Oh no guys, strongly disagree here, I would LOVE MIL if it wasn't for the line.. -135 high enough to keep me from pounding it, but for me its either MIL or no play....
Gallardo a strikeout pitcher vs a free swinging team.. really think this is key to the game... Gallardo only had 1k in his last match up against them... In his previous 3 starts against CIN he has 26k in just 18 innings!
Gallardo 3.6 HOME ERA vs 4.34 away....
Batter vs Yovani, only Jay Bruce has impressive numbers... Really Bruce owns him.... 2012 Numbers vs Batter
Stubb 1-8
Cozart 2-8
Rolen 1-8
Ludwick 2-6
Frazier 2-3
Hanigan 1-4
9 for 37, .243 average... Not awful, be pretty good if I factored Bruce...
Philips Q tonight.
Votto Out Obviously
but really think Cin is slightly overrated right now. I know they are "hot" but they couldn't of asked for a better schedule beating Houston whos lost 29 of 32? something like that, Rockies, and Padres... It's just agood spot for MIL, have their ace on the mound, 2 key players for CIN out.. vs CIN non ace pitcher.. playing them at home... just seems like a spot to take MIL, and besides the "value" in the line, no other reason to bet CIN
Gallardo a strikeout pitcher vs a free swinging team.. really think this is key to the game... Gallardo only had 1k in his last match up against them... In his previous 3 starts against CIN he has 26k in just 18 innings!
Gallardo 3.6 HOME ERA vs 4.34 away....
Batter vs Yovani, only Jay Bruce has impressive numbers... Really Bruce owns him.... 2012 Numbers vs Batter
Stubb 1-8
Cozart 2-8
Rolen 1-8
Ludwick 2-6
Frazier 2-3
Hanigan 1-4
9 for 37, .243 average... Not awful, be pretty good if I factored Bruce...
Philips Q tonight.
Votto Out Obviously
but really think Cin is slightly overrated right now. I know they are "hot" but they couldn't of asked for a better schedule beating Houston whos lost 29 of 32? something like that, Rockies, and Padres... It's just agood spot for MIL, have their ace on the mound, 2 key players for CIN out.. vs CIN non ace pitcher.. playing them at home... just seems like a spot to take MIL, and besides the "value" in the line, no other reason to bet CIN
I see it the same way: Both starters usually seem to be good for 6IP 2-3 runs per start in this matchup judging on their past numbers, might give slight edge to Gallardo, but way better bullpen for Reds, so no way I see Reds as a big underdog here.
Also don't care much about Ks (besides Arroyo had 19Ks in these games compared to Gallardo's 14Ks): Arroyo 3GS vs MIL this season, 20.1IP, 6ER, 14H, 4BB....Gallardo 3GS, 19.2IP, 8ER, 17H, 6BB...so pretty even numbers...
