Cnotes Monday's MLB Best Bets !

LA Angels Battle Yankees Before Tackling Tigers

All-star week concludes Sunday and Don Best Sports analyst Pat Williams is keeping his focus on the two marquee series of the weekend in New York and Cincinnati.

The Angels and Yankees will wrap up their series in the Bronx with a mound matchup between Jered Weaver and Ivan Nova. TBS will have the broadcast from Yankee Stadium starting at 1:00 p.m. (ET). Don Best is sending this game out with the Halos priced at -115 and 8½ for the total.

Weaver (10-1, 1.96) continued his outstanding season against the Baltimore Orioles in Anaheim a week ago, tossing the first eight innings of a 3-0 Halos shutout. Three of Weaver's four starts since coming off the DL have ended in shutouts for the Angels staff, and the team is working on a streak of seven consecutive wins with their ace on the mound.

Nova (10-3, 3.92) coaxed his ERA under four last Sunday in Boston with six innings of 6-hit, 1-run baseball. The victory ended a 2-game skid for New York with Nova on the mound, only the second time in his career that the Yankees have lost back-to-back starts by the Dominican.

The Angels have been able to hit Nova pretty well in two clashes this season, slapping 16 hits and three homers while scoring nine times over the course of 12-2/3 innings. Still, both games went into the win column for the Yankees.

Weaver's only 2012 assignment vs. the Yanks was his final appearance before back trouble pushed him to the disabled list. Four of his last six starts against New York have gone into the win column for Mike Scioscia and the Angels, including Game 3 of the 2009 ALCS.

Porkopolis is the setting for ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball as the finale between the Reds and Cardinals at Great American Ball Park gets prime-time treatment. The mound duel pits St. Louis' Jake Westbrook against Cincy's Johnny Cueto who is the $1.45 favorite in the matchup with a 7½-run total.

Westbrook (7-7, 3.75) has run both hot and cold this season, and has been mostly hot recently. St. Louis has won four of his last five starts, a stretch that includes road victories at Detroit and Miami, and the veteran right-hander's ERA during the stretch is a solid 2.67.

Cueto (10-5, 2.39) grabbed his 10th win of the season in San Diego just before the all-star break after Reds hitters failed to support him in tough-luck setbacks in San Francisco and Los Angeles. He suffered the same fate in St. Louis earlier this year, tossing seven innings and allowing just one run only to get a no-decision in Cincinnati's 2-1 loss.

Glancing ahead to Monday, the Angels continue their post-break road trip with the first of four games in Detroit against the Tigers. Los Angeles is listing Ervin Santana for the game while the Tigers have yet to officially announce their starting pitcher for the 7:00 p.m. (ET) contest to be televised by ESPN.

Santana (4-9, 5.75) is hoping to get a fresh start after a horrible month of June (5.85 ERA) and even worse beginning to July. The righty was soundly whipped in Cleveland on July 4, surrendering eight runs and never getting out of the second inning.

Don Best is projecting Rick Porcello to get the nod for Jim Leyland and the Tigers. A bicep injury forced him out of his last start (July 4), not to mention the fact he was no mystery to Twins hitters in that outing with Minnesota coming up with 12 hits and three runs during Porcello's 3-2/3 innings of work.

Bettors will need to follow Don Best throughout the weekend to monitor Porcello's availability for Monday's contest.

Weekly Betting Notes

July 16, 2012

If you go through the bio’s of some of the top sports book directors throughout Las Vegas history, you’ll notice that quite a few of them hail from the steel city of Pittsburgh, PA. Legends like Jack Franzi, Art Manteris, Bert Osborne, and Jimmy Vaccaro all made their way to Las Vegas and were instrumental in shaping the way we all now know the modern sports book operation to be.

One of the newer additions to the Pittsburgh lineup making his mark in Las Vegas is Cantor Gaming’s sports book director Mike Colbert, who hails from the Scott Township, South Park area of Pittsburgh. While his chain of beautiful sports books may not fare the best if his Pittsburgh Pirates win the World Series, it’s a bitter-sweet trade off that Colbert wouldn’t be overly disappointed about.

“I‘m extremely excited about the Pirates thus far,” said Colbert. “It’s been a long time since they been this good and it brings up memories of all the good times in the early 90’s, not just of winning the NL East three straight years, but also the good times of going to about 30 games a year with my Grandpa.”

It certainly has been a long time for the Pirates. Try 19 years of futility that has not only seen them miss the playoffs each year, but also have a losing record, the longest stretch of continually losing in MLB history. As we near the end of July, the Pirates are currently 10 games above .500 and are one game out of first-place behind the Reds.

But Colbert isn’t very optimistic, perhaps trying not to be overly excited in anticipation of a failure occurring to lessen the disappointment.

“Look, this is the best team they’ve had since those (Barry) Bonds years when he choked in all three of those playoff series, but they were in first-place near the end of July last year and still finished with a losing record.

“They have a good young team and it looks like the team is committed to the future and winning by having their star player, Andrew McCutchen, bottled up, which is something we haven’t seen the Pirates ever do in the modern age of baseball, but I don’t think they’ll be able to top the Reds in the division. I hope they can, but I don’t realistically see it happening.”

This season there is an added dimension like never seen before with an additional wild card team making the playoffs. Pittsburgh is currently tied with the Braves at the top of the list, two games above the Dodgers.

“I’d be very surprised if the Pirates got one of those wild card sports,” said Colbert.

Despite the Pirates failures last season that saw them finish 72-90, this year's version looks a little more prepared for a good run due to veteran leadership, some experience from last year's run and most of all, better pitching. You can’t put a value on the veteran presence of playoff tested players like A.J. Burnett, Casey McGehee, and Rod Barajas. They also have McCutchen on an MVP run playing better than anyone in baseball, yes, better than even Mike Trout.

If the Pirates did somehow make the playoffs and then win the World Series, Colbert says his books would lose, but it’s only the fourth-worst scenario for the house.

“We opened the Pirates at 150-to-1, but had lowered the odds as they got on their run and before 150-to-1 found any real takers, and we‘ve been steady at 30-to-1 on them for a while.

“The teams that do the most damage are the Dodgers, Nationals, and Mets. We had the Dodgers at 30-to-1 to start the season and they reeled off all those early wins and had people excited. The Nationals were 50-to-1 and the Mets were 100-to-1.“

Despite possible losses just under six figures if the Pirates win it all, you can bet that Colbert will still be silently rooting for his Battling Bucs.

The Amazing Ben Sheets
Who needs Brandon Beachy when the Braves can pull two gems out of no where and turn them into superstars? First, we saw a magical transformation in Jair Jurrjens and now we have Ben Sheets throwing six scoreless innings Sunday against the Mets. Sheets hadn’t pitched since 2010 and was coming off Tommy John surgery. He only pitched 10 innings of Double-A ball prior to Sunday, but looked as sharp and crisp as he did when he was one of the best pitchers in baseball during the 2000’s.

Red Hot
The Pirates have continued to smoke the ball and lead baseball in runs scored (65), total bases (194) home runs (17) and batting average (.315) in the month of July through Sunday. Yes, the Lumber company has definitely been revived. The charge has been led by Andrew McCutchen (.514) and Neil Walker (.474).

The Cubs couldn’t give Alfonso Soriano’s big contract away two months ago, even if agreeing to pay most or all of his $18 million salary. But no one has been a bigger power source over the last two months, which now gives Theo Epstein some leverage as the trade deadline approaches. Soriano has hit 17 home runs since May 15 and could be a nice fit for a contending team, most likely an American League team because his defense would make any NL defense worse.

Another Cubs player that will find plenty of suitors around both leagues is Ryan Dempster, who started off the season as a tough luck loser, but is now hotter than any pitcher in baseball. Despite an ERA of 2.14 through May 25, the Cubs had a 1-7 record behind him. Since then, the Cubs have reeled off six straight wins with Dempster on the mound and he hasn’t allowed a run in his past five starts bumping his record to 5-3. His next start will be at St. Louis Friday against Kyle Lohse.

Even though the Marlins aren’t hitting the ball, Mark Buehrle is doing exactly what the Marlins paid him to do, stop losing streaks and win games. He’s won his last four starts allowing a combined three runs over 28 2/3 innings.

Braves closer Craig Kimbrel gave up a run on June 28 in a non-save situation that ended a streak of 17 straight games/innings without a run. Over that stretch, he only allowed three hits. He’s now on a stretch of six straight games without allowing a run and has converted all five save opportunities while surrendering only one hit. At the same time, the Braves have won seven games in a row heading into Monday’s games making them almost the hottest team in baseball.

That distinction goes to the Oakland A’s who have won nine of their past 10 games through Sunday allowing only 18 runs in the nine wins. The offense has come alive and look like a recreation of the movie ’Moneyball’. Billy Beane is doing it again with players at bargain basement prices ($55 Million, 2nd lowest) and has the team three games over .500 and eight games out of first. We’ll see what they’re made off this week at home with a two-game series against first-place Texas and the first-place Yankees for four. Mark me down for Jarrod Parker against Phil Hughes on Saturday.

Cooled Off
On Sunday, the Pirates finally lost a game that A.J. Burnett started, ending a streak of 12 straight wins. Yankees starter Ivan Nova was once the rock of stability giving the Yankees a virtual guarantee of winning the last two seasons, but the Yankees have lost three of his past four starts. The Astros are in a terrible tail spin that has seen them drop 13 of their past 14 games through Sunday. Their last two game win streak came on June 27. Believe it or not, the feared lineup of the Rangers have scored the fewest runs (20) of all MLB teams in July while hitting .228. Even the Astros have scored 26 runs.

Ice Cold
Mario Mendoza spent two seasons with the Seattle Mariners and is most famous for his name bearing the dubious distinction of poor hitting called ’The Mendoza line’, meaning a player’s batting average is under .200. For the month of July, the Mariners squad was collectively batting an MLB worst .198 through Sunday, the same average of Mendoza’s during the 1979 season.

Diamond Trends - Monday

July 16, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Indians are 0-10 since May 30, 2011 as a road dog when they blew a lead in their starter’s last start and lost while he pitched for more than five innings for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Marlins are 0-9-1 OU since August 06, 2011 within 20 cents of pickem when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Orioles are 0-11 since August 03, 2009 when Chris Tillman starts as a dog after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Indians are 14-1 OU (5.3 ppg) in database history following a game where they had between 27 and 35 at bats and faced no more than 27 batters.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

-- The Pirates are 0-9 OU since April 28, 2011 when Jeff Karstens starts after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.

-- The Reds are 0-8 OU since May 07, 2011 when Bronson Arroyo starts as a favorite after the team won their last two games for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

Sizzling Tigers host Angels on Monday

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (49-40)

at DETROIT TIGERS (46-43)


First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Detroit -115, Los Angeles +105, Total: 10

The surging Tigers, who are 7-1 since Independence Day, will look to stay hot as they host the Angels for the opener of a four-game set on Monday night.

Starting for Los Angeles is Ervin Santana, who has struggled mightily this season with a 5.75 ERA and 1.37 WHIP that balloons to a 7.45 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in nine road starts. In his last outing, he did not make it out of the second inning, allowing eight earned runs on six hits and three walks in a 12-3 loss to Cleveland. Rick Porcello has also been subpar this year with a 4.47 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Although he has a 2.16 ERA in his past three starts, he did not make it out of the fourth in his last start, allowing three earned runs on 12 hits in 3.2 innings. Porcello is good at limiting walks (24 BB in 96.2 IP), but has given up 128 hits, tied for the third-most in baseball. And Porcello will be playing a dangerous game with his contact-inducing style, facing a lineup that has hit 10 home runs with a .548 slugging percentage over the course of its past four games. The Tigers have also shown nothing against AL West foes this season, notching a 5-12 mark so far in 2012. Take underdog LOS ANGELES to win this game on the road.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also supports the Angels:

Play Against - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting an over-rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. (42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*).

The Angels avoided a sweep Sunday with a 10-8 win over the Yankees. Santana will look to build upon that facing an opponent he has handled pretty easily in the past. Although he has not faced the Tigers since 2009, he is 6-2 against them in his career with a 3.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He’s won four straight starts versus Detroit, allowing a total of two runs with 15 K’s and just three walks in his past two outings covering 16 innings. Even if Santana struggles to pile up innings, failing to complete six innings in six of his past eight starts, the Angels bullpen has been solid this year with a 3.36 ERA and 201 K’s in 236 innings.

The Tigers may also need to depend on its strong bullpen in this game. Detroit relievers have a 3.62 ERA in 2012, a mark that drops to 3.05 at home. While Porcello has a 3-1 record against the Angels in his career (team is 4-1), that record does not come with good statistics—he has a 5.97 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He did do well his last time against them last July however, going eight innings allowing two runs, five hits, zero walks and six strikeouts. The Angels and Tigers have not played yet this season, but the Tigers hold a slight 9-8 advantage in this series over the last three years, which includes a 6-4 mark at home.

Monday's betting tips: White Sox switch Monday starter

Weather to watch

There’s a chance of thundershowers in Colorado and Minnesota on Monday, which means things could get a little wet during the Pirates-Rockies and Orioles-Twins games.

Hot temperatures are expected in Milwaukee for the Brewers and Reds game too.

Who’s hot?

The Atlanta Braves are on a seven game winning streak, after sweeping the Mets and Phillies.

The Cincinnati Reds have won five in a row entering Sunday night’s tilt with the Cardinals.

Who’s not?

Houston Astros are 1-12 in their last 13 games entering Sunday’s slate.

The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last 11 games going into Sunday’s game against the Giants.

Key stat

10 – LSU’s win total at LVH. That’s the favorite to win the BCS national championship at a lot of books with a half win total lower than four other teams (Bama, USC, Oklahoma and USC).

Game of the Day

Angels at Tigers (-117, 10)

Injury not to be overlooked

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox – The right-hander is on a roll but had his Monday start pushed back to Tuesday because of tightness in his right forearm. Philip Humber, who hasn’t pitched since June 16th, is expected to start in Floyd’s place.

Notable quotable

“It’s not up to me. It’s up to the organization to say that they want to match that ridiculous contract.” – Carmelo Anthony telling Newsday’s Rod Boone about his feelings on the Houston Rockets offer to Knicks restricted free agent Jeremy Lin.

Notes and tips

So you can bet on NBA Summer League games. Just another example of bookmakers trying to take the July blues away from bettors. 5Dimes and bet365 had lines up for Sunday’s games, and there are probably a number of other shops doing the same for any hoop heads interested.

The LVH posted spreads for its college football games of the year on Sunday. We should have them up tomorrow morning with a comparison to the Golden Nugget’s lines released in June.

The Knicks are a mess. Jeremy Lin is out, Raymond Felton is in and Jason Kidd is using booze to cope with the idea of being the back up in New York. Kidd was arrested for DWI after crashing his ride into a telephone poll early Sunday morning. TMZ had a picture showing Kidd needing help leaving the club Saturday night. Oh boy.

Carl Crawford will be activated from the DL after missing the first half of the season with a bum elbow. That’s two speedy outfielders back in the Boston Red Sox lineup in less than a week. Crawford had a forgettable campaign in his first season in Boston but he should be a boost if he plays closer to his career averages.

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Mets were vocal in their displeasure with the umpiring crew in Atlanta this weekend; pitching coach Dan Warthen went off on ump CB Bucknor on the pitchers' mound Sunday, which doesn't happen much.

-- If you needed further evidence that the Bronx baseball stadium is a joke as far as its dimensions in rightfield, witness Erick Aybar/Macier Izturis looking like Josh Hamilton in Home Run Derby this weekend.

-- Looks like Jeremy Lin is going to wind up on the Rockets, as Knicks traded for Raymond Felton this weekend.

-- ESPNU is replaying the best college football games from LY this week; excellent idea.

-- I had no idea last week's Olympic hoop game here in Vegas would be a sellout, so I missed the 113-59 rout. Glad I didn't pay to see it.

-- Kevin Youkilis returns to Fenway with the Pale Hose Monday, in his first game at Fenway as the enemy. Should be interesting.


************


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: An early look at the college football top 13, as picked by the great Phil Steele, whose magazine is awesome........

(These are his rankings but my witty comments.....lol)

13) North Carolina-- Don't play Florida State/Clemson, are playing the #85 schedule in country. New coach Fedora is an offensive wizard.

12) Oklahoma State-- Lose Weeden/Blackmon, but their defense is going to be better this year. Hard to replace a 28-year old QB, though.

11) Ohio State-- Urban Meyer will get a lot of attention in his first year in Columbus; thank God he's off TV. Does the man ever laugh or smile?

10) Florida-- In the last 11 years, four second-year HCs have won national titles, but the Gators better get much, much better quarterback play.

9) Wisconsin-- Another new starting QB, a major downgrade from Wilson, but their OL is huge and they play good defense. Not fond of Bielema.

8) Georgia-- Don't play Alabama, Arkansas or LSU; did Mrs Richt draw up the SEC schedule? Lot of pressure on the coach, but he has a better team.

7) Texas-- 13-12 since Colt McCoy left town; they desperately need better QB play, or Mack Brown will be on ESPN next fall. He'd be good on TV.

6) Oregon-- There is a Pac-12 title game this year for first time, so an extra hurdle for the league champ to overcome, in order to win a national title.

5) Alabama-- McCarron will be asked to do more, with six starters gone on defense, and Tide travelling to Arkansas/LSU. I think they'll be OK.

4) USC-- Two words: Matt Barkley. If he isn't getting paid under the table by someone, whats he thinking? If he had come out for the draft last winter, he might be an Indianapolis Colt right now. If not, definitely a Redskin.

3) LSU-- Georgia transfer Mettenberger is an upgrade at QB; Philip Rivers' brother is his backup. 8 of top 9 rushers, four starters on OL return.

2) Oklahoma-- No more conference title game in Big X, which helps as far as national title. Stoops won his last three bowls, scoring 31-48-31 points.

`1) Florida State-- 17 starters back, have experienced QB and best defense they'll face all year is the one they'll face in practice. Mr Steele likes FSU.

MLB
Dunkel

Washington at Miami
The Nationals look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 0-6 in Carlos Zambrano's last 6 starts. Washington is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JULY 16

Game 901-902: Washington at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 16.370; Miami (Zambrano) 15.038
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Under

Game 903-904: Arizona at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.820; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.229
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Over

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 15.306; Milwaukee (Fiers) 16.540
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Over

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 15.191; Colorado (Francis) 13.717
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Under

Game 909-910: Houston at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 13.469; San Diego (Wells) 15.468
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Over

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.945; LA Dodgers (Eovaldi) 13.879
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Under

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 16.980; Detroit (Porcello) 16.080
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Under

Game 915-916: Toronto at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Alvarez) 15.754; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.736
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.202; Boston (Cook) 15.783
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 15.138; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.649
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Under

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.032; Minnesota (Diamond) 14.878
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Over

Game 923-924: Seattle at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.669; Kansas City (Sanchez) 14.795
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); Under

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 16

Hot pitchers
-- Arroyo is 1-0, 1.99 in his last three starts.
-- Fiers is 2-1, 0.96 in his last four starts.
-- Francis is 2-1, 2.72 in his last five starts. Karstens is 2-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts.
-- KWells has a 2.07 RA in his last couple starts.

-- Scherzer is 2-0, 2.16 in his last three starts.
-- Cook is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Diamond is 2-0, 2.74 in his last three starts. Tillman won his first '12 start, allowing one run in 8.1 IP.
-- Vargas is 1-0, 1.52 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Jackson has a 6.43 RA in his last four starts. Zambrano is 0-4, 9.00 in his last six starts.
-- Miley is 0-2, 10.12 in his last couple starts.
-- Lynn is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four road starts.
-- Happ is 2-6, 5.98 in his last eight starts.
-- Blanton is 1-2, 5.81 in his last four starts. Eovaldi is 1-3, 4.72 in his last six.

-- ESantana is 0-2, 10.05 in his last three starts.
-- Hughes is 2-2, 4.56 in his last four starts. Alvarez is 2-5, 6.56 in his last ten starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-1, 7.11 in five starts this season.
-- Cobb is 1-2, 7.45 in his last three starts. McAllister has a 5.32 RA in seven starts, but Indians won five of seven.
-- JSanchez is 0-3, 7.48 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won 10 of its last 15 games. Marlins won five of their last seven home games.
-- Reds won nine of their last twelve home games.
-- Milwaukee is 12-6 in its last 18 home games.
-- Pirates won 11 of their last 15 games.

-- Bronx won six of its last eight games.
-- White Sox won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Indians are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Detroit won seven of its last eight games.
-- Kansas City won four of its last five home games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost nine of its last eleven road games.
-- Cardinals lost their last four road games, scoring ten runs.
-- Rockies lost 12 of their last 16 home games.
-- Dodgers lost 17 of their last 23 games. Philadelphia lost 11 of its last 14.
-- San Diego lost four of their last six games. Astros lost their last 13 games on foreign soil.

-- Angels lost four of their last five road games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five road games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay is 6-11 in its last 17 games, 6-10 in last sixteen at home.
-- Twins lost seven of their last eight games. Baltimore lost four of five.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last ten Miami home games.
-- Ten of last twelve Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Over is 24-6 in last 30 games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last nine games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Petco Park stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Ten of Angels' last twelve road games went over total.
-- Four of last five Bronx Bomber games went over total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-5-2 in Cleveland's last nineteen road games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Baltimore games.
-- Five of last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.

MLB

Monday, July 16

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. DETROIT
LA Angels are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
LA Angels are 17-7 SU in their last 24 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Toronto is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 15 games at home

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Arizona's last 19 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 19 games when playing at home against Arizona
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Cleveland is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games at home

7:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BOSTON
Chi White Sox are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Miami
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

8:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games at home

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

8:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against St. Louis

8:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing San Diego
Houston is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
San Diego is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

10:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. LA DODGERS
Philadelphia is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

MLB

Monday, July 16

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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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A small group of games on Monday and there are more hurlers on hot streaks than ones on forgettable runs.

STREAKING

Michael Fiers, Milwaukee Brewers (3-3, 2.31 ERA)

Fiers is part of the reason that the Brewers are entertaining offers for ace hurler Zack Greinke. Because of the performance of Fiers and others in Milwaukee’s starting rotation, Greinke has become expendable. Fiers has allowed just three runs over his last four starts, good for a 0.94 ERA since June 16th.

Jason Vargas, Seattle Mariners (8-7, 4.07 ERA)

The M’s lefty hurler is on a good run. Vargas carries a 1.52 ERA over his last three outings with 22 strikeouts compared to just five walks.

He gives up his fair share of home runs, though. Opponents have taken him out of the park 13 times over his last seven starts, including five in an appearance against the Diamondbacks a few weeks back.


SLUMPING

Ervin Santana, Los Angeles Angels (4-9, 5.75 ERA)

Santana is a perfect example of why we do this daily feature. Why Santana is hot, he’s as untouchable as any of the best aces in the bigs. But when he’s off, he’s as bad as any Double-AA Joey.

The hard-throwing righty was incredible for long stretches in the 2011 campaign but his 2012 season has been one to forget so far. He’s allowed five or more runs in five of his last seven starts and he gave up eight runs in just 1 1/3 innings work in his last appearance before the All-Star break.

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, July 16

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WASHINGTON (51 - 35) at MIAMI (42 - 46) - 7:10 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSON is 14-22 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 309-335 (+47.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 128-117 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-21 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 36-23 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 71-59 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 51-35 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 51-39 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-65 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 54-46 (+19.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 41-44 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 39-55 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-33 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 56-78 (-23.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-28 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 42-46 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 54-71 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-31 (-12.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ZAMBRANO is 76-72 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 24-35 (-29.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 76-72 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 1-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 33-41 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 (+0.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
JACKSON is 1-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.555.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 9-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 9-5 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.3 units)

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ARIZONA (42 - 46) at CINCINNATI (50 - 38) - 7:10 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 26-34 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 42-46 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 42-46 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARROYO is 25-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 98-77 (+21.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 60-70 (-20.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 308-288 (-72.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WADE MILEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

BRONSON ARROYO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
ARROYO is 4-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.420.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.8 units)

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ST LOUIS (46 - 43) at MILWAUKEE (42 - 46) - 8:10 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 129-111 (-30.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 45-52 (-35.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 107-95 (-30.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 31-34 (-11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 86-48 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 55-41 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 42-46 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-34 (-17.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 42-46 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-34 (-10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+2.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LYNN is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.450.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (49 - 39) at COLORADO (34 - 54) - 8:40 PM
JEFF KARSTENS (R) vs. JEFF FRANCIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 31-58 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
FRANCIS is 5-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 49-39 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-27 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-14 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 22-12 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 49-39 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 20-9 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 31-39 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 43-68 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-29 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 34-54 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 19-27 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
COLORADO is 34-54 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 127-151 (-40.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 73-104 (-37.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JEFF KARSTENS vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF FRANCIS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
FRANCIS is 3-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 6.88 and a WHIP of 1.618.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

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HOUSTON (33 - 56) at SAN DIEGO (36 - 54) - 10:05 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. KIP WELLS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 9-35 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 7-25 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 7-27 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 3-17 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 4-21 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 90-163 (-48.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-35 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 40-81 (-35.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
HOUSTON is 7-30 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-34 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 107-146 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 20-36 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 52-73 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 51-71 (-21.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 107-146 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 63-102 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 29-52 (-20.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HAPP is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.150.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

KIP WELLS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WELLS is 4-10 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.38 and a WHIP of 1.510.
His team's record is 7-12 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-9. (-0.6 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (39 - 51) at LA DODGERS (48 - 42) - 10:10 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-48 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-32 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-30 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-51 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BLANTON is 67-49 (+20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BLANTON is 43-23 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-0 (+5.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

JOE BLANTON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BLANTON is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.632.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

LA ANGELS (49 - 40) at DETROIT (46 - 43) - 7:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 66-67 (-16.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 5-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 19-25 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 535-521 (+66.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 630-618 (+44.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 646-634 (+64.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
SANTANA is 35-19 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 43-42 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 21-27 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 19-26 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
DETROIT is 46-43 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SANTANA is 6-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.6 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PORCELLO is 3-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.97 and a WHIP of 1.361.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

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TORONTO (45 - 44) at NY YANKEES (54 - 34) - 7:05 PM
HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ALVAREZ is 5-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 53-27 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 37-19 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 166-147 (+18.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 68-56 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 253-167 (-66.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ALVAREZ is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. TORONTO since 1997
HUGHES is 3-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (49 - 39) at BOSTON (45 - 44) - 7:10 PM
DYLAN AXELROD (R) vs. AARON COOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-50 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-25 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-26 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 27-21 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-39 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-17 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-44 (+20.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 11 to 11.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 27-33 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 12-20 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 161-155 (-41.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BOSTON is 137-116 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-60 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-60 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COOK is 18-33 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

DYLAN AXELROD vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON COOK vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
COOK is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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CLEVELAND (45 - 43) at TAMPA BAY (46 - 43) - 7:10 PM
ZACH MCALLISTER (R) vs. ALEX COBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 168-171 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 30-21 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 35-26 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-18 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 128-125 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 80-50 (+42.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ZACH MCALLISTER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MCALLISTER is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ALEX COBB vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
COBB is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (46 - 42) at MINNESOTA (36 - 52) - 8:10 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. SCOTT DIAMOND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 38-15 (+18.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 43-36 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 46-42 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-13 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 23-20 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 11-6 (+8.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-96 (-28.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-41 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 99-152 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 43-76 (-26.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 50-77 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-41 (-16.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 96-145 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-48 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-114 (-33.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TILLMAN is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

SCOTT DIAMOND vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (37 - 53) at KANSAS CITY (38 - 49) - 8:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 9-27 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 162-231 (-56.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 21-48 (-22.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 93-154 (-51.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 39-56 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 282-277 (-86.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 104-149 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VARGAS is 18-10 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 15-25 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 15-25 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 236-351 (-103.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JASON VARGAS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
VARGAS is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.316.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, July 16

National League

Washington at Miami, 7:10 ET
Jackson: Washington 29-15 SU as a favorite of -150 or less
Zambrano: Miami 3-10 SU off 3+ division games

Arizona at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Miley: Arizona 17-6 Under away off a loss
Arroyo: 8-1 Under pitching off a team win

St. Louis at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Lynn: St. Louis 35-14 SU after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Fiers: Milwaukee 7-15 SU after allowing 2 runs or less

Pittsburgh at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Karstens: Pittsburgh 15-6 SU off 3+ division games
Francis: Colorado 11-24 SU with a line of -125 to +125

Houston at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Happ: Houston 7-27 SU away off a loss
Wells: San Diego 33-18 Over as a favorite

Philadelphia at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Blanton: Philadelphia 9-21 SU after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Eovaldi: 10-1 Under in night games


American League

LA Angels at Detroit, 7:05 ET ESPN
Santana: 5-12 TSR in all starts this season
Porcello: 19-6 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less

Toronto at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Alvarez: 2-11 TSR with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs
Hughes: 16-1 TSR as a home favorite of -175 to -250

Chicago White Sox at Boston, 7:10 ET
Axelrod: White Sox 9-1 SU away with a total of 10+ runs
Cook: Boston 7-13 SU at home after the bullpen allowed 0 runs

Cleveland at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
McAllister: Cleveland 26-8 Over away with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs
Cobb: Tampa Bay 6-14 SU vs. AL Central opponents

Baltimore at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Tillman: Baltimore 18-44 SU off a loss by 4+ runs
Diamond: Minnesota 38-15 SU as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Seattle at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Vargas: Seattle 12-4 SU after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Sanchez: Kansas City 4-10 SU as a favorite

Public opinion: Bettors like streaking Bucs and Reds

Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds (-127)

The Diamondbacks were swept in three games by the Cubs at Wrigley Field over the weekend, continuing their streaky play. Arizona won its final three games before the All-Star break, which followed a six-game losing streak. On the other hand, Cincinnati is surging, sweeping the Cardinals to extend its winning streak to six and move one game ahead of Pittsburgh in the NL Central.

Consensus pick: Reds

Pittsburgh Pirates (+113) at Colorado Rockies

Jeff Karstens has made three starts since returning from the disabled list (shoulder, hip). He allowed four hits and struck out eight in eight innings in a 2-0 victory over Houston on July 5. In his previous start, he yielded two runs, four hits and struck out seven in a 7-3 win at St. Louis on June 30. Colorado’s roster is batting .184 against Karstens, with catcher Ramon Hernandez 3-for-13 (four RBIs).

Consensus pick: Pirates

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/15/12 14-*14-*0 50.00% -*135 Detail
07/14/12 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*1590 Detail
07/13/12 15-*13-*2 53.57% +*455 Detail
07/08/12 18-*11-*1 62.07% +*3810 Detail
07/07/12 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*1155 Detail
07/06/12 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*1390 Detail
07/05/12 5-*15-*0 25.00% -*6175 Detail
07/04/12 16-*12-*0 57.14% +*2300 Detail
07/03/12 12-*18-*0 40.00% -*3155 Detail
07/02/12 13-*11-*0 54.17% +*305 Detail
07/01/12 13-*15-*1 46.43% -*860 Detail
Totals 156-*148-*5 51.32% +680

Monday, July 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 7:05 PM ET Toronto +162 500
NY Yankees - Under 10.5 500

LA Angels - 7:05 PM ET Detroit -116 500
Detroit - Under 10 500

Chi. White Sox - 7:10 PM ET Boston -124 500
Boston - Over 11 500

Cleveland - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -120 500
Tampa Bay - Over 8.5 500

Washington - 7:10 PM ET Miami +100 500
Miami - Over 8 500

Arizona - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati -131 500
Cincinnati - Under 8.5 500

Baltimore - 8:10 PM ET Baltimore +120 500
Minnesota - Over 8.5 500

Seattle - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -103 500
Kansas City - Under 9 500

St. Louis - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -106 500
Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

Pittsburgh - 8:40 PM ET Pittsburgh +110 500
Colorado - Over 10.5 500

Houston - 10:05 PM ET Houston +113 500
San Diego - Over 7 500

Philadelphia - 10:10 PM ET Philadelphia -108 500
LA Dodgers - Over 7.5 500