2012 MLB O/U Record: 259-252-28, -$1,807 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Very nice 5-2-1 day yesterday, including an incredibly, incredible, incredibly rare good break that went in my favor. Well, sort of, as instead of losing the De Vries vs Buchholz over, I was gift-wrapped a boatload of runs in the last couple of innings, leading to a very pleasing push. Considering the number of bad beats I receive every single week, a positive break in my direction is really just a very refreshing reversal of fortune that hopefully continues. Most impressive was nailing my best bet Jimenez vs Fister under, as while I’ve always been good with Fister (My friends will tell you I always saw something in him since his rookie year in Seattle when was as obscure as they got), I’m surprised at myself with how dominant I’ve been with Ubaldo (And teammate Justin Masterson, for that matter) this year. Anyway, let’s see what Sunday has to offer us…
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim @ Chicago White Sox (Best Bet) - $69 for $55
Dan Haren vs Francisco Liriano
UNDER 10
As regular readers of mine know, my technique of breaking down over/unders first involves dissecting and reviewing each pitching matchup individual, a process that lasts a couple of hours, BEFORE I look at the actual lines. So, when this game stuck out to me most during my initial look at each game, prior to seeing the eyebrow-raising line attached to this one, it became fairly easy to label this one my best bet of the entire day. And what’s not to like? Well, besides the two slugging offenses, but this is two quality pitchers here. Yes, Francisco Liriano has had some extreme ups and downs this year, but he’s been much better in the latter portion of the year, and while switching teams always presents a new and unique variable to deal with, especially in the early goings, we can see that Liriano is heading in the right direction in his new Major League home, as evident in his first start with the club when he shut down Minnesota over six impressive innings, yielding four hits and two runs while striking out eight, which is his most glaring strength - the punch out; That’s why he has 117 of those in just 106 innings of work in 2012. His biggest drawback, of course, is hisvulnerability to the free pass, and that continued in his first White Sox start, as he allowed four to reach via walk. I mean, I think that will always be part of Liriano’s make-up, otherwise he wouldn’t be such an effective strikeout pitcher. It appears he’s in a good mindset, now that he’s playing for a contender, and that continued boost of enthusiasm and energy should help him contribute another fine start this afternoon in his first home start at U.S.Cellular.
The most interesting item about making the under in this matchup my best bet is that it involves Dan Haren, who I don’t normally take unders with, especially this year in which I predicted he would have some sort of decline season. Based on his statline (8-8, 4.59 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), it looks like I’m right, or at least up to this point, when I believe he can give us some quality pitching. After struggling for most of June, Haren has started to settle down again, giving up just three combined runs over his past two starts, spanning 12 innings. They came against some tough bats, too, pitted against Texas and Tampa Bay, so that’s certainly something that could have gonea long way in restoring Haren’s confidence. That’s a very crucial part of his game, as Haren historically has been more of a rhythm pitcher, going on long,long streaks of terrific pitching, in which he put together a lot of posting excellent seasons throughout his mostly brilliant career. It looks like he could be amassing another of those such streaks; with his confidence back and his mentality right, Haren is more than capable of pumping out a quality start (Plus he’s slightly been a better daytime pitcher than nighttime throughout his career), and with ten runs to play with, there’s definitely room for error as well.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibeone very single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Very nice 5-2-1 day yesterday, including an incredibly, incredible, incredibly rare good break that went in my favor. Well, sort of, as instead of losing the De Vries vs Buchholz over, I was gift-wrapped a boatload of runs in the last couple of innings, leading to a very pleasing push. Considering the number of bad beats I receive every single week, a positive break in my direction is really just a very refreshing reversal of fortune that hopefully continues. Most impressive was nailing my best bet Jimenez vs Fister under, as while I’ve always been good with Fister (My friends will tell you I always saw something in him since his rookie year in Seattle when was as obscure as they got), I’m surprised at myself with how dominant I’ve been with Ubaldo (And teammate Justin Masterson, for that matter) this year. Anyway, let’s see what Sunday has to offer us…
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim @ Chicago White Sox (Best Bet) - $69 for $55
Dan Haren vs Francisco Liriano
UNDER 10
As regular readers of mine know, my technique of breaking down over/unders first involves dissecting and reviewing each pitching matchup individual, a process that lasts a couple of hours, BEFORE I look at the actual lines. So, when this game stuck out to me most during my initial look at each game, prior to seeing the eyebrow-raising line attached to this one, it became fairly easy to label this one my best bet of the entire day. And what’s not to like? Well, besides the two slugging offenses, but this is two quality pitchers here. Yes, Francisco Liriano has had some extreme ups and downs this year, but he’s been much better in the latter portion of the year, and while switching teams always presents a new and unique variable to deal with, especially in the early goings, we can see that Liriano is heading in the right direction in his new Major League home, as evident in his first start with the club when he shut down Minnesota over six impressive innings, yielding four hits and two runs while striking out eight, which is his most glaring strength - the punch out; That’s why he has 117 of those in just 106 innings of work in 2012. His biggest drawback, of course, is hisvulnerability to the free pass, and that continued in his first White Sox start, as he allowed four to reach via walk. I mean, I think that will always be part of Liriano’s make-up, otherwise he wouldn’t be such an effective strikeout pitcher. It appears he’s in a good mindset, now that he’s playing for a contender, and that continued boost of enthusiasm and energy should help him contribute another fine start this afternoon in his first home start at U.S.Cellular.
The most interesting item about making the under in this matchup my best bet is that it involves Dan Haren, who I don’t normally take unders with, especially this year in which I predicted he would have some sort of decline season. Based on his statline (8-8, 4.59 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), it looks like I’m right, or at least up to this point, when I believe he can give us some quality pitching. After struggling for most of June, Haren has started to settle down again, giving up just three combined runs over his past two starts, spanning 12 innings. They came against some tough bats, too, pitted against Texas and Tampa Bay, so that’s certainly something that could have gonea long way in restoring Haren’s confidence. That’s a very crucial part of his game, as Haren historically has been more of a rhythm pitcher, going on long,long streaks of terrific pitching, in which he put together a lot of posting excellent seasons throughout his mostly brilliant career. It looks like he could be amassing another of those such streaks; with his confidence back and his mentality right, Haren is more than capable of pumping out a quality start (Plus he’s slightly been a better daytime pitcher than nighttime throughout his career), and with ten runs to play with, there’s definitely room for error as well.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibeone very single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
