The Cat's MLB Over/Under Bets & Detailed Writeups - August 2, 2012 - YTD: 253-247-27

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2012 MLB O/U Record: 253-247-27, -$1,818 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. Also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104

Yesterday was a day to forget, especially since my best bet LeBlanc vs Sheets over 7.5 should have won if you watched the game, considering that: A)There were 30 baserunners with many being stranded in scoring position. B)The five-inning variation won, as it usually does with my over/unders. C)There was a blown call, as replays showed, on a Jose Reyes extra-base hit to lead off an inningthat was wrongfully called foul. Would have led to at least a run and changed Ben Sheets’ mid-game flow. NOT complaining, just pointing it out. Anyway, it’s very, very critical to not let these days snowball, so let’s just move on to what has been my best day of the week lately, that being Thursday, a day I’ve been 8-1 on over the past several weeks. Doesn’t mean anything if I can’t keep it up…


San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds - $$ Amount TBA
Ross Ohlendorf vs Johnny Cueto
UNDER 8 (Waiting to see if line goes up to 8.5like it should)

Attacking the first game on the slate today, and it could be a good one. We all know about Johnny Cueto now, a sure-fire candidate for the National League Cy Young award. He’s been one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball, allowing more than three runs in anouting only twice all year out of 21 total starts, both of which came on the road. He’s coming off one of his worst starts of the year, meaning mentally, he should be extra focused this afternoon in getting back on track. Luckily for him, he’ll be in his best possible setting, as he’s been at his finest during the daytime (8-0, 1.36 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) compared to at night (5-5, 3.31 ERA, 1.34 WHIP). In addition, he’s also surprisingly been most stingiest while pitching home at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark (7-1, 1.94 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) versus on the road (6-4, 2.73 ERA, 1.30 WHIP). Facing a Padres offense that is without Yasmani Grandal should especially help him get back into dominant form.

Ross Ohlendorf is the wild card in all of this, and based on his recent pitching performances, I believe the former Princeton graduate is ready to once again stick again in the big leagues for a long stint. I always thought Ohlendorf was underrated in Pittsburgh, as I wrote about in detail before his very first start this year, and he’s finally begun to start showing why. The San Diego right-hander has pumped out three consecutive quality starts, with the last two coming against live offenses like Miami and Colorado. I was especially endeared by a quote Ohlendorf made entering this matchup, saying, “I feel good about how I’ve been throwing. I’ve pitched well in the past like this, but it’s been awhile. I feel really good about how I’m pitching now, getting back to where I’m capable.” In other words, he’s confident again for the first time in years, recognizes he's still got it, and given his pedigree as literally one of the smartest pitchers in all of baseball, this is a run he wants to remain on and not relinquish. I pointed it out before about Ohlendorf: He goes through extended streaks of solid pitching, and it appears he has entered one of such grooves at this point in time for the first time in awhile. Good for him; hopefully he keeps it up for this under.


**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**


**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it beforethe game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
 
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Luckily the under went to 8.5, and the line is surprisingly even money. Therefore:

Ohlendorf vs Cueto UNDER 8.5 - $60 for $60
 
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On it as well. Hopefully no "bad beats" LOL Cheers cats

Lol unfortunately no bad beats, just a rare instance where I was 100-percent wrong and I apologize to anyone who took it. Surprised Cueto was hit like he was by the lackluster Padres. Seems I've entered a slump these past few days; I may have a game later
 
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Adding a small over/under, hoping to restore some of my confidence:

Deduno vs Lester UNDER 10 - $22 for $20

It is baffling how Jon Lester has struggled the way he has. I don't take too many Lester games but from my view, it's obvious he will get back on track at some point, and he used a matchup against the Twins earlier this year to help him get out of a previous rut. Meanwhile, this Samuel Deduno kid looks pretty good, leading me to believe the outcome for this game can't be worse than 7-3, which would be an acceptable push.

Would Also Recommend: Eovaldi vs Minor OVER 7.5
 
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Well thankfully Mr. Samuel Deduno has come through. Important win to avoid what could have been a Ricky Romero-like tailspin. And believe me, there's a lot of similarities I share with Ricky Romero in a mentally eccentric way
 
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VERY VERY glad I didn't take that Eovaldi vs Minor over 7.5... see, this is what I mean when I constantly emphasize how this 2012 MLB season has been like no other season we've ever seen, making it almost impossible to be successful in over/unders this year. Listen, the game was 6-0 in the SECOND INNING - considering how historically bad bullpens have been this year, that's obviously supposed to be a lock victory. I mean, it's always possible that there's one or no runs the rest of the way, but a bizarre sequence like that is only supposed to happen a handful of times in an ENTIRE SEASON. Yet, I've noticed weird occurences such as this one happening wayyyy too often in 2012. It's absolutely unbelievable and remarkably consistent.

My condolensces to whoever took that over; after all, you were 100-percent correct and made the absolute right bet, yet you still somehow "lost." Again, I'm just glad I laid off and didn't have to endure yet another ridiculous bad beat like the one all those people went through in that specific game. Anyway, 1-1 today, with high hopes for tomorrow. Will begin my nightly over/under routine for Friday's slate in a bit
 

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