2012 MLB O/U Record: 208-205-19, -$1,583 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Well, it’s clear I’ve entered some sort of mini slump, but the important thing is recognizing it, because it happens to everyone when you bet literally every single day of the entire six-month season. That's 180 straight days of betting (Not even including playoffs)! Luckily, when I went over the matchups for today for hours last night, just as I have done every single night this entire season (Plus the several hours I spend on these same matchups the day of them), I actually felt really good vibes from the slate, so that’s a very good sign, meaning I wasn't thinking about my recent struggles. Hopefully this Thursday gets me back on track…
(Posting this now because I have work early, so just getting this up, as I have one of the early games. I’ll actually have much bigger bets in the later action with more detailed analysis, of course)
Mark Buehrle vs Michael Fiers UNDER 9 -$20 for $21
There’s a lot to like about this one. On one side, you have the usually dependable Mark Buehrle, who is once again having a nice season, posting a 7-8 record with a 3.48 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The thing I’ve always admired about Buehrle, even though I’m personally not a fano f him, is that he makes you beat him. After all, his walks are always miniscule, and the same applies this year when he’s walked just 15. It also helps that he eats up a lot of innings so when it pertains to an under, you mostly know what you’re getting in a Mark Buehrle start, without having to worry about a potential bullpen blunder (Which has been the absolute theme of this 2012 season, as you should all know by now). On the other side is the surprisingly bright young right-hander Michael Fiers, who is out to an outstanding start in his Major League career. Fiers has made six starts thus far, and four of them have seen him surrender only one run or less! Over his last two starts, he’s given up one run in 13 innings, while striking out a remarkable 17 batters (And walking just four in the process). Yes, the Law of Averages dictates that Fiers will not continue that, but being in a game with a line as high as 9, there is margin for error,so if he gives up three or four, which would match his career high, as long as Buehrle churns out his usual solid effort, we’ll be in a very good position to win this under.
**Will Add More Over/Unders Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
(Best Bet looks like it’s going to be Bud Norris vs Jeff Karstens under 8.5/9. I will be THRILLED if that line goes to 9, which means Vegas is highly underrating both quality starters - ignore their current stats. Also hoping Mat Latos vs Edinson Volquez under goes up to 7)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Well, it’s clear I’ve entered some sort of mini slump, but the important thing is recognizing it, because it happens to everyone when you bet literally every single day of the entire six-month season. That's 180 straight days of betting (Not even including playoffs)! Luckily, when I went over the matchups for today for hours last night, just as I have done every single night this entire season (Plus the several hours I spend on these same matchups the day of them), I actually felt really good vibes from the slate, so that’s a very good sign, meaning I wasn't thinking about my recent struggles. Hopefully this Thursday gets me back on track…
(Posting this now because I have work early, so just getting this up, as I have one of the early games. I’ll actually have much bigger bets in the later action with more detailed analysis, of course)
Mark Buehrle vs Michael Fiers UNDER 9 -$20 for $21
There’s a lot to like about this one. On one side, you have the usually dependable Mark Buehrle, who is once again having a nice season, posting a 7-8 record with a 3.48 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The thing I’ve always admired about Buehrle, even though I’m personally not a fano f him, is that he makes you beat him. After all, his walks are always miniscule, and the same applies this year when he’s walked just 15. It also helps that he eats up a lot of innings so when it pertains to an under, you mostly know what you’re getting in a Mark Buehrle start, without having to worry about a potential bullpen blunder (Which has been the absolute theme of this 2012 season, as you should all know by now). On the other side is the surprisingly bright young right-hander Michael Fiers, who is out to an outstanding start in his Major League career. Fiers has made six starts thus far, and four of them have seen him surrender only one run or less! Over his last two starts, he’s given up one run in 13 innings, while striking out a remarkable 17 batters (And walking just four in the process). Yes, the Law of Averages dictates that Fiers will not continue that, but being in a game with a line as high as 9, there is margin for error,so if he gives up three or four, which would match his career high, as long as Buehrle churns out his usual solid effort, we’ll be in a very good position to win this under.
**Will Add More Over/Unders Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
(Best Bet looks like it’s going to be Bud Norris vs Jeff Karstens under 8.5/9. I will be THRILLED if that line goes to 9, which means Vegas is highly underrating both quality starters - ignore their current stats. Also hoping Mat Latos vs Edinson Volquez under goes up to 7)