The Weather Channel predicted Tropical Storm Ernesto could be upgraded to Hurricane Strength by Monday. Two projected paths for Ernesto included a course towards the West over Mexico while another course was more sweeping to the North into the Gulf Of Mexico. Another system Tropical Storm Florence is also churning and may become stronger over the weekend. Depending on the actual courses these weather systems take, they may become a one two punch. Will just have to stayed tuned for details.
I remember cruising the western carribbean the year Hurricane Andrew struck Florida. The kept upgrading and downgrading the storm and when we flew back to Calif. it seemed the storm had gone away. But when we woke up to the news the next day seeing nothing but total destruction. I called my good friend who lived down there, and he told me of the nightmare his family went through the previous night. They actually had mattresses lined up in the hallway to protect them from flying debris. Fortunately, the just had damage to their roof and broken windows. No one was hurt.
!/Folks, stand at-ease. I'm here at the National Operations Center...and everything is under control!!
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Being in the Coast Guard and having spent 15+ years on the fire department, I've seen my share of hurricanes. The families in New Orleans are by far the worst I've ever seen. I went there in 2008 and assisted w/ the evacuation of the city prior to Hurricane Gustav (it ended up hitting Baton Rouge). Some of the people told me stories; "I don't ever want to live through something like that again...that's why I'm evacuating this time..." It was unreal. People showed up to the train station/bus station w/ large plastic garbage bags - basically carrying all of their worldly belongings that they didn't want looted, lost, stolen or destroyed in the storm. Luckily it didn't hit NO....but it fucked up BR pretty good.
It's been several years since we've had any significant hurricane action. I anticipate we'll see something this year. The Atlantic & Gulf waters were significantly cooler the last two years than they are this year. We'll see. The next few weeks will be big....
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Being in the Coast Guard and having spent 15+ years on the fire department, I've seen my share of hurricanes. The families in New Orleans are by far the worst I've ever seen. I went there in 2008 and assisted w/ the evacuation of the city prior to Hurricane Gustav (it ended up hitting Baton Rouge). Some of the people told me stories; "I don't ever want to live through something like that again...that's why I'm evacuating this time..." It was unreal. People showed up to the train station/bus station w/ large plastic garbage bags - basically carrying all of their worldly belongings that they didn't want looted, lost, stolen or destroyed in the storm. Luckily it didn't hit NO....but it fucked up BR pretty good.
It's been several years since we've had any significant hurricane action. I anticipate we'll see something this year. The Atlantic & Gulf waters were significantly cooler the last two years than they are this year. We'll see. The next few weeks will be big....
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Tonights weather report focused on the bad storms in Indiana. Maybe have some more info tomorrow morning as it will be another 12 hours and maybe forecasters will be able to give us a updated course. You really can follow the system with 12 hour intervals and not miss any details for the most part. Some mean storms in the mid west however.
Tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt sat aug 4 2012
for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm ernesto located over the south-central caribbean sea about 260
miles south-southwest of santo domingo dominican republic...and on
tropical storm florence located over the eastern atlantic ocean
about 515 miles west of the cape verde islands.
1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue across the florida
peninsula and western atlantic waters north of the northwestern
bahamas in association with a weak area of low pressure. The low
is moving inland near cape canaveral...and further development is
not anticipated. However...locally heavy rain and gusty winds are
possible across portions of the florida peninsula through sunday.
This system has a low chance...near 0 percent...of becoming a
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
&&
public advisories on tropical storm florence are issued under wmo
header wtnt31 knhc and under awips header miatcpat1.
Forecast/advisories on tropical storm florence are issued under wmo
header wtnt21 knhc and under awips header miatcmat1.
nws national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt sat aug 4 2012
for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...
The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm ernesto located over the south-central caribbean sea about 260
miles south-southwest of santo domingo dominican republic...and on
tropical storm florence located over the eastern atlantic ocean
about 515 miles west of the cape verde islands.
1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue across the florida
peninsula and western atlantic waters north of the northwestern
bahamas in association with a weak area of low pressure. The low
is moving inland near cape canaveral...and further development is
not anticipated. However...locally heavy rain and gusty winds are
possible across portions of the florida peninsula through sunday.
This system has a low chance...near 0 percent...of becoming a
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
&&
public advisories on tropical storm florence are issued under wmo
header wtnt31 knhc and under awips header miatcpat1.
Forecast/advisories on tropical storm florence are issued under wmo
header wtnt21 knhc and under awips header miatcmat1.
Way To Go Coach. You get the Atta Boy for the day. Good Job. Jamaica looks to have skirted the brunt so far. The East Coast of Texas looks to be a bullseye if things turn slightly more northward. A drastic northward course will devastate coastal Louisana once again. The second map you furnished is the best I have seen and gives the viewer a great idea of the huge numbers of square miles the sysytem covers. Thanks much.
The second map you furnished shows by 2 PM Thursday that possibly the course will be more westward and hopefully miss most of the Texas eastern coastline. However a swing to the the Northwest is still possilbe and will be what forecasters will be tracking intensely. I guess another question to ponder is how much energy of the strom will be absorbed by the pennisula? Excellent maps and thanks again.
