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Pirates And Reds Wrap Up Series In Cincinnati

Sunday's Major League Baseball action includes the Cincinnati Reds wrapping up their weekend series with the Pittsburgh Pirates.

First pitch from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is at 1:10 p.m. (ET), and the Reds will send Homer Bailey to the mound against AJ Burnett. Don Best is sending the odds out as a pick 'em with the total at eight and shaded to the 'under.'

We start with Pittsburgh and the unbelievable career that Burnett is enjoying with the surprising Bucs. His season got off to an inauspicious beginning when he bunted a ball into his face during spring training and missed the first few weeks due to a fractured orbital bone. The Pirates have lost just three of his 19 starts, each of those defeats on the road. That includes a horrible performance at St. Louis in his third start of the season when he allowed 12 earned runs without making it through the third inning.

"Burnett's been great," said Don Best sports analyst Kenny White. "Fastball, curveball guy. His curveball, he has great command of it. He's been able to get that curveball over in any count this year, and that's why he's been so effective."

Burnett is coming off a near no-hitter that he lost with two outs in the eighth inning at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, having to settle for a 5-0 shutout against the Chicago Cubs. He has won both of this starts vs. Cincinnati this season, allowing just three earned runs in 12 innings pitched.

Bailey (9-6, 3.85) has the Reds into the winner's circle each of his last six assignments, though his most recent trip to the bump was a bit ugly. The Padres scored six times against Bailey in his 3-2/3 innings on Tuesday after the Cincinnati lineup staked Bailey to a 6-0 lead. The Reds pulled the game out, however, with a 7-6 win over San Diego.

Don Best analyst Pat Williams is hanging an asterisk on that game after Bailey allowed just six earned runs in his previous five starts. He will be going for a career-best 10th win on Sunday.

Bailey faced the Bucs in back-to-back starts on May 29 and June 5, tossing a complete game 4-hitter in a 6-1 win at Pittsburgh and then getting roughed up at home when he lasted three frames and allowed six runs in an 8-4 setback.

Kenny White believes this is a tough game to call, but says he will back Burnett "until he completely falls apart."

Keep up with the latest updates, odds and betting trends by following the Don Best Pro Odds screen.
 

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Around the Horn - Sunday

August 4, 2012

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Burnett (13-3, 3.27 ERA) 60-46 7-3 L10 away Game 3's
Bailey (9-6, 3.85 ERA) 66-41 14-4 home during day


-- Reds beat Pirates, 3-0 on Friday
-- Reds beat Pirates, 5-4 on Saturday

Arizona at Philadelphia - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Cahill (9-9, 3.75 ERA) 55-52 3-9 L12 away vs LHP
Lee (2-6, 3.73 ERA) 48-59 6-10 home during day


-- Diamondbacks beat Phillies, 4-2 on Friday
-- Phillies beat Diamondbacks, 3-0 on Saturday

Miami at Washington - 1:35 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Nolasco (8-10, 4.90 ERA) 49-59 2-6 L8 away during day
Strasburg (11-5, 3.12 ERA) 63-43 2-5 home on Sundays


-- Nationals beat Marlins, 7-4 on Friday (G1/DH)
-- Marlins beat Nationals, 5-2 on Friday (G2/DH)
-- Nationals beat Marlins, 10-7 on Saturday

Houston at Atlanta - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Norris (5-8, 5.02 ERA) 36-72 3-17 away during day
Medlen (2-1, 2.43 ERA) 61-46 4-9 L13 home Game 3's


-- Braves beat Astros, 4-1 on Friday
-- Astros beat Braves, 3-2 on Saturday

San Francisco at Colorado - 3:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lincecum (5-11, 5.62 ERA) 57-49 2-5 away on Sundays
Chatwood (NR) 38-66 2-10 L12 home vs RHP


-- Giants beat Rockies, 16-4 on Friday

N.Y. Mets at San Diego - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Harvey (1-1, 1.59 ERA) 52-55 8-3 L11 away during day
Marquis (4-6, 4.08 ERA) 45-63 UNDER 5-0 L5 home on Sundays


-- Padres beat Mets, 3-1 on Friday

Chicago at Los Angeles - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Germano (1-1, 3.38 ERA) 43-61 5-15 away during day
Blanton (8-9, 4.59 ERA) 57-50 UNDER 5-2 L7 home Game 3's


-- Dodgers beat Cubs, 6-1 on Friday

Milwaukee at St. Louis - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Estrada (0-4, 4.34 ERA) 48-58 3-8 L11 away Game 3's
Lohse (11-2, 2.91 ERA) 58-49 UNDER 6-0 L6 Game 3's


-- Cardinals beat Brewers, 9-3 on Friday
-- Cardinals beat Brewers, 6-1 on Saturday


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Cleveland at Detroit - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Seddon (NR) 50-57 3-9 L12 away Game 3's
Scherzer (10-6, 4.62 ERA) 57-50 10-0 L10 home during day


-- Tigers beat Indians, 11-2 on Friday
-- Tigers beat Indians, 6-1 on Saturday

Seattle at N.Y. Yankees - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Iwakuma (2-2, 4.10 ERA) 51-58 UNDER 6-1 L7 away during day
Garcia (4-5, 5.10 ERA) 62-44 7-3 L10 on Sundays


-- Yankees beat Mariners, 6-3 on Friday
-- Mariners beat Yankees, 1-0 on Saturday

Minnesota at Boston - 1:35 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Blackburn (4-6, 7.43 ERA) 47-60 5-2 L7 away vs LHP
Morales (2-2, 3.32 ERA) 53-55 5-9 L14 home during day


-- Twins beat Red Sox, 5-0 on Thursday
-- Twins beat Red Sox, 6-5 on Friday
-- Twins beat Red Sox, 6-4 on Saturday

Baltimore at Tampa Bay - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Gonzalez (3-2, 4.46 ERA) 56-51 11-5 away during day
Price (14-4, 2.64 ERA) 56-51 UNDER 6-3 L9 home on Sundays


-- Rays beat Orioles, 2-0 on Friday
-- Orioles beat Rays, 4-0 on Saturday

Los Angeles at Chicago - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Haren (8-8, 4.59 ERA) 58-50 8-0 L8 away Game v LHP
Liriano (3-10, 5.18 ERA) 58-48 6-2 L8 home during day


-- White Sox beat Angels, 8-6 on Friday
-- Angels beat White Sox, 6-5 on Saturday

Texas at Kansas City - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Holland (7-6, 4.96 ERA) 63-43 UNDER 5-1 L6 away during day
Hochevar (7-9, 5.22 ERA) 44-62 1-7 home on Sundays


-- Rangers beat Royals, 5-3 on Friday
-- Rangers beat Royals, 4-2 on Saturday

Toronto at Oakland - 4:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Laffey (2-2, 4.20 ERA) 52-55 3-10 L13 away vs LHP
Milone (9-8, 3.68 ERA) 58-49 UNDER 6-1 home on Sundays


-- Athletics beat Blue Jays, 4-1 on Thursday
-- Athletics beat Blue Jays, 5-4 on Friday
-- Blue Jays beat Athletics, 3-1 on Saturday
 

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MLB
Dunkel


LA Angels at Chicago White Sox
The Angels look to build on their 8-0 record in their last 8 road games against a left-handed starter. LA is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 5

Game 901-902: Arizona at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 15.899; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.457
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.426; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.607
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Under

Game 905-906: Miami at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 14.465; Washington (Strasburg) 15.152
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-220); Under

Game 907-908: Houston at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 15.790; Atlanta (Medlen) 15.255
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-235); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+195); Under

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.665; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.809
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 13.887; Colorado (Chatwood) 14.103
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-155); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-155); Under

Game 913-914: NY Mets at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 15.667; San Diego (Marquis) 14.536
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-115); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Germano) 15.152; LA Dodgers (Blanton) 14.417
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+150); Under

Game 917-918: Seattle at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.111; NY Yankees (Garcia) 15.626
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 10
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Seddon) 12.508; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.975
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-210); Under

Game 921-922: Minnesota at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.850; Boston (Morales) 14.622
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+170); Over

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.987; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.967
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-210); Over

Game 925-926: Texas at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.386; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.179
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-145); Under

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 16.152; White Sox (Liriano) 14.454
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over

Game 929-930: Toronto at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Laffey) 16.348; Oakland (Milone) 15.353
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+150); Over
 

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MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, August 5


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ARIZONA (55 - 52) at PHILADELPHIA (48 - 59) - 1:35 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. CLIFF LEE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-37 (+26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 89-61 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 152-124 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 152-124 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-38 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-59 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-30 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-24 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-56 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-37 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LEE is 6-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LEE is 0-6 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEE is 6-11 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CAHILL is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

CLIFF LEE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LEE is 3-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (60 - 46) at CINCINNATI (66 - 41) - 1:10 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 212-429 (-95.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 91-216 (-67.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 9-24 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
BURNETT is 74-99 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 2-8 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 31-55 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 18-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CINCINNATI is 17-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CINCINNATI is 66-41 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 40-19 (+17.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 36-19 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CINCINNATI is 119-82 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 26-11 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 66-41 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 46-29 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-46 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 22-11 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 63-75 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 26-19 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 23-13 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-46 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 42-35 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-18 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BURNETT is 16-3 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 16-3 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 303-324 (-69.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 6-5 (-0.4 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BURNETT is 4-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.462.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.8 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
BAILEY is 6-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.62 and a WHIP of 1.166.
His team's record is 8-1 (+6.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

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MIAMI (49 - 59) at WASHINGTON (64 - 43) - 1:35 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 25-33 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MIAMI is 23-38 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 49-59 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 48-57 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 30-43 (-17.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 64-43 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 64-53 (+20.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 61-43 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 44-30 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 79-64 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 313-345 (+42.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
NOLASCO is 24-16 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 24-15 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-6 (+0.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLASCO is 8-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.132.
His team's record is 9-6 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.6 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MIAMI since 1997
STRASBURG is 3-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 0.990.
His team's record is 4-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.4 units)

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HOUSTON (36 - 72) at ATLANTA (61 - 46) - 1:35 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. KRIS MEDLEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 43-88 (-28.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-71 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-45 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-32 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 3-17 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games this season.
HOUSTON is 36-71 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 24-55 (-24.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 61-46 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 59-45 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 43-24 (+16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MEDLEN is 15-1 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MEDLEN is 15-1 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MEDLEN is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 7-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-3 (+0.4 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NORRIS is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 8.73 and a WHIP of 1.852.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

KRIS MEDLEN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (48 - 58) at ST LOUIS (58 - 49) - 8:05 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 48-58 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-25 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-32 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-12 (-9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 72-134 (-47.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 17-25 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 48-58 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-44 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-21 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-32 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LOHSE is 22-8 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 54-57 (-33.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 46-48 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 36-38 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-4 (+2.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ESTRADA is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LOHSE is 5-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.413.
His team's record is 7-12 (-8.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-0.9 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (58 - 49) at COLORADO (38 - 67) - 3:10 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. COLORADO since 1997
LINCECUM is 8-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.408.
His team's record is 8-11 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-11. (-4.6 units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (53 - 55) at SAN DIEGO (45 - 64) - 4:05 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 47-46 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 34-17 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 53-55 (+2.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 21-14 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 70-67 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 25-19 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 66-65 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 36-31 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 116-156 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 73-105 (-27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 20-36 (-14.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 58-76 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 56-73 (-18.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 116-156 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 21-31 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 76-80 (-31.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 37-48 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MATT HARVEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

JASON MARQUIS vs. NY METS since 1997
MARQUIS is 6-7 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.505.
His team's record is 8-10 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-7. (+2.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (43 - 62) at LA DODGERS (58 - 50) - 4:10 PM
JUSTIN GERMANO (R) vs. JOE BLANTON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JUSTIN GERMANO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GERMANO is 0-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.609.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

JOE BLANTON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BLANTON is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.1 units)
 

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SEATTLE (51 - 58) at NY YANKEES (62 - 44) - 1:05 PM
HISASHI IWAKUMA (R) vs. FREDDY GARCIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 180-254 (-57.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-84 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 65-26 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 153-94 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GARCIA is 82-46 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 48-51 (+4.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
GARCIA is 43-43 (-27.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-3 (+0.5 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
IWAKUMA is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

FREDDY GARCIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GARCIA is 5-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.08 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-8. (-5.9 units)

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CLEVELAND (50 - 57) at DETROIT (57 - 50) - 1:05 PM
CHRIS SEDDON (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 15-25 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 14-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
DETROIT is 74-38 (+23.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 70-42 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-34 (+6.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 26-30 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-4 (+5.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.6 Units)

CHRIS SEDDON vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

MAX SCHERZER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SCHERZER is 5-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.508.
His team's record is 5-5 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.1 units)

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MINNESOTA (47 - 60) at BOSTON (53 - 55) - 1:35 PM
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. FRANKLIN MORALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 110-160 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
BOSTON is 60-53 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 0-6 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 53-55 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 0-6 (-11.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 this season.
BOSTON is 27-32 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 6-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
BOSTON is 47-50 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 31-41 (-20.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 25-30 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+2.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. BOSTON since 1997
BLACKBURN is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

FRANKLIN MORALES vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (56 - 51) at TAMPA BAY (56 - 51) - 1:40 PM
MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 161-244 (-82.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 171-174 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 459-550 (+26.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 38-16 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 32-12 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 31-24 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 37-30 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 63-75 (+21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-51 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 31-25 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-19 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-12 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-5 (-0.4 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.3 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 23.60 and a WHIP of 3.371.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PRICE is 6-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 8-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.4 units)

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TEXAS (63 - 43) at KANSAS CITY (44 - 62) - 2:10 PM
DEREK HOLLAND (L) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOCHEVAR is 18-10 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 123-76 (+21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 24-10 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-32 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 241-354 (-101.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 5-16 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 2-12 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 42-60 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 11-20 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 24-42 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 (+1.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HOLLAND is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.423.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. TEXAS since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.987.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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LA ANGELS (58 - 50) at CHI WHITE SOX (58 - 48) - 2:10 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 69-73 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 41-48 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 7-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 23-30 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 58-48 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-33 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 585-596 (+42.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 650-640 (+62.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 111-94 (+31.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 385-319 (+52.9 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 539-527 (+64.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 637-627 (+41.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-68 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-68 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HAREN is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.564.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LIRIANO is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.39 and a WHIP of 1.737.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)

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TORONTO (52 - 55) at OAKLAND (58 - 49) - 4:05 PM
AARON LAFFEY (L) vs. TOM MILONE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 58-49 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 31-23 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 247-183 (+60.6 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 84-71 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-47 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILONE is 17-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 16-8 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 5-3 (+1.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

AARON LAFFEY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LAFFEY is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

TOM MILONE vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILONE is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, August 5


Hot pitchers
-- Burnett is 3-0, 1.13 in his last three starts; Pirates are 15-1 in his last 16. Bailey is 4-0, 3.27 in his last six starts.
-- Medlen allowed one run in five IP in winning his first '12 start.
-- Lincecum is 2-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Harvey is 1-1, 2.38 in his first two big league starts.
-- Lohse is 5-0, 3.02 in his last seven starts.

-- Iwakuma is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
-- Scherzer is 3-0, 0.82 in his last three home starts.
-- Morales is 2-1, 3.76 in his last five starts.
-- Price is 5-0, 2.01 in his last seven starts.
-- Haren is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lee is 0-3, 5.65 in his last four home starts. Cahill is 4-4, 5.89 in his last eight starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-4, 7.48 in his last four starts. Strasburg is 1-1, 6.06 in his last three outings.
-- Astros lost last ten Norris starts (0-7, 7.10).
-- Chatwood was 6-11, 4.75 in 25 starts for the Angels LY; he is 1-3, 4.70 in his 13 minor league starts this season.
-- Marquis is 3-4, 6.43 in his last eight starts.
-- Harang is 1-1, 5.92 in his last four starts. Germano allowed two runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Estrada is 0-1, 4.67 in his last four starts; Brewers are 4-8 in his starts.

-- Garcia is 0-3, 4.74 in his last three starts.
-- Seddon has a 7.03 ERA in 39 big league IP; he started four games for the '07 Marlins-- he is 11-5, 3.44 in 20 AAA starts this year.
-- Blackburn is 1-1, 8.53 in his last four road starts.
-- MGonzalez is 2-2, 6.64 in his last four starts.
-- Holland is 1-2, 6.43 in his last three starts. Hochevar is 1-1, 6.43 in his last four outings.
-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.96 in his last four starts, but he allowed only two runs in six IP in his first start for the White Sox.
-- Milone is 0-2, 8.31 in his last couple starts. Laffey is 2-2, 6.04 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won 11 of its last 15 games.
-- Reds won 15 of their last 16 games.
-- Arizona won six of its last eight games.
-- Braves won twelve of their last sixteen home games.
-- Cardinals won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Giants won four of their last five road games.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.

-- Tigers won 13 of their last 14 home games.
-- Mariners won eight of their last nine games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last eleven road games. Tampa Bay won seven of its last 11 games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last nine games.
-- Texas won its last four games, scoring 35 runs.
-- Oakland won eight of its last eleven home games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost 13 of their last 18 games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last six games.
-- Astros lost 23 of their last 25 road games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last eight games.
-- Milwaukee lost nine of its last ten road games.
-- Rockies lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Padres lost six of their last eight games.
-- Cubs are 3-7 in their last ten road games. Dodgers are 5-6 in their last 11 games overall.

-- Indians lost their last eight games, outscored 64-20.
-- Bronx lost 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Angels are 5-10 in their last 15 road games.
-- Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Toronto lost eleven of its last eighteen games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Miami's last dozen road games.
-- Six of Philly's last eight games stayed under total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Cincinnati games.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen St Louis home games.
-- Over is 15-5-1 in Giants' last twenty-one road games.
-- 14 of last 20 San Diego games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-6-1 in Cubs' last 22 games.

-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Cleveland home games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Seattle road games.
-- Eight of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Minnesota games.
-- Last six White Sox home games went over the total.
-- 21 of last 29 Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-5 in Oakland's last eighteen home games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Wsh-- Last seven Culbreth games stayed under total.
-- Az-Phil-- Seven of last ten Cousins games stayed under.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Five of last six Tichemor games went over total.
-- Hst-Atl-- Eight of last ten Hoye games went over the total.
-- Mil-StL-- 10 of last 15 Everitt games stayed under the total.
-- SF-Col-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Nelson games.
-- NY-SD-- Underdogs won six of last seven Hickox games.
-- Chi-LA-- Five of Scott's last six games stayed under total.

-- Sea-NY-- Underdogs won five of last six Campos games.
-- Tor-A's-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Cuzzi games.
-- Tex-KC-- Underdogs won five of last six TBarrett games.
-- Clev-Det-- Six of West's last seven games stayed under.
-- Balt-TB-- Hallion's last six games all went over the total.
-- Min-Bos-- Eight of last ten Bell games stayed under total.
-- LA-Chi-- Favored team won last twelve Demuth games.
 

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Sunday, August 5


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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland

1:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
NY Yankees are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Seattle

1:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home

1:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Arizona is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:35 PM
HOUSTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

1:35 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
Minnesota is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

1:35 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Miami

1:40 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

2:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing LA Angels
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels

2:10 PM
TEXAS vs. KANSAS CITY
Texas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Kansas City is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Texas

3:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing San Francisco

4:05 PM
NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
NY Mets are 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 13 games when playing NY Mets

4:05 PM
TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
Chi Cubs are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

8:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
 

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Sunday, August 5


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Sunday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Hisashi Iwakuma, Seattle Mariners (2-2, 4.10 ERA)


The Japanese product is settling into his role as a starter, allowing only four earned runs in his last 19 innings of work. He’s 1-0 in that three-game span and coming off his best performance as a starter, giving up one run on four hits while striking out 13 batters in a win over Toronto Monday.

A.J. Burnett, Pittsburgh Pirates (13-3, 3.27 ERA)

Burnett continues to enjoy a career resurgence in the Steel City, bringing a three-game winning streak into Sunday’s start in Cincinnati. The righty has proved he can win on the road as well, with his last two victories coming away from Pittsburgh. Burnett allowed only two runs on five hits with 13 Ks over 16 1-3 innings in those starts, dropping his road ERA to 4.79 – compared to just 2.00 at home.

Kyle Lohse, St. Louis Cardinals (11-2, 2.91 ERA)

Lohse’s efforts this season are making Cardinals fans forget all about Chris Carpenter. The right-hander brings a 5-0 record in his last seven into a Sunday Night Baseball matchup with the Brewers. His last start wasn’t pretty, allowing five runs in the thin air of Coors Field, but he earned the “W” and recorded 10 straight quality starts before Tuesday’s 11-6 win over the Rockies.

Slumping

Ricky Nolasco, Miami Marlins (8-10, 4.90 ERA)


The Marlins righty has lost four straight starts and has just two wins since June 8. Nolasco has been beat up in his most recent efforts, allowing 18 runs in his previous 21 2-3 innings of “work” heading into Sunday’s showdown with Nationals ace Stephen Strasburg. While Nolasco hasn’t been sharp in those losses, Miami has provided a total of only five runs of support in his previous four starts.
 

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MLB

Sunday, August 5


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Sunday Night Baseball: Brewers at Cardinals
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Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals (-145, 9)

It's a National League Central battle as the Cardinals host the Brewers Sunday night.

LOHSE ON POINT

Kyle Lohse is 11-2 with a 2.91 ERA for the Cardinals this season. He ended July with his worst start since May, although it was in Coors Field which can be forgiven.

Lohse is ranked third in the National League with 16 quality starts this year. The Cardinals’ starter faced Milwaukee back on April 28 and gave up three runs and six hits in six innings, striking out five while walking four.

Lohse had an amazing streak of 10 starts from June 4 to July 25 where he allowed three earned runs or more just once. Lohse has allowed 12 HRs this season, but he's been able to pitch around those.

MARCO OH NO

Milwaukee’s Marco Estrada is still looking for his first win of the season. He threw seven strong innings against Houston Monday, allowing just two earned runs, but it wasn't enough for the victory.

He has made 12 starts with eight of them resulting in no-decisions. Estrada was on the losing end of Lohse's win on April 28, giving up five runs and seven hits in six innings. He struck out two and walked two while giving up two homers.

Estrada faced the Cardinals as a reliever twice in April giving up two runs and two hits in just over three innings. Estrada’s pitch count has been more manageable in his last two starts after throwing 114 and 113 pitches in two starts earlier this month.

INJURY REPORT

The Brewers are relatively clean on the injury report, although, they would be better served if Shaun Marcum and Mat Gamel were healthy. Marcum has tightness in his right elbow while the first baseman has a torn ACL that he sustained after crashing into a wall attempting to make a catch. The team is also without shortstop Alex Gonzalez and starter Chris Narveson, who has a left rotator cuff tear.

St. Louis is without two of their major starting pitchers in Chris Carpenter and Jaime Garcia. Carpenter is done after season-ending surgery to his right shoulder while Garcia should return at some point. Lance Berkman, Rafael Furcal, and Yadier Molina are all dinged up with various ailments as well.

TRENDS

Brewers are 4-1-1 Under in their last six Sunday games
Brewers are 3-8 in Estrada's last 11 starts
Cardinals are 4-0 in Lohse’s last four home starts
Cardinals are 8-2 Under in Lohse’s last 10 starts

HITTERS TO WATCH

Ryan Braun 9-for-32 against Lohse
Aramis Ramirez 9-for-20 against Lohse
Yadier Molina 5-for-7 against Estrada
Rafael Furcal 2-for-10 against Estrada
 

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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Some thoughts from a shaky 99-94 US win over Lithuania Saturday

-- Lithuania, a 35-point underdog, outrebounded the Ameircans and went toe-to-toe with them in a fast-paced first half (55-51 US at half).

-- How does Kobe Bryant play 20 minutes and score one basket (1-7 from the floor)?

-- Americans were 10-33 from the arc; Durant was 4-7, so you can see that opponents will pack defenses in and make the USA hit jumpers.

-- Lithuania, a 35-point underdog, shot 58% from the floor for the game, and its subs made 15 of 21 shots, 71 freakin' percent!!!!

-- Lithuania, a 35-point underdog that lost to Argentina by 23, led 84-82 with 5:51 left in the game. Spin it how you like, this was a red flag.

-- Other than Tunisia/Nigeria, no one in this tournament is afraid of the American team; they were life-and-death to win a game when they had a +14 turnover margin.

-- Linus Kleiza, who played for the Nuggets, had 25 points.

Maybe the American team should practice on Sunday.


*********


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind........

13) Why do ballplayers wear their sunglasses on their hats? Watched a guy butcher a foul pop in sun Saturday, while his shades were protecting the logo on his cap from ultraviolet rays.

Whatever happened to flip-down sunglasses? They seemed to work fine.

12) How is it the Mariners traded Ichiro Suzuki to the Bronx, but refused to trade them Brendan Ryan? Has to be a good story in there somewhere.

11) Tunisia, China and England are all 0-4 in Olympic hoops; someone is going to have some 'splainin' to do when they get back to Beijing.

10) UConn basketball coach Jim Calhoun, who is 70, broke his hip riding his bicycle in a race for charity Saturday; he had surgery Saturday night, so we wish coach Calhoun well, and suggest to his wife that she sell the bike.

9) Kansas City Royals fired their first base coach this weekend; that should fix all their problems, right?

8) Omar Vizquel broke into the big leagues in 1989; of the 15 major league ballparks he played in that year, only five still exist.

7) The first Kentucky Fried Chicken opened in 1952. In Utah. Am told the place is still open.

6) Mike Baxter of the Mets tied an NL record Saturday night when he walked five times in one game; thats an NL record for a nine-inning game.

5) Red Sox tried to use closer Aceves for two innings Saturday, and it did not work; up 4-3 with men at 1st/2nd and two out, Joe Mauer took Aceves over the Green Monster and gave Bobby Valentine another sleepless night.

4) How does anyone in the Colorado front office survive this disaster of a season? At least the Astros have a plan; get younger, acquire prospects. It is impossible to tell what the Rockies are trying to do.

3) Cincinnati closer Aroldis Chapman struck out 39 of last 68 batters he faced, allowing eight hits. They better not make him a starter again.

2) I know full well that Moneyball proponents consider field managers to be expendable middle managers, but thats a bunch of bunk. Some of these teams run with so little margin for error, that a manager cannot afford any mistakes, or his team will lose.

Tim McCarver can promote Joe Girardi for Manager of Year every week on national TV, but Girardi has the biggest safety net in the majors, a $200M+ payroll. He goes 5-10 in 15 games, so what? They'll just go buy a guy who is a fading superstar, making $17M a year.

When Girardi managed the Marlins, he wound up getting fired for cursing out his owner, who was bitching at umpires from his seat near the dugout. Lot more stress involved for everyone, managing a small market team.

1) Clint Eastwood endorsed Mitt Romney for President this week, but the problem Romney has is that I'd vote for Eastwood for President before I'd vote for him. Haven't had lot of great Presidential choices lately.
 

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Sunday, August 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Seattle 1 Bot 1 Seattle +173 500
NY Yankees 1 Under 10 500

Cleveland 2 Top 2 Cleveland +192 500
Detroit 1 Under 9.5 500

Pittsburgh 0 Top 2 Cincinnati -121 500
Cincinnati 1 Over 8 500

Minnesota 0 Bot 0 Minnesota +178 500
Boston 0 Over 10.5 500

Houston 0 Bot 0 Houston +206 500
Atlanta 0 Under 7.5 500

Miami 0 Bot 0 Miami +201 500
Washington 0 Over 7.5 500

Arizona 0 Bot 0 Philadelphia -135 500
Philadelphia 0 Over 7.5 500

Baltimore 0 Bot 0 Baltimore +192 500
Tampa Bay 0 Under 7 500

LA Angels - 2:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -108 500
Chi. White Sox - Under 10 500

Texas - 2:10 PM ET Texas -145 500
Kansas City - Over 9.5 500

San Francisco - 3:10 PM ET San Francisco -150 500
Colorado - Over 11 500

Toronto - 4:05 PM ET Oakland -160 500
Oakland - Over 7.5 500

NY Mets - 4:05 PM ET NY Mets -117 500
San Diego - Over 7 500

Chi. Cubs - 4:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +164 500
LA Dodgers - Over 8 500

Milwaukee - 8:05 PM ET St. Louis -157 500
St. Louis - Over 8.5 500
 

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Short Sheet

Monday, August 6


National League

(TC) Arizona at Philadelphia, 1:35 ET
Cahill: 12-5 TSR away pitching on 5 or 6 days rest
Lee: 0-6 TSR on Sundays

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 1:10 ET
Burnett: 8-0 TSR with a line of -125 to +125
Bailey: 17-6 Over pitching off a team win

Miami at Washington, 1:35 ET
Nolasco: Miami 14-30 SU as an underdog
Strasburg: Washington 30-18 SU off 6+ division games

Houston at Atlanta, 1:35 ET
Norris: Houston 3-23 SU as an underdog of +175 to +250
Medlen: 8-0 TSR pitching off a team loss

(TC) Milwaukee at St. Louis, 8:05 ET ESPN
Estrada: Milwaukee 9-21 SU away off a loss
Lohse: St. Louis 18-8 Under in the second half of the season

San Francisco at Colorado, 3:10 ET
Lincecum: San Francisco 19-5 Over away off a win
Chatwood: Colorado 6-16 SU after allowing 9+ runs

NY Mets at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Harvey: Mets 20-11 Over off 4+ road games
Marquis: San Diego 26-47 SU as a home underdog

(TC) Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers, 4:10 ET
Germano: Cubs 5-18 SU away off BB losses
Blanton: Dodgers 21-12 SU off BB wins


American League

Seattle at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET

Iwakuma: Seattle 29-80 SU as an underdog of +150 or higher
Garcia: 82-46 SU in day games

Cleveland at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Seddon: Cleveland 0-10 SU away off BB division losses
Scherzer: Detroit 14-3 SU on Sundays

Minnesota at Boston, 1:35 ET
Blackburn: Minnesota 7-1 SU away with a total of 10 to 10.5 runs
Morales: Boston 0-7 SU as a favorite of -175 to -250

Baltimore at Tampa Bay, 1:40 ET
Gonzalez: Balimore 10-4 SU off a win by 4+ runs
Price: Tampa Bay 5-13 SU off a loss by 4+ runs

Texas at Kansas City, 2:10 ET
Holland: Texas 28-11 SU away after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Hochevar: Kansas City 11-20 SU at home off a loss

LA Angels at Chicago White Sox, 2:10 ET TBS
Haren: Angels 8-17 SU off 3+ Overs
Liriano:

Toronto at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Laffey: Toronto 15-31 SU off BB road games
Milone: 9-1 TSR at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs


(TC)=Time Change
 

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Sunday's betting tips: Men's 100-meter takes center stage at Olympics

Weather

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds: A 60 percent chance of thunderstorms expected at game time. Winds will be blowing out to left field at 11 mph.

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees: A 30 percent chance of thunderstorms and 15 mph winds blowing out to left field.

Who’s hot?

Cincy has won four straight and 14 of its past 15 games to take a commanding 5.5 game lead over the Pittsburgh Pirates for the NL Central lead.

Who’s not?

The Indians have lost eight straight and sit 8.5 games back of the White Sox for top spot in the AL Central.

Key stat

USA male swimmers have now won 13 gold medals in 13 finals of the 4x100m medley relay. Michael Phelps concludes his Olympic career with a record 22 medals, eighteen of them gold.

Game of the day

Track and Field: Men’s 100-meter. Reigning gold medalist Usain Bolt is still the betting favorite to win the 100-meter, priced at -133 after posting a qualifying time of 10.09 seconds to win Heat No. 4 Saturday. His time tied for ninth overall.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

X-rays on Jets wide receiver Santonio Holmes' ribs Saturday night were negative. The team says Holmes is day-to-day after he was injured in the team's scrimmage earlier in the day.

Notable quotable

"I stumbled on the start; I really didn't do a lot of executing."- Jamaican sprinter Usain Bolt on his run Saturday.

Betting news and notes

-Nationals’ catcher Jesus Flores heard about the acquisition of Kurt Suzuki from the media instead of his manager, and on Saturday, MLB.com's Bill Madson tweeted that the Nationals weren't happy with how Flores called games behind the plate.

-The White Sox had lost only once in their previous 12 home games before Saturday; Los Angeles won for only the fifth time in its last 15 road contests.

-Rangers closer Joe Nathan has been held out the last two days, with Alexi Ogando getting the save opportunities. Nathan could return Sunday.

-Cubs starting pitcher Matt Garza (triceps) threw a successful bullpen session Saturday and hopes to return in time to start Tuesday in San Diego.
 

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