The Cat's MLB Over/Under Bets & Detailed Writeups - September 6, 2012 - YTD: 315-287-38

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2012 MLB O/U Record: 315-287-38, -$1,293 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104

Well, certainly a bit of a deflating 1-2 performance yesterday, especially after starting out the day in promising fashion. I mean, there’s no other way around it: I am rarely, rarely actually off on a game, and while my best bet Volstad vs Gonzalez under hung in there till the latter innings thanks to an expectedly brilliant outing from Gio, that was simplya game I did not deserve, thanks to the bad pitching of Chris Volstad in the middle portion of his start. That’s just something I did not expect at all, after he went out of his way to see a sports psychologist in effort of getting over his historic 24-start winless streak, and it actually worked, as he entered last night on a two-game win streak, not to mention almost beating Clayton Kershaw on the road a few Saturdays ago, and out of nowhere, he just fell off the wagon, even if only for one start, which remains to be seen. So for that, I apologize because unlike most people out there who do this, I take this stuff very personally, especially the very few times I'm actually wrong, and am very prideful in my work - in both my writing and my picks. At the end of the day, though, I’m still 62-40-11 (60.7%) since August 2nd, which is absolutely as good or better than anybody in the entire country over that stretch (Not including the retards with beefed up records because they only take -180 or -240 ML plays every day… my over/unders are 50/50, thus meaning I actually earn my accolades). Anyway, today, only having five games on the slate, which is very unusual by the way, will be a laid-back kind of day, so I’m only going for one game in the small-bet variety…


Scott Feldman vs Luke Hochevar UNDER 9 - $21 for $20
At first glance, just about everyone out there would take a look at this pitching matchup, featuring two guys with 5+ERAs and who don’t necessarily have the greatest of track records, being pitted against one another in a contest that involves two above-average offenses, oneof which (Texas) obviously being one of the best over the past five years. And that’s perfectly understandable. But in betting, in order to be consistently successful, you have to expect the unexpected on occasion. Let’s take Luke Hochevar, for example. A few weeks ago, he out-dueled the great David Price, who will probably be the AL Cy Young winner this year, in an absolutely brilliant 1-0 thriller. Of course, no one expected that. Scott Feldman, meanwhile, has been silencing doubters for years, despite the negative general consensus on him, as he’s never really possessed a true “out-pitch” or never really had the stuff that can overpower opposing lineups on a regular basis. Well, he’s still standing, and has actually been quite good (Especially throughout his marvelous July, if you remember) in lowering his ERA by two full runs over the past three months. He’s given stability to a Rangers rotation that has been hurt a bit by injuries, and being a lifelong Rangers fan, that doesn’t really surprise me, considering he had a Cy Young-caliber year only a few years ago (2009), and mentally, ever since he was slotted back into the rotation permanently for the first time in years, I knew it would lead to positive results because that’s what he always preferred. As for Hochevar, I’ve always been good with him in over/unders, especially last year (6-1), but this year, I feel like I’ve lost a beat on him, and glancing over his splits, I can tell right away it’s not because of me - it’s because of him. In fact, his 2012 home and road splits are completely flipped from his career ones, with him actually doing more than a full-run worse at home this year. I know Hochevar is better than that, which is why I’m giving him a shot here. He’s also coming off one of the worst starts of his career (Eight runs in less than two innings), which a pitcher always looks to atone for immediately afterwards, and considering he’s also done good work against Texas this year (6 IP, 1 ER),maybe he surprises the public with a quality start. All we really need is one of these starters to carry this under, which is more than possible. Not worthy of a big bet or anything, just a nice small one, which will be my only action for the evening.


And in case you’re wondering, if I had to choose, I’d take the overs in the other two pitching matchups tonight, that being Germano vs Zimmermann and Phelps vs Hammel.


**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**


**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don’t bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff several hours every single day and night**
 
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Yeah it could go either way. This is one of those rare, rare days where there was nothing really appealing, so I had to pick something, since I've done at least one of my beloved over/unders every single day this entire year (Besides the Japan series) and last year as well. Hence the small $$ amount
 
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Fuck, looks like those two 7 o'clock overs are going to hit, just as I called it, but I didn't pursue them. Hopefully this means I also had a clear read on my lone matchup, Feldman vs Hochevar, as well.
 

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Yanks game won't go over unless O's do the rest of the scoring
 
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Yanks game won't go over unless O's do the rest of the scoring

Lol as it turned out, Yankees did plenty of their own scoring.

Anddd as usual, I'm 100-percent right about the games I didnt bet on. It just continues
 
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Now that's a push I'll take, not that the money matters from a lone small bet. On a day like this where you only have one small bet, you just look to maintain momentum, which I've had a lot of over these past couple of months, heading into the next day, and Fridays usually provide a solid card for me so that's crucial.

Should've been 2-0-1, but as usual, I'm retarded and don't take the other games I get vibes on, continuing that trend of winning over 60-percent of such games. At the very least, I AM winning over 60-percent of my games over the past month-and-change (62-40-12). That's at least something else to shoot for over these final few weeks - keep that winning percentage over this extended stretch up over 60-percent
 

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