Saturday: The Price is Right on the Rays YTD: 244-111, +63.4 units

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Friday: 3-2, +. 9 units. The 2 half units split.

As I said in my last post before the break, the bigger plays have been hitting much better than the smaller plays. Therefore I'm not changing the unit amount, just increasing the amount of units on games that I really like. This next one fits the bill.

Tampa -1 (-105). 4 units. Price is just pitching now in that place of dominating opponents. In his last 3 starts, he has K'ed 32 in 21 IPs. Plus, his last 10 opponents were NYY twice, NYM, Tigers, Boston, Toronto, ATL, Balt(before their slump), Wash, and the Phillies. Not one cream puff in the bunch- no Seattle, SD, Houston, Oakland, etc. This Boston team might have won Friday, but they caught Hellickson early, coming off a lot of inactivity. After the 2nd, they were pretty pacified and K'd 9 times vs. Hellickson and an assortment of marginal relievers. Before the break, the Sox also didn't hit as usual even at Fenway.

And whom hits Price career-wise the best- Pedroia(on the DL). Ortiz and Gonzalez are a combined 7-40. And as for all the other younger guys who haven't seen Price, or very little, it'll be a lot of whiffing. Price is in that area of finally maturing as a pitcher, but also having a very young live arm. He has command of all of his pitches and is kind of scary for batters who haven't seen him before. i firmly believe this Red Sox team might become a contender later this season, but right now they are the Red Sox in name only- not a team that can ring up 6 or 8 runs at the drop of a hat.

Now Bucholz has this history of beginning seasons or coming off the DL or coming out of the all-star break pitching badly. Sometimes very badly. It's like he needs a game or two or 5 to get it going.
 

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He also doesn't have the right demeanor when things start going wrong in any particular inning. He gets flustered and a big inning can be the result. Some people question his commitment to the game. And playing for Boston has to have its own pressures. The Rays have hit him decently, though not exceptionally. How does he have an 8-2 record with a 5.53 ERA. He's been lucky, getting run support. Saturday his luck evens out. The Rays are well managed and they know when Price pitches, they should win and stay in the AL East hunt. -105 for the -1 is an exceptional deal, but I guess we'll only know that for sure Saturday.

Tampa -1/2 First 5 IP. One unit. (That's 5 total units)
 

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Oh and Tampa has seen him 3 times this year. Advantage to their hitters. Bucholz's velocity is also down 2-3 MPH from his great year of 2010.
 

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Detroit. ML. 3 units (-113). The Orioles are not a good club. Their earlier success is nothing but a memory now. This team has more issues than even Buck Showalter can handle. The middle of their order has a washed up DH(Thome), who at 41 yrs. old can't handle a lot of pitchers anymore. He has 32 Ks in just 87 ABs. His last 2 homers in June were against 2 lefties, Brett Cecil and Jake Mcgee of Tampa(who?). Adam Jones is in a 2-19 slump and has lost his power, Hardy a 0-23 slump, and Chris Davis has 82 Ks in just 270 ABs. This is the meat of their batting order. This is the same O's as last year, but who overachieved for the first 2 months. In fact as a team they strikeout too much and walk too little. A team coming out of the break doesn't just start hitting after being in a month long slump. The bullpen is also starting to flag a bit and return to their norms. The defense is possibly the worst in the AL, and as baserunners they're slow and don't steal very often. Chen has been one of their better starters this year, but lately has been elevating his pitches and has been giving up the long ball- 7 HRs in his last 4 starts. In his last 4 starts he only has one quality start- vs. lowly Seattle at Safeco(where no one hits).

Dare I say that the Tigers are finally starting to hit up to their potential. Before the break we saw it and again vs. Hammel Friday. Batting .308 with many HRs in their past 7 games. And that Max Scherzer has been an excellent starter for the past month. In his last 4 starts, he has only 4 walks to 34 Ks. Impressive. He is the kind of guy that feeds off of confidence and right now he has it in spades. Only 2 Hrs in his last 5 starts. This against some fairly good hitting teams. The Tiger BP has also come on in recent weeks though you can never trust Velarde.
 

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244-111. Is this really your record for the year? Great year for you to this point. BOL moving forward.
 

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Coming out with the big guns today Fred!

It's go big or go home.

Let's get em...BOL to everyone.
 

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Cubs/ Ariz: under 4.5 First 5 IPs. Arizona's hitting attack goes south on the road again. Dempster has a 27 inning scoreless streak going and I'm betting the Cub fans will be there en masse to see go on. Saunders seems to pitch well after inactivity and also has an excellent 1.82 ERA on the road this year. The Cubs have not hit lefties well this year at .228. I also like the pitchers and some weak hitters at the bottom of these lineups in the early innings to kill a rally.
 

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Houston TT over 3 for one unit(on large side). You might assume that Lincecum's problem only happen on the road and that he is his old self at home. But I think his problems run far deeper than what park he's pitching in. His last 2 outings were so truly awful that they were outside the norm from his earlier poor outings. I think he lays an egg here. Brad Mills might have a team that is too young and untalented to win, but he is a good baseball man and will find a way to make Lincecum get rattled and score 3 runs. Astros also hit righties better. SF bullpen has also been hittable in the past month. Astros have enough hitting to win the game even- many Giant hitters have never seen Harrell before.
 

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Milwaukee -1/2. First 5 IP. One unit. Not sure anyone can contain Ryan Braun. He's as hot as McCutcheon. I like the pitching matchup in the earlier innings, as Estrada has been able to really pitch well for 4-5 innings- with many Ks, low BBs. Correia each year seems to fade as the season goes on. The Brewers have seen him enough to know what he tries to do. Besides Braun, other brewers are hitting well- Aoki, Weeks, Hart….. As a team they are hitting for power. The Brewers can make a final push if they win this series or sweep, and what better than to knock off the division leaders.
 

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Man was I wrong about the pitchers in this game- complete reversal. We can hope for some late inning runs if Chen falters.

Seattle/ Texas- under 6.5. One unit. Mariners have gotten to Darvish twice this year, mostly because he has walked so many of them. Not sure why since they can't seem to hit down the middle pitches. Tonight he'll likely pitch as he has before the break- 4 excellent starts- Many Ks, walks are down. The earlier Seattle games I think were just off nights and he happen to be playing the Mariners. Felix should be able to also keep the slumping Rangers in check. He'll likely give up some base runners, but has been very good at pitching out of jams. He also gets up for the good teams. Both BPs are solid. Safeco is a nightmare park for hitters, deep power alleys, heavy marine air. The ball carries very poorly there. I think we'll see a pitcher's duel.
 
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Fred I am right there with you I thought Tigers would be all over Chen. Have to pray for some late inning magic but I have no faith and sold on the fact tigers will not score again.
 

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Dodgers -1. One unit. Got a gut feeling the Dodgers are going to start playing better now that their lineup is back in place. Volquez has had issues with control, and last year with the long ball. Dodgers have hit him pretty well already this year- 12 runs in 15 IPs. The Padres in most years begin the 2nd half by flopping for a bit. Harang also a better home pitcher and will forward to beating the team that wouldn't sign him to a long term contract.
 

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