The Cat's MLB Over/Under Bets & Detailed Writeups - August 19, 2012 - YTD: 285-266-30

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2012 MLB O/U Record: 285-266-30, -$1,568 (Was making bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104

Back from my mini vacation, and while Istill didn’t take any days off from my beloved baseball over/unders while I was away, I feel somewhat refreshed, having my laptop back and being able to write my extremely lengthy articles full of starting pitcher analysis, as opposed to writing from my iPhone, which is why my articles were much shortened the pastc ouple of days. Anyway, I’m very pleased I went 3-1-1 with over/unders in my time away, even if they weren’t for any large amounts, but I thought my little bit of decreased focus would lead to a losing record, so that’s a nice building block I have in trying to re-ignite another big run, en route to rolling through this Sunday…


Ian Kennedy vs Armando Galarraga UNDER 9- $44 for $40
First off, it’s disappointing that we have to deal with a rare and unnecessary variable, that being the one in which that deals with a manager being fired only hours before gametime (Not to mention some of the other coaching staff - thankfully not third base coach DaveClark, who I am forever indebted to for winning the biggest bet of my life when he took over the ’09 Astros and went over 73 wins… by a game; even bought the game-used lineup card from that 74th win with his signature on it,actually). But unfortunately, that’s what sometimes happens, which is a shame because I had a pretty distinct under vibe on this pitching matchup before the announcement was made of Brad Mills’ dismissal.

Even so, I still like the outlook of the veteran journeyman, and Mr. Imperfect, Armando Galarraga. This is an interesting opportunity for him, as he’s floundered around the minor leagues since that memorable (Well, for one reason) 2010 season with Detroit, but hasbeen auditioning for a permanent spot in the Astros’ rotation, possibly fornext year and beyond. While he’s coming off, statistically, his worst start ofthe year (5 runs allowed in 5 innings), I read some things he said and it appears he still feels as comfortable as he has in years, even recognizing certain mechanics that he improved upon in that start, thus making him feel stronger and better. As a result, I that reasoning will be a turning point in his own season performance, both physically and mentally, as I really don’t think he’s as bad as his current 5.75 ERA. Therefore, if you know he’s going to bring that ERA down before this season is all said and done, the effort has to start somewhere, and with a new manager and kind of a fresh start with which todisplay his stuff, I believe it starts today.

As for Ian Kennedy, I predicted he wouldn’t really come close to repeating his magnificent campaign from a yearago, but that certainly doesn’t mean he’s become bad at all. At 10-10 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, Kennedy has been enjoying a mostly nice season, andmost impressively with an unreal 131:33 K:BB ratio in 151 innings. If you really think about that, relative to most pitchers throughout recent memory, it’sreally a terrific stat that just stands out from most, leading me to the opinion that he’ll continue to settle in with where he’s at statistically, potentially bringing his ERA into the high 3’s - certainly not on the way to 5or anything. Plus, going up against the dead bat Astros (Who, I’m afraid, might be fired up having a new manager that is younger and can relate to them better with significantly more energy) is always a favorable matchup for any pitcher.
 

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GL cat. Got anything on th A's game? Like the over 7.5 with wind blowing out but heavy juice on the under. Masterson gets owned A's often and it seems league is starting to figure out Parker. 7.25 era last 4
 
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Adding:

Justin Masterson vs Jarrod Parker UNDER 7.5 - $48 for $40
Like Ian Kennedy, I originally predicted Justin Masterson would have a down 2012 after last year's outstanding success, and I've been right with that sentiment, as well as delivering a very good record with Masterson over/unders in the process. Meanwhile, Jarrod Parker has fallen a bit since the terrific three-month start to his Major League career, but from what I read, it looks like, along with pitching coach Curt Young, found a flaw in his delivery at the current moment. With that being done, it shows Parker is hungry to sustain his success and isn't stubborn about making changes, which can't be said about a lot of pitchers. Improving upon his mechanics, Parker could easily get back on track against slumping Cleveland, especially home at The Coliseum.
 
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GL cat. Got anything on th A's game? Like the over 7.5 with wind blowing out but heavy juice on the under. Masterson gets owned A's often and it seems league is starting to figure out Parker. 7.25 era last 4

While I'm on the under, I also wouldn't recommend the over with the line being 7.5 instead of 7. The score could easily be 5-2, a very popular outcome for games in Oakland or any pitcher's park over the years, and the under would hit, rather than a push. Masterson can have shutdown stuff when he's on, but as you mentioned moocow, the wind is also a cause for concern.
 

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hey cat.. quick question bud.... what are your thoughts on the night game... i was liking o9 all day... it just dropped to 8.5 .... im wondering why...
 
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hey cat.. quick question bud.... what are your thoughts on the night game... i was liking o9 all day... it just dropped to 8.5 .... im wondering why...

Ah that's one of those games today, at least to me, that I like to refer to as an "in-betweener," in that I could see it going either way at 8.5. Sorry I can't help you further than that, although I will add that I could see Beckett turning things around for himself in the right direction, so that kind of effort matched up against the usually masterful Hiroki Kuroda could add up to an under. However, I wasn't even thinking at all about taking this game, as I also tend to stay away from the creature known as the Sunday night game

GL with whatever side you take
 

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Im 0-6 today.Is that over football and under baseball?Which way do u lean on teams?Tks.
 
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Hey cat.Whats your take on the nite baseball and football game

Haha I was working so I just saw this... I love football as much as anyone (Although baseball will always be my No. 1), but I do not bet preseason football (Unless it's LIONS ML because Shaun Hill is so freaking underrated that it's ridiculous), nor do I really attempt to envision NFL preseason over/unders because it's so unpredictable, plus I try to apply 200-percent of my focus on baseball as much as possible on as many days as possible.
 

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