Monday: A Winning Day YTD: 209-176, + 58.3 units

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Sunday: 2-6, -3.3 units

Enjoyed the Seattle game very much. Not only do the Mariners not hit well in Safeco, but other teams immediately stop hitting. Case in point, the Red Sox were stroking it pretty well before heading out west. Then in Seattle they score 9 runs in 4 games. That can be one game in Fenway! The Safeco power alleys are pretty deep and the heavy marine air just seems to make balls die on the warning track and in the gaps. Doubront throws hard, but almost too hard on his off speed pitches. His fastball is a little erratic. Luckily for him, the Mariners are experts at killing any rally. Their young hitters all look to have screwed up mechanics. They can't seem to hit any ball squarely. Vargas' fastball never exceeded 89 MPH, but he moves it around well, mixing in off speed pitches that vary in speed well. Unfortunately, for him, if his command isn't perfect (it was Sunday except for one pitch to Pedroia, who hit an absolute rocket into the LF stands), then he gets shelled- usually on the road.

Anyways, I hope you forgot to make your plays Sunday. Two losing days in a row, but I feel good about Monday.

Pirates: This club is believing in themselves. They might have swept the Cards in STL if McCutcheon had played or if they could have gotten those 2 runners in the eighth in with one out. This is the best they've hit since…….way back. I mostly like this game because the Astros seem to be in a Dodger/ mariner type hitting funk. Indications of this are when you get shut down by average type pitchers like Paul Maholm and Travis Wood. Altuve is back, but I'm not sure it'll make much difference. Pirates also have a much better bullpen than the Cubs and the Astros. Lyles has had 2 good outings, but he might have been the beneficiary of pitching vs. SD and KC. Also, he has been very poor on the road. McDonald had his first poor start of the year last game. Statistically it had to happen. He will want to prove that to be a fluke start. I still think he is the best pitcher under the radar in the NL this year. McCutcheon should be playing and Pirates are at home. Got this at -1 (-117). 3 units.
 

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Oakland/ Boston: under 7.5. one unit. Boston often has hitting issues in these West Coast pitcher's parks. The Sox had troubles with Jarrod Parker back in early May in Boston. He seems to have improved. From what I saw in Seattle, not just Sunday, but other days, is that Ortiz and others are not making good contact and striking out more often than usual. But I'm impressed with the Sox bullpen. Oakland may be returning to their low scoring ways based on what they did in Texas. Dice K seems to be pitching a little better each outing. He seems to pitch better away from Boston. A's bullpen solid.
 

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Milwaukee: -1. one unit. Zambrano has lost command, and is walking a batter per inning in last 3 starts. He might be closer to washed up than closer to a rebirth. His back issues or lack of speed or stubbornness to adjust- whatever, he isn't pitching well. Greinke has been dominant this year, and think we'll catch the Marlins off their stride the first game on the road. Only Logan Morrison has hit Grienke well, career wise, but he seems to be in a year long slump. I'm still impressed with how the Brewers slammed Miley. Both bullpens are suspect.
 

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ST. Louis: RL. one unit. Rockies are traveling from hot and dry to hot and very humid. Their SD series was a disaster, and now they play a real club. Lohse has been their ace, and the Rockies hitting has been stopped by good pitchers on the road(in a hitter's park) and by Kip Wells(how embarrassing). Outman can't seem to get to the 5th inning without blowing up, and then we'll see Jeremy Guthrie, who has been even worse.
St. Louis -1/2 first 5 innings. one unit
 

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Detroit/ Minnesota. over 9.5. one unit. This line seems high for a Doug Fister outing. But he is not pitching the same as last year. His velocity is down, and uncharacteristically he is giving up HRs. This usually means no sink on his fastball, or poor command. Liam Hendriks is much worse at giving up HRs. 10 HRs in 34 IPs. This outing could get him sent back to the minors. Unlike most new guys to the league, who have a grace period because hitters don't their motion or delivery or stuff, Hendriks seems to get hit hard his first few innings against batters he's never seen. Twins bullpen might add to the misery. the Tigers BP has been solid, though middle relief not as good.
 

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KC: one unit. ML. Teaford has been so sharp in the minors, and with Romero looking awful in the majority of his starts this year, this is a decent underdog play. Romero's command is off and usually gets into trouble early. KC has the bullpen edge. Also, the Jays are an enigma. You never know when they'll bust out or when they'll go flat.
 

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Milwaukee -1/2 first 5 innings. Greinke's 1.08 ERA at home really stands out. It's Dickey-like. This is one unit on the large side. Also, Zambrano has been struggling early in games.
 

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I have to laugh at myself. I was going to "lay low" for a couple of days. Here we have a full card.

Det/ Minn over 5 - first 5 innings. one unit
 

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O fred you always have great knowledgeable write-ups thx for posting!


EZ
 

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Yankees. ML. One unit. The Yanks easily could have won 3 out 4 with Chicago. A fluke HR, and Axelrod pitching out of mind gave them a 4-3 defeat on Thursday. I still think this is one of the truly hot hitting teams going against one of the coldest (Rays). Yankees also have given some of there best pitchers fits at times, and Moore is a young phenom, but a little raw. His control issues will be exacerbated by a patient, veteran Yankee team. Garcia has been very solid as a reliever, and with the Yankee BP, only has to give them 4-5 decent innings. Carlos Pena is 4-39 vs. Garcia, and Molina is the only one who has hit him well, and he's in a slump.

Oakland. ML. I'm apprehensive about taking the under in this game and Oakland. But the Sox looked pretty bad vs. Felix, Vargas and a host of Mariner relievers. If it wasn't for Noesi's one bad inning, they would have had 4 poor hitting games in a row. I also have to question Bobby Valentine's sanity batting Lillibridge leadoff on Sunday. He whiffed 3 straight times and looked bad doing it. Dice K is miserable holding runners, and sometimes has tough starts to games. I'm thinking Jarrod Parker will out pitch him here. Boston usually struggles on these West Coast Swings against weaker teams. One unit.
 

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As i was thinking about Dice K's inability to hold runners, Ubaldo came into my thoughts. He's another RHP who has a motion that gives runners good jumps, and sometimes runners steal at will against him. Considering the Angels penchant for stealing, and their hot hitting on this road trip, I'll take the Angels TT over 4. One unit.
 

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As i was thinking about Dice K's inability to hold runners, Ubaldo came into my thoughts. He's another RHP who has a motion that gives runners good jumps, and sometimes runners steal at will against him. Considering the Angels penchant for stealing, and their hot hitting on this road trip, I'll take the Angels TT over 4. One unit.

FYI, I'm seeing that Trout is a late scratch and not in the lineup.
 

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Nice one in DET didnt expect the Twins to carry the scoring load. The Tigers baffle me...they never score runs when thy are supposed to against weak pitchers.
 

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DET is making a rally now, they can score in bunches and the Twins BP sucks.

Other than that a lot of good juju juice going on right now.

Let's bring them home boys!
 

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