2012 MLB O/U Record: 248-239-27, -$1,710 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
It’s hard to complain with being 3-2, but it really should’ve been a 4-1 job yesterday, as I was 100-percent right on that Stephen Fife vs Matt Cain under (Should’ve been rewarded for my correct bold prediction on a relatively unknown prospect like Fife. And as usual with my unders, the five-inning variation won), but Ronald Belisario, one of the game’s best set-up men and someone who possessed a low 2’s ERA, blew it in the eighth. Obviously it happens - it just always finds a way to happento me when it shouldn’t be happening so consistently - but that’s 2012 in a nutshell. In addition, I strongly recommended four other over/unders that I did not bet on, and of course, those four predictions ended up producing a 3-0-1 record. Why didn’t I bet them? As I mentioned yesterday, I’m trying to re-discipline myself, as I am well on pace of exceeding last year’s number of bets, not to mention trying to delay that inevitable shitty feeling when I reach last year’s loss total at some point in August. Sorry for the rambling, let me just move on to Saturday…
Anibal Sanchez vs Henderson Alvarez UNDER 9.5 - $30 for $26
Interesting Fact: Henderson Alvarez, a very underrated pitcher by the way despite his 2012 numbers, has started in six straight games that resulted in nine total runs or more. Five of those six saw the combined score surpass 12 runs every time. Why do I point that out? It’s quite an oddity for a starting pitcher to participate in that many consecutive games with those kinds of offensive outbursts, and it’s something the under-utilized Law of Averages salivates over. Not that we really should need that law to ring its hand on this one, as this just really seems like a game where there’s a lot of runs to play with, and two solid-at-worst pitchers who are the ones leading the effort. As I alluded to, Alvarez is much better than his numbers indicate; I’ve written about him in great detail before how he significantly idolizes and mimics the great Felix Hernandez (Same mannerisms, wind-up, style if you’ve ever watched Mr. Alvarez), and he was successful before posting incredibly ugly numbers since June. However, he’s not that bad and it’s about time he gets back on track - this is someone who I expect will be leaned on considerably in the coming years to propel Toronto back into glory. As for his opponent, well, it’s always a tough variable when a player is making his first start for a new team, especially mid-season, but Anibal Sanchez is a good pitcher who, based on some quotes I read, is genuinely excited to be competing for a playoff contender again. When you’re in that mindset, you’re more likely to display your best stuff in your first game in front of your new teammates, since you’re more emotionally invested into it than normal. Yes, these are two slugging offenses that you usually make people sweat out any under with them involved, but these are two pitchers that can potentially keep them within the boundaries of this room-for-error under.
**Will Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
It’s hard to complain with being 3-2, but it really should’ve been a 4-1 job yesterday, as I was 100-percent right on that Stephen Fife vs Matt Cain under (Should’ve been rewarded for my correct bold prediction on a relatively unknown prospect like Fife. And as usual with my unders, the five-inning variation won), but Ronald Belisario, one of the game’s best set-up men and someone who possessed a low 2’s ERA, blew it in the eighth. Obviously it happens - it just always finds a way to happento me when it shouldn’t be happening so consistently - but that’s 2012 in a nutshell. In addition, I strongly recommended four other over/unders that I did not bet on, and of course, those four predictions ended up producing a 3-0-1 record. Why didn’t I bet them? As I mentioned yesterday, I’m trying to re-discipline myself, as I am well on pace of exceeding last year’s number of bets, not to mention trying to delay that inevitable shitty feeling when I reach last year’s loss total at some point in August. Sorry for the rambling, let me just move on to Saturday…
Anibal Sanchez vs Henderson Alvarez UNDER 9.5 - $30 for $26
Interesting Fact: Henderson Alvarez, a very underrated pitcher by the way despite his 2012 numbers, has started in six straight games that resulted in nine total runs or more. Five of those six saw the combined score surpass 12 runs every time. Why do I point that out? It’s quite an oddity for a starting pitcher to participate in that many consecutive games with those kinds of offensive outbursts, and it’s something the under-utilized Law of Averages salivates over. Not that we really should need that law to ring its hand on this one, as this just really seems like a game where there’s a lot of runs to play with, and two solid-at-worst pitchers who are the ones leading the effort. As I alluded to, Alvarez is much better than his numbers indicate; I’ve written about him in great detail before how he significantly idolizes and mimics the great Felix Hernandez (Same mannerisms, wind-up, style if you’ve ever watched Mr. Alvarez), and he was successful before posting incredibly ugly numbers since June. However, he’s not that bad and it’s about time he gets back on track - this is someone who I expect will be leaned on considerably in the coming years to propel Toronto back into glory. As for his opponent, well, it’s always a tough variable when a player is making his first start for a new team, especially mid-season, but Anibal Sanchez is a good pitcher who, based on some quotes I read, is genuinely excited to be competing for a playoff contender again. When you’re in that mindset, you’re more likely to display your best stuff in your first game in front of your new teammates, since you’re more emotionally invested into it than normal. Yes, these are two slugging offenses that you usually make people sweat out any under with them involved, but these are two pitchers that can potentially keep them within the boundaries of this room-for-error under.
**Will Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**