2012 MLB O/U Record: 226-217-21, -$1,529 (Been making bigger bets this year, and have received countless fluke bad breaks, obviously)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
First “off” day in awhile with yesterday’s 1-4 performance (Who in the entire country predicted that low-scoring affair at Fenway between Dylan Axelrod and Aaron Cook??), but even in a hot run, that happens. At the very least, that one win was my co-best bet, as I continue to be right with the underrated greatness that is my third favorite pitcher, JA Happ, but the most frustrating thing was that I strongly recommended three other games that I was all 100-percent right on that I did NOT bet on, albeit wrote about, so my record last night should have actually been at .500, which is still poor, but better than 1-4. Anyway, hopefully this Tuesday gets me back on track after just one measly down day…
Trevor Bauer vs Johnny Cueto OVER 8 - $49 for $45 (Best Bet)
Not a big best bet tonight, as this game features two pitchers I’m not as accustomed to betting on, but man, it was a pretty big vibe that was just hard to ignore. If you haven’t seen Trevor Bauer yet, let me just tell you the kid is legit. He’s got tremendous, tremendous stuff, and there’s a reason he’s one of the top prospects in all of baseball. At this point in time, however, he’s displayed some real wildness and has made some mistakes leaving pitches up, which could do him in in a venue like Great American Ballpark. The Reds are missing Joey Votto, of course, but there offense is still potent enough where when a youngster like Bauer makes rookie mistakes, they can pounce on them and capitalize. As for Johnny Cueto, I think it’s general consensus now that the righty is a true ace. I mean, when you’re 10-5 with a 2.39 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 91 Ks in 120 IP, similar stats to what you’ve done before, well, it means you’ve mastered your craft, as the case with Mr. Cueto. He’s also been very consistent, rarely allowing more than three runs in a start. In fact, he hasn’t done so since May 25. However, it’s his first start since the all-star break, having not pitched in nine days, and I believe that loss of a sense of urgency will cause him to produce his first off start in quite some time, and with the line as low as 8, if he gets tagged even just a little bit, while Bauer displays some of his thus-far-trademark wildness, going over 8 won’t be as difficult as it seems for a National League pitching matchup of this caliber. That, and the Diamondbacks have one of the most live lineups in baseball right now, so I’m sensing an unusual off night from Cueto to help lead the way.
Other 7/17 MLB Over/Unders I’m Taking:
Barry Zito vs Jair Jurrjens UNDER 9 - $25 for $20
Jon Niese vs Ross Detwiler OVER 8 - $18for $15
Blake Beavan vs Ryan Verdugo UNDER [Waiting for line to go to 10. So happy to see the return of my No. 1 sleeper in all of baseball coming into 2012, that obviously being Blake Beavan. My other two, remember, were James McDonald (110% right) and Lucas Harrell (Far exceeded expectations, even outdueling Clayton Kershaw on the road at one point this year)]
**May Add More Over/Under(s) ThroughoutDay Leading Up To Gametime**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
First “off” day in awhile with yesterday’s 1-4 performance (Who in the entire country predicted that low-scoring affair at Fenway between Dylan Axelrod and Aaron Cook??), but even in a hot run, that happens. At the very least, that one win was my co-best bet, as I continue to be right with the underrated greatness that is my third favorite pitcher, JA Happ, but the most frustrating thing was that I strongly recommended three other games that I was all 100-percent right on that I did NOT bet on, albeit wrote about, so my record last night should have actually been at .500, which is still poor, but better than 1-4. Anyway, hopefully this Tuesday gets me back on track after just one measly down day…
Trevor Bauer vs Johnny Cueto OVER 8 - $49 for $45 (Best Bet)
Not a big best bet tonight, as this game features two pitchers I’m not as accustomed to betting on, but man, it was a pretty big vibe that was just hard to ignore. If you haven’t seen Trevor Bauer yet, let me just tell you the kid is legit. He’s got tremendous, tremendous stuff, and there’s a reason he’s one of the top prospects in all of baseball. At this point in time, however, he’s displayed some real wildness and has made some mistakes leaving pitches up, which could do him in in a venue like Great American Ballpark. The Reds are missing Joey Votto, of course, but there offense is still potent enough where when a youngster like Bauer makes rookie mistakes, they can pounce on them and capitalize. As for Johnny Cueto, I think it’s general consensus now that the righty is a true ace. I mean, when you’re 10-5 with a 2.39 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 91 Ks in 120 IP, similar stats to what you’ve done before, well, it means you’ve mastered your craft, as the case with Mr. Cueto. He’s also been very consistent, rarely allowing more than three runs in a start. In fact, he hasn’t done so since May 25. However, it’s his first start since the all-star break, having not pitched in nine days, and I believe that loss of a sense of urgency will cause him to produce his first off start in quite some time, and with the line as low as 8, if he gets tagged even just a little bit, while Bauer displays some of his thus-far-trademark wildness, going over 8 won’t be as difficult as it seems for a National League pitching matchup of this caliber. That, and the Diamondbacks have one of the most live lineups in baseball right now, so I’m sensing an unusual off night from Cueto to help lead the way.
Other 7/17 MLB Over/Unders I’m Taking:
Barry Zito vs Jair Jurrjens UNDER 9 - $25 for $20
Jon Niese vs Ross Detwiler OVER 8 - $18for $15
Blake Beavan vs Ryan Verdugo UNDER [Waiting for line to go to 10. So happy to see the return of my No. 1 sleeper in all of baseball coming into 2012, that obviously being Blake Beavan. My other two, remember, were James McDonald (110% right) and Lucas Harrell (Far exceeded expectations, even outdueling Clayton Kershaw on the road at one point this year)]
**May Add More Over/Under(s) ThroughoutDay Leading Up To Gametime**
