Friday: Off My Game YTD: 391-340 + 71.2 units

ofred · Aug 31, 2012

Thursday: 0-5, - 5.4 units. Just can't seem to get a feel of where teams are. Haven't had a o fer day in a long time.

CINN . RL. 2 units. Reds coming off a day off and a sweep in Arizona. They are just about playing the best ball in the mlb, while the Astros are playing the worst. Even the Astros BP has become trashed. No fan support, this game is basically is being plead on a neutral field. Leake's bat adds to the mismatch in lineups. Astros traded Pearce, have injuries, and really can be counted on to lose a lot of blowouts over the next 5 weeks.

CINN. -1. One unit.

ofred · Aug 31, 2012

Colorado. ML. One unit. You would think the Padres would be more heavily favored here, with Clayton Richards pitching well, and the Padres playing well, AND Alex White is pitching for the Rockies. But Clayton Richards has had a terrible time in Coors, and right now the Rockies are hitting pretty well. Gonzalez is back, and 1-8 in their lineup, they have run producers. Alex White has actually been okay as a 4 inning starter, and it almost seems that Tracy knows that after 4, he gets hit harder and takes him out. The Padres have a much improved lineup this year, but now start a road trip, and often in the first game, teams don't continue their hotness. So this is a change in venue pick sort of. And also a pick thinking the Padres might regress to their norms as the season finishes.

Colorado. ML. First 5. One unit.

ofred · Aug 31, 2012

Chicago WS. One unit ML. Both of these teams struggled this week, but the Tigers looked especially bad. They continue to hit two out singles and doubles, and look somewhat flat. The White Sox were playing especially well before going to Baltimore, and seem to be able to get run production out of less. I also like Peavy in this situation of a big game for the contention of the AL Central. Fister has been tough too of late, but his velocity is still down and he got ripped last outing- so I'm wondering if he's on a downward trend. White Sox also have BP advantage though both closers have been iffy.

ofred · Aug 31, 2012

Oakland. -1. One unit. The A's have a huge pitching advantage and coming home from a great road trip. First games at home after great road trips are usually successful. Aaron Cook has somehow survived the AL this year and has not been too bad at times. He is Sooooo due for a bad game. This should be it. McCarthy looked great last outing and he is a streaky pitcher. A's BP much better.

Friday: Off My Game YTD: 391-340 + 71.2 units

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