2012 MLB O/U Record: 272-258-28, -$1,577 (Been making bigger bets this year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
In betting, it’s important to always keep a positive mindset, so as to not get into the habit of going through the motions on some days, and to try and always take the positives out of a nightly performance. Well, that’s exactly what I’m doing with yesterday, as while I lost my best bet for the first time in a week (Had won six straight), I still ended up with a very nice 4-2 outing, something I’ll take on any day because to me, record is just as important as anything, because as long as you sustain your rhythm and confidence, then significant profits will be inevitable. I can’t stress it enough: Betting is all MENTAL, and as long as my mentality is in the right place, just as it has been for this past week-plus in which I haven’t had any losing days record-wise, then I can continue on the roll I’m on. Let’s see it carry through Saturday…
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays - $58 for $50
Ivan Nova vs Aaron Laffey
UNDER 10
When it comes to my dear and precious MLB Over/Unders, the one team I bet least on is, without question, the New YorkYankees. Why? Well, because they’re the New York Yankees, the most storied professional sports organization in the world, and with that moniker comes a whole bunch of potential unnecessary variables (Ex. Certain pitchers approach a start against the Yankees different from doing so against any other team, potentially) that can sometimes make it tough to bet their games. There’s just a certain stigma attached to them that makes it difficult, which is why I tend to lock in on the lesser-known teams (Astros, Padres, Pirates, Indians, etc) more often than not.
In this instance, though, I’ll be taking some action on a Yankee game, and that’s for mostly one reason: Ivan Nova. Ever since this guy popped up on the scene, I must say I’ve been very impressed and thought he was legitimate immediately, and as a result, I’ve been looking for certain starts in which I can buy him low, as he makes the effort of regularizing his numbers. By that, I mean I want to capitalize on him in a post-slump situation, and considering he’s given up six runs or more in three of his past five starts, this seems like an excellent opportunity to do so. Not that long ago, Nova’s ERA was sitting comfortably below 4, but after this recent rough patch, that number has soared to an unexpected 4.81, while his WHIP has climbed all the way to an unpleasant 1.47. Yeah, that’s not pretty, but I know Nova is better than that. He went through a similar slump the first two months of the season when his ERA was above 5, but then he had a seven-start run where he allowed two runs or less in six of them. Nova is more than capable of pulling off a similar run at this point in time, and this could be the right spot for it, as he’s catching a Blue Jays team that he was good against last season, and one that is very depleted at the moment. It’s also interesting to note that Nova is almost 2.50 runs better on the road (3.87 ERA and 1.39 WHIP away versus a 6.16 ERA and 1.58 WHIP at home), which shouldn’t be too much of a surprise, given Yankee Stadium’s extreme favoritism for offense. While the Rogers Centre in Toronto is also a hitter’s park, the fact remains that Nova thrives away from home, and I think we’ll see more of that trend continue in the only one o’clock game this afternoon, as he gets his season back on track.
Opposing him will be Aaron Laffey, who has pitched mostly solid this year in claiming one of the bottom spots on the Toronto Blue Jay pitching staff. Laffey is someone I always thought of as a fine option to have in the lower end of a rotation, after watching him for years with Cleveland. In fact, I never understood why he never got more of an extended look. This is someone who constantly would clock in with a final ERA in the mid-4’s, which is acceptable for a then-youngster. While his strikeout numbers left a lot to be desired, and his batting average allowed would be higher than you’d want it (Consistently in the .280-.290 range), the fact remains that Laffey would end up with okay statlines in his first few years in the bigs, before losing his status as a starter, until this year when Toronto has given him new life. And if you take a look at his game log, it’s easy to argue that Laffey has actually made them look pretty good with their decision. After all, out of his eight starts, four have seen him allow three runs or less, while three out of the other four resulted in exactly four runs being yielded, which isn’t too bad for a guy who hadn’t started a Major League game since 2010. The main variable to look at is Laffey’s mindset, in that he most likely recognizes he has a beautiful opportunity to be in a rotation for the rest of the season (With Toronto’s unfortunate number of injuries to their starting pitchers), and that 2012 could be his final opportunity to prove himself. Like I said, he’s done mostly fine work throughout his work when he’s been given the chance to start, and all we need from him today is a decent outing. I anticipate mostly leaning on the right arm of Ivan Nova, and as long as Laffey can somewhat keep up with him, while having room for error with the line where it is at 9.5, then we have a good chance to secure this under.
**Will DEFINITELY Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
In betting, it’s important to always keep a positive mindset, so as to not get into the habit of going through the motions on some days, and to try and always take the positives out of a nightly performance. Well, that’s exactly what I’m doing with yesterday, as while I lost my best bet for the first time in a week (Had won six straight), I still ended up with a very nice 4-2 outing, something I’ll take on any day because to me, record is just as important as anything, because as long as you sustain your rhythm and confidence, then significant profits will be inevitable. I can’t stress it enough: Betting is all MENTAL, and as long as my mentality is in the right place, just as it has been for this past week-plus in which I haven’t had any losing days record-wise, then I can continue on the roll I’m on. Let’s see it carry through Saturday…
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays - $58 for $50
Ivan Nova vs Aaron Laffey
UNDER 10
When it comes to my dear and precious MLB Over/Unders, the one team I bet least on is, without question, the New YorkYankees. Why? Well, because they’re the New York Yankees, the most storied professional sports organization in the world, and with that moniker comes a whole bunch of potential unnecessary variables (Ex. Certain pitchers approach a start against the Yankees different from doing so against any other team, potentially) that can sometimes make it tough to bet their games. There’s just a certain stigma attached to them that makes it difficult, which is why I tend to lock in on the lesser-known teams (Astros, Padres, Pirates, Indians, etc) more often than not.
In this instance, though, I’ll be taking some action on a Yankee game, and that’s for mostly one reason: Ivan Nova. Ever since this guy popped up on the scene, I must say I’ve been very impressed and thought he was legitimate immediately, and as a result, I’ve been looking for certain starts in which I can buy him low, as he makes the effort of regularizing his numbers. By that, I mean I want to capitalize on him in a post-slump situation, and considering he’s given up six runs or more in three of his past five starts, this seems like an excellent opportunity to do so. Not that long ago, Nova’s ERA was sitting comfortably below 4, but after this recent rough patch, that number has soared to an unexpected 4.81, while his WHIP has climbed all the way to an unpleasant 1.47. Yeah, that’s not pretty, but I know Nova is better than that. He went through a similar slump the first two months of the season when his ERA was above 5, but then he had a seven-start run where he allowed two runs or less in six of them. Nova is more than capable of pulling off a similar run at this point in time, and this could be the right spot for it, as he’s catching a Blue Jays team that he was good against last season, and one that is very depleted at the moment. It’s also interesting to note that Nova is almost 2.50 runs better on the road (3.87 ERA and 1.39 WHIP away versus a 6.16 ERA and 1.58 WHIP at home), which shouldn’t be too much of a surprise, given Yankee Stadium’s extreme favoritism for offense. While the Rogers Centre in Toronto is also a hitter’s park, the fact remains that Nova thrives away from home, and I think we’ll see more of that trend continue in the only one o’clock game this afternoon, as he gets his season back on track.
Opposing him will be Aaron Laffey, who has pitched mostly solid this year in claiming one of the bottom spots on the Toronto Blue Jay pitching staff. Laffey is someone I always thought of as a fine option to have in the lower end of a rotation, after watching him for years with Cleveland. In fact, I never understood why he never got more of an extended look. This is someone who constantly would clock in with a final ERA in the mid-4’s, which is acceptable for a then-youngster. While his strikeout numbers left a lot to be desired, and his batting average allowed would be higher than you’d want it (Consistently in the .280-.290 range), the fact remains that Laffey would end up with okay statlines in his first few years in the bigs, before losing his status as a starter, until this year when Toronto has given him new life. And if you take a look at his game log, it’s easy to argue that Laffey has actually made them look pretty good with their decision. After all, out of his eight starts, four have seen him allow three runs or less, while three out of the other four resulted in exactly four runs being yielded, which isn’t too bad for a guy who hadn’t started a Major League game since 2010. The main variable to look at is Laffey’s mindset, in that he most likely recognizes he has a beautiful opportunity to be in a rotation for the rest of the season (With Toronto’s unfortunate number of injuries to their starting pitchers), and that 2012 could be his final opportunity to prove himself. Like I said, he’s done mostly fine work throughout his work when he’s been given the chance to start, and all we need from him today is a decent outing. I anticipate mostly leaning on the right arm of Ivan Nova, and as long as Laffey can somewhat keep up with him, while having room for error with the line where it is at 9.5, then we have a good chance to secure this under.
**Will DEFINITELY Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
