Cnotes Monday's MLB Best Bets !

Sept Baseball has been kind to me......+ 190 Units ...

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/09/12 16-*11-*1 59.26% +*3980 Detail
09/08/12 9-*7-*2 56.25% +*895 Detail
09/07/12 15-*14-*1 51.72% +*215 Detail
09/06/12 5-*5-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
09/05/12 9-*5-*2 64.29% +*1985 Detail
09/04/12 17-*9-*3 65.38% +*5270 Detail
09/03/12 17-*11-*0 60.71% +*3655 Detail
09/02/12 18-*11-*1 62.07% +*3840 Detail
09/01/12 14-*13-*2 51.85% -*735 Detail

Totals 120-*86-*12 58.25% +19005

Monday, September 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 7:05 PM ET Miami +132 500
Philadelphia - Over 8.5 500

Washington - 7:10 PM ET Washington -137 500
NY Mets - Under 7.5 500

Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati -163 500
Cincinnati - Under 7.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:05 PM ET Houston -106 500
Houston - Over 8.5 500

Atlanta - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee +103 500
Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Detroit -103 500
Chi. White Sox - Under 9.5 500

Cleveland - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota -114 500
Minnesota - Over 9 500

San Francisco - 8:40 PM ET Colorado +122 500
Colorado - Over 10.5 500

St. Louis - 10:05 PM ET St. Louis -115 500
San Diego - Under 7 500

Oakland - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +146 500
LA Angels - Under 7.5 500

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- James Shields blanked Texas on two hits; BJ Upton hit three homers as the Rays stayed within a game of the second Wild Card spot by beating the Rangers, 6-0.

-- ESPN is actually televising a Bronx-Boston game Wednesday night, as they show Tampa-Baltimore on ESPN2 at same time. Amazing. Its like they have an addiction to show Boston-NY games, no matter what.

-- Pirates got swept at home by the Cubs, are now 2.5 games out of Wild Card spot; they need a 10-13 finish for their first winning year since '92.

Only drama in NL looks to be Cards-Dodgers-Pirates scrapping for the last Wild Card spot. Nats-Braves-Reds and Giants are looking good.

-- San Diego's Chase Headley leads MLB with 19 HRs, 60 RBI since the All-Star break. All that while playing in a pitchers' park.

-- After 140 games, Baltimore has allowed 29 more runs than they scored, but right now, they're holding down a playoff spot. Amazing.

-- Dodgers are 6-9 since the Boston trade. Red Sox are 3-12.

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 10

Hot pitchers
-- Kendrick is 4-1, 1.53 in his last five starts.
-- GGonzalez is 5-1, 1.87 in his last six starts. McHugh is 0-1, 3.27 in first two major league starts (11 IP).
-- WRodriguez is 2-1, 1.37 in his last three starts. Latos is 2-0,1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Minor is 2-1, 2.81 in his last four starts. Peralta won his first '12 start, allowing three runs in six IP vs Miami.
-- Stults is 4-0, 1.89 in his last six starts.

-- Deduno allowed two runs in 13 IP in splitting his last two starts.
-- Parker is 2-1, 3.46 in his last four starts. Haren is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three outings.

Cold pitchers
-- LeBlanc is 1-2, 4.32 in his last four starts.
-- Keuchel is 0-7, 8.49 in his last nine starts. Volstad is 2-2, 4.72 in his last six starts.
-- Vogelsong is 2-2, 10.13 in his last five starts. White is 0-3, 4.79 in his last nine starts.
-- JGarcia is 1-2, 4.39 in four starts since coming off the DL.

-- Porcello is 0-5, 5.02 in his last five starts. Quintana allowed 12 runs in five IP in losing his last two starts.
-- Masterson has a 6.18 RA in seven starts since August 1.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last ten games.
-- Nationals won six of their last eight games.
-- Cubs won their last three games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight game. Brewers won 15 of last 20.
-- Giants won eight of their last nine road games.
-- Padres won 14 of their last 19 games.

-- Angels won 11 of their last 12 games. Oakland won 12 of its last 15 games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games.
-- Reds lost seven of their last eleven home games. Pirates lost seven of their last ten games overall.
-- Astros lost 17 of their last 22 games.
-- Colorado lost six of its last seven games.
-- Cardinals lost eight of their last twelve games.

-- Detroit lost 14 of its last 19 road games. White Sox lost seven of their last ten games overall.
-- Minnesota lost 17 of its last 25 games. Cleveland lost 11 of 14 on road.

Totals
-- Over is 6-0-1 in Miami's last seven games.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Washington games.
-- Under is 6-0-2 in last eight Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs' last six games.
-- Ten of last eleven Milwaukee games went over.
-- 16 of last 21 Colorado games stayed under the total. Over is 9-4-2 in Giants' last fifteen games.
-- Five of last six St Louis games went over the total.

-- Under is 15-2-1 in last 18 Detroit games.
-- Six of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in Oakland's last eleven games.

MLB

Monday, September 10

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Miami is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY METS
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games on the road
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Mets's last 21 games

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. HOUSTON
Chi Cubs are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Houston is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Detroit is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit

8:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing San Francisco

10:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
San Diego is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

10:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 13 games when playing Oakland

MLB

Monday, September 10

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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

Wandy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates (10-13, 3.71)

Rodriguez struck out seven over seven scoreless innings Tuesday to pick up the win over the Astros. The lefty has won back-to-back decisions and three of his last four starts, compiling a 1.25 ERA over his last 21 2/3 innings. He has a tough road start in Cincinnati next.

Kyle Kendrick, Philadelphia Phillies (8-10, 3.96)

Kendrick allowed two runs over six innings Tuesday to the Reds. The righty is 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA in his last five starts and has a favorable matchup against the Marlins next time out.

SLUMPING

Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers (9-11, 4.58)

Porcello yielded three runs over 5 2/3 innings Tuesday as Detroit fell to Cleveland. The right-hander has lost five consecutive starts with a 1.57 WHIP over 28 2/3 innings. He takes the hill against the White Sox on Monday.

Ryan Vogelsong, San Francisco Giants (12-7, 3.29)

Vogelsong allowed six earned runs over 3 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. The 35-year-old hurler has allowed 10 runs in his last 9 1/3 innings pitched and now has to deal in hitter-friendly Coors Field against the Rockies.

MLB

Monday, September 10

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Rounding the bases: The best bets in the bigs
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Every week we take a look at the hottest and coldest teams as well as the best over and under bets in major league baseball.

Hot team: Los Angeles Angels
Last week: 6-0
Season record: 77-63
Upcoming schedule: vs. Athletics, at Royals

Skinny: The Angels swept the board last week, going a perfect 6-0 with sweeps over Oakland and Detroit. Los Angeles begins a crucial four-game set against the A’s beginning Monday.

Cold team: Boston Red Sox
Last week: 1-5
Season record: 63-78
Upcoming schedule: vs. Yankees, at Blue Jays

Skinny: The misery continues in Beantown. That’s good news for bettors who are wagering against the Red Sox. Boston was swept in a three-game set with the Blue Jays and only pulled out one victory in a three-game series with the Mariners last week.

Over team: Milwaukee Brewers
Last week: 7-0
Season O/U record: 79-57-4
Upcoming schedule: vs. Braves, vs. Mets

Skinny: The Brewers have played over the total in eight consecutive games, including all seven contests last week against the Marlins and Cardinals. The Milwaukee offense ranks in the top five in the league in runs per game, home runs and stolen bases.

Under team: Atlanta Braves
Last week: 6-1
Season O/U record: 61-75-5
Upcoming schedule: at Brewers, vs. Nationals

Skinny: Atlanta pitchers posted back-to-back-to-back shutouts last week for the first time since Sept. 4-7, 2002. The staff only allowed six runs in seven games, a major reason why the Braves continue to be a strong Under choice for bettors.

MLB
Dunkel

Atlanta at Milwaukee
The Braves look to build on their 10-4 record in their last 14 games as a road favorite. Atlanta is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

Game 901-902: Miami at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (LeBlanc) 17.131; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.549
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+130); Over

Game 903-904: Washington at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 14.979; NY Mets (McHugh) 14.643
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Under

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 13.599; Cincinnati (Latos) 14.775
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-165); Under

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Volstad) 14.520; Houston (Keuchel) 14.415
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-110); Over

Game 909-910: Atlanta at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 16.311; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.429
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.192; Colorado (White) 16.409
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Over

Game 913-914: St. Louis at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 14.584; San Diego (Stults) 16.303
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Under

Game 915-916: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 15.485; White Sox (Quintana) 14.916
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.904; Minnesota (Deduno) 14.827
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

Game 919-920: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 17.365; LA Angels (Haren) 16.777
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, September 10

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MIAMI (63 - 78) at PHILADELPHIA (69 - 71) - 7:05 PM
WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 63-78 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 18-27 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MIAMI is 62-76 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 41-51 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 41-53 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-37 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-32 (-16.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-68 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-26 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-71 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-5 (+2.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

WADE LEBLANC vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LEBLANC is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. MIAMI since 1997
KENDRICK is 8-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.320.
His team's record is 9-4 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.9 units)

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WASHINGTON (86 - 54) at NY METS (65 - 75) - 7:10 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. COLLIN MCHUGH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 10-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 71-61 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 83-54 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 58-34 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 59-37 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 86-54 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 42-27 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
GONZALEZ is 21-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 12-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 21-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 30-38 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 91-105 (-40.6 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 264-271 (-75.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 61-73 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 35-49 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 19-31 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 15-22 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
NY METS are 24-42 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 9-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-4 (+6.3 Units) against NY METS this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. NY METS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (72 - 67) at CINCINNATI (84 - 57) - 7:10 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MAT LATOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 64-137 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 47-104 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 94-217 (-64.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
RODRIGUEZ is 18-44 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 84-57 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 29-15 (+11.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 80-57 (+15.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 84-57 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 71-67 (+6.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 74-71 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 71-67 (+6.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 51-50 (+4.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 79-77 (+16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 32-32 (+6.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CINCINNATI is 92-86 (-44.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-6 (+0.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 8-11 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.381.
His team's record is 13-14 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-12. (+1.5 units)

MAT LATOS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LATOS is 4-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.67 and a WHIP of 1.021.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (54 - 86) at HOUSTON (44 - 96) - 8:05 PM
CHRIS VOLSTAD (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 54-86 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-52 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-47 (-22.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-52 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 54-86 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-31 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 79-121 (-39.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-41 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 30-16 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-14 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-16 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-95 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 43-88 (-36.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-95 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 31-66 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 30-73 (-33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 34-65 (-23.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-39 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-4 (+0.8 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. HOUSTON since 1997
VOLSTAD is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.8 units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (81 - 60) at MILWAUKEE (69 - 71) - 8:10 PM
MIKE MINOR (L) vs. WILY PERALTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-15 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
MINOR is 0-7 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 63-33 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-20 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 103-54 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 55-25 (+22.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 81-60 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 41-28 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 79-59 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 29-18 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 55-31 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 51-30 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 29-11 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 69-71 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 69-71 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-31 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MIKE MINOR vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MINOR is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.201.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

WILY PERALTA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (79 - 61) at COLORADO (56 - 83) - 8:40 PM
RYAN VOGELSONG (R) vs. ALEX WHITE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 79-61 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-32 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 478-471 (+45.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-12 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-15 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 79-61 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-30 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 166-101 (+62.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 73-50 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 17-9 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 17-9 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 12-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 56-83 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 91-124 (-33.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 37-48 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 52-85 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 20-46 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 56-83 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 2-12 (-9.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
COLORADO is 30-41 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
COLORADO is 51-74 (-27.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-3 (+3.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. COLORADO since 1997
VOGELSONG is 5-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.850.
His team's record is 6-0 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

ALEX WHITE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WHITE is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.90 and a WHIP of 2.121.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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ST LOUIS (75 - 65) at SAN DIEGO (66 - 75) - 10:05 PM
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. ERIC STULTS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 75-65 (-7.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 62-63 (-32.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 75-65 (-7.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
GARCIA is 12-18 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 34-31 (+9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 19-17 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN DIEGO is 66-75 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 66-75 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 80-108 (-21.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 83-119 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
GARCIA is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.67 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

ERIC STULTS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

DETROIT (73 - 66) at CHI WHITE SOX (75 - 64) - 8:10 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 73-66 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 30-38 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 69-63 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 40-44 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 54-43 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 592-603 (+42.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 75-64 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 27-11 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-5 (+10.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 81-44 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-69 (-20.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 10-4 (+5.5 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.5 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PORCELLO is 5-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.194.
His team's record is 6-4 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.4 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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CLEVELAND (59 - 81) at MINNESOTA (58 - 82) - 8:10 PM
JUSTIN MASTERSON (R) vs. SAM DEDUNO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 56-77 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 59-81 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 105-101 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MASTERSON is 26-16 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 27-41 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-56 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-30 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 121-182 (-35.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-41 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-5 (+4.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MASTERSON is 2-5 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.425.
His team's record is 6-7 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.1 units)

SAM DEDUNO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DEDUNO is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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OAKLAND (79 - 60) at LA ANGELS (77 - 63) - 10:05 PM
JARROD PARKER (R) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 37-30 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 73-57 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 54-37 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 54-35 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 48-30 (+21.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 37-30 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 79-60 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 129-118 (-61.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 82-79 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 10-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 4-9 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 14-21 (-14.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 9-15 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 18-23 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 8-13 (-11.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 7-8 (+2.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.7 Units)

JARROD PARKER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PARKER is 0-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.161.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

DAN HAREN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HAREN is 3-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.102.
His team's record is 4-5 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, September 10

National League

Miami at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
LeBlanc: Miami 9-20 SU off 3+ division games
Kendrick: 29-13 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

Washington at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Gonzalez: 12-3 TSR in road games
McHugh: Mets 7-15 SU at home after scoring 2 runs or less

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET MLB
Rodriguez: Pittsburgh 8-22 SU away with a total of 7.5 runs or less
Latos: 16-2 TSR as a favorite of -150 or higher

Chicago Cubs at Houston, 8:05 ET
Volstad: 25-11 Over pitching off a team win
Keuchel: Houston 6-22 SU off 5+ road games

Atlanta at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Minor: Atlanta 17-4 SU off a win by 1 run
Peralta: Milwaukee 13-1 Over off 6+ road games

San Francisco at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Vogelsong: 12-3 TSR in night games
White: Colorado 2-12 SU as a home underdog of +125 or less

St. Louis at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Garcia: 5-12 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Stults: 6-0 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest


American League

Detroit at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET MLB
Porcello: 11-2 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Quintana: White Sox 15-28 SU off 6+ home games

Cleveland at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Masterson: Cleveland 7-1 SU off a loss by 1 run
Deduno: Minnesota 4-16 SU after the bullpen pitched 6+ innings

Oakland at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Parker: Oakland 9-1 SU revenging 3+ losses
Haren: 2-8 TSR at home with a total of 7.5 runs or less

MLB

Monday, September 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Athletics at Angels
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels (-155, 7.5)

The two hottest teams in the American League open a high-stakes, four-game series when the Los Angeles Angels host the Oakland Athletics. The Angels have won six straight and 11 of 12 games and just swept three games from the Athletics in Oakland last week. The Athletics have captured 12 of 15 games with the losses to the Angels being their only defeats since August 23. Both teams still trail Texas in the American League West race.

Oakland just swept a three-game set in Seattle and has won nine consecutive road games. The Athletics are 3 1/2 games behind the Rangers in the West and possess a 2 1/2-game cushion in the AL wild-card race. The Angels outscored Oakland 21-5 in last week’s contest and sit six games behind Texas. Los Angeles is a season-best 14 games over .500 and is one game behind the Baltimore Orioles for the AL’s second wild-card spot. The Angels are 8-7 against Oakland entering the final four meetings of the regular season between the teams.

TV: 10:05 p.m. ET, Comcast SportsNet California (Oakland), Fox Sports West (Los Angeles)

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a possible thunderstorm with a 20 percent chance of precipitation at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Jarrod Parker (9-8, 3.67 ERA) vs. Angels RH Dan Haren (10-10, 4.46)

Parker is 0-2 with a 3.05 ERA in three starts against the Angels this season. He lost to Los Angeles on Tuesday despite allowing just two runs and eight hits in seven innings. Parker has fanned 19 and walked just two in 20 2/3 innings against the Angels. He is 5-3 with a 5.37 ERA in 11 road starts.

Haren has won back-to-back outings, including a victory over Oakland on Wednesday when he gave up one run and three hits in six innings. He is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in three starts against the Athletics this season. Haren is 3-3 with a 3.51 ERA in nine career starts against Oakland.

TRENDS

*Athletics are 7-0 in their last seven road games vs. a right-handed starter.
*Angels are 6-0 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.
*Over is 4-0 in Athletics’ last four road games vs. a right-handed starter.
*Over is 4-0 in Angels’ last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
*Angels are 1-5 in Haren’s last six starts vs. Athletics.

WALK-OFFS

1. Angels INF Maicer Izturis is expected to miss the entire series with a back ailment.

2. Oakland OF Jonny Gomes hit a three-run homer in Sunday’s victory and is batting .301 with eight homers since the All-Star break.

3. Los Angeles OF Mike Trout is 4-for-10 against Parker, but teammates Torii Hunter (1-for-8, five strikeouts) and Mark Trumbo (four strikeouts in six hitless at-bats) have struggled.

Tigers & White Sox Start 4-Game Series In Chicago

It's showdown time in the AL Central where just two games separate the Chicago White Sox and Detroit Tigers as they begin a 4-game series on Monday.

Game 1 of the all-important set is a consensus pick 'em on the Don Best Pro Odds screen, a few of the outlets listing the visiting Tigers as very slight favorites. First pitch from US Cellular Field on the Windy City's South Side is at 8:10 p.m. (ET), and will be delivered by ChiSox rookie Jose Quintana. Rick Porcello takes the ball for the Tigers with the 9½-run total priced 20 cents to the 'under' at most shops.

A lot can still happen in the final 24 days of the regular season slate, but all signs point to only one squad from this division making it to the American League playoffs. Chicago owns the advantage in the AL Central by a couple of games but would be fifth in the wild-card ranks where Detroit sits presently, 4.5-games out of the second slot which belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Neither the White Sox nor the Tigers come into this series playing as if they want to continue on after the dust settles on Oct. 3. Jim Leyland's Motown Cats started their 10-game road trip this past weekend by getting broomed in Anaheim by the Angels, and have dropped five of their last six since sweeping the Pale Hose in Detroit a little more than a week ago.

Chicago, meanwhile, has been on a downward spiral since reaching a season-high 16-games over .500 on Aug. 26 (71-55). The White Sox just finished a 3-3 homestand against the Twins and Royals, and have suffered defeat in nine of their last 13.

The Tigers will be out to extend a 7-game win streak vs. the White Sox, six of those contests played at Comerica Park, and they appear to have the right pitcher on the mound to accomplish the task. Porcello brings a 9-11 overall record and 4.58 ERA into the match, but is a perfect 3-0 in as many starts against Chicago this season with a sparkling 1.23 ERA.

Two of Porcello's three wins came against Chicago ace Chris Sale with all three contests falling short of the game totals. The young right-hander entered this season 2-4 with a 6.91 ERA in seven career assignments vs. the White Sox.

Detroit's lineup will be getting its first ever look at Quintana who somehow managed to miss the Tigers the first five series meetings of the campaign. The Colombian southpaw is coming off a sound whipping last Tuesday when he couldn't get through the second inning with the Twins plating seven runs during his time on the hill.

That defeat was the fifth loss for Chicago in Quintana's last seven starts as his ERA has risen more than a run in that span. Detroit is 23-20 against lefties on the season.

The Tigers' 7-game run against the ChiSox gives them a 10-4 edge in the rivalry for 2012. All seven wins were by two runs or more for those bettors thinking about a run line play here. Chicago did take three of the first five played at The Cell, the 'under' also 3-2 in those tilts.

Chicago will be without slugger Adam Dunn for possibly the entire series as he works through a strained right oblique. The good news is Kevin Youkilis should return to the White Sox lineup after missing this past weekend to be with his wife who was delivering their baby. Chicago might also get pitcher Gavin Floyd (elbow) back from the DL at some point this week.

Weather should be fine for all four games this week before rain possibly moves into Chicago for the weekend. Monday night's first pitch should come under clear skies with temps in the upper-60s.

Diamond Trends - Monday

September 10, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Braves are 9-0 since April 25, 2012 on the road after a one run win for a net profit of $1008.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pirates are 12-0 OU since August 12, 2011 when playing a night game as a 140+ dog vs a divisional foe that is ahead of them in the divisional standings for a net profit of $1200 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Indians are 7-0 since April 15, 2011 when Justin Masterson starts within 20 cents of pickem after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start for a net profit of $718.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

-- Wandy Rodriguez has produced a team record of 0-14 (-4.7 rpg) in his career off a start where they won while allowing 1- 2 runs if he lasted at least 6 innings and gave up 6 or fewer hits.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

-- The Reds are 7-0 since April 29, 2012 when Mat Latos starts as a home 140+ favorite for a net profit of $700.

-- The Braves are 0-6 since May 16, 2012 when Mike Minor starts in the first game of a series for a net profit of $670 when playing against.

Go get em! Great job in SEPTEMBER and thanks for posting Braddah!