Friday: 3-1, + 1.8 units
Risking more units Saturday than any one day this year. Could have a great day or could bomb. Follow or fade at your own risk.
Reds: -1 (-131). 5 units. Johnny Cueto's last really bad start was against the Rockies this year. Believe it or not, I think that will help him focus this game. Just like Joey Votto's loss has helped the Reds focus and go 9-2 without him. Cueto is as dominant a pitcher as there is in the majors right now. He hasn't given up a HR since May. Though the Rockies hit him this year, he shut them down for a 0 in 7 IPs last year. And the Rockies have gone cold. The last time they really hit a starter was Kip Wells about 5-6 games ago. But really they haven't well in the month of July. They're hitting .226 in their last 7 games and when is the last time the Rockies were this cold. They are even 20-30 at home this year. Arroyo usually bombs at Coors with a lifetime 8.00+ ERA, but he completely shut them down. The Reds bullpen is also a strength.
Almost every Red hitter is hitting better or about the same since Votto has gone out, and this road trip has seemed to revitalize their season. They are hitting .290 in their last 7 games and hit lefties pretty well. Friedrich has been tough against SD and on the road at times. At Coors he has a 8.23 ERA and hitters have a .362 BAA there. Maybe the light air affects the type of pitches he throws or maybe it's the horrid Rockies defense or maybe being young, he's not used to pitching in a hitter's park in a high elevation. Friedrich and the Rockies BP is no match for Cueto and the Reds' BP, especially as cold as the Rockies are now.
Risking more units Saturday than any one day this year. Could have a great day or could bomb. Follow or fade at your own risk.
Reds: -1 (-131). 5 units. Johnny Cueto's last really bad start was against the Rockies this year. Believe it or not, I think that will help him focus this game. Just like Joey Votto's loss has helped the Reds focus and go 9-2 without him. Cueto is as dominant a pitcher as there is in the majors right now. He hasn't given up a HR since May. Though the Rockies hit him this year, he shut them down for a 0 in 7 IPs last year. And the Rockies have gone cold. The last time they really hit a starter was Kip Wells about 5-6 games ago. But really they haven't well in the month of July. They're hitting .226 in their last 7 games and when is the last time the Rockies were this cold. They are even 20-30 at home this year. Arroyo usually bombs at Coors with a lifetime 8.00+ ERA, but he completely shut them down. The Reds bullpen is also a strength.
Almost every Red hitter is hitting better or about the same since Votto has gone out, and this road trip has seemed to revitalize their season. They are hitting .290 in their last 7 games and hit lefties pretty well. Friedrich has been tough against SD and on the road at times. At Coors he has a 8.23 ERA and hitters have a .362 BAA there. Maybe the light air affects the type of pitches he throws or maybe it's the horrid Rockies defense or maybe being young, he's not used to pitching in a hitter's park in a high elevation. Friedrich and the Rockies BP is no match for Cueto and the Reds' BP, especially as cold as the Rockies are now.