Monday: Early Play YTD: 295-264, + 62.1 units

ofred · Jul 29, 2012

Sunday: 3-0, + 4 units. Finally showed some discipline and stayed with only my top play.

Monday:
Texas-1(-107) 4 units
Texas-1/2. First 5 innings. One unit. Santana, like Jonathan Sanchez, should probably be pulled from the rotation. He has been truly awful: 4 Ks in his last 4 starts. 21 IPs, 21 runs, 5 HRs. He seems to have completely lost his fastball command and his off speed pitches are flat. Texas just ripped into him last week and they were slumping at the time. Even better, the Angels are now in a slump, as seen by their Tampa series. Every kind of pitcher the Rays threw at them was effective. Hard throwers, soft tossers and everything in between. The bottom of the lineup has been very unproductive. Texas will be up for this game being that this their number one rival. The Angels also miss their gold glove SS Aybar and I'm not sure Vernon Wells is that much help.

Oswalt has had a sore back but not a bad one. He usually pitches well coming off some down time, and has a great repertoire of pitches, including a wide range of speeds. Most of the Angels have not faced him or very little. Only Pujols has seen him a lot. Benching Josh hamilton for a game and shaking up the lineup Sunday might be the impetus for the Rangers upping their game. They still have a deadly lineup if even 4 or 5 guys are hitting well. Both Bps are good, and Ogando is effective in long relief.

awon23 · Jul 29, 2012

Saw the early line for the Rangers RL @ +130 and jumped on it as well. Let's get it!

ofred · Jul 29, 2012

Santana, even in his supposed effective pitching periods, has not been effective with Texas. In his last 5 starts prior to this last horrible one last week, he gave up 23 runs in 32 innings. My contention is that he has never been a 1 or 2 type starter, maybe not even a 3. He has been inconsistent throughout his career. When he's dominating he looks unhittable- but this year he rarely ever comes close to dominating. In fact, in the last 3 years his ERAs are 3.92, 3.38 and 5.03. His record with a pretty good Angel club those 3 years: 36-30. Hardly impressive. He's a guy that depends too much on"great stuff" and hasn't really learned to command it or pitch through an entire game with focus. The Rangers also are a .282 club at home and know Santana very well. He pitched decently until the middle of May(mid-4.+ ERA), and then only against the Dodgers(when they were slumping) and D-Backs(on the road), 2 NL teams that hadn't seen him at all or not much.

ofred · Jul 30, 2012

Cinn/ SD: Under 8.5(-105). One unit. Trying to lay off totals, but can't see why this is 8.5. The Reds just saw some horrible pitching in Houston and Colorado. I'm wondering just how "hot" their hitting is. Both of these teams, especially Houston, have crappy relief pitching too. Before that, the Reds weren't exactly killing it either, with mostly unders in their last home stand. Now they face Volquez, who has been pitching very well. Volquez has a nice string of quality starts going back to the middle of June, including an outstanding start vs. his old club, Cinn. He is a pitcher that is effectively wild, giving up some BBs but rarely a homer or many runs. 37 Ks in his last 34 IPs, with only one HR. Leake has also a string of quality starts back going back 2 months, except for one vs. Arizona. Both teams have good BPs. The Padres have cooled on their recent road trip, and considering the dreadful pitching on the Reds road trip, 8.5 seems like a generous #.

ofred · Jul 30, 2012

Mets: ML. One unit.(+187) Risking 1/2 unit to win one unit. The Giants went dead cold vs. their hated rivals the Dodgers this weekend, and I mean completely cold. Other than Posey and Cabrera, this lineup looks awful. The Mets come in after beating 2 lefties in Arizona, Miley and Saunders. Now Bumgarner is better than both of those 2, but he has also faced some sub-par competition the past 2 months. And if he heads towards the mean of the last 2 years, he will have some poor games ahead. The Mets have some hot hitters in their top 5-6 hitters, and should make a game of this. Hefner throws strikes and works quickly. Considering the hangover the Giants might have from their disastrous Dodgers series, the Mets could catch them flat Monday night.

ofred · Jul 30, 2012

Dodgers-1. (+119). The Dodgers hit some very good Giant pitching this weekend, and seem like they were earlier in the season. They seem to begin hitting again in their Mets series, did okay in STL, and then swept the Giants easily. The D-Backs were hot and cold on their home stand. Most of the time they hit well, sometimes they were completely shut down- by Dickey, Harvey, Francis. They beat up on the terrible pitching of the Rockies. I'm not impressed with their hitting attack, especially on the road. Dodger Stadium is not the launching pad of Chase Field. Harang has held up well against some good hitting teams. He's better at home and enjoys the run support of the Dodgers over his old teams SD. Cahill has struggled with the long ball and early troubles. When his sinker is off or not over the plate, he tends to bring the ball up in the strike zone more. His last really good start was June 15th. I also like the BP edge of the Dodgers, and the fact they are a streaky team- now streaking the right way.

HacheMan · Jul 30, 2012

GL tonight

Catchn_Flops · Jul 30, 2012

GL All...let's get em...Goooooooooo Rangers!

Catchn_Flops · Jul 30, 2012

BTW...you can get ML -123 on 5D and +180 on reduced betting on the RL. Split your bet and get (essentially) +157 for the Dodger bet instead of +119 for the -1 line. This is the best spread benefit if l have seen this year for replacing the -1 bet with the split RL/ML bet. Makes you want to bet some more because you feel like you are getting a deal!

yakmerchant · Jul 30, 2012

Catchn_Flops said:
BTW...you can get ML -123 on 5D and +180 on reduced betting on the RL. Split your bet and get (essentially) +157 for the Dodger bet instead of +119 for the -1 line. This is the best spread benefit if l have seen this year for replacing the -1 bet with the split RL/ML bet. Makes you want to bet some more because you feel like you are getting a deal!

I think your math is bad. -123 and +180 works out to +125 for -1?

Catchn_Flops · Jul 30, 2012

My bad Yak...thanks for pointing it out...I knew it looked a little too good...lol.

Oh well, still 6 cents better.

Coolie · Jul 30, 2012

Leaking walks

Catchn_Flops · Jul 30, 2012

Oswalt is no number one pitcher anymore.

Monday: Early Play YTD: 295-264, + 62.1 units

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