowyer (+3500)
Not sure if the 15 can pull this off, but the line is ridiculous

Good luck!
 

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Agree on your thoughts about a lot of what you said above. Bowyer this week does seem undervalued, Junior and the team seem to be riding high, Gordon is due but have been thinking that for weeks, and just do not know if I can back any Busch boy moving forward.

Good luck.

And since I only seem to win when I post in your thread:

Bowyer +100 vs Truex
Junior +100 vs Hamlin
 

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GL tonight Mosi, I would lean to both your plays though I expect Denny to be strong (just not sure if he will finish).

Hope the post brings you some luck...I sure need some, my picks have been comical this year
 

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