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LA Angels In Texas To Open Crucial Series

The Angels have dropped each of Ervin Santana’s last five assignments.

A big series in the AL West is getting underway Monday night as the Los Angeles Angels travel to Texas to take on the Rangers.

Texas will begin the series with Roy Oswalt on the mound after he missed his last start due to some back problems which have bugged him throughout his career. Los Angeles counters with Ervin Santana, and manager Mike Scioscia has already said Santana will work no more than 15 outs.

ESPN will televise the contest beginning at 7:00 p.m. (ET).

The Angels were finishing up a key series in Tampa Bay on Sunday before flying west to Texas for this crucial 4-game set. Texas was at home vs. the Chicago White Sox, and dropped the first two games of that series to see their AL West lead shrink to 3.5-games over the Oakland Athletics who have been steadily climbing up the ranks in July. The Halos were a half-game back of the A's entering Sunday.

Los Angeles dealt for right-hander Zack Greinke from the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend, further fortifying an already impressive rotation. Greinke, who will be a free agent at the end of this season, joins a staff that includes Jered Weaver, Dan Haren and lefty CJ Wilson who was signed away from the Rangers last offseason.

Santana is definitely at the end of the rotation now, and he could be completely out of the mix if his recent ways continue. He failed to make it through the second inning vs. Texas in Anaheim last week, the second time in three starts that Santana couldn't get six outs before departing.

The Angels have lost his last five assignments, a stretch that began after Santana tossed a 1-hit shutout against the Arizona Diamondbacks on June 16. Opponents have plated 23 runs (21 earned) and clubbed five homers over his last four outings which have totaled just 14 innings.

Santana's last five trips to the mound in the Lone Star State have produced a 5.85 ERA and a 2-3 record for the Angels.

Texas has won all three of Oswalt's home starts since he joined the big league roster on June 22. The veteran was shelled by the White Sox in Chicago on July 3, but his two assignments since have seen Oswalt combine to allow just two runs in 12 innings, the Rangers grabbing the dubya in each contest (vs. Twins, at A's).

Monday will mark Oswalt's first career appearance vs. the Angels, leaving just three current MLB franchises he has yet to face (Boston, Cleveland and Houston).

The Angels own a slight 5-4 advantage in the nine games played between the division rivals this season. taking four of six in Anaheim while the Rangers won two of three in Texas. The 'over' also was a winner in two of the three played at Rangers Ballpark in May.

Temperatures are expected to climb well past the triple-digit mark in Arlington on Monday, with a high of 107º in the forecast. The thermometer should still read 100 for the first pitch.
 

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Diamond Trends - Monday

July 30, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Yankees are 14-0 since April 14, 2011 at home when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $1400.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Braves are 10-0 OU since May 31, 2011 as a favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher while allowing less than 8 runs, after playing in a day game for a net profit of $1000 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Giants are 17-0 since June 26, 2011 when Madison Bumgarner starts as a home favorite for a net profit of $1700.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

-- The Yankees are 6-0 since April 16, 2011 when Freddy Garcia starts as a home favorite after his team won the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $600.

-- The Astros are 0-6 since June 19, 2011 when Bud Norris starts on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $600 when playing against.

-- The Angels are 7-0-1 OU since June 06, 2006 when Ervin Santana starts as a road dog after going less than five innings in his previous start vs this team for a net profit of $705 when playing the over.
 

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Hot and Not

July 30, 2012

With the trade deadline 48 hours away, numerous teams will be making final pushes towards improving their rosters for a playoff run. Here's a look at who some of the hot buyers and cold sellers might be heading into the 18th week of the regular season.

$$$-Makers

Cincinnati Reds (6-0, $600): The absence of Joey Votto has hardly played a role for Manager Dusty Baker's squad who've now won 11 of their 13 games played without his services ($846). In sweeping the Rockies at Coors Field over the weekend, Cincy is now the proud owner of a 10-game win streak - a feat last pulled off by this franchise back in 1999. Brandon Phillips and company now hold a three-game lead over Pittsburgh atop the NL Central and are tied with the Nationals for the best record in the entire league! The secret to this team's success in 2012 has been a combination of solid defense and stellar pitching from both the starting rotation and bullpen.

On The Docket: Each of the club's next seven games will come at home where they'll hope to flex their muscles against San Diego before welcoming in the Buccos for a crucial series; the Redlegs have won 31 of 49 at home to date ($732).

Washington Nationals (6-1, $540): You can't help but come away impressed with the staying power the Nats have exhibited in only the second season of the Davey Johnson regime. Ryan Zimmerman and his mates are now one of the favorites to win the NL pennant and one of only two NL teams offering less than a 10:1 return on investment to win the World Series. Value is quickly eroding with this team, so if you want to back them on the futures market, now is the time to do it! Washington has held onto the top spot of the NL East for nearly three months, and they now get to return home off a successful seven-game road trip that saw them win both series against the Mets and Brewers.

On The Docket: The Nationals will look to take advantage of cellar dwelling Philadelphia and Miami over the course of the next week at Nationals Park where they check in 28-19 overall which has been good for a $325 return on investment; the Nats are 25-14 vs. division opponents this season.

Chicago White Sox (5-1, $504): Though it failed to win as much coin for its baseball betting backers as the two teams listed above, Chicago's run over the course of the last week might have been the most impressive! The White Sox returned home off a daunting 10-game road trip to sweep a Minnesota team that always gives them fits, then hit the road again and almost swept the Texas Rangers in Arlington. Though Texas' bats are struggling of late, giving up a total of nine runs in three games in that ballpark is awfully impressive!

On The Docket: Chicago will close out its road trip at vengeful Minnesota before returning home to face the Los Angeles Angels. Manager Robin Ventura's squad stands 28-24 on the road and 30-27 versus +.500 opposition on the year.

Honorable Mentions: Atlanta Braves (5-1, $407), Seattle Mariners (5-2, $300), Oakland A's (4-2, $228), Los Angeles Dodgers (4-3, $207)

$$$-Burners

Milwaukee Brewers (1-6, -$546): The cupboard is now wide open in Milwaukee for any team offering up an enticing package! Zach Greinke was just shipped off to Anaheim for a number of prospects, and more moves look to be on the horizon for General Manager Doug Melvin in the coming days. Save for Ryan Braun, everyone else on the roster looks to be up for grabs. Bullpen help should be top priority with the duo of Francisco Rodriguez and John Axford combining for an absurd 13 blown saves!

On The Docket: Milwaukee will close out its current seven-game homestand with three against the Triple-A Astros before hitting the road to take on the division rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch; the Brew Crew's 20-22 (-$580) versus division opposition.

Kansas City Royals (1-6, -$431): So much for the Royals being a player within the AL Central in 2012. KC's roster is loaded with young talent, but after exploding in the second half of last season, both Eric Hosmer and Alex Gordon have failed to live up to their hefty preseason expectations; especially for fantasy players! Kansas City now brings up the rear of the division a hefty 14-games in back of Chicago and now possesses the worst overall record in the American League after dropping six of seven to both the Angels and Mariners over the course of last week.

On The Docket: Manager Ned Yost's underachieving outfit will now return home to battle the likes of the Cleveland Indians and Texas Rangers who are both fighting for playoff spots. The Royals are 2-10 their L/12 AL Central skirmishes as well as 6-21 their L/27 overall!

San Francisco Giants (2-4, -$364): What a difference a week makes! After winning both series played at Atlanta and Philadelphia last week to build its lead atop the NL West standings, the Giants returned home and laid an enormous egg in front of its rabid fans. They did win their series with the Padres 2-1, but then went out and scored a grand total of three runs en route to getting swept by Los Angeles Dodgers. In doing so, they once again find themselves tied with LA atop the division standings and are said to be on the hunt in looking to add some hitting thump to their rather pedestrian everyday line-up before the trade deadline.

On The Docket: The Giants will be out to put an end to their four-game losing streak and improve their 31-20 ($671) home record Monday night when they host the Mets in the first of a four-game set. They'll then hit the road to battle the last place Rockies at Coors Field in hopes of bettering their 24-26 ($41) record as visitors.

Dishonorable Mentions: Houston Astros (1-6, -$474), Colorado Rockies (1-5, -$315), New York Mets (2-5, -$239), Cleveland Indians (3-4, -$61)
 

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Weekly Betting Notes

July 30, 2012

We saw lots of wheeling and dealing last week in baseball as the July 31 trade deadline approaches, but unlike past years, there didn’t seem to be a sense of urgency from general managers as some of them grumbled about what’s really at stake in the grand scheme of things.

The main reason for the grumbling is this year's new playoff format where four teams have the possibility of being one-and-out of the playoffs.

It’s a tough task to measure -- weighing out playoff possibilities that might happen against mortgaging your future away by dealing top prospects. While two more playoff positions were added for this season, the reward doesn’t seem as attractive for Wild Card teams as in the past where they’ll get only one game to ultimately decide the results of their long 162-game regular season schedule.

Teams that win the division this year will be guaranteed at least five games to show off their roster in the divisional series, but surprisingly, as of Monday morning, we didn’t see teams like the Yankees, Reds, Rangers, or Giants make any major transactions. The teams that tried to make their winning moves are those battling for Wild Card positions like the Pirates, Dodgers, White Sox, and Angels.

For this season only, to accommodate the late addition of the Wild Card game, the lower-seeded team will get the first two games at home in a best-of-five series, with the higher seeded team getting the final three games at home. Next season, it will be a 2-2-1 format.

It may seem like an edge getting the first two games at home because of early momentum possibly given to the lower-seeded team, but it really isn’t when considering the Wild Card team only gets to use their ace once in the five possible games.

Say the Angels win a Wild Card spot. Naturally, you’d expect Jered Weaver to start in what would be their most important game of their season at that time, but he won’t be seen again if winning by their ALDS opponent until Game 3 on the road, negating any edge they might have had in pitching. As good as Zack Grienke should be at home in one of the first two home games, he’s dreadfully average -- to say the least -- on the road.

I think some of the GM’s are feeling that they might be able to do more with less because of 10 playoff positions now. And if they lose the one-game playoff, at least they still have their hand-picked talent ready to blossom next spring.

Teams that gave up the most, like the Dodgers and Angels, have a tremendous amount of pressure to win right now. Teams like the Pirates, who haven’t had a winning season or playoff appearance in 19 years, feel they have enough in the tank to make a run for one of the playoff positions without letting go of their prized farm possessions.

Trade Deadline Winner
Even if the Dodgers don’t get Ryan Dempster or Shane Victorino as expected, they still had the most impactful transaction of the trade season by acquiring Hanley Ramirez from the Marlins. The sometimes aloof and disinterested Ramirez gets to start a new baseball life in a baseball city that is very forgiving and could make him a real star.

It was only a month ago when the Dodgers were mired in a seven-game losing streak, three of which came at rival San Francisco and allowed the Giants to take control of the NL West. Fast-forward to last weekend, with the new revived Dodgers featuring Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp, and Ramirez hitting 2-3-4 in the lineup, and the Dodgers returned the favor by sweeping the Giants.

In his first five games with the Dodgers, Ramirez has got at least one hit and scored in all five, including seven RBI’s and a game winning extra-innings home run Friday night in San Francisco. Ramirez is the perfect addition to the Dodgers lineup and has them looking like a tough lineup again, like we saw in April and May when the entire West Coast was making trips to Las Vegas and betting the Dodgers to win the World Series.

Most sports books will tell you the Dodgers winning it all is their worst-case scenario with 12-to-1 being the current price offered. If you think this Ramirez-LA marriage can continue to be a beautiful honeymoon for two more months and don’t have a Dodgers ticket yet, you better get in line because 12-to-1 will be gone very soon.

One last cherry on top for the Dodgers; Clayton Kershaw’s foot problems looked to be a thing of the past on Sunday as the reigning Cy Young winner pitched his first game without allowing a run since May 19. Before Sunday’s game, Kershaw had seen his ERA balloon from 1.90 to 3.14 over that stretch.

Pirate Saturdays
Pittsburgh continued their hot run on Saturdays with a hard-fought 4-3 win at Houston, taking their record to 15-2 on Saturdays this season. No Saturday game will be as big as the one they play this week as they travel to Cincinnati, a team they have gamely been hanging with, but a 10-game win streak is hard to match. We’ll find out a lot about what the Bucs are made of in the series, and on Saturday, it doesn’t look promising with James McDonald on the mound.

In McDonald's first 17 starts of the season, he have up only four runs once, and kept the Pirates alive in low-scoring games. In his last four starts, he’s given up four runs or more in all four games, combining for a total of 20 runs allowed with Pittsburgh losing three of the games. On Sunday, he was very generous with an Astros squad that lost 12 straight games and helped them end their dubious streak.

McDonald did beat the Reds in his two starts against them earlier this season, allowing only one run in 14 innings, but the form of that pitcher is long gone. Look for the Reds to take two-of-three from the Bucs, including Saturday, despite their impressive run on that day of the week.
 

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Angels-Rangers start 4-game set Monday

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (55-47)

at TEXAS RANGERS (59-41)


First pitch: Monday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -145, Los Angeles +135, Total: 11

Five games out of the lead in the AL West, the Angels head to the division-leading Texas Rangers for the beginning of a four-game set on Monday night.

Two struggling pitchers take the hill in this one with Ervin Santana and Roy Oswalt toeing the rubber. Santana has a 4-10 record on the season with a 6.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP and is coming off arguably his worst start of the season, in which he allowed three home runs and six earned runs in 1.2 innings, to none other than the Texas Rangers. It marked the second time in three starts that he hasn’t made it out of the second inning, a span in which he has a 16.00 ERA and 3.00 WHIP. Oswalt hasn’t fully found his form with a 5.21 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in his five starts this year, but has at least shown signs of life lately. The veteran righty has allowed just two earned runs on eight hits in 12 innings over his past two starts. He also catches the Los Angeles lineup amid a rough patch, having been shut out in two consecutive games by the Tampa Bay Rays. As a dominant home team with a 32-19 record (.627) at the Ballpark in Arlington, play on TEXAS to take this one and extend the AL West lead.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors Roy Oswalt and the Rangers:

OSWALT is 29-6 (82.9%, +22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record). The average score was OSWALT 5.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*).

The Angels are respectable on the road with a 25-25 mark away from home, while they actually hold a 5-4 record over the Rangers this season. They have done well against divisional foes in general with a 14-11 (.560) record in those games. But with Santana on the mound it will be difficult to improve these records. The Angels are 5-14 when Santana takes the mound, including 3-7 on the road where he carries a hefty 6.96 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. While he has a 12-10 career record against Texas, he has a 5.82 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in those 25 starts. Since shutting out the Rangers in September 2010, he is 1-4 with a 7.49 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in his past six starts against them, allowing at least four runs in each start. And even though the Angels bullpen has a strong 3.32 ERA on the season, that number spikes a full run to 4.33 on the road. Los Angeles played without star rookie Mike Trout on Sunday because of a knee injury, but he could return on Monday. Trout, who leads the AL in hitting at .350, is 15-for-34 (.441) against Rangers pitching this year.

Despite his veteran status, the Angels are one team Roy Oswalt has never faced in his career. But, as a team, Texas is 26-21 against Los Angeles in the past three seasons, including 14-8 at home. Oswalt hasn’t pitched since July 17 because of back tightness, but he’s always been a great second half pitcher, going 83-29 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.14 WHIP after the All-Star break in his career. Despite Oswalt’s subpar numbers in 2012, the Rangers have won four of his five starts, including all three at home where he carries a 3.44 ERA and hasn’t allowed a home run in 18.1 innings. And he’s supported by a top-notch bullpen that has a 3.25 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, with 24 saves in 29 chances. And with a lineup that ranks fourth in the majors in runs (497), and is first or second in batting average (.276, 1st), on-base percentage (.339, 2nd) and slugging percentage (.442, 2nd) there should be no dearth of run support, especially against Santana. Take the favorites.
 

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Dunkel



Detroit at Boston
The Tigers look to take advantage of a Boston team that is 3-12 in its last 15 during Game 1 of a series. Detroit is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JULY 30

Game 901-902: Miami at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Buehrle) 14.243; Atlanta (Hanson) 16.109
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Over

Game 903-904: San Diego at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 14.824; Cincinnati (Leake) 16.532
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Under

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Bedard) 15.657; Cubs (Germano) 15.283
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); N/A

Game 907-908: Houston at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 13.850; Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.715
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 15.787; LA Dodgers (Harang) 15.343
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Under

Game 911-912: NY Mets at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 14.542; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.311
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-200); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-200); Over

Game 913-914: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.699; NY Yankees (Garcia) 15.588
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Over

Game 915-916: Detroit at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.904; Boston (Buchholz) 15.219
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Under

Game 917-918: LA Angels at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 14.897; Texas (Oswalt) 15.188
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-145); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-145); Under

Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.859; Minnesota (De Vries) 14.683
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); Over

Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.663; Oakland (Griffin) 16.716
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Over

Game 923-924: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 16.041; Seattle (Iwakuma) 15.696
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 30


Series won-lost records are now below the daily writeup.......

Hot pitchers
-- Former Red Volquez is 3-0, 1.99 in his last six starts. Leake is 2-1, 3.04 in his last seven outings.
-- Bedard is 1-1, 1.98 in his last couple starts.
-- Harang is 2-0, 3.42 in his last four starts.
-- Bumgarner is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.

-- Buchholz is 4-1, 2.47 in his last eight starts. Scherzer is 5-1, 2.54 in his last seven starts.
-- Oswalt is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts, but he missed his last turn with back issues.
-- Quintana is 3-0, 2.80 in his last eight starts. De Vries has a 2.25 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Price is 5-0, 1.70 in his last six starts. Griffin is 3-0, 2.25 in six starts.
-- Iwakuma has a 2.45 RA in his lat two starts; he was in Japan over weekend for personal reasons, but is expected to start here.

Cold pitchers
-- Buehrle has a 5.65 RA in his last five road starts. Hanson has a 6.58 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Germano is 8-21, 4.88 in 36 big league starts; he is 9-4, 2.40 in 16 AAA starts this season.
-- Norris is 0-7, 7.43 in his last nine starts. Estrada is 0-4, 5.06 in 11 starts.
-- Cahill is 3-4, 6.53 in his last seven starts.
-- Hefner is 1-3, 6.55 in four starts this season.

-- FGarcia is 1-2, 5.00 in his last three starts. MGonzalez is 2-2, 5.32 in four starts this season.
-- ESantana is 0-3, 10.64 in his last five starts.
-- Romero is 0-6, 10.80 in his last six starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won eight of their last ten home games.
-- Padres are 15-10 in their last 25 games.
-- Cubs won nine of last 12 games at Wrigley. Pittsburgh won nine of its last twelve games overall.
-- Dodgers won eight of their last ten games.

-- White Sox won five of their last six games.
-- A's won 18 of their last 22 games. Rays won four of last six games, allowing three runs in last three.
-- Mariners won seven of their last nine games. Blue Jays won six of their last nine contests.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins are 3-8 in last 11 games, but won last two.
-- Phillies lost their last three games, scoring four runs.
-- Astros lost 26 of their last 29 games. Brewers lost nine of their last ten.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last nine road games.
-- Mets lost 14 of their last 17 games. San Francisco lost its last four games, outscored 25-6.

-- Bronx lost six of its last nine games. Baltimore lost five of its last seven.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last nine games. Detroit lost four of last six.
-- Rangers are 4-6 in their last ten games. Angels got shut out last two days.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last six games.

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Miami games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 15 San Diego games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-3 in Cubs' last fourteen games.
-- Over is 9-4 in Houston's last 13 games, 5-2 in Brewers' last seven.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Arizona games.
-- Over is 14-7-2 in Mets' last twenty-three games, 8-4 in Giants' last 12.

-- Nine of last twelve Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Detroit games.
-- 18 of last 23 Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Eleven of last thirteen Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Under is 24-8 in last thirty-two Seattle games.

2012 baseball series records

thru 7/29 Home Away Total
Arizona 9-7-2 4-9-3 13-16-5
Atlanta 7-6-4 10-4-2 17-10-6
Cubs 9-7 3-10-4 12-17-4
Cincinnati 9-5-2 9-5-3 18-10-5
Colorado 6-9-2 2-13-1 8-22-3
Houston 6-10-1 1-15 7-25-1
Dodgers 9-6-1 7-9-1 16-15-2
Miami 7-7-3 5-9-2 12-16-5
Milwaukee 9-7-1 4-11-1 13-18-2
Mets 7-9-1 6-9-1 13-18-2
Philadelphia 5-9-2 8-8-1 13-17-3
Pittsburgh 12-4 7-6-4 19-10-4
St Louis 9-6-1 7-9-1 16-15-2
San Diego 6-8-2 4-11-2 10-19-4
San Francisco 11-3-3 8-7-1 19-10-4
Washington 8-4-4 11-4-2 19-8-6
Baltimore 7-9-1 10-5-1 17-14-2
Boston 8-9 9-5-2 17-14-2
White Sox 8-7-1 7-7-3 15-14-4
Cleveland 7-8-2 8-7-1 15-15-3
Detroit 9-5-2 6-9-2 15-14-4
Kansas City 4-10-1 8-7-3 12-17-4
Angels 10-4-3 6-9-1 16-13-4
Minnesota 5-9-3 6-8-2 11-17-5
Bronx 10-4-2 9-6-2 19-10-4
A's 8-5-3 8-7-3 16-12-6
Seattle 6-9-1 7-10-1 13-19-2
Tampa Bay 7-7-3 8-7-1 15-14-4
Texas 12-4-1 8-7-1 20-11-2
Toronto 9-6-2 5-8-3 14-14-5
 

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Monday, July 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games
NY Yankees are 16-6 SU in their last 22 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

7:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Texas's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 14 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games when playing at home against Miami
Atlanta is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami

7:10 PM
DETROIT vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Boston
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

8:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Houston is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay

10:10 PM
TORONTO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games

10:15 PM
NY METS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
NY Mets are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
NY Mets are 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
 

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MLB

Monday, July 30


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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox (8-3, 4.93 ERA)


The Red Sox haven’t been able to count much on their rotation but at least Buchholz is keeping them in games. The talented right-hander began the campaign in a major rut but has dug himself out nicely over the last nine weeks.

Buchholz owns a 2.47 ERA since May 27 and the Red Sox are 6-1 in the 27-year-old’s last seven starts. Total bettors will be happy to know that the under is also 6-2 in his last eight trips to the bump.

A.J. Griffin, Oakland Athletics (3-0, 2.25 ERA)

This 24-year-old rookie hurler has got to be wondering what the big deal is about the big show. Griffin has made six starts and all of them have been quality ones. He’s pitched six innings in each appearance and he’s allowed two or fewer runs in five of those six outings.

He’s facing one of the best pitchers in the game on Monday in David Price, so the price should be nice for underdog bettors.


SLUMPING

Ricky Romero, Toronto Blue Jays (8-7, 5.75 ERA)


The one of the few Blue Jay hurlers who’s actually healthy sure is pitching like something’s bothering him. Romero gave up eight earned runs in just 1 and 1/3 innings work last week against the A’s. It was the fourth time in his last six starts he’d allowed six or more earned runs.

The Jays are 0-6 in Romero’s last six turns in the rotation and the young lefty sports an ugly 29 to 30 strikeout to walk ratio over the last two months.

Trevor Cahill, Arizona Diamondbacks (8-9, 3.86 ERA)

The results haven’t been absolutely dreadful for Trevor Cahill but it would certainly be fair to say the 2012 campaign has been a disappointment for this former 18-game winner.

Cahill, who came to Arizona in an offseason trade with Oakland, 2-4 in his last six decisions and the Diamondbacks were favored in five of those six starts. The righty has just one quality start among his last seven outings.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, July 30


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MIAMI (47 - 54) at ATLANTA (57 - 44) - 7:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. TOMMY HANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 46-52 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 30-35 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 29-40 (-16.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 21-33 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 47-54 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 13-20 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 36-21 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 9-1 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 57-44 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 55-43 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HANSON is 15-6 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HANSON is 11-2 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 311-340 (+44.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 83-84 (-25.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-12 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 (+4.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BUEHRLE is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

TOMMY HANSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
HANSON is 6-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.223.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.6 units)

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SAN DIEGO (43 - 60) at CINCINNATI (61 - 40) - 7:10 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 17-39 (-16.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 67-107 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 36-66 (-20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 61-40 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 18-6 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
CINCINNATI is 61-40 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 42-28 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 16-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CINCINNATI is 136-88 (+24.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-3 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-27 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 43-45 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VOLQUEZ is 30-17 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 88-85 (-47.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 299-323 (-71.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (58 - 43) at CHICAGO CUBS (42 - 58) - 8:05 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. JUSTIN GERMANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 12-33 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-9 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-12 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 61-72 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 20-11 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-16 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 57-43 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 35-30 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 41-32 (+15.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-16 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 57-43 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1229-1324 (-241.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 660-614 (-139.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 85-117 (-36.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1172-1240 (-219.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-45 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 75-113 (-36.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 127-158 (-49.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
GERMANO is 5-19 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+0.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BEDARD is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.769.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JUSTIN GERMANO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

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HOUSTON (35 - 68) at MILWAUKEE (45 - 56) - 8:10 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 35-67 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 38-72 (-27.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-26 (-15.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-41 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-29 (-16.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 3-21 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
HOUSTON is 42-75 (-22.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-67 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 24-47 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-51 (-20.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 14-31 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 5-27 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 89-52 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-19 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 43-16 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 7-0 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 45-56 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-25 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-30 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-56 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-42 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-19 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-27 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-4 (+1.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
NORRIS is 4-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.370.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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ARIZONA (51 - 51) at LA DODGERS (56 - 47) - 10:10 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 34-37 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 56-47 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 33-22 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 56-47 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 64-47 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 148-123 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 103-81 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 148-123 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAHILL is 15-6 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 13-28 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-5 (-0.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CAHILL is 2-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.96 and a WHIP of 1.309.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

AARON HARANG vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HARANG is 3-6 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.122.
His team's record is 6-7 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-2. (+8.7 units)

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NY METS (49 - 53) at SAN FRANCISCO (55 - 46) - 10:15 PM
JEREMY HEFNER (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 2-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY METS are 6-17 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 164-123 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BUMGARNER is 18-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 19-12 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 66-65 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 62-63 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 95-95 (-17.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

JEREMY HEFNER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. NY METS since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
 

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BALTIMORE (53 - 49) at NY YANKEES (60 - 41) - 7:05 PM
MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. FREDDY GARCIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 1-10 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
NY YANKEES are 59-34 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
GARCIA is 21-11 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 29-23 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 34-28 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 53-49 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 28-23 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 50-43 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-17 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 95-84 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-3 (+0.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

FREDDY GARCIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GARCIA is 6-7 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 10-7 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-6. (+3.5 units)

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DETROIT (54 - 48) at BOSTON (51 - 51) - 7:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-31 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 24-29 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
DETROIT is 119-183 (-50.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
BUCHHOLZ is 39-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 10-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 26-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 17-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 15-21 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 164-156 (-40.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BOSTON is 51-51 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 54-55 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-28 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 31-35 (-22.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-46 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 97-85 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-38 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 (+0.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. BOSTON since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 9.82 and a WHIP of 2.091.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.5 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.323.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

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LA ANGELS (55 - 47) at TEXAS (59 - 41) - 8:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SANTANA is 5-14 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 5-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 1-8 (-8.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 121-74 (+21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OSWALT is 59-24 (+30.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 647-637 (+62.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 536-524 (+64.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 643-548 (+72.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 634-624 (+41.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TEXAS is 31-28 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-4 (+1.5 Units) against TEXAS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTANA is 12-10 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.442.
His team's record is 13-12 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-8. (+6.5 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (55 - 46) at MINNESOTA (43 - 58) - 8:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. COLE DE VRIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 87-98 (-26.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-24 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 67-57 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-31 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 55-46 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-6 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 106-158 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 55-79 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 103-151 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-49 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 7-2 (+4.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.69 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COLE DE VRIES vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
DE VRIES is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

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TAMPA BAY (53 - 49) at OAKLAND (55 - 46) - 10:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. A.J. GRIFFIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 55-46 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 28-20 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 18-4 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
OAKLAND is 51-44 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 37-29 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 31-21 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 9-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 63-48 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 70-62 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PRICE is 28-13 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 12-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 17-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PRICE is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

A.J. GRIFFIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (51 - 50) at SEATTLE (47 - 57) - 10:10 PM
RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 170-151 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 194-228 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 94-119 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-27 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 347-315 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
SEATTLE is 87-87 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
SEATTLE is 34-74 (-30.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 176-253 (-61.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 94-119 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ROMERO is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.293.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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MLB

Monday, July 30


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What bettors need to know: D'backs at Dodgers
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GAME: Arizona Diamondbacks (51-51) at Los Angeles Dodgers (56-47)
DATE/TIME: Monday, July 30 - 10:10 PM EST
WHERE: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
LINE: 124, -132 TOTAL: 7.5

The Dodgers are riding a wave of momentum as they begin a nine-game homestand against Arizona, which sits 4 1/2 games out of first in the National League West. Los Angeles moved into a first-place tie with San Francisco after sweeping the Giants in three games. It’s a critical series for Arizona, which plays 13 of its next 16 games against teams with winning records. The Diamondbacks believe they have time to make a run at the postseason, but they’ll need to play more consistently starting this week.

The Dodgers outscored San Francisco 19-3 over the weekend, and the team has received an instant spark from Hanley Ramirez, who is 7-for-20 with seven RBIs in five games since being acquired from Miami. Shortstop Luis Cruz has also provided a boost, going 2-for-4 with two RBIs on Sunday to extend his career-high hitting streak to 12 games. Arizona begins the series with a new third baseman after acquiring Chris Johnson from the Astros in exchange for minor league outfielders Bobby Borchering and Marc Krauss.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, FS Arizona (Arizona), PRIME (Los Angeles)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Diamondbacks RH Trevor Cahill (8-9, 3.86 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Aaron Harang (7-5, 3.39)

Cahill is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA in his last two road starts, and he continues to struggle early in games. He has a 7.65 ERA in the first inning while allowing a first-inning run in 11 starts, including seven straight. Cahill gave up four runs in 6 2/3 innings Wednesday against the Rockies, falling to 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA through five starts in July.

Harang allowed two hits and two runs in 7 1/3 innings Wednesday at St. Louis, and he’s only allowed more than three earned runs once in his last 11 outings. He’s 3-6 with a 2.42 ERA in 14 games (13 starts) lifetime against the Diamondbacks, and catcher Miguel Montero is 7-for-14 with a homer against Harang.

WALK-OFFS

1. Montero has reached base safely in 15 of his last 22 plate appearances, going 9-for-16 (.563) with five walks.

2. Dodgers 1B James Loney had two hits Sunday and leads the team in batting this month with a .328 average (21-for-64).

3. The Diamondbacks are 30-24 at home and 21-27 on the road.

BETTING TRENDS

Diamondbacks are 3-10 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter
Dodgers are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
Under is 7-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 Monday games
Under is 8-2 in Cahill's last 10 road starts
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
 

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Short Sheet

Monday, July 30


National League

Miami at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Buehrle: Miami 13-20 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5
Hanson: 11-2 TSR after a win

San Diego at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Volquez: 19-6 TSR after 2 or more consecutive losses
Leake: Cincinnati 35-52 SU at home after scoring 7 runs or more

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Bedard: Pittsburgh 23-7 SU when the money line is -100 to -150
Germano: 5-19 TSR in night games

Houston at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Norris: Houston 7-32 SU as an underdog of +150 or more
Estrada: Milwaukee 46-13 SU as a home favorite of -150 or more

Arizona at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Cahill: Arizona 15-21 SU after having won 2 of their last 3
Harang: LA Dodgers 26-9 SU at home after allowing 1 run or less

NY Mets at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Hefner: NY Mets 6-17 SU in July
Bumgarner: San Francisco 10-2 SU when playing on Monday


American League

Baltimore at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Gonzalez: Baltimore 1-10 SU when playing on Monday
Garcia: NY Yankees 11-1 SU after batting .240 or worse over 10 games

Detroit at Boston, 7:10 ET
Scherzer: 17-6 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Buchholz: Boston 9-17 SU at home after 4 games where they committed no errors

LA Angels at Texas, 7:05 ET ESPN
Santana: LA Angels 32-14 SU after scoring 1 run or less
Oswalt: Texas 4-10 SU after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Quintana: CHI White Sox 18-6 SU when the total is 9 to 9.5
De Vries: Minnesota 26-49 SU as a home underdog of +100 or higher

Tampa Bay at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Price:
Tampa Bay 18-27 SU when the money line is -100 to -150
Griffin: Oakland 18-4 SU in the second half of the season

Toronto at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Romero: Toronto 31-17 SU after 5 or more consecutive home games
Iwakuma: Seattle 2-11 SU after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less
 

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Monday's betting tips: Angels star CF Trout day-to-day

Weather to watch

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers: The wind is expected to be blowing in from right field at 11 mph. Also, it’s going to be hot. Forecast is calling for the game time temperature to be around 102 F.

Who’s hot?

The Cincinnati Reds are riding a 10-game win streak. They’re also 17-2 over their last 19 games.

Who’s not?

Michael Phelps. The American swimmer missed another chance at gold after Team USA lost to France in the 4x100 freestyle relay.

Key stat

+1520 – Honduras’ odds of beating Spain in Sunday’s Olympic soccer match. Honduras won the match and, in the process, eliminated Spain from advancing from group play. It was the first time since the 2001 U-17 World Cup that Spain has been eliminated in the group stage of any world tournament, according to ESPN soccer writer Paul Carr.

Game of the day

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Mike Trout – The shoe-in to win the AL Rookie of the Year – and maybe the MVP award too – was a late scratch from Sunday’s lineup because of a bruised knee. It’s just supposed to be a day-to-day thing but a hitter of Trout’s quality is going to be missed no matter how short the time on the shelf is.

Betting notes

-Things have gotten beyond awkward in the Boston Red Sox locker room. Bobby Valentine is sending mixed signals about why left fielder Carl Crawford is getting days off and it’s just another example of a long list of damaged relationships Valentine carries in the clubhouse. He seems to know what’s going on, even if he’s using sarcasm as a defensive mechanism. When asked why SP Jon Lester is having such an awful season, Valentine responded, “Got to be the manager he’s pitcher for.”

-The Atlanta Braves are shaking up their starting rotation. Kris Medlen is taking Jair Jurrjens’ spot according to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Medlen is enjoying a fine season as the team’s long relief man but the Braves are hoping he can fill a hole in the rotation unless they pick up an arm on trade deadline day.
 

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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Statistical leaders in baseball, thru four months of play.......

Runs-- Trout 75, Granderson/Kinsler 70, Bourne 69, CGonzalez 68.

RBI-- Hamilton/Cabrera 83, Williangham 78, Beltran/Dunn 73.

OB%-- Votto .465, McCutchen .425, Wright .423, Mauer .418.

HRs-- Dunn 31, Granderson-Encarnacion-Hamilton-Braun 28.

ERA-- Vogelsong 2.22, Dempster 2.25, Weaver 2.26, Zimmerman 2.28.

K's-- Hernandez 153, Strasburg 151, Dickey 147, Verlander 146.


*************


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) Zach Greinke never lost in 23 home starts for Milwaukee; he lost in his first home start for the Angels, though he pitched well in a 2-0 loss.

How does a team like the Angels get shut out two days in a row?

12) Oakland Coliseum, or whatever they call it these days (O.com?) is last stadium in America that houses both an NFL team and an MLB team.

11) Is this the last year NBA stars will play in the Olympics? Mark Cuban hopes so; the star players hope not. Could be an interesting struggle.

10) A quality start is defined by 6+ innings pitched, three or less runs given up; Cubs are 28-12 when they get a quality start, 3-29 if they do not.

9) Francisco Lirano's trade to Chicago was first White Sox-Twins trade since 1986, when the infamous Pete Filson-Kurt Walker swap took place.

8) Good to see Padres give Quentin/Street contract extensions; Friars are 15-10 in their last 25 games. At some point, these small market teams have to commit at least a little to winning, so the fans stay enthused.

7) Then there are the Astros, who were 22-23 on May 25; they're 13-42 since then, 3-26 in last 29 games. It looks hopeless now, but sometimes a franchise is better off hitting rock bottom, then bouncing back. They're off to the American League next year. They have a major rebuilding job to do.

6) Guy who owns the Cleveland Browns is selling majority interest in the team, but keeping 30%. Brandon Weeden will be an interesting study as a 28-year old rookie QB; he's three years older than Colt McCoy.

5) Would it kill some rich dude or dudette to put an In 'n Out Burger here in Albany, NY? Best milkshake I've ever had. You would make a ton of money putting one here, and I'd be happy, which is most important.

4) A's catcher Derek Norris said it was so hot/humid in Baltimore during Saturday night's game, he sweated thru two jerseys and two undershirts. It is one thing to be 95 in northern California, but humidity in Maryland can make 95 feel like 110 or worse. A's will be glad to get home.

3) Late rumor has the Giants acquiring Hunter Pence from the Phillies. Question is: Would San Francisco part with Gary Brown?

2) From now until 4pm Tuesday will be interesting theater in baseball, with the trade deadline looming. Teams like Red Sox and Rays could go either way, they could sell some pieces or try and get back in the race.

1) Josh Beckett/James Shields are both scheduled to pitch Tuesday, so if they get dealt to Texas/Atlanta, its going to throw this week into chaos. Its an interesting time of year, but still think moving deadline back to August 31 will make things even more interesting.
 

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Monday, July 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -170 500
NY Yankees - Under 10 500

LA Angels - 7:05 PM ET LA Angels +139 500
Texas - Over 11 500

Detroit - 7:10 PM ET Detroit +104 500
Boston - Under 9.5 500

Miami - 7:10 PM ET Miami +142 500
Atlanta - Over 8 500

San Diego - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati -145 500
Cincinnati - Under 8.5 500

Pittsburgh - 8:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +119 500
Chi. Cubs - Over 8.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -124 500
Minnesota - Over 9 500

Houston - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -165 500
Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

Tampa Bay - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +118 500
Oakland - Under 6.5 500

Toronto - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -105 500
Seattle - Under 7.5 500

Arizona - 10:10 PM ET Arizona +116 500
LA Dodgers - Over 7.5 500

NY Mets - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -177 500
San Francisco - Under 6.5 500
 

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