Whats more important Defensive stat: Points Allowed or Yards Allowed

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Yards per play are more predictable for future results than points allowed IMO.
 

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someone here mentioned it years ago that taking the best defensive team in each college bowl games based on
average yards per play , wins alot. It has worked well for me. Last year alabama was #1 in this category vs Lsu
that was #3 in this category. Never looked at this for nfl purposes
 

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Neither is more important than the other, they are both equally important.
 

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pts

You can have a shitty pass def, but a great run def.

team you face throws at will, but once into the red zone where they have a short field, they stall against your run def.
 

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In many cases it's points allowed. Take Okie State last year for example. They gave up 446 ypg on defense, yet they led the Big 12 in fewest points allowed. The reason was because they were +22 in TO Margin, and they had a very good red zone defense. In other words they were a bend but not break type of D. So the yards allowed between the 20's really didn't mean that much.
 

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teams that have GREAT PASSING and score VERY quickly, will often give up a ton of yards on Def. The other team gets the ball back very quicky because the other team scores, and the other team starts throwing the ball in an effort to catch up after getting down by 3 scores.
 

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points allowed
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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points allowed

some defensive schemes are willing to allow you to move the ball in front of them, they want to avoid the big play and hope you make a mistake

some defenses get a lot tougher once the opponent is in scoring position

at the end of the day, it's all about the points
 

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willie get in the high dollar fantasy thread.
 

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I have always found yards per point to be the single most important statistic in football. This figure will also capture the bend but don't break defenses or defenses that generate a lot if turnovers.
 

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pts allowed far more important IMO. Certain types of defenses stiffen up and/or cause turnovers in the red zone. That is most important.
 

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In many cases it's points allowed. Take Okie State last year for example. They gave up 446 ypg on defense, yet they led the Big 12 in fewest points allowed. The reason was because they were +22 in TO Margin, and they had a very good red zone defense. In other words they were a bend but not break type of D. So the yards allowed between the 20's really didn't mean that much.
The question is whether or not that is predictive going forward. I believe the yds given up are more predictable than the 1 play here and there that may change the outcome of a possession.
 

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Points.

Often times a team will fall behind early and are forced to pass, try to make big, quick gains to get back in a game.

Over the course of a full season, if a team gives up a lot of yards they are probably losing a lot...but ppg is the more telling of the two.

Go read the college football forum. Roll tide, CL, Sooners and several others post some great stuff on stats...

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