Cnotes 4th of July MLB Best Bets !

MLB

Wednesday, July 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Philadelphia 0 Bot 0 Philadelphia -120 500
NY Mets 0 Under 8 500

Houston - 1:35 PM ET Pittsburgh -142 500
Pittsburgh - Over 8.5 500

NY Yankees - 3:10 PM ET NY Yankees +137 500
Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

Boston - 4:05 PM ET Oakland -118 500
Oakland - Over 8 500

LA Angels - 4:05 PM ET Cleveland +102 500
Cleveland - Over 9.5 500

Baltimore - 4:10 PM ET Baltimore -103 500
Seattle - Over 8.5 500

Miami - 4:10 PM ET Miami -120 500
Milwaukee - Over 9.5 500

Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET Minnesota +233 500
Detroit - Over 8 500

Kansas City - 7:07 PM ET Toronto -149 500
Toronto - Over 9.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +159 500
Atlanta - Over 9 500

Texas - 7:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +103 500
Chi. White Sox - Under 10.5 500

Colorado - 7:15 PM ET Colorado +190 500
St. Louis - Over 9 500

Cincinnati - 9:10 PM ET Cincinnati -137 500
LA Dodgers - Under 7 500

San Diego - 9:40 PM ET San Diego +186 500
Arizona - Under 9 500

Fireworks Expected For Cardinals & Rockies

Fourth of July baseball has a full slate of games all day long, including some offensive fireworks expected between the St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies at 7:15 p.m. (ET).

We first have some late news for Tuesday night. New York is at Tampa Bay where the Bronx Bombers have lost all four meetings this year and the last eight dating back to last season. That’s surprising given the amount of Yanks fans that usually adorn Tropicana Field.

Ivan Nova (9-2, 4.03 ERA) pitches for the visitors and is a -125 favorite on the Don Best odds screen. The total is eight runs (‘over’ -120). He was 3-0 with a 1.26 ERA in five June starts and is 4-0 in six lifetime starts in Tampa Bay.

The 25-year-old Nova simply knows how to win games, going 26-8 all-time in the majors.

James Shields (7-5, 4.04 ERA) is pitching for Tampa. He tied a club record by allowing 14 hits in his last outing vs. Detroit. He struggled with his changeup in that contest and Tampa is 1-5 in his last six games overall (4.78 ERA).

Shields’ ERA is better at home this year (3.86), although having just a 2-3 mark. Don Best MLB analyst Kenny White points out that his Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) is a bit unfortunate at .329, so expect his ERA to go down.

Switching back to the Cards and Rockies, the pitching battle is Adam Wainwright (6-8, 4.75 ERA) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (3-7, 6.56 ERA). The Cardinals are 180 home favorites with a total of nine.

Don Best’s Pat Williams loves the ‘over’ in this contest, thinking St. Louis can come close to the nine runs itself. The lineup has more than made up for the loss of slugger Albert Pujols at over five runs scored per game (first in the NL).

The 33-year-old right-hander Guthrie shouldn’t even be starting games at this point, pitching out of the 'pen his last four outings. The Rockies have been starting all lefties in a 4-man rotation recently and limiting pitch counts to 75, but the unorthodox experiment is not working.

Guthrie has at least pitched better away from Coors Field this year, 3.89 ERA in eight appearances (six starts). Wainwright isn’t having a great year coming off injury. He allowed seven earned runs last start vs. Pittsburgh, the third time he’s reached that number this season.

Wainwright’s BABIP is .326, so he’s also had some bad luck and should improve on his ERA going forward.

The Texas Rangers at the Chicago White Sox is another one to watch on Wednesday. This could be another ‘over’ game with Texas’ Scott Feldman (2-6, 6.13 ERA) going against Dylan Axelrod (0-1, 4.50 ERA).

The 26-year-old Axelrod is in his third stint in the big leagues and is making his fourth start this year. He’s not overpowering with an 89 mph fastball and is also a fly-ball pitcher. That is not a good combination at U.S. Cellular Field.

Don Best is sending out this game as a pick ‘em with the run total set at 10.

Around the Horn - Wednesday

July 4, 2012

NATIONAL LEAGUE


San Francisco at Washington - 11:05 AM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Bumgarner (10-4, 2.85 ERA) 45-36 OVER 6-0 L6 away Game 2's
Jackson (4-4, 3.57 ERA) 46-32 2-5 L7 home during day


Nationals beat Giants, 9-3 on Tuesday

Philadelphia at N.Y. Mets - 1:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lee (0-5, 4.13 ERA) 36-46 1-8 L9 away during day
Young (2-1, 3.30 ERA) 44-37 OVER 6-1 L7 home vs LHP

Mets beat Phillies, 11-1 on Tuesday

Houston at Pittsburgh - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Keuchel (1-0, 1.35 ERA) 32-49 3-12 L15 away during day
Correia (4-6, 4.32 ERA) 44-36 UNDER 11-2 L13 home during day


Pirates beat Astros, 11-2 on Monday
Pirates beat Astros, 8-7 on Tuesday

Miami at Milwaukee - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Johnson (5-5, 3.80 ERA) 38-42 5-2 L7 away vs LHP
Wolf (2-6, 5.78 ERA) 38-42 6-1 L7 home Game 3's


Brewers beat Marlins, 6-5 on Monday
Brewers beat Marlins, 13-12 on Tuesday

Chicago at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Maholm (5-6, 4.84 ERA) 30-50 3-8 L11 away Game 3's
Delgado (4-8, 4.52 ERA) 42-38 1-10 L11 home vs LHP


Cubs beat Braves, 4-1 on Monday
Braves beat Cubs, 10-3 on Tuesday

Colorado at St. Louis - 7:15 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Guthrie (3-7, 6.56 ERA) 31-49 9-18 L27 away vs RHP
Wainwright (6-8, 4.75 ERA) 42-39 UNDER 7-2 L9 home vs RHP


Cardinals beat Rockies, 9-3 on Monday
Rockies beat Cardinals, 3-2 on Tuesday

Cincinnati at Los Angeles - 9:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Leake (3-5, 4.12 ERA) 44-36 UNDER 9-2 L11 away Game 3's
Harang (5-5, 3.68 ERA) 45-37 8-4 L12 home Game 3's


Reds beat Dodgers, 8-2 on Monday
Dodgers beat Reds, 3-1 on Tuesday

San Diego at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Marquis (1-4, 3.06 ERA) 32-50 3-9 L12 away Game 3's
Kennedy (6-7, 4.20 ERA) 39-41 4-8 L12 on Wednesdays

Padres beat Diamondbacks, 6-2 on Monday
Padres beat Diamondbacks, 9-5 on Tuesday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay - 3:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Phelps (1-3, 3.16 ERA) 48-32 9-4 L13 away vs LHP
Price (11-4, 2.92 ERA) 43-38 3-5 L8 home Game 3's


Rays beat Yankees, 4-3 on Monday
Rays beat Yankees, 7-4 on Tuesday

Los Angeles at Cleveland - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Santana (4-8, 5.12 ERA) 45-36 5-1 L6 away during day
Lowe (7-6, 4.42 ERA) 41-39 2-5 L7 home Game 3's


Angels beat Indians, 3-0 on Monday
Indians beat Angels, 9-5 on Tuesday

Boston at Oakland - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Morales (1-1, 2.59 ERA) 42-39 4-7 L11 away during day
Griffin (0-0, 1.50 ERA) 40-42 7-3 L10 home during day

Athletics beat Red Sox, 6-1 on Monday
Athletics beat Red Sox, 3-2 on Tuesday

Baltimore at Seattle - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Tillman (NR) 43-37 8-3 L11 away during day
Noesi (2-10, 5.69 ERA) 35-48 4-9 L13 home vs RHP

Mariners beat Orioles, 6-3 on Monday
Orioles beat Mariners, 5-4 on Tuesday

Minnesota at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Duensing (1-4, 4.10 ERA) 35-45 4-7 L11 away Game 3's
Verlander (8-5, 2.69 ERA) 39-42 2-13 L15 vs LHP

Twins beat Tigers, 6-4 on Monday
Twins beat Tigers, 8-6 on Tuesday

Kansas City at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Mendoza (3-4, 4.50 ERA) 36-43 OVER 7-4 L11 away vs RHP
Villanueva (2-0, 3.52 ERA) 41-40 8-3 L11 home Game 3's

Royals beat Blue Jays, 11-3 on Monday
Blue Jays beat Royals, 6-3 on Tuesday

Texas at Chicago - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Feldman (2-6, 6.13 ERA) 50-31 6-2 L8 Game 2's
Axelrod (0-1, 4.50 ERA) 43-37 UNDER 5-1 L6 on Wednesdays


White Sox beat Rangers, 19-2 on Tuesday

Diamond Trends - Wednesday

July 4, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Cubs are 0-14 since June 04, 2011 as a 140+ dog when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1400 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Rockies are 0-10 OU since July 10, 2011 as a dog after a win in which they drew 5+ walks for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Tigers are 10-0 since May 07, 2011 when Justin Verlander starts when the bullpen allowed at least three runs yesterday for a net profit of $1000.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Rays are 11-0 (2.6 rpg) since 2011 when going for a three game sweep.


TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Pirates are 0-5 since April 24, 2011 when Kevin Correia starts as a favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $561 when playing against.

The Diamondbacks are 7-0 since July 21, 2011 when Ian Kennedy starts as a home favorite after throwing more than 100 pitches and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $700.

Rangers try to bounce back on the 4th

TEXAS RANGERS (50-31)

at CHICAGO WHITE SOX (43-37)


First pitch: Wednesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -115, Chicago +105, Total: 10

The divisional leaders in the AL Central and West will square off for some Independence Day baseball when the White Sox and Rangers play the second game of a three-game set.

The Rangers lost game one of the series and their second in a row, despite having won five in a row and 13-of-15 before that. With the 19-2 win on Tuesday, the White Sox registered their third double-digit run performance in their past five games. Scott Feldman takes the hill for Texas with a 6.52 ERA and 1.60 WHIP as a starter this season. In road starts, the numbers are even worse -- 8.83 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. He goes against Dylan Axelrod, who has just three starts on the season with a 4.86 ERA in those outings. In his last time out, he held the Yankees to six hits and two earned runs in seven innings, in Yankee Stadium. The White Sox are just 20-21 at home this season, but they have won three in a row there and facing such a struggling pitcher, should be able to move that mark up to .500. As a home underdog, take CHICAGO to win.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the White Sox:

Play On - Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games. (100-59 since 1997.) (62.9%, +47 units. Rating = 3*).

In Feldman’s last start, he allowed nine hits and three home runs to the A’s, while he now faces the team with the fifth-most home runs in baseball (99) and 12 in their past five contests. Feldman has started against the White Sox five times in his career, but not since 2010. In those starts, he has a 3.98 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Averaging fewer than five innings per start this season, Feldman’s saving grace in this game could be the Texas bullpen. Rangers relievers have a 3.31 ERA and 1.08 WHIP this season, numbers that drop to 2.50 and 0.99 on the road, respectively. Still, as favorites, play against.

Axelrod enters this game never having pitched against the Rangers in his career. But he’ll be supported by an offense with the sixth-most runs in baseball (387) and fortunately for him, he’s facing one of the most hittable starters in MLB. Although the White Sox bullpen has 12 blown saves already this season, compared to just 16 saves, the numbers suggest they deserve better with a 3.83 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Go with the home team on this July 4.

Betting tips: Three over umps scheduled to work Wednesday

Who’s hot

MLB: Angels are 16-5 in their last 21 road games.

MLB: Tigers are 44-14 in Verlander’s last 58 home starts.

MLB: Over is 13-5 in the Giants’ last 18 road games.

Who’s not

MLB: Padres are 19-39 in their last 58 road games.

MLB: Dodgers are 3-13 in their last 16 overall.

MLB: Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 meetings with St. Louis.

Key stat

5 – Andy Murray has advanced to the Wimbledon quarterfinals in each of the last five years. England hasn’t produced a Wimbledon winner since Fred Perry won in 1936. Murray is set as a -222 favorite Wednesday against David Ferrer.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings – Peterson is reportedly on track to start Week 1, but it sounds more like the team is going to be very careful with his surgically repaired knee. "He's so valuable to our organization that we have to be smart,” Vikings head coach Leslie Frazier told USA Today. “We'll tread lightly as far as Week 1 and how much he'll contribute on the field.” The Vikes are set as 4.5-point favorites at home to Jacksonville in Week 1.

Game of the day

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-140, 8)

Notable quotable

"You can't play a defending Wimbledon champion or Grand Slam champion and not elevate your game. I had to weed out the riffraff and just get serious.” – Serena Williams after ousting former Wimbledon champion Petra Kvitova to advance to the semifinals.

Notes and tips

Three of MLB’s most prominent over umpires are scheduled to work behind the plate Wednesday. Jim Reynolds is set to work the Cubs-Atlanta matchup and has seen the over go 15-5 in his last 20. Jim Wolf will call balls and strikes for the Angels-Indians tilt and the over is 24-9-6 in his last 39. Meanwhile the over is 24-9 in Chris Guccione’s games as he gets ready to work the Reds-Dodgers meeting.

Roger Goodell is standing by the NFL's investigation into the Saints' bounty system, informing the four players who received suspensions as a result of the alleged pay-for-play setup that their discipline has been upheld. That means a season-long suspension without pay for Saints linebacker Jonathan Vilma. Also suspended without pay current Packers defensive lineman Anthony Hargrove (first eight games of 2012), Saints defensive end Will Smith (four games) and current Browns linebacker Scott Fujita (three games).

Travis Hafner is now expected to be activated from the disabled list Wednesday, instead of Tuesday as originally planned. Cleveland’s DH was hitting .242 with six homers and 23 RBI before hitting the shelf with a knee injury.

The New York Mets are reportedly interested in reacquiring their former closer, Francisco Rodriguez, from the Milwaukee Brewers. New York is looking to improve its bullpen and Rodriguez is one of the players it is targeting, a source told the New York Post on Monday. Rodriguez, also known as "K-Rod," has 292 career saves, including 83 in three seasons with the Mets (2009-11). He sets up John Axford in Milwaukee.Rodriguez has a 4.11 ERA this season and is making $8 million, which could make him expendable to the struggling Brewers.

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Rashard Lewis, whose middle name is Quovon (20 points in Scrabble) has earned $138,881,127 in salary in his 14-year NBA career. Wow.

-- Why is Toronto’s AAA farm team in Las Vegas? Wouldn’t it be easier for them to have it in Buffalo or Syracuse?

-- How often do hockey players skate during the summer?

-- We need a new TV reality show that chronicles travels of the Stanley Cup, especially during summer, when each member of the championship team gets it for a day.

-- This is the first year of the 4-day All-Star break, where all 30 teams get four days without games. I’m guessing it means that pretty soon they’ll move the All-Star Game to Wednesday.

-- I’m still baffled as to why any baseball player would bat right-handed. If you hit lefty, you’re two steps closer to first base. What advantage is there to hitting from the other side?


*************


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Happy Birthday, America.......

13) Since 1918, only one pitcher has allowed 0 or 1 run in 10 of his first 14 major league starts. Clemens? Koufax? Seaver? Marichal? No, Oakland’s Jarrod Parker. Dwight Gooden allowed 0 or 1 in nine of his first 13 starts in ’84, but allowed two runs in his 14th start. Impressive kid, this Parker.

12) Last December 9, the A’s traded starter Trevor Cahill and reliever Craig Breslow to Arizona for Parker, reliever Ryan Cook and OF Colin Cowgill. Cahill is pretty good and signed a big contract, so he can’t play for Oakland, since the A’s are allergic to big contracts until they get a new stadium.

Arizona was glad to get him, but Parker is better, Cook has been terrific since being inserted as the Oakland closer, and Cowgill is pretty good as a spare outfielder. Breslow is alright as a situational lefty.

Say what you will about Billy Beane, but this was highway robbery. Now hopefully the A’s will get the go-ahead to build a stadium in San Jose and the A’s can keep some of these guys for a change.

11) SI.com reports that in 1991, 24M people watched the All-Star Game, last year, 11M watched it. Great idea by MLB, making FOX their broadcast partner.

10) Red Sox traded Kevin Youkilis to Chicago, paving the way for Will Middlebrooks to be their every day 3B; took Middlebrooks less than a week to tweak his hammy, and now Nick Punto mans the hot corner in Boston. Youkilis is 9-32 so far for the White Sox.

9) White Sox scored a total of two runs in Jake Peavy’s last four starts; Mariners were outscored 15-1 in Hector Noesi’s last four.

8) President Obama attended 33 re-election fundraising events in June, a month with 30 days in it. Doesn’t leave all that much time for being President. The amount of money these two candidates are raising is staggering, and not in a good way. Going to be a lot of favors to pay off when one of them wins in November.

7) Reds have a minor league SS named Billy Hamilton who stole his 100th base Monday night; that’s 100 stolen bases, this year. Its not even July 4 yet. Wow.

6) #125 on the PGA Tour money list is Gary Woodland, with $376,974 in earnings this season; #126 is DJ Trahan, with $373,367. Top 125 keep their card for next season. Billy Hurley jumped up to #135 with his top 10 at Congressional last weekend.

5) Dwight Howard probably doesn’t care much, but his actions over the last few months make him look like a spoiled brat, or worse. He needs to take a Dale Carnegie course, or hire a PR person to advise him.

Actually its too late for that. Hopefully he’s at least practicing his foul shooting this summer.

4) Is July 3rd the worst day to have a birthday? Worse than December 26 or September 11?

3) A woman named Jeneba Tarmoh thought she finished 3rd in the Olympic trials, I think it was the 100 meters; 3rd place would’ve gotten her into the London Olympics, obviously a huge accomplishment.

Imagine her disappointment/anger when US Track officials told her she finished in a dead heat and as it turns out, there is no protocol for breaking a dead heat, other than a runoff or a coin flip. Outstanding.

2) Apparently everyone agreed the coin flip was incredibly stupid, but Ms Tarmoh, convinced she finished 3rd in the original race, refused to race in a run-off and forfeited her chance to go to the Olympics—she’ll be an alternate if one of the top three can’t go.

1) My question is this: who, if anyone, is advising this woman? What does she gain by not running? If she runs again and loses, she gets publicity, maybe an endorsement or two, maybe a spot on Letterman or Jimmie Kimmel’s show. If she runs, she comes out of it looking good.

Maybe she beats the woman again and goes to London, then her star is brighter than ever. She gained nothing by sitting it out, and she may have tossed away a small fortune in the process. Why?

Public opinion: Bettors not afraid of Verlander’s price tag

MLB:

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers (-244, N/A)

Justin Verlander went through a rough patch a few weeks ago, losing three straight starts. Since then he’s mostly been back to his usual routine by leading Detroit to four wins in his last five trips to the mound. However, he did serve up three homers in a 4-2 loss to Tampa Bay last week as a -123 favorite. Still, Minnesota’s Brian Duensing isn’t exactly the most imposing starter in the bigs and it looks like early bettors aren’t afraid of the big price tag.

Consensus: Tigers, 69 percent

MLB
Dunkel

Texas at Chicago White Sox
The White Sox look to take advantage of a Texas team that is 1-8 in Scott Feldman's last 9 road starts against a team with a winning record. Chicago is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 4

Game 901-902: San Francisco at Washington (11:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.883; Washington (Jackson) 14.449
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Under

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.246; NY Mets (Young) 16.195
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Under

Game 905-906: Houston at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 13.936; Pittsburgh (Correia) 13.468
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120); Over

Game 907-908: Miami at Milwaukee (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Johnson) 14.804; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.831
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+105); Under

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Maholm) 14.871; Atlanta (Delgado) 15.568
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over

Game 911-912: Colorado at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Guthrie) 15.271; St. Louis (Wainwright) 13.790
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+190); Over

Game 913-914: Cincinnati at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.034; LA Dodgers (Harang) 14.486
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over

Game 915-916: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Marquis) 14.483; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.730
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-180); Under

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 15.178; Tampa Bay (Price) 14.798
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+125); Under

Game 919-920: Boston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Cook) 15.668; Oakland (Griffin) 16.240
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Under

Game 921-922: LA Angels at Cleveland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 16.115; Cleveland (Lowe) 15.820
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Over

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 13.866; Seattle (Noesi) 14.842
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Over

Game 925-926: Kansas City at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Mendoza) 14.261; Toronto (Villanueva) 14.969
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Over

Game 927-928: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Duensing) 15.547; Detroit (Verlander) 14.608
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-250); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+210); Under

Game 929-930: Texas at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 15.157; White Sox (Axelrod) 16.451
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); Under

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 4

Hot pitchers
-- Bumgarner is 5-0, 2.62 in his last six starts. Jackson has a 2.57 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Young is 2-1, 3.90 in five starts for the Mets.
-- Keuchel is 1-0, 1.35 in his first three starts. Correia is 2-0, 3.86 in his last three outings.
-- JJohnson is 2-2, 1.87 in his last five starts.
-- Leake is 1-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.

-- Price is 3-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Griffin is 0-0, 1.50 in two starts for Oakland. Cook is 2-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Mendoza is 1-1, 2.96 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 3-1, 3.30 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lee is winless in 13 starts, 0-2, 7.30 in his last four.
-- Wolf is 0-1, 9.77 in his last three starts.
-- Delgado is 0-3, 6.38 in his last four starts. Maholm is 0-3, 10.38 in his last three road starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-3, 14.30 in his last three starts. Wainwright is 2-3, 5.21 in his last six starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-2, 5.76 in his last four starts. Marquis is 0-3, 5.85 in his last three outings.
-- Harang is 0-2, 6.46 in his last three starts.

-- Bronx lost both Phelps starts (0-1, 2.08); he didn't finish 5th inning in either one of them.
-- Lowe is 0-3, 8.68 in his last five starts. ESantana is 2-2, 6.18 in his last five outings.
-- Noesi is 0-4, 5.25 in his last four starts; Mariners scored one run total in the four games. This is Tillman's first '12 start; he is 7-15, 5.58 in 36 starts from 2009-11. He is 8-8, 3.63 in AAA this season.
-- Villanueva allowed three runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Duensing is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts this season.
-- Feldman is 2-5, 9.00 in his last seven starts. Axelrod is 0-1, 4.86 in three starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won six of their last seven games.
-- Mets won five of their last six games.
-- Cubs won six of their last eight games.
-- Milwaukee won five of its last six games. Miami won four of six.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Padres are 10-5 in their last fifteen road games.

-- Angels won 11 of their last 16 games.
-- Twins won their last five games, scoring 36 runs.
-- Tampa Bay won its last nine home games vs Bronx Bombers.
-- Texas won five of its last seven games. White Sox won four of their last five home games.
-- Oakland won six of its last eight home games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost five of their last eight home games. San Francisco is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
-- Houston was outscored 52-19 in losing its last eight road games.
-- Phillies lost their last six games, allowing 41 runs.
-- Atlanta lost ten of its last fourteen home games.
-- Colorado lost 19 of its last 26 games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers lost 13 of their last 17 games. Reds lost six of their last nine on foreign soil.

-- Indians lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Tigers are 6-8 in their last fourteen games.
-- Royals are 6-9 in their last fifteen road games. Toronto is 4-6 in last 10.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last six games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last six games.
-- Mariners lost 15 of their last 23 games; Baltimore lost seven of its last ten games.

Totals
-- Eight of last nine games at Miller Park went over.
-- 14 of last 18 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven San Francisco games.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine games at Citi Field stayed under.
-- Seven of last eleven St Louis games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Kennedy's last five starts, 0-3-1 in Marquis' last four.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Cincinnati games.

-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Angel games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Kansas City road games stayed under.
-- Ten of last fourteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen White Sox games.
-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Oakland games.
-- Eight of last ten Seattle games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Mia-Mil-- Eight of last ten Bellino games stayed under.
-- SF-Wsh-- Underdogs are 8-6 in last fourteen Meals games.
-- Hst-Pitt-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cuzzi games.
-- Phil-NY-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Timmons games.
-- Chi-Atl-- Six of last eight Reynolds games went over total.
-- Col-StL-- Road team won eight of last ten Porter games.
-- SD-Az-- Nine of last ten Barksdale games stayed under.
-- Cin-LA-- Eight of last eleven Guccione games went over.

-- LA-Cle-- Over is 11-6 this season with Wolf behind plate.
-- Min-Det-- Five of last seven Eddings games went over total.
-- KC-Tor-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Conroy games.
-- NY-TB-- Road team is 7-3 in Estabrook games this year.
-- Tex-Chi-- 10 of last 13 Miller games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-A's-- Baker's only previous game behind plate stayed under.
-- Balt-Sea-- 10 of last 14 Wegner games stayed under the total.

MLB

Wednesday, July 4

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Trend Report
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11:05 AM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco

1:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games at home
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:35 PM
HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 18 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

3:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

4:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 8 games
LA Angels are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing LA Angels

4:05 PM
BOSTON vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 9 games at home
Oakland is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

4:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games
Seattle is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

4:10 PM
MIAMI vs. MILWAUKEE
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Texas is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chi White Sox's last 16 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 13 games

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:15 PM
COLORADO vs. ST. LOUIS
Colorado is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

9:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. LA DODGERS
Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games
LA Dodgers are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games at home

9:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing San Diego

MLB

Wednesday, July 4

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Wednesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (10-4, 2.85 ERA)

Bumgarner was almost perfect in his last outing, allowing just one hit and two walks in a complete-game 5-0 shutout of Cincinnati. He needed just 107 pitches to get the 27 outs and has now won five of his last six starts. He has thrown at least six innings in each of his last 15 trips to the mound.

David Price, Tampa Bay Rays (11-4, 2.92 ERA)

Price has won three consecutive starts, firing seven solid innings in each. He was cruising along in his last start against Detroit, having allowed just two runs on five hits over seven innings, but was forced to hit the showers with tightness in his lower back. The Rays expect him to be fine to climb the hill Wednesday against the Yanks.


Slumping

Hector Noesi, Seattle Mariners (2-10, 5.96 ERA)

Just when you thought Noesi might be ready to turn it around, he goes out and allows a season-high four home runs. He held San Diego to two runs over six innings in a tough 2-0 loss on June 24, but then was hammered for five runs over five innings while the Boston Red Sox repeatedly took him deep. The Mariners have lost each of his last four outings.

Jeremy Guthrie, Colorado Rockies (3-7, 6.56 ERA)

Guthrie comes out of the bullpen to make his first start since June 17. He allowed at least five runs in four of his first six starts before being bumped from the rotation and wasn’t all that dependable coming on in relief either. He was spanked for three earned runs and two homers in just two innings of work in giving up a lead against San Diego last week.

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 4

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SAN FRANCISCO (45 - 36) at WASHINGTON (46 - 32) - 11:05 AM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 123-114 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-56 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 61-51 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 46-32 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 468-463 (+42.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-13 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-20 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
JACKSON is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.526.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (36 - 46) at NY METS (44 - 37) - 1:10 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-26 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-26 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-46 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-18 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-43 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LEE is 3-10 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LEE is 3-9 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
LEE is 1-7 (-8.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 44-37 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 17-11 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 21-12 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 40-35 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 63-58 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-20 (+20.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
LEE is 17-5 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 7-3 (+7.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.9 Units)

CLIFF LEE vs. NY METS since 1997
LEE is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.050.
His team's record is 3-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
YOUNG is 3-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 5-2 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.4 units)

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HOUSTON (32 - 49) at PITTSBURGH (44 - 36) - 1:35 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 89-156 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-30 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-23 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 22-52 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-30 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 56-117 (-45.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-63 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 44-36 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 25-13 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 18-11 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 16-11 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 44-36 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 36-30 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-10 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CORREIA is 78-67 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 14-6 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 76-67 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 34-28 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

KEVIN CORREIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CORREIA is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.272.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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MIAMI (38 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (38 - 42) - 4:10 PM
JOSH JOHNSON (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
JOHNSON is 3-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. MIAMI since 1997
WOLF is 4-12 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.98 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 8-13 (-7.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-15. (-10.8 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (30 - 50) at ATLANTA (42 - 38) - 7:10 PM
PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. RANDALL DELGADO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-30 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-50 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 896-965 (-165.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 7-20 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-50 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 354-398 (-96.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
MAHOLM is 2-16 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAHOLM is 2-15 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAHOLM is 6-20 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MAHOLM is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.34 and a WHIP of 1.234.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-7. (-7.4 units)

RANDALL DELGADO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DELGADO is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.058.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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COLORADO (31 - 49) at ST LOUIS (42 - 39) - 7:15 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 31-43 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 79-122 (-40.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 13-30 (-17.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 62-137 (-62.0 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 31-49 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 125-148 (-41.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 71-101 (-38.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 42-59 (-26.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-65 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 31-49 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 103-75 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 125-110 (-33.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. COLORADO since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.67 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)

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CINCINNATI (44 - 36) at LA DODGERS (45 - 37) - 9:10 PM
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 79-57 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 54-34 (+14.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
HARANG is 25-11 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 587-671 (+49.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 524-615 (+33.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 386-432 (+38.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 431-487 (+45.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 67-49 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 11-25 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LEAKE is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.92 and a WHIP of 1.615.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

AARON HARANG vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HARANG is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (32 - 50) at ARIZONA (39 - 41) - 9:40 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 40-65 (-20.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 103-142 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 60-99 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 40-61 (-18.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 103-142 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 72-92 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 74-80 (-33.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 136-113 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 59-44 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 136-113 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 97-73 (+26.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 81-53 (+20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KENNEDY is 32-19 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 18-2 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 32-19 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 39-23 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 70-67 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 24-32 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-4 (+0.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MARQUIS is 2-7 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.358.
His team's record is 4-9 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-3.0 units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KENNEDY is 6-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.95 and a WHIP of 0.928.
His team's record is 7-1 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

NY YANKEES (48 - 32) at TAMPA BAY (43 - 38) - 3:10 PM
DAVID PHELPS (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 0-7 (-7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 67-45 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 96-83 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 455-545 (+28.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 36-15 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 39-19 (+18.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 59-21 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 50-26 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-4 (+3.8 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

DAVID PHELPS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PHELPS is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.499.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 6-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 10-5 (+7.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-4. (+6.9 units)

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BOSTON (42 - 39) at OAKLAND (40 - 42) - 4:05 PM
AARON COOK (R) vs. A.J. GRIFFIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 24-29 (-12.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 58-56 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 40-42 (+6.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-19 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-1 (+4.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

AARON COOK vs. OAKLAND since 1997
COOK is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

A.J. GRIFFIN vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (45 - 36) at CLEVELAND (41 - 39) - 4:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. DEREK LOWE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SANTANA is 5-11 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 124-121 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 121-118 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-23 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 645-631 (+66.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 382-314 (+55.7 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 534-518 (+68.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 636-544 (+70.6 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 626-614 (+45.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 97-102 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LOWE is 10-19 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SANTANA is 1-7 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 3-9 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-3. (+5.7 units)

DEREK LOWE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LOWE is 5-8 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 5-10 (-7.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-3. (+9.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (43 - 37) at SEATTLE (35 - 48) - 4:10 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 43-37 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 19-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-17 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-9 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BALTIMORE is 40-31 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-13 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-18 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 102-144 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-69 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-22 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 43-80 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-69 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 91-151 (-50.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
TILLMAN is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

HECTOR NOESI vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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KANSAS CITY (36 - 43) at TORONTO (41 - 40) - 7:05 PM
LUIS MENDOZA (R) vs. CARLOS VILLANUEVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 162-143 (+18.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-8 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-20 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TORONTO is 150-172 (-54.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-1 (+3.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

LUIS MENDOZA vs. TORONTO since 1997
MENDOZA is 1-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.892.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

CARLOS VILLANUEVA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
VILLANUEVA is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (35 - 45) at DETROIT (39 - 42) - 7:05 PM
BRIAN DUENSING (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 98-145 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-109 (-28.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 26-6 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 69-29 (+27.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 11-6 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-4 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 39-42 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 17-20 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 2-10 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
DETROIT is 253-264 (-62.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
DETROIT is 36-41 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 18-27 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 7-11 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 (+3.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

BRIAN DUENSING vs. DETROIT since 1997
DUENSING is 2-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.689.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
VERLANDER is 10-7 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 12-9 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-6. (+7.1 units)

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TEXAS (50 - 31) at CHI WHITE SOX (43 - 37) - 7:10 PM
SCOTT FELDMAN (R) vs. DYLAN AXELROD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-24 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 578-588 (+41.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TEXAS is 157-103 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 150-96 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-69 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 113-68 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 66-34 (+24.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 56-66 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 56-66 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-45 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 27-34 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
FELDMAN is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

DYLAN AXELROD vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, July 4

National League

San Francisco at Washington, 11:05am ET MLB
Bumgarner: 10-1 TSR as a favorite
Jackson: Washington 1-6 SU as a home underdog

Philadelphia at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
Lee: 1-7 TSR pitching off a team loss
Young: Mets 21-12 SU in day games

Houston at Pittsburgh, 1:35 ET
Keuchel: Houston 3-18 SU away off 3+ road games
Correia: Pittsburgh 13-3 SU as a home favorite

Miami at Milwaukee, 4:10 ET
Johnson: Miami 5-1 SU after scoring 12+ runs
Wolf: Milwaukee 28-12 Over in home games

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Maholm: 2-16 TSR as a road underdog
Delgado: Atlanta 12-2 SU after scoring 8+ runs

Colorado at St. Louis, 7:15 ET
Guthrie: Colorado 15-32 SU after allowing 2 runs or less
Wainwright: St. Louis 24-12 Over off a loss by one run

Cincinnati at LA Dodgers, 9:10 ET
Leake: Cincinnati 21-11 SU away after scoring 2 runs or less
Harang: Dodgers 11-25 SU on Wednesdays

San Diego at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Marquis: 12-2 Over as an underdog of +150 or higher
Kennedy: 18-2 TSR vs. division opponents


American League

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 3:10 ET MLB
Phelps: Yankees 0-7 SU playing on artificial turf
Price: 36-15 TSR vs. division opponents

Boston at Oakland, 4:05 ET MLB
Cook: Boston 6-12 SU after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Griffin: Oakland 44-21 Under off 3+ Unders

LA Angels at Cleveland, 4:05 ET
Santana: 5-11 TSR in all starts this season
Lowe: Cleveland 18-10 SU after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Baltimore at Seattle, 4:10 ET
Tillman: Baltimore 19-10 SU with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs
Noesi: Seattle 7-22 SU in July

Kansas City at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Mendoza: Kansas City 2-14 SU away after the bullpen allowed 0 runs in BB games
Villanueva: Toronto 30-14 SU off 5+ home games

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Duensing: Minnesota 16-5 Over in July
Verlander: 39-9 SU as a favorite of -150 or higher

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 7:10 ET ESPN
Feldman: Texas 29-10 SU off an Over
Axelrod: White Sox 8-16 SU at home off a win by 4+ runs